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Kárpátalja
2015/03/23 1991-ben Kárpátalján teljesen hivatalosan két népszavazást is tartottak Kárpátalja önrendelkezéséről. Az eredményt ismerjük, az érvényes népszavazás alapján Kárpátaljának meg kellett volna kapnia az önálló státuszt. A referendum eredményének kihirdetése után pár nappal Antallék aláírták az ukrán-magyar alapszerződést, fittyet hányva az ottaniak akaratára. Sőt, történt korábban más is, amiről kevesen tudnak. Az ukrán-magyar alapszerződést megelőzően Ukrajna felajánlotta Kárpátalját Magyarország számára, mivel olyan gazdasági és politikai mélypontra jutott, hogy ez a történelmi magyar terület abban az időben kifejezetten egy komoly tehertételt jelentett az ukránok számára. Tény, hogy az Antall József miniszterelnök vezetése alatt álló akkori kormányzat határozottan elzárkózott ennek a területnek Magyarországhoz történő visszacsatolásától. Az elzárkózásnak több oka is volt egyrészt külpolitikai, másrészt gazdasági, mellyel Antallék valószínűleg nem mertek megbirkózni. Mára is egy hasonló helyzet alakult ki, ami ilyen rövid idő leforgása alatt igencsak ritkán adatik meg egy nemzet életében. Ukrajnáról tudni kell, hogy valós, központi irányítással nem rendelkezik. Az ország több részre darabolódott, mely részeknek a vezetését helyi kiskirályok (oligarchák) végzik, akik a saját területeiken belül lényegében élet-halál urai. Ezen vezérek között többeknek saját, önkéntesekből álló hadseregük is van, amellyel úgy terrorizálhatják a polgári lakosságot, ahogyan nekik tetszik (de ugyanúgy bármikor bevonulhatnak Kijevbe is és bármit kikényszeríthetnek a kijevi kormányzattól). Közben az ukrán bábkormány igyekszik mindent megtenni, hogy a kelet-ukrajnai területek elszakadása elleni háborújához minél több fiatalt mozgósítson, például éppen Kárpátaljáról. Arról a Kárpátaljáról, melyet Ukrajna soha nem kapott meg, annak odatartozását egyetlen hatalom sem hagyta jóvá. Kárpátalja az 1920-as trianoni gyalázat következtében került az akkor mesterségesen megalkotott Csehszlovákiához, ami nem létezik. 1938 és 1944 között ideiglenesen ismételten hazakerült, majd 1945-től a Szovjetunió tulajdonát képezte, ami ma már szintén nem létezik. Kárpátalját senki nem adta Ukrajnának. Jelen pillanatban az a világos jogi állapot, hogy Kárpátalját Ukrajnának vissza kellene adnia Magyarország részére, mert soha, semmilyen referendum, vagy politikai megállapodás sem ítélte oda az ukránoknak. (Forrás: InternetFigyelőWordPress)
Russia Oroszország
March 17, 2015 Russia deploying strategic bombers to Crimea, missiles to Kaliningrad. Russia's military has announced it was sending strategic bombers to the annexed Ukrainian territory of Crimea and will deploy advanced missiles to its exclave of Kaliningrad. Russian news agencies TASS and Interfax cited defense officials March 17 confirming Tu-95 and Tu-22M3 strategic bombers, capable of carrying nuclear bombs, were being sent to Crimea as part of military exercises taking place around Russia. The officials also said Iskander missiles would be sent to the Kaliningrad region, which borders NATO members Poland and Lithuania, as part of the military maneuvers. Iskander missiles have a range of some 500 kilometers and can be equipped with conventional or nuclear warheads. Polish Prime Minister Kopacz said, "Russia is making this gesture before the European Council meeting. It is trying to influence European Council decisions concerning extending or adding new sanctions." (Source: Radio Free Europe): http://tinyurl.com/oaj7ajt
Mar 16, 2014 (Monday) Russia starts nationwide show of force. Defence Minister Shoigu said the order came from Putin, who has promised to spend more than 21 trillion rubles ($340 billion) by the end of the decade to overhaul Russia's fighting forces. Putin made his first public appearance since March 5 on Monday. He was meeting Kyrgyz President Atambayev at the Constantine Palace outside Russia's second city of St. Petersburg. "Special attention must be paid to newly created strategic formations in the north" - Defence Minister Shoigu said. Norway is currently holding its "Joint Viking" drills involving 5,000 troops in Finnmark county, which borders Russia in the resource-rich Arctic circle where both countries are vying for influence. And more than 45,000 Russian troops as well as war planes and submarines started military exercises across much of the country on Monday in one of the Kremlin's biggest shows of force since its ties with the West plunged to Cold War-lows. President Putin called the Navy's Northern Fleet to full combat readiness in exercises in Russia's Arctic North apparently aimed at dwarfing military drills in neighboring Norway, a NATO member. Russia's drills would include nearly 40,000 servicemen, 41 warships and 15 submarines. Other drills involved 5,000 troops in Russia's eastern military district, while another exercise included another 500 troops from Russia's troubled North Caucasus region of Chechnya, the site of two separatist wars, wires reported. The exercises were meant to focus on fighting Islamist insurgents, whose movement to create a Muslim state has spread across the predominantly Muslim North Caucasus, fueled by religion and anger at local abuse of power. (Source: Yahoo) http://tinyurl.com/mo4u64s
Is President Putin the victim of yet another CIA-fabricated internet hoax — ‘Putin is dead’? The Internet thinks Putin is dead'. No, Putin is not dead. He’s not ill; he is the victim of yet another CIA-fabricated hoax. Is Putin’s public absence related to the Russian Orthodox Lenten schedule? The West takes advantage of Putin’s religious downtime by circulating a false story regarding his death, when they know he’s in his annual Lenten period of monastic silence. Russian President faces biggest challenges ever in 2015: decisions about 9/11 truth and the Ukraine require profound spiritual contemplation. The Anglo-American Axis is using the mainstream media to disseminate a patently false and malicious story about Putin’s death. Since Putin is known to be a regular religious recluse, the West can confidently make mischief whenever he takes his extremely valuable monastic downtime. On an island far from the mainland, the Valaam monastery is one of the Russian Orthodox Church’s holiest and most isolated sites. By all accounts the Internet rumor that Russian President Putin died is nothing more than a hoax started with a Facebook page titled “‘R.I.P. Putin,” which garnered almost 1 million likes when it hit the Internet on Tuesday, March 10, 2015. The ‘About’ page stated the following: “At about 11 a.m. ET on Tuesday (March 10, 2015), our beloved politician Putin passed away. Putin was born on October 7, 1952 in Saint Petersburg. He will be missed but not forgotten. Please show your sympathy and condolences by commenting on and liking this page.”. . . Russian Orthodox Church monastery in Karelia, located on Valaam, the largest island in Lake Ladoga, the largest lake in Europe, is often referred to as the “spiritual home” of Putin. (Source: The MilleniumReport): http://tinyurl.com/n6jutte
2015. III. 2. Orosz politika: a Herceg-szigetekig (-1919). A háború eredménytelensége a kezdettől fogva nihilista külpolitikát szorgalmazó bolsevikok népszerűségét növelte, ami hozzájárult ahhoz, hogy az 1917. októberi fordulat után Leninék a hatalmukat meg tudták szilárdítani. Ez a fajta, a hagyományos expanzióról lemondó és az addigi külpolitikai célokkal szakító program látszott akkor a kisebbik, a kevésbé pusztító rossznak. A szarajevói merénylet és a Herceg-szigeteken tervezett tárgyalások közötti időszak így vált az európai expanziót szorgalmazó orosz pánszlávizmus fokozatos kudarcának a történetévé. Ennek során először a cár és környezete szembesült a fiaskó méreteivel, ám a duma klasszikus polgári pártjai – nem. Miközben a cár és környezete szinte azonnal kikerült a hatalomtól, a duma októbrista és kadét tagjai csak fél év múlva, az újabb súlyos külpolitikai kudarc következtében sodródtak a perifériára. Az eszer párt nagyobbik részét pedig a bolsevikok nyílt diktatúrája ütötte ki a nyeregből – véglegesen 1918 januárjától. A breszt-litovszki békeszerződés bolsevik szempontból alapvetően nem a külpolitikai célokról, hanem a túlélésről szólt, amit a bolsevikok – amint módjuk volt rá –, azonnal fel is mondtak. Mivel a világháború terheinek jelentős részét Oroszország viselte, s ily módon Németország vereségéhez döntő mértékben járult hozzá, indokolt lett volna részvétele a versailles-i békekonferencián. Ekkor viszont egy forradalmi és egy ellenforradalmi orosz társadalom létezett. Ezekből – főként angolszász ösztönzésre – próbáltak 1919 januárjában és februárjában egyet csinálni, ám azok egymás iránti gyűlölete lehetetlenné tette a kiegyezést, így a békekonferencián való részvételt is. A nagyhatalmak megosztottságára a bolsevikok éreztek rá igazán, amikor a Herceg-szigetekre szóló meghívásra válaszoltak, hiszen a cári kormányzatok és az Ideiglenes Kormány adósságainak kifizetéséről szóló mézesmadzag főként a franciáknak szólt. A franciák viszont elengedték a fülük mellett a javaslatot, mivel bíztak a rendszer összeomlásában. Így a kezdeményezés alapvetően a különböző orosz ellenforradalmi központok tiltakozásán, másrészt pedig a francia kormánykörök ellenállásán futott zátonyra. Kétségtelen, hogy a különböző orosz politikai csoportok következetesen törekedtek saját elképzeléseik megvalósítására. Kérdés, hogy az, ami Oroszországban ekkor történt, mennyire következett a hatalomban való járatlanságból, egyszerű ostobaságból, illetve a külföldi szövetségesre való természetellenes mértékű támaszkodásból? (Forrás: Aspektus): https://tinyurl.com/ydgb3r45
Kazakhstan
20 Mar 2015 Putin calls for 'Eurasia' currency union. Russian president Putin proposed creating a regional currency union with Belarus and Kazakhstan, Russia's partners in a political and economic union made up of former Soviet republics. Belarus and Kazakhstan could help overcome falling oil prices and decline of rouble - Mr Putin made his proposal at a meeting with the Belarussian and Kazakh presidents which highlighted the challenges facing the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union following the fall in global oil prices and the decline of the Russian rouble. Marchenko, a key Kazakh reformer and former central bank head, has estimated that it would take 10 to 12 years before such a currency is launched. The Russian rouble's decline has hit former Soviet trading partners such as Belarus and Kazakhstan. The Russian rouble has declined by about 40 percent against the US dollar since midway through last year, Belarus devalued its own rouble in January and there has been speculation on markets that Kazakhstan may soon devalue its tenge currency. (Source: The Telegraph): http://tinyurl.com/mfe35p2
USA
Mar 19, 2015 Russia's massive military exercises seem to simulate a full-scale confrontation with NATO through the forward deployment of nuclear armed submarines, theater ballistic missiles and strategic bomber aircraft. Strategic weapon systems, including assets that are part of Russia's nuclear capabilities, have also been deployed to locations near NATO's borders. According to Russian statements, the snap exercise, which was not announced before it began March 16, will last five days and will involve some 45,000 servicemen, around 3,000 vehicles, more than 40 surface vessels, 15 submarines and 110 aircraft. The more notable systems involved are the Iskander mobile theater ballistic missiles and fighter aircraft that are being deployed to Kaliningrad, Tu-22M3 long-range strategic bombers that are being deployed to Crimea, and ballistic missile submarines that have been sent to sea with protective escorts. The initial statement on the exercise focused on the role of the Northern Fleet, saying the main purpose of the drill was to test deployment times to Russian positions in Novaya Zemlya and Franz Josef Land. Russia has increased its military presence in the Arctic, and the exercise highlights Russia's plans for the Arctic region. Russian forces are being airlifted to Russia's Arctic bases and several naval exercises are taking place, including anti-submarine operations and mine sweeping procedures that typically precede the snap sorties of nuclear armed submarines in times of crises. Operations have expanded to include military activities along the Finnish border, the deployment of strategic weapons systems to Kaliningrad and Crimea, and positions across the Baltic Fleet, Black Sea Fleet, and in the western and southern military districts. This combination lifts the exercise beyond a simple deployment of ground forces and naval exercises in the Arctic and forms a nuclear narrative. The forward deployment of theater ballistic missiles and bomber aircraft are provocative indicators of possible pre-emptive action against NATO and Eastern Europe. By deploying Tu-22M3 bomber aircraft, Russia is also openly invoking the threat of nuclear confrontation. Considering Moscow's statements about a potential deployment of nuclear weapons to Crimea, Russia is clearly connecting the Ukraine crisis and its intentions in the Arctic to the nuclear deterrent it possesses. Considering the military tensions surrounding the Ukraine crisis and its fragile cease-fire, these exercises are an aggressive signal, particularly since they immediately follow Putin's mysterious disappearance last week. Russia has an interest in flexing its military muscle to remind everyone of the havoc it could wreak and to dissuade anyone from taking radical action in Ukraine. The United States has been careful when it comes to Ukraine, even delaying the deployment of 300 U.S. troops to western Ukraine as part of a training exercise. The United States maintains, however, that this deployment is still an option and could order it as early as April. Russia's exercises serve as threats to the opposing forces, demonstrating capabilities and suggesting intent. But they are important military tools to the Russian military as well. To maintain readiness, actually executing operations or deployments through exercises is a must. Beyond that, Russian military planners need to have a realistic understanding of the capabilities of Russian forces. (Source: BusinesInsider / Stratfor): http://tinyurl.com/lcezv4z
March 14, 2015 'The Internet thinks Putin is dead.' Russian President Putin has not been seen in public since March 5. And with little further information to go by -- his press secretary, Peskov, said simply that there is "no reason to worry" and "everything is fine" -- some have naturally assumed the most drastic possible thing that could have happened is what did happen. "Putin umer" or "Putin has died," is now trending on the Russian Internet. . . (Source: RadioFreeEurope): http://tinyurl.com/pm39vsw
Mar 13, 2015 If Putin is dead or incapacitated, here are three scenarios for what might happen next. The divisions in Putin's inner circle, always latent, have become more manifest with the Ukraine crisis and have intensified since the February 27 assassination of opposition figure Nemtsov. "Now the conflict between the clans has become very seriously intense" - says journalist and analyst Shakirov. "It is obvious that different groups are pushing for different paths." The main fault line, he says, is between "hawks" who have become ascendant due to the Ukraine crisis and Russia's showdown with the West and a "liberal group" responsible for the economy who would prefer a thaw at home and a rapprochement abroad. The former group, Shakirov says, will probably fight fiercely in any transition to preserve their primacy. "This group understands that for them any normalization would mean, not the end of the world, but a loss of position' - political analyst Guelman sees conflict as the likely scenario. These are "people who have tasted lawlessness, who already feel that they have the right to break the law, to kill" - he says in reference to the Kremlin hard-liners. (Source: RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty): http://tinyurl.com/oyta3pq
'2015. Febr. 26.' (Mar 7. ? ) Imagine there is no Putin (Source: YouTube): http://tinyurl.com/m8sejqy
Pro Domo: az elmúlt évek során a keleti és nyugati sajtó ekkora fajsúlyú ellentmondó híreivel - egy atomhatalom elnökéről szóló ily életbevágóan ellentmondó hírekkel - még nem találkoztam..
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