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Egyik 19

Magyarországról, utódállami területekről, Európáról, Európai Unióról, további földrészekről, globalizációról, űrről

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2026. V. 22. Iran, United States

2026.05.22. 15:06 Eleve

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Asia

Iran
22 May 2026 15:22 (UTC +04:00)  The final draft of a possible agreement between the United States and Iran, mediated by Pakistan, 'is expected to be announced' within hours, Al Arabiya sources said today. Its key terms obtained by the network include the following: Immediate, comprehensive, unconditional ceasefire on all fronts, including land, sea, air; Mutual commitment not to target military, civilian or economic infrastructure; End to military operations and halt media war; Commitments to respect sovereignty, territorial integrity and non-interference in internal affairs; Guarantees freedom of navigation in the Arabian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf of Oman; Joint mechanism to monitor implementation and resolve disputes; Negotiations on outstanding issues would begin within seven days; Gradual lifting of US sanctions in exchange for Iran’s commitment to the terms of the agreement; Draft agreement reaffirms compliance with international law and UN Charter; Agreement would take effect immediately once officially announced by both sides. US Secretary of State Rubio told reporters yesterday there had been 'some good signs” in the talks, but there could be no solution if Tehran enforced a tolling system in the strait, which it effectively closed to most shipping after the war began on February 28. A senior Iranian source told Reuters yesterday that gaps had been narrowed, although uranium enrichment and the strait remained among the sticking points. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

22/05/2026 - 13:09 GMT+2  In a post on X on Wednesday, Iran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority defined its claimed management zone as running from Kuh-e Mobarak in Iran to the south of Fujairah in the UAE at the strait's eastern entrance, and from the end of Qeshm Island in Iran to Umm al-Quwain in the UAE at its western entrance. The zone covers waters that the UAE and Oman regard as their own sovereign territory. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

North America

United States
22 May 2026  US Secretary of State Rubio told today reporters ahead of a NATO foreign ministers meeting that there had been ’some slight progress” regarding the situation involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. The “fundamentals remain the same,” Rubio said - Washington was awaiting the outcome of ongoing discussions related to Iran while underlining that issues surrounding uranium enrichment and Tehran’s stockpile of highly enriched uranium would have to be addressed. Rubio also accused Iran of attempting to establish a ’tolling system’ in the Strait of Hormuz, saying Tehran was trying to persuade Oman to join the initiative. There is not a country in the world that should accept that, he said, calling the idea not acceptable. ’If that were to happen in the Straits of Hormuz, it will happen in five other places around the world,’ Rubio added. The top US diplomat said Washington was working through the UN on a Bahrain-sponsored resolution related to the issue, claiming it had garnered broad international backing, while criticizing unnamed Security Council members allegedly considering vetoing the resolution. Rubio also said the upcoming NATO leaders summit in Ankara would be ’one of the more important leaders' summits in the history of NATO,’ citing defense industrial production, burden sharing, and global security challenges among the alliance’s priorities. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Címkék: iran nato bahrain france asia pakistan turkey oman straitofhormuz persiangulf unitednations unitedstates azerbaijan northamerica unitedarabemirates gulfofoman

2026. V. 20. II. China

2026.05.21. 10:03 Eleve

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China
20 May 2026 09:20 - 13:25 /CST/  The China-Russia declaration on the emergence of a multipolar world and a new type of international relations marks the two countries’ latest efforts to dictate the direction on global affairs. Such declarations, which go beyond the scope of bilateral relations, reflect Beijing’s trust in Moscow as a partner in promoting themselves as self-proclaimed defenders of international order, ’amid concerns of the world falling into disarray with Trump as US president,’ Tang wrote at BBC Monitoring. This is a flexible strategic partnership. Neither Russia nor China pass judgement on the actions of the other. On Ukraine, Russia and China said the root causes of the conflict must be removed – ’a phrase borrowed from the Kremlin's rhetoric’ justifying the invasion, Chief analyst, BBC Monitoring Shevchenko wrote. Xi and Putin are increasingly positioning themselves as the vanguards of a new international order. Russia and China's joint statement condemns various forms of military adventurism around the world, and appears to reference the United States's actions in Iran and Venezuela over the past six months. Xi and Putin call out ’treacherous military strikes against other countries, the hypocritical use of negotiations as cover for preparing such strikes, the assassination of leaders of sovereign states, the destabilisation of the domestic political situation in these states and the provocation of regime change, and the brazen kidnapping of national leaders for trial’. China and Russia have called on countries to stop ’unilaterally’ interfering with international trade and supply chains - an apparent reference to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz - in additional comments from the joint statement published by the Kremlin. The statement reads: "The parties note with concern that unilateral actions by individual states, interstate associations, and their allies that impede international shipping threaten the integrity of global supply chains and maritime trade in general’. The statement does not explicitly name the key waterway, but goes on to call to avoid politicisation and excessive emphasis on security issues. China and Russia in their joint statement denounce the US' planned Golden Dome project and the prospect of launching weapons into space. Modelled on Israel's famous Iron Dome, and initially named the Iron Dome of America, the Golden Dome is a planned multi-layer missile defence system that would detect and destroy enemy ballistic, hypersonic, and cruise missiles. It would encompass the whole of Earth via a constellation of several thousand orbiting satellites. Such technology, the joint statement says, ’poses a clear threat to strategic stability’. "This significantly increases the risk of conflicts in space, contributes to the militarisation of outer space and its transformation into a site of armed confrontation, runs counter to the principles of the peaceful use of outer space... and leads to an aggravation of an already difficult situation,’ the statement says. In China and Russia's joint statement the countries say they are seriously concerned about Japan's accumulation of sensitive nuclear materials and the ’highly provocative steps’ of Japan's right-wing forces to revise its non-nuclear principles. The joint statement says that Japan's current course of ’accelerated re-armament’ poses a serious threat to peace and stability in the region. In recent months China has used international forums to accuse PM Sanae Takaichi of leading her country away from its post-war pacifism. The joint statement also notes that any expansion of the Western military alliance into Asia-Pacific is incompatible with strengthening regional security. Russia and China's comments come as Japan and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (Nato) have stepped up cooperation in recent months. Delegation of Nato envoys visited Tokyo last month. Japan reportedly is in talks to join a Nato defence startup accelerator. The Japanese government says it is only strengthening defence capabilities. President Xi is no longer as reliant on US trade and his country’s dominance in rare earth minerals and manufacturing has given him leverage, China correspondent Bicker wrote. The Chinese leader has also spent the last few months welcoming guests from all over the world. And now comes Putin. He does appear to have a close personal relationship with Xi. Putin was a primary participant in Beijing's Belt and Road forums over the years, highlighting the importance of economic and infrastructural cooperation between Russia and China. In February 2022, Putin also visited Beijing for the Winter Olympics, during which the two leaders affirmed a no limits bilateral partnership. This came just days before Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In September last year, the Russian president attended a military parade to mark China's victory over Japan in World War Two. This parade was also attended by North Korea's leader Kim. Putin’s trip to China was always on the calendar for the end of May to help mark the 25th anniversary of the Sino-Russian Treat of Friendship signed in 2001. Xi may be eager to showcase all these visits as proof, that when it comes to economic and diplomatic power, all roads lead to Beijing. China has extended its visa-free policy for Russians until the end of 2027, according to the Chinese foreign ministry. Russian nationals can now enter China without a visa for up to 30 days. The policy began as a one-year trial last September. Putin and Xi will discuss international issues in their private tea meeting later, including “Ukraine, Iran and relations with the United States", President Putin’s foreign policy aide Ushakov said. Xi and Putin are wapping up their talks in Beijing with a banquet. The Russian leader is due to depart Beijing in a few hours time. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

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2026. V. 20. China, Russia, United Kingdom, United States

2026.05.21. 03:42 Eleve

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Europe

Russia
(20 May 2026) 11:04 /CST/  Russia and China have come to a general understanding on the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, a major project that if completed would transport up to 50 billion cubic metres of gas annually to China. Putin's press secretary Peskov told reporters that "some nuances remain to be ironed out" but an "understanding already exists", according to state-owned news outlet RIA Novosti. The consensus includes the route of the pipeline and construction method, he reportedly said. No further details or timings have been given. China is Russia's top trading partner and also its biggest customer for oil and gas. Earlier this week, reports said that Russian gas giant Gazprom and the China National Petroleum Corporation had signed a preliminary deal. Based on 2025 estimates, this natural gas pipeline is expected to carry through Mongolia around 12% of China's total gas consumption - gas from the gas fields of Russia's Yamal. The war in Iran hurts Chinese interests. There's no end in sight to the crisis which has blocked the Strait of Hormuz. Beijing has stockpiles of oil, but around 45% of China’s oil sails through that vital shipping lane. Russia provides China with around 18% of its oil. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

(20 May 2026) 09:05 /CST/  Peskov, Putin's spokesperson, did not rule out a meeting between Putin and Trump at the Apec summit in the southern city of Shenzhen in China in November, Russian news agency Interfax has reported. The annual Asia Pacific Economic Co-operation Summit (Apec) is typically attended by leaders of Russia, China and sometimes the US. Putin had earlier confirmed his attendance at the Apec summit later this year. The US will send a delegation, but did not specify if Trump will be there. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

(20 May 2026) 07:58 /CST/  In this morning’s Russian newspapers several articles take a dig at Trump’s recent China trip. In terms of concrete achievements, it was a failure...despite the Americans claiming otherwise, declares the daily broadsheet Izvestia. Russian diplomats accompanying Putin know the nuances of Chinese etiquette, unlike the Americans, suggests newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda. ’Trump doesn’t understand Chinese culture, and doesn’t want to understand it.’ “Beijing welcomes Russia’s leader as an ally and a reliable partner,” claims the weekly newspaper Argumenty I Fakty, adding: “It hosted America’s leader as a rival from whom you don’t know what to expect,’ Rosenberg Russia editor wrote. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

United Kingdom
(Wednesday), May 20, 2026  UK eases sanctions on Russian oil and LNG imports. Effective today, a new license allows the import of diesel and jet fuel derived from Russian crude oil, provided the products have been processed in a third country. In a separate easing of restrictions, companies are now permitted to transport and deliver LNG by ship from Russia’s Sakhalin-2 and Yamal LNG terminals. This specific exemption is time-limited and will expire on January 1, 2027. (Source: Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project - U.S.)

Asia

China
20 May 2026 05:40 - 06:48 /CST/  As reported by Chinese state media Xi tells Putin that the current international situation is complex and volatile, with unilateral hegemony running rampant. The Chinese leader told his Russian counterpart that the world was in danger of reverting to the law of the jungle - a reference to the war in the Middle East. Xi says that the situation in the Middle East is at a critical juncture and is currently transitioning from war to peace. "My four-point proposal for maintaining and promoting peace and stability in the Middle East aims to further build international consensus and contribute to easing tensions, deescalating conflict, and promoting peace," Xi said. Xi's four-point proposal, put forward last month during his meeting with the crown prince of Abu Dhabi, promotes peaceful co-existence, national sovereignty, international rule of law, and a coordinated approach to development and security. A restart to the conflict would be unacceptable, the Chinese leader added. And he said the two should work together to promote a more just system of global governance. As permanent members of the UN Security Council and important world powers, Xi says, China and Russia should adopt a "long-term strategic view" and cooperate to build "a more just and equitable global governance system". The Treaty of Good-Neighbourliness and Friendly Cooperation between China and Russia has been extended. The 20-year treaty was signed in 2001 by Putin and then Chinese leader Jiang. It was extended for another 5 years after its expiration in February 2022, and has now reportedly been extended again. The strategic treaty outlines the basis for peaceful relations, economic collaboration, and diplomatic and geopolitical reliance between the two countries. It includes stipulations about military cooperation and defence pacts. Later today, the presidents are expected to oversee the signing of 21 documents. Trade turnover between Russia and China has increased more than 30 times over the past 25 years, Putin said. China is buying almost half of Russia's oil exports. Chinese parts are also vital for Russian weapons such as the ubiquitous killer drones. Chinese consumer goods - for example, cars - are replacing Western equivalents. Putin appears keen to discuss the construction of a major natural gas pipeline from Russia to China, China correspondent Bicker wrote. Putin and Xi’s meeting 'ends without final details' on a natural gas pipeline between Russia and China. The two countries reached a "general understanding" about the pipeline, an aide to Putin tells reporters. Russian foreign minister Lavrov will also hold talks with his Chinese counterpart Wang. Putin has invited Xi to visit Russia next year. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

(20 May 2026, about 13 CEST)  Following talks between Russian President Putin and his Chinese counterpart Xi in Beijing, the two countries stressed the importance of respecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Arctic states in a joint declaration. Moscow and Beijing said they were interested in preserving the Arctic as "a territory of peace, stability and low military-political tension." "The parties express concern over the militarisation of the high latitudes by the United States and its allies, reaffirm their commitment to the norms of international law in the Arctic," it said. Russia and China also warned against a return to the “law of the jungle” in international affairs and opposed hegemonic practices, unilateral sanctions, and external interference in the internal affairs of sovereign states. Moscow and Beijing also backed Afghanistan's counterterrorism efforts and pledged stronger coordination on Afghan issues through multilateral platforms like the Moscow format, the Russia-China-Iran-Pakistan quartet, and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). In the statement, the two countries also said US and Israeli military strikes on Iran violated international law and 'seriously undermine stability in the Middle East.' Russia and China further voiced support for achieving a sustainable ceasefire in Gaza and reaffirmed commitment to a comprehensive, just and sustainable settlement of the Palestinian issue based on the two-state solution, including the establishment of an independent and territorially integral Palestinian state. The statement also expressed support for Syria’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity, saying the Syrian transitional government must “resolutely resist all forms of terrorism and extremism.” On Africa, Moscow and Beijing said the continent possessed “significant development potential in the 21st century” and backed efforts by African states to achieve the goals of the African Union’s Agenda 2063 strategy. (Source: TRT World / Anadolu Agency = Turkey)

(May 20, 2026) 05:08 /CST/  Russian President Putin is in Beijing for a state visit, where he is set to hold bilteral talks with his Chinese counterpart Xi later today. He landed in the Chinese capital late yesterday. Putin was received by Chinese foreign minister Wang. This is the Russian president's 25th official visit to China. After being greeted by a grand ceremony in Beijing's central square, Putin has bilateral talks with Chinese leader Xi and a wider delegation, followed by a ceremony where they sign documents and issue a joint statement on further strengthening strategic co-operation. Authorities on both sides have not announced specific topics of discussion during the Xi-Putin meeting. A key area of bilateral trade is Russia's massive energy supplies, including oil and gas. The Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, which could finally be built after years of stalled negotiations, would deliver an annual 50 billion cubic metres of Russian gas to China - offering a boost to China's energy security, especially with the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz. Russia reportedly relies on Chinese exports - such as dual-use items and drone components - to sustain its military campaign in Ukraine. China holds the official stance of neutrality in the war, but it has criticised Western sanctions against Russia, claiming they are illegal and unjustified. Beijing will not want a destabilising war in Europe, Xi will want stability. But he will also not want to see Putin’s regime collapse, China correspondent Bicker said. Were China to lower its trade with Russia, would significantly complicate Russia's foreign policy objectives, considering the breakdown of relations with the West, sais Shah editor, BBC Global China Unit. Economic ties between the two since the war have deepened and bilateral trade has now soared to record highs. Years of Western sanctions have gradually pushed Moscow deeper into trade engagement with Beijing and it has become increasingly dependent on Chinese components for its war machine. China is Russia's largest trading partner. Russia makes up 4% of China's international trade. Russian President Putin's trip comes days after US President Trump's high-stakes visit to China. Trump described the talks as very successful while Xi called it a historic landmark. But when it came to the key issues looming over the relationship between the superpowers - from the Iran war to Taiwan and trade - but few concrete agreements have been announced by both sides so far. Trump told reporters that China had agreed to buy 200 Boeing jets - a deal confirmed by China's commerce ministry and Boeing. The White House also said China would buy at least $17bn worth of agricultural goods from the US - but China has not confirmed this. Apart from Putin and Trump, leaders from around the world have accepted invitations to China in the last few months. Among the state leaders who have descended on the Chinese capital were British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Canada's Mark Carney. Beijing has also welcomed German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Finnish Prime Minister Petteri Orpo, South Korean President Lee and Vietnamese President To, among others. Xi and his officials have conducted far fewer state visits overseas. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

May 20, 2026 11:52 AM  US President Trump's Golden Dome missile-defence shield plans threatened strategic stability and Washington had been irresponsible not to work on a replacement for a landmark nuclear treaty, Russia and China said today in a joint statement, after President Xi welcomed President Putin with an honour guard and a gun salute at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. „The parties believe that the US 'Golden Dome' project, which aims to build an unlimited, multi-level, multi-sphere, and global missile defence system to destroy all types of missiles, including all types of 'peer adversaries' missiles, at all stages of their flight and before they are launched, poses an obvious threat to strategic stability,’ they said. The Golden Dome envisions expanding ground based defences such as interceptor missiles, sensors and command and control systems while adding space based elements meant to detect, track and potentially shoot down incoming threats from orbit. These would include advanced satellite networks and orbiting weapons. ’These plans completely contradict the key principle of maintaining strategic stability, which requires the interconnectedness of strategic offensive and strategic defensive weapons." China and Russia also said they regretted the ’irresponsible policy’ of the US which had allowed the 2010 New START arms control treaty to expire without a replacement earlier this year. Russia said it supported China's position ’on not seeking to take part in potential US-Russian nuclear arms control talks’. US critics of extending New Start say that ’the US needs to free itself from controls to take account of China's rapid nuclear build-up’. Russia and China also said that certain unidentified nuclear powers had plans to forward deploy ground-based intermediate and shorter-range missiles which posed a threat to other states. They said that attempts by some states to position ’pre-emptive or preventive missile strikes in order to decapitate and disarm the enemy, are highly destabilising and pose a strategic threat’. Russia today showed what it said was footage of troops delivering nuclear warheads to mobile Iskander-M missile launch systems, loading them and moving them to launch sites as part of a major nuclear exercise across Russia and Belarus. (Source: AsiaOne - Singapore)

North America

United States
(20 May 2026) 08:02 /CST/  Witkoff, US Special Envoy for Peace Missions is set to visit Russia in the near future, Russian state media has reported, citing Russian envoy Dmitriev. Through his multiple visits to Russia, Witkoff said he has developed a "friendship" with Putin. In his role Witkoff deals with issues related to Russia-Ukraine diplomacy. Last December, with Trump's son-in-law Kushner, they spoke for hours to Putin about potential ways to end the Ukraine war - though such a deal has remained elusive. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

(20 May 2026) 07:43 /CST/  Earlier today, China had confirmed it would buy 200 Boeing jets. The announcement - China's first confirmation of the order - came as Xi was locked in talks with Putin. Under the deal, the US will provide China with supply guarantees for aircraft engine parts and components, China's Commerce Ministry said. The two sides will also work towards an extension of the tariffs truce they agreed in October and seek tariff cuts on $30bn or more of goods each, the ministry added, Hoskins, Business reporter, Singapore wrote. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

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May 18 -19, 2026. Iran, Israel, Kenya, Persian Gulf

2026.05.20. 01:21 Eleve

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Africa

Kenya
(Monday), 18/05/2026 - 19:39  Dependent on fuel imports from the Gulf, Kenya has been heavily affected by Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Last week, the Kenyan government announced price hikes in response to rising global oil prices, including a 23.5-percent increase for diesel - triggering a call for the strike by transport workers. Privately owned "matatu" minibuses, Kenya's main form of public transport, went on strike. Kenya's public transport system was paralysed when protesters barricaded roads over fuel price hikes and lit bonfires on the outskirts of the capital, Nairobi, attempting to stop cars and motorbikes. Schools are closed and events cancelled. Four Kenyans died and at least 30 were injured today in fuel price protests triggered by the Middle East war, which saw the country's public transport system grind to a halt. Interior minister Murkomen alleged that 'criminal elements had been mobilised' to target government and personal property. Police had made 348 arrests and the roads had now been cleared, he said. Kenyan rights group Vocal Africa strongly condemns the use of lethal force by law enforcement. The protests spread to other major towns, including Mombasa, Nakuru, Eldoret and Nyeri. "This is a war that we have not caused," treasury and economic planning minister Mbadi told the NTV broadcaster. Critics argue that Kenya has high taxes on fuel that could be reduced, although it is also reliant on them to service high levels of debt and a strained budget. A day of protests such as today's can cost Kenya's economy around 50 billion shillings ($390 million) a day, said economist Iraki. Since the start of the Middle East conflict, Kenya has raised petrol prices by 20 percent, while diesel has increased by up to 45.8 percent. "The government is responsible because it determines the price... It takes a lot of money from fuel for tax," Iraki said. The energy regulator said the government had spent $38.5 million to cushion consumers from soaring diesel and kerosene prices in its latest review. While Kenya is among East Africa's most dynamic economies, around a third of its 50 million citizens still live in poverty. Last month, Kenyan authorities also ’suspended fuel quality standards to maintain supply in the face of shortages’. (Source: France 24 / AFP)

Asia

Iran
(19.05.2026)  Yesterday evening, Trump announced that he had postponed an attack planned for today against Iran at the request of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. He added in a post that he instructed the Defense Department to be prepared to go forward with a full, large-scale assault of Iran, on a moment’s notice, in the event that an acceptable Deal is not reached. Iran today revealed details of its latest proposal submitted to the United States to end the war launched by Washington and Israel against Tehran in February. Tehran says its proposal calls for ending the war on all fronts, lifting sanctions and withdrawing US forces from around Iran. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

Israel
19/05/2026 2:42 pm  The Israeli newspaper Yisrael Hayom reported that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened another emergency meeting of the Security Cabinet yesterday evening - meeting twice in 24 hours to discuss an imminent round of fighting with Iran. This reflects a state of high alert within the Israeli security establishment, given the rapidly evolving intelligence and military developments related to the possibility of a renewed full-scale war with the Islamic Republic. The meeting focused on in-depth and lengthy discussions assessing the likelihood of another violent round of fighting with Iran in the foreseeable future. This comes amidst escalating field movements and heightened security alerts in Tel Aviv. (Source: Voice of Emirates - United Arab Emirates)

Persian Gulf
May 19, 2026, 2:17 PM  The Strait of Hormuz may never truly reopen, Tehran's Persian Gulf Strait Authority launched yesterday reflects. It converts the Strait of Hormuz from an international waterway into a sovereign toll booth. The reputational damage to Hormuz as a reliable corridor is already irreversible. Gulf policymakers are mapping alternatives. The legislation underpinning the PGSA bans Israeli vessels under any circumstances, requires Supreme National Security Council approval for ships from hostile nations and denies passage to vessels from countries deemed to have damaged Iran until compensation is paid. 'We now have a single, central scenario which assumes a prolonged and significant disruption to the Strait of Hormuz through autumn', ratings agency Moody’s said as has abandoned its earlier weeks not months baseline. Moody’s warns that even a ceasefire does not equal normalisation: shipping backlogs, tanker repositioning and insurance market recovery would take months. There are four realistic options for how the strait is managed in future – none of them comfortable for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Unilateral Iranian control is out of the question for the Gulf oil producers, who regard it as politically selective access in the interests of Tehran and not of its neighbours in the Arabian Gulf. An Iran-Oman co-management arrangement, suggested early on in the conflict, is theoretically possible but would require GCC acceptance that Abu Dhabi and Riyadh are unlikely to extend. A US-Iran condominium – joint oversight as part of a wider nuclear and conflict settlement – is a framework Trump has dallied with, but it would be viewed with deep suspicion in the Gulf. A broader Gulf arrangement including Iran and the GCC states would seem to be the most logical long-term solution, but it requires a level of trust that does not exist now 'and may not exist for years'. Alternatives? Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline is pumping at full capacity, with crude exports via Yanbu of about 5 million barrels per day; the UAE’s Habshan-Fujairah pipeline adds another 1.5 million to 1.8 million bpd. Together they cover less than a third of pre-war Hormuz throughput – and both have been targeted by Iranian drones. Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar have no alternatives at all. Longer term, analysts point to revival of the 45-year-old Iraq-Saudi pipeline, the Kirkuk-Ceyhan route to Turkey’s Mediterranean coast, a second UAE pipeline to Fujairah and rail corridors connecting to Oman’s Sohar port outside Hormuz.
(Source: Arabian Gulf Business Insight - headquarters: London, United Kingdom; regional office: Dubai, United Arab Emirates)
by Kane, Editor-at-Large of AGBI who acts as a consultant to the Ministry of Energy of Saudi Arabia

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2026. V. 14. China

2026.05.15. 23:58 Eleve

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China
(Thursday) 14 May 2026  China's President Xi and his US counterpart Trump at Beijing summit today agreed on 'new vision' of China-US ties, building a "constructive China-US relationship of 'strategic stability' the Chinese Foreign Ministry statement said. Xi stressed Washington and Beijing should be "partners, not rivals," as the two leaders met in the Chinese capital. The two sides agreed to build a bilateral relationship of constructive strategic stability to provide strategic guidance for ties over the next three years and beyond, which Xi said would be welcomed by "the people of both countries, as well as the international community." The constructive strategic stability "should be a positive stability with cooperation as the mainstay, a sound stability with moderate competition, a constant stability with manageable differences, and an enduring stability with promises of peace," Xi said, stressing that it should not be a mere slogan but concrete actions by both sides toward the shared goal. Xi also urged the two sides to better utilize political, diplomatic, and military communication channels while expanding exchanges and cooperation in trade, health, agriculture, tourism, culture, and law enforcement. China and the US "both stand to gain from cooperation and lose from confrontation,' Xi said in opening remarks at the Great Hall of the People, China's ceremonial state building. "We should help each other succeed, prosper together, and find the right way for major countries to get along in the new era," he said. Xi said the world is undergoing transformations “not seen in a century” and described the international situation as fluid and turbulent, adding that it has reached “a new crossroads.” He said China and the US faced questions “vital to history, to the world, and to the people,” including whether they could create a new paradigm of major country relations, jointly address global challenges, and provide more stability for the world. “They are the questions of our times that you and I need to answer as leaders of major countries,” Xi said. He "always believed" Beijing and Washington have "more common interests than differences," Xi said, adding that one country’s success represented "an opportunity for the other" and that stable bilateral ties were beneficial for the world. Xi noted that he looked forward to further discussions on issues important to both countries and the wider international community, and to working with Trump "to set the course for and steer the giant ship of China-US relations," with the aim of making 2026 a historic landmark year that opens a new chapter in bilateral ties. He emphasized that economic ties between the two nations are "mutually beneficial and win-win in nature." "Yesterday, our economic and trade teams produced generally balanced and positive outcomes. This is good news for the people of the two countries and the world," Xi said. On Wednesday, top Chinese and US trade negotiators met in South Korea to hold what Beijing described as "candid, in-depth, and constructive exchanges." "Facts have shown time and again that trade wars have no winner," Xi said, emphasizing "equal-footed consultation" as the only right choice, while urging the two sides to "jointly sustain the good momentum that they have worked hard to create." Xi also emphasized China's commitment to the stable, healthy, and sustainable development of China-US relations, state broadcaster CCTV reported. While the White House called the Xi-Trump meeting "good," it did not mention any discussion about Taiwan, which China claims as its own. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

May 14, 2026 5:20 AM  "The Taiwan question is the most important issue in China-U.S. relations," Xi told Trump during a meeting at the Great Hall of the People. "If it is handled properly, the bilateral relationship will enjoy overall stability," Xi said. 'Otherwise, the two countries will have clashes and even conflicts, putting the entire relationship in great jeopardy.' (Source: Miami Herald / UPI = U.S.)

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2026. V. 13 - 16. United States

2026.05.15. 13:44 Eleve

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United States
May 16, 2026 13:43 IST  US President Trump came to China with big hopes of securing concrete agreements on trade and rare earths. Apart from agreements on soybeans and Boeing aircraft, Trump left Beijing empty-handed, literally. Yesterday, Trump and his team left Beijing with nothing Chinese on his Air Force One. Not even any souvenirs. The US delegation, including White House staff and American reporters, discarded every Chinese gift into a trash bin kept near the aircraft. The same playbook has been followed by US delegations in Beijing for generations. This time it happened in full public view, as the US delegation tossed out everything Chinese officials gave them during the two-day visit, to prevent any possibility of Chinese spying or tracking. "American staff took everything Chinese officials handed out - credentials, burner phones from White House staff, pins for delegation - collected them before we got on AF1 and threw them in a bin at the bottom of the stairs. Nothing from China allowed on the plane," this was revealed by Goodin, the New York Post's White House Correspondent. The precautions were not just limited to the departure itself. Trump and his delegation, which included Nvidia CEO Huang and Musk, even left their personal electronic devices in the US before travelling to China. This was done to shield against possible hacking. Mobile phones were kept stored on Air Force One in Faraday bags, which protect data from being hacked remotely. These bags not only block wireless signals, but also keep out GPS, Wi-Fi, Bluetooth and RFID signals. Trump and his team used only burner phones and burner email addresses throughout the trip. These "clean devices" only have the most basic functions designed to hold minimal information. (Source: India Today)

(May 15, 2026)  Trump left with little to show for two days of talks with Xi. US president returns from China after summit that yielded no big deals but brought hope of more stable ties. (Source: Financial Times - U.S.)

May 15, 2026 at 5:49 AM  The Chicago Council found 77 percent favoring food and medical aid, 71 percent favoring sanctions, and 63 percent favoring arms or military supplies if China moved against Taiwan. But support for sending U.S. troops stood at 43 percent and opposition at 51 percent, according to the same survey. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found in 2023 that 38 percent supported, and 42 percent opposed, a U.S. troop deployment if China attacked Taiwan. The Reagan Institute found last year 60 percent of Americans supporting the commitment of U.S. forces if China invaded Taiwan - and 77 percent saying it was important for the U.S. military to defend Taiwan against Chinese aggression. A Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) war game in 2023 found that Taiwan, the U.S., and Japan defeated a conventional Chinese amphibious invasion in most scenarios, but at enormous cost in ships, aircraft and servicemembers. Taiwan counts for more than 60 percent of global foundry revenue and more than 90 percent of leading-edge chip manufacturing, according to a U.S. trade guide. Those chips run through phones, cars, data centers, telecommunications equipment, aircraft and munitions. They are essential ingredients for an advanced society, from consumer comfort right through to defense of the homeland. It also anchors the military balance in the Western Pacific. Taiwan sits at the pivot between Northeast and Southeast Asia, inside the First Island Chain. If China controlled Taiwan, it would gain a major geographic opening into the wider Pacific, put more pressure on Japan and the Philippines, and make it harder for the U.S. and allies to maintain a free and open Indo-Pacific. Taiwan matters because it is simultaneously a semiconductor super-node, a military chokepoint and a democratic credibility test for U.S. power in Asia. Congress wrote the stakes into law in 1979 with the Taiwan Relations Act, declaring peace and stability in the Western Pacific to be political, security and economic interests of the U.S. The same law says the U.S. should provide Taiwan defensive arms and maintain the capacity to resist force or coercion that jeopardizes Taiwan's security or social and economic system. (Source: Miami Herald / Newsweek - = U.S.)

Wednesday, May 13, 2026  In January, Mr. Trump said he hopes talks with Russia and China will lead to major power denuclearization. The president also said he is willing to support bilateral nuclear talks with China but favors a three-way forum with officials from the U.S., China and Russia. Mr. Trump also said he has spoken to Mr. Xi about joining talks on a replacement for the now-expired New START nuclear accord after the treaty lapsed in February. Chinese officials have previously stated that their opposition to nuclear arms talks stems from fears of disclosing strategic weapons secrets, which they believe would undermine deterrence. U.S. nuclear deterrence efforts are under stress as Russian and Chinese nuclear forces in recent months have shown a greater interaction, demonstrated in joint nuclear bomber and submarine patrols. (Source: The Washington Times - U.S.)

Wednesday, May 13, 2026  The People’s Liberation Army is on the march militarily and U.S. military forces in the Pacific are working to deter a war with China over Taiwan, against Japan or in the South China Sea, according to the deputy commander of Army forces in the Pacific. Lt. Gen. Vowell, the No. 2 leader at the U.S. Army Pacific, provided a blunt assessment of the PLA and its designs for taking control of neighboring countries and regions in the Pacific. Strategically, China is on an insidious, incremental, pernicious and malicious march across the region to be the big brother in the neighborhood - and not in a helpful big brother way, a bully, Gen. Vowell said in a podcast for the Army War College. Since the late 1980s, the PLA has built challenging capabilities ranging from space weapons to submarines, he said. 'We see this every day in the theater. They’re rubbing up against surface combatants. You see the airplanes that are doing interdictions. Our partners see this all the time when there’s challenges to sea features in the South China Sea, or East China Sea, or Japan and the Ryukyus,' he said. The rapid buildup of PLA forces is focused on naval power and projecting that power through the first island chain stretching from Japan to the South China Sea. The threat also includes expanding missile and nuclear forces. Gen. Vowell, who has been working in the region since 2018, said the Chinese communists, since 1949, are bent on taking other nations’ territory. The drive for expansion is being fueled by a Beijing propaganda narrative of Chinese suffering during a 'century of humiliation' from the 1800s, when a weak and divided nation was dominated by foreign powers. “That century of humiliation is over and they’re on the march to be the century of rejuvenation by 2049,” Gen. Vowell said. “These are all declared things from Xi, the Chinese Communist Party. The PLA’s actions are a response to this.' China’s actions suggest the expansion is not about righting past wrongs. New military power is not going to be used in benevolent ways, he said. 'They’re building it up to be able to walk across the water and take any sea feature that they think is theirs,' he said, noting a push to alter the status quo and using laws as part of the activity. The initial expansion is regional but the ultimate objective for the PLA is to control areas globally, he said. What we really face is a [anti-access, area denial] network that’s [a] pretty exquisite system of sensors to shooters, Gen. Vowell said. The Russian invasion of Ukraine also raised new fears among regional states over a future Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Beijing used a version of Russia’s argument that Ukraine is part of Moscow’s territory in claiming Taiwan is a false country owned by China, he said. 'What happened was people realized just how insistent China could become, soon seizing territories in Japan, seizing territories in the South China Seas or Philippines, or seizing Taiwan,' Gen. Vowell said. Operationally, Chinese military pressure campaigns on Taiwan also highlight the dangers. Increased PLA warship and warplane activities around the island are designed to wear down Taiwan’s defenses. “The ships would set up and look like they’re ready to start either a quarantine or a blockade. And that’s very provocative for an island nation,' he said. In response to Chinese military activities, regional nations have been joining with the U.S. military in conducting large-scale regional exercises, he said. Cold War deterrence of the Soviet Union in Europe proved that forward-deployed troops, like U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific, are the best guarantee of keeping the peace, Gen. Vowell said. (Source: The Washington Times - U.S.)

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2026. V. 11 - 13. Austria, Belgium, Europe, European Commission, France, Germany, Kenya, Latvia, Poland, Russia, Ukraine, United Kingdom

2026.05.14. 01:56 Eleve

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Africa

Kenya
11/05/2026 - 07:41  France is bringing together French and African business and political leaders in Nairobi, Kenya, today at the Africa Forward summit – the first time it has staged such an event in an English-speaking country with the desire to diversify France's alliances, in light of the recent diplomatic crises in the Sahel. 7 million French people have connections to Africa – from those of African descent to those married to Africans, or born on the continent. Macron wants to embody a new generation with many shared interests, particularly concerning youth, culture and the diaspora, Confavreux, spokesperson for France's Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs said. Alongside French President Macron and his Kenyan counterpart Ruto, some 30 heads of state and between 1,500 and 2,000 French and African business leaders and stakeholders are expected to attend. Young people, artists and athletes have also been invited. On the agenda will be artificial intelligence and digital transformation ecosystems, as well as health sector investments and local manufacturing of essential commodities, discussions on creative and cultural industries as economic drivers, sport as an emerging frontier for investment and job creation, the energy transition, infrastructure development, regional connectivity, agriculture and food systems. The two-day event conference will pay attention to promises on investment and 'climate justice' issues. Macron may rhetorically commit some money for new climate initiatives, but this will be heard with some scepticism, as African leaders know very well that France is facing its own internal issues. The choice of Kenya to host the summit could add credibility to Macron's promises, Marchal, a senior research fellow at Sciences Po Paris covering Africa told. "We must consciously move away from pre-written narratives that have historically defined this relationship. The Africa Forward Summit is about breaking these barriers and focusing on solutions," SingOei, principal secretary of state in the country's Department for Foreign Affairs, said. In the past decade, France has invested an estimated €1.8 billion in Kenya. France currently ranks as Kenya’s fourth largest foreign direct investment partner, as well as the leading bilateral partner in the country's energy sector. More than 140 French enterprises operate in Kenya. Nairobi is a central hub for transport and logistics, infrastructure investment expert Odumade told. It has a booming financial industry as well as a technology start-up environment, she said. The Kenyan government has really started capitalising private sector investments within various key sectors such as agriculture, infrastructure. The gap between what African countries need on climate adaptation finance and what has been delivered is widening, not narrowing, Juma, a Kenyan independent policy advisor, said. "Summits like this one are increasingly being judged on whether they close that gap or add to a long list of pledges.' He added that one issue that should most definitely be on the agenda is the current Iran-United States conflict. 'Any escalation affects global oil prices, shipping routes and the cost of refined imports into African markets,' he said. "That's not just a foreign policy story – it hits household livelihoods directly via transport fuel, food prices and the operating costs of critical infrastructure.' (Source: RFI - France)

Europe

Austria
(Tuesday), 12 May 2026  Austria scrambled Eurofighter jets twice Sunday and again Monday after two US Air Force PC-12 aircraft, a turboprop model often used for surveillance and reconnaissance missions entered Austrian national airspace without permits required for military transit. After the Austrian jets intercepted, the US military planes reportedly turned back and returned to Munich. Last month, Austria barred US military aircraft involved in the war against Iran from using Austrian airspace, citing the country’s neutrality law. Austrians „wanted nothing to do with US President Trump’s politics of chaos and his war’, Vice Chancellor Babler wrote on social media, adding, “Neutrality is a precious asset in our country. No to war.” (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Belgium
12 May 2026  Tens of thousands march in Brussels against pension and wage reforms. Protesters voiced opposition to government measures affecting pensions, automatic wage indexation, and rising energy costs. Trade unions accused the federal government of dismantling key elements of the social model. According to police, around 40,000 protesters joined the march. Trade unions said the number reached approximately 75,000. Public transport across Belgium is heavily disrupted by national strike. Brussels and Charleroi airports experienced limited capacity during the day. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

France
11/05/2026 - 11:49 GMT+2  First protests against high fuel prices. ’Producing is more expensive than ever, and prices are not keeping pace’ - around 50 farmers mobilised in the Lyon region today morning following a call by the Coordination Rurale union to protest soaring fuel costs linked to the crisis in the Middle East. With around 20 tractors demonstrators headed along the A7 motorway towards the Rhône prefecture under police escort, moving towards Lyon’s Confluence district, where significant traffic disruptions were reported. A prefectural order issued yesterday was banning any procession, march or demonstration in the area today. Authorities cited industrial safety concerns linked to the storage and transport of flammable and hazardous materials near major infrastructures in the hydrocarbon distribution chain. The Coordination Rurale (CR), which organised the mobilisation, is demanding stronger government support in response to what it describes as exploding production costs and unsustainable fuel and non-road diesel (GNR) prices. The price of agricultural diesel had almost doubled since the start of the Middle East crisis. Agricultural diesel already benefits from preferential taxation that costs the French state nearly €1 billion annually. On 21 April, the French government ’unveiled €20 million in emergency support measures for struggling farmers’, including a temporary increase in the GNR rebate to 15 cents per litre throughout May. The package also includes deferred social security and tax payments, a flash fuel loan for small and medium-sized farms, and the suspension of excise duties on tractor fuel in April. ’GNR prices have risen by between 60% and 80% for all farmers, while the government’s targeting will only benefit a minority,’ France’s largest farming union FNSEA president Rousseau said last Thursday. The FNSEA is calling for fuel aid of 30 cents per litre. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Germany
11/05/2026 - 14:42 GMT+2  German telecommunications company Deutsche Telekom and defence firm Rheinmetall plan to jointly develop a defence shield to protect cities and critical infrastructure across Germany - a system capable of detecting, disrupting and intercepting drones in emergencies, the companies announced today. The system would use sensors to detect drones and could disable them using jamming technology or interceptor drones. Rheinmetall chief executive Papperger said drone defence required a combination of sensors, countermeasures and secure communication systems. Deutsche Telekom said it would contribute expertise in cloud computing, connectivity and data analysis. The companies say laser technology could also be used to stop drones near industrial sites, power stations and other sensitive infrastructure. Germany has passed legislation allowing the armed forces to shoot down drones in some high-risk situations. Deutsche Telekom has been developing a sensor network since 2017. It said its systems use a combination of video, audio, radio-frequency and radar sensors to detect drones. One method uses passive radio-frequency detection, which does not emit signals itself. Telekom said the technology could detect more than 90% of drones operating at low altitude. The companies say detection systems now need to adapt because more drones are being controlled via mobile phone networks rather than traditional radio controllers. Together with Helmut Schmidt University/University of the Federal Armed Forces Hamburg, Deutsche Telekom is researching ways to detect such drones. Researchers are studying whether mobile networks themselves can help identify drone activity by detecting unusual data traffic patterns. The research is based on an Ericsson 5G standalone network installed on the university campus. Rheinmetall is also expanding its civilian drone defence operations. In December 2025, Rheinmetall, Hamburg police and the Hamburg Port Authority entered into a strategic partnership to help protect the port, where dense infrastructure and heavy radio traffic can make drone detection more difficult. Rheinmetall, whose defence systems are already in use in Ukraine and the Middle East, said it would develop customised solutions for critical infrastructure. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

11/05/2026 - 14:01 GMT+2  German Defence Minister Pistorius and his Ukrainian counterpart Fedorov signed an agreement in Kyiv today to launch joint programme ’Brave Germany.’ After a visit to Berlin last month, Fedorov announced on Telegram that Germany and Ukraine had agreed on a new €4 billion defence package. Berlin accounted for around a third of all assistance provided to the country. The package includes funding ’for several hundred’ Patriot missiles and 36 IRIS-T launchers, alongside €300 million ’in investment for Ukrainian deep-strike capabilities’. ’ ’ It also includes the joint production of AI-enabled medium-range strike drones’ ’ , with an initial batch of 5,000 earmarked for the Ukrainian armed forces. Pistorius arrived in Kyiv today. Speaking to German news agency dpa, he said the trip would focus on expanding joint arms projects and developing new weapons systems together as part of the countries' strategic partnership. ’ ’The main focus is the joint development of cutting-edge unmanned systems across all ranges, particularly in the area of deep strike. In doing so, we are strengthening the security of both our countries.’ ’ At today's signing ceremony in Kyiv, Fedorov said ’Germany had begun financing mid-strike and deep-strike capabilities’. Despite Germany's massive military spending drive, the Bundeswehr still lacks one crucial capability: deep strike - the ability to carry out precision strikes against high-value military or infrastructure targets located hundreds – or even thousands – of kilometres 'behind the frontlines'. Former Chancellor Olaf Scholz had agreed with then US President Biden that American Tomahawk cruise missiles would be stationed in Germany as part of NATO's ’deterrence strategy’ against Russia. The missiles had originally been due to arrive in Germany in 2026, but that now appears increasingly unlikely. According to a report by the Financial Times, Pistorius is planning a trip to Washington to try to convince the Trump administration to sell Germany Tomahawk cruise missiles and the Typhon launch systems needed to fire them. At present, the Bundeswehr only has one weapon system that could be considered part of the lower end of the deep-strike category: the Taurus cruise missile, which has a range of more than 500 kilometres. Kyiv unveiled a potential long-range option last year that ’could help address Germany's deep-strike shortfall’: the FP-5 Flamingo ground-launched missile. The system's warhead carries more than 1,000 kilograms in total weight, equivalent to an estimated 450-550 kilograms of explosives. The impact radius is estimated at around 21 metres against heavily fortified targets such as reinforced concrete buildings, and up to 38 metres against softer infrastructure like refineries. The Ukrainian military has reportedly used the Flamingo to strike targets deep inside Russia, including a factory in the town of Votkinsk, more than 1,300 kilometres from Ukraine in February 2026. Russia is believed to manufacture Iskander missiles at the site, which is located near the city of Izhevsk. It remains unclear which specific weapons systems Germany and Ukraine are planning to develop under the new investment and cooperation agreements. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Latvia
(Monday), 11/05/2026 - 9:27 GMT+2  Latvian Defence Minister Spruds resigned yesterday following a recent incursion by two Ukrainian drones into the Baltic country's territory. On Thursday, two drones crossed over the Russian border into Latvia. A fire briefly broke out at an oil depot, but was quickly brought under control by firefighters, according to the national police. Latvia's Prime Minister, Evika Silina, had called for Spruds's resignation, and said anti-drone systems had not been deployed quickly enough to counter Thursday's incursion. "The drone incident that occurred this week clearly demonstrated that the political leadership of the defence sector has failed to fulfill its promise of safe skies over our country," Silina wrote. The country is allocating nearly 5% of its GDP to defence, she added. Colonel Melnis is now set to take the position of defence minister, Silina said. (Source: Euronews; „Additional sources: AFP” = France)

Poland
11/05/2026 - 14:50 GMT+2  Poland has escalated its opposition to the Mercosur trade deal by filing a complaint with the EU’s top court and demanding that the agreement be suspended. Deputy Foreign Minister Bosacki stressed that Poland expects the Court’s ruling to lead to a suspension of both the validity and implementation of the agreement. In his view, the current version of the deal with the Mercosur countries would be harmful to both Polish and wider EU agriculture. Poland was the only EU member state to take legal action against the agreement before the EU’s top court, Agriculture Minister Krajewski said. He said that the Polish farming sector could count on the government’s full support. He added tghat the government’s priority was to protect both farmers and consumers, stressing that Polish producers were not afraid of competition provided it took place under fair conditions and high standards. The agreement was agreed by a majority of the EU Council on 9 January, with Poland, France, Ireland, Hungary and Austria opposed. The full partnership agreement will only enter into force after ratification by all EU member states. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France / The Associated Press - U.S.)

European Commission
May 11, 2026 9:48 AM CET  High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, EU’s Kallas rejects Gerhard Schröder as Russia-Ukraine negotiator. „Former German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder is unfit to represent Europe in any peace talks to end the Russia-Ukraine war’, the EU’s chief diplomat said on her way into a meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels, today. Russian leader Putin has said he would like the ex-German chancellor to negotiate on Europe’s behalf. ’I think Gerhard Schröder has been the high-level lobbyist for Russian state-owned companies so it’s clear why Putin wants him to be the person, so he would be sitting on both sides of the table, she said. So far, the U.S. has acted as the chief mediator in Russia-Ukraine talks while Europe has been on the sidelines - though some leaders have called for Europe to take a more active role. Over the weekend, German Foreign Minister Wadephul said Europe should participate in the talks, represented by officials from the so-called E3 group of powers - Germany, France and the U.K. Asked under what conditions the EU could accept entering direct talks with Putin, Kallas said that Moscow needed to make concessions, she was last week in Moldova and mentioned the withdrawal of Russian troops from Moldova as one possible step to get Europeans more involved. (Source: Politico – U.S.)

European Union
13/05/2026 - 8:20 GMT+2  For the first time since 2017, Trump visits China. For Europe it’s a crucial happening. Trump needs a win. In Brussels, the ’centre-right’ EPP is rushing to settle, as a weakened Trump could turn his attention toward Europe next. Trump is under pressure to relax chip export controls for quick business deals. If he trades away this edge, Washington and Beijing will set the global standards for AI alone with Europe becoming just a rule-taker, not maker. European firms are already struggling to compete with cheap Chinese goods at home. If Trump relaxes tariffs for China, the flood of cheaper electric vehicles and steel might result in European exporters losing their competitive advantage in the US to the same Chinese rivals that are already flooding European shores. If Trump treats Taiwan’s security as a bargaining chip ’to secure China’s help in ending the Iran war, he might hollow out Europe’s own strategic commitments in the Indo-Pacific’. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Russia
13 May 2026 19:48 BST  Russia has added Wallace, the former British defence minister, who was a close ally of Boris Johnson to a wanted list in connection with an unspecified criminal investigation. Mr Wallace served as the UK’s defence secretary from before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 until August 2023. This development follows a call last October from a regional Russian lawmaker for Mr Wallace to be placed on Russia’s international wanted list. This demand stemmed from comments he made at the Warsaw Security Forum in September, where he suggested assisting Ukraine in carrying out a military strike on the bridge connecting southern Russia to Crimea, which Russia annexed from Ukraine in 2014. 'We have to help Ukraine have the long-range capabilities to make Crimea unviable. We need to choke the life out of Crimea. And if we do that, I think Putin will realise he's got something to lose. We need to smash the cursed bridge,' he said. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

13 May 2026 10:25 (UTC +04:00)  The United States wants to take control of gas transit from Russia to the European Union through Ukraine, said Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov. According to him, the Americans are also planning to buy the part of the Nord Stream pipeline owned by European companies for a small amount and restore the damaged pipelines. “If you look at other parts of the world, I would mention Venezuela, with which the Rosneft Group cooperates. Now the Americans want to take over this cooperation. This will no longer be an equal partnership,’ the Russian foreign minister said in an interview with RT India. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

Tuesday 12 May 2026 18:18 BST  Russia today test-fired a new intercontinental ballistic missile as part of efforts to modernize the country's nuclear forces. Putin said that the nuclear-armed Sarmat missile would enter combat service at the end of the year. It was built to replace the aging Soviet-built Voyevoda. The combined power of the Sarmat’s individually targeted warheads is more than four times higher than that of any Western counterpart, the Russian leader said. The Sarmat - designated “Satan II” in the West - is meant to replace about 40 Soviet-built Voyevoda missiles. Its development began in 2011. Before, the missile had only one known successful test and reportedly suffered a massive explosion during an abortive test in 2024. Putin said today that the Sarmat is as powerful as the Voyevoda but with a higher precision. It is capable of suborbital flight, he said, giving it a range of more than 35,000 kilometers and an extended capability to penetrate any prospective missile defenses. Moscow's new weapons include the Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle, capable of flying 27 times faster than the speed of sound. The first vehicles have already entered service. Russia has also commissioned the new nuclear-capable Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile, and used its conventionally-armed version twice to strike Ukraine. Oreshnik's range is of up to 5,000 kilometers. Putin also announced Russia was in the final stages of the development of the nuclear-armed Poseidon underwater drone and the Burevestnik cruise missile powered by miniature atomic reactors. The Poseidon is designed to explode near enemy coastlines and cause a radioactive tsunami. The Burevestnik has virtually unlimited range thanks to nuclear propulsion, allowing it to loiter for days, circling air defenses and attacking from an unexpected direction. Putin has described those new weapons as part of a Russian response to the U.S. missile shield that Washington developed after its 2001 withdrawal from a Cold War-era U.S.-Soviet pact that limited missile defenses. "We were forced to consider ensuring our strategic security in the face of the new reality and the need to maintain a strategic balance of power and parity,” Putin said. The last remaining nuclear arms pact between Russia and the U.S. expired in February, leaving no caps on the world's two largest atomic arsenals for the first time in more than a half-century and fueling fears of an unconstrained nuclear arms race. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

Ukraine
(12 May 2026)  Zelensky's former right-hand man, close friend Yermak appeared in a Kyiv court today, named by Ukraine's two anti-corruption agencies as a suspect in a money-laundering scheme, caught up in a corruption scandal surrounding a $10.5m luxury construction project outside Kyiv. Ukraine's Anti-corruption Prosecutor's Office (Sap) said it was asking the Kyiv court to either place the ex-chief of staff in preventive detention or give him bail of about $4m. Yermak, Zelensky’s closest adviser became caught up into an alleged $100m embezzlement scheme in Ukraine's nuclear energy sector. The swirling allegations have cast a shadow over Ukraine's bid to join the European Union. As part of Operation Midas, ex-Deputy Prime Minister Chernyshov was charged with abuse of office, while businessman Mindich reportedly fled the country after he was flagged as a suspect and ex-Energy Minister Haluschenko was detained while trying to leave. Like the former chief of staff Yermak, Mindich was once part of Zelensky's inner circle and co-owned the president's former TV studio Kvartal95, before sanctions were imposed on him. Mindich now lives in Israel and denies wrongdoing. The latest claims centre on an elite housing project called Dynasty in a village outside Kyiv where millions in construction funds were allegedly laundered. Six more people had been identified as suspects. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)
See also: May 12, 2026 7:01 pm CET Corruption scandals during wartime threatens Zelenskyy’s EU push (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)

May 12, 2026 / 10:05 AM EDT  The governments of the U.S. and Ukraine have drafted a memorandum outlining the terms of a potential new defense deal between the countries. The draft hashed out by the U.S. State Department and Ukrainian Ambassador to the U.S. Stefanishyna is a first step toward a defense agreement that would allow Ukraine to export military technology to the U.S. and to manufacture drones in joint ventures with American companies. Technology pioneered by Sine Engineering, ’a Ukrainian defense firm that recently received a multi-million dollar investment from the U.S.-Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund’, allows drones to fly without GPS guidance to evade signal-jamming. A broader defense agreement, which would potentially bring more Ukrainian technology to the U.S., has faced political roadblocks. Ukrainian officials told they felt a "lack of buy-in" on a drone deal from senior figures within the Department of Defense and the White House, particularly since the war in Iran began. President Trump has publicly rebuffed Ukraine's efforts to supply counter-drone technology to the Middle East. "We don't need their help in drone defense," Mr. Trump told Fox News in early March. "We know more about drones than anybody. We have the best drones in the world, actually." ’But the memorandum drafted between Kyiv and Washington on an early-stage drone deal appears to suggest those obstacles may be falling away’. (Source: CBS News - U.S.)

United Kingdom
13 May 2026  In the last ten years, the UK has had six failed prime ministers: David Cameron promised “full on treaty change with the EU,” came back from Brussels with less than Mr. Chamberlain brought back from Munich, lost the Brexit referendum and his office. Theresa May defined leaving Europe as remaining within it while claiming to leave, and lost the leavers and the remainers. Boris Johnson got Brexit done, lied to Parliament, and forgot to leave his diverting circus buffoonery at the door of Downing Street and the majority government that he had achieved evicted him. Liz Truss brought in a Thatcherite budget she could not defend, and was given the boot after 45 days. Rishi Sunak tried to run a Labour government for the Conservative Party and was overwhelmingly disembarked by the voters. Because the Reform Party chopped the Conservatives off at the knees, the Labour Party won a huge parliamentary majority with only a slight rise in popular support and Keir Starmer has been a disaster. Nothing like this has ever happened in British history since Walpole’s time: A series of failed prime ministers in quick succession, five of them from the same party. The result of this is that Britain has had no influence in the world. It is not in Europe and it does not have a special relationship with the United States and it has no particular association with the old Commonwealth led by Canada and Australia. It is adrift, unable to prevent illegal immigration, failing to provide housing for new immigrants and representing the legitimate concerns of lower income British citizens about the resulting increase in housing costs and racism, and devising outrageous and authoritarian measures to suppress legitimate concern. Historic Britain would have rejected anti-Semitism and a powerful national majority would have demanded respect for minority rights. Instead the cowardly Labour government, intimidated by extremist Muslim voters in many districts, has abdicated, and effectively encouraged the despicable and profoundly un-British practice of Jew-baiting and scapegoating. The world misses British political wisdom. A feeble and waffling Europe misses it, and resurgent America, astounded at Britain treating it with equivalence to the terrorist-sponsoring murderous despotism of Iran, is close to washing its hands of the British relationship. Britain has shut down its oil exploration in deference to insane climate alarmists, has stormed out of Europe, insulted its greatest ally and benefactor, and transformed Shakespeare’s “sceptered Isle” into an inert and spiteful relic with only the statues in and near Parliament Square of great figures of the nation’s past to remind the living of what the British had been. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
by Black

12 May 2026  British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is facing mounting pressure within the Labour Party as speculation over his future intensified after as many as 70 members of parliament either called for him to resign or urged him to set out a timetable for his departure. The growing unrest comes after a difficult set of election results for Labour across the UK. The elections, held across Scotland, Wales and 136 English local authorities, were the largest electoral test since Labour’s landslide victory in the 2024 general election. In Wales, the party suffered a historic defeat in the Senedd elections, while in Scotland the Scottish National Party retained power for a fifth consecutive term in the Scottish Parliament. ’Far-right’ Reform UK also continued its recent rise, winning more than 1,450 council seats and building on gains made in local elections last year. According to The Times, Home Secretary Mahmood is among at least four ministers who have privately urged the prime minister to consider outlining a timeline for stepping down from Downing Street. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Europe
May 11, 2026  Drones, counter-drone systems. Drones dominate tactics, not outcomes. Will counter-drone systems ultimately be able to neutralize the drone threat? The development of high-energy lasers is seen as one of the decisive developments in this regard. The large-scale introduction of AI also creates the possibility of unintended escalation. (Source: Geopolitical Intelligence Services AG - Liechtenstein)
By de Wijk, the founder of The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies.

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Címkék: wales russia india hungary venezuela taiwan china iran nato france belgium kenya moldova germany latvia europe england israel canada scotland ireland austria poland australia ukraine liechtenstein unitedkingdom europeanunion rosneft unitedstates europeancommission sovietunion indianocean baltics pacificocean crimea europeancouncil europeancourtofjustice nordstream2 sahel

2026. V. 10 - 13. Australia, China, Dubai, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Persian Gulf, United Arab Emirates

2026.05.11. 17:17 Eleve

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Asia

China
(Monday), 11.05.26, 09:42 AM  US President Trump will pay an official visit to China from May 13 to 15 at the invitation of Chinese President Xi, the Chinese foreign ministry announced today. Trump would arrive in Beijing on Wednesday evening. He will attend a welcome ceremony and bilateral meeting with Xi on Thursday, followed by a visit to the Temple of Heaven and a state banquet. The two leaders are also scheduled to hold a bilateral tea and working lunch on Friday. The talks are expected to focus heavily on tariffs and trade disputes between the world’s two largest economies. Officials from both sides indicated that agreements could be reached on agriculture purchases, energy cooperation, investment mechanisms and Boeing aircraft deals. The US and China are also expected to discuss extending a truce in their trade war that currently allows rare earth minerals to continue flowing from China to the United States. A Chinese commerce ministry statement said the negotiations would be “guided by the important consensus” reached by the two leaders during their previous meeting in Busan, South Korea, as well as in subsequent phone conversations, and would address economic and trade issues of mutual concern. Beyond trade, the Trump-Xi summit is expected to cover several sensitive geopolitical flashpoints, including Iran, Russia, nuclear weapons and artificial intelligence. ’The president has spoken multiple times with General Secretary Xi about the topic of Iran and about the topic of Russia, to include the revenue that China provides to both those regimes, as well as dual-use goods, components and parts, not to mention the potential of weapons exports, one US official said. The Trump administration is also expected to raise concerns about the rapid advancement of Chinese artificial intelligence models and seek the establishment of communication mechanisms to avoid future conflicts linked to AI technologies. The Taiwan issue remains one of the most contentious points in US-China relations. The summit comes amid growing US concern over Taiwan’s defence preparedness after Taiwan’s opposition-controlled parliament recently approved a smaller defence budget than requested by the government. Taiwan has meanwhile expressed confidence in its relationship with Washington but said it hopes there are no surprises concerning the island during the Trump-Xi summit. Washington was disappointed with the reduced spending levels and Taiwan Premier Cho also warned that cuts to defence funding could damage international confidence in Taiwan’s security commitments. We are confident in the stable development of Taiwan-U.S. relations, speaking in Taipei, Taiwan Foreign Minister Lin said. The U.S. government has repeatedly expressed that its Taiwan policy will not change, he added. Beijing continued to raise the Taiwan issue in discussions with Washington, Lin said. Taiwan independence' is the root cause destabilising peace in the Taiwan Strait, and we will absolutely not tolerate or condone it, Chinese defence ministry spokesperson Jiang said over the weekend. Washington is additionally expected to renew efforts to engage Beijing on nuclear arms discussions, though US officials acknowledged China remains reluctant to enter formal arms control talks. Ahead of the summit, both countries announced that Chinese Vice-Premier He will travel to South Korea for trade talks with US Treasury Secretary Bessent on May 12 and 13. Washington plans to host Xi for a reciprocal visit later this year. (Source: The Telegraph – India / Reuters – United Kingdom)

Dubai
3:00pm, 13 May 2026  Nine fraud centres - scam networks - were dismantled and 276 suspects arrested, most of them from Southeast Asia, in a joint operation between FBI, Chinese Ministry of Public Security and Dubai Police ahead of US President Trump’s visit to China. “The operation delivered a decisive strike against three criminal syndicates and dismantled nine fraud centres behind high-yield investment scams (HYIS), ‘pig butchering’ schemes, and virtual currency fraud, all of which are among the fastest-growing forms of financial crime worldwide,” according to the Dubai Police statement released on April 28. The Trump administration has ramped up efforts to crack down on Chinese nationals and others believed to be involved in scam centres accused of defrauding Americans, and more coordination with China to tackle these networks could be on the agenda when Trump meets President Xi in Beijing tomorrow. According to US government figures, Americans lost a record US$20.9 billion in cyber-enabled crimes last year. Chinese and American law enforcement agents have in recent years cooperated to investigate and prosecute crimes like drug trafficking. Olson, a visiting senior fellow at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore, said strategic concerns could hold back efforts against fraud. Where and when possible, US and Chinese officials will be happy to cooperate in anti-scam operations, he said. ’But given their geopolitical rivalry, there are a number of strategic concerns that could limit the extent of their cooperation, especially in Southeast Asia where the countries compete for influence.’ US officials have accused Beijing of using its campaign targeting cyber scams to expand its influence in Southeast Asian nations like Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar. Olson noted that joint policing efforts could also involve divulging information about surveillance capabilities and techniques that they would prefer not to share. He said the operation in Dubai might have been driven by practical law enforcement needs rather than a broader thaw in US-China relations regarding cyberfraud. “Both sides will proceed with caution.” Alleged Chinese involvement in scams was labelled as a national security risk in a March report by the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission. The report also noted concerns that more Americans were falling victim to such scams, as the cybercriminals behind them turned their attention to non-Chinese to avoid angering Beijing. In March, when asked if Trump should raise the issue when he met Xi, commission vice-chair Kuiken said: “Any time American citizens are being victimised by criminal institutions, my answer is yes.” (Source: South China Morning Post)

Iran
11 May 2026  Iran’s latest counterproposal to a US peace plan calls for compensation from the United States and stresses Tehran’s sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state broadcaster Press TV reported early today. The report said it also demands an end to sanctions and the release of Iranian assets frozen abroad. Tehran rejected the US plan because it would have required submission to President Trump’s excessive demands, the report said. Iran’s response also emphasized the fundamental rights of the Iranian nation. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

11 May 2026 09:15  Iranian authorities have secretly executed Shakourzadeh, a 29-year-old political prisoner, satellite technology researcher, and top-ranked aerospace engineering graduate student at Iran University of Science and Technology, at Ghezel Hesar Prison in Karaj at dawn today, following nearly two years of detention on espionage-related charges. Judiciary-affiliated Mizan News Agency later claimed that he had been accused of collaboration with the CIA and Mossad. He was reportedly subjected to nine months of severe physical and psychological torture in solitary confinement in order to extract forced confessions. The researcher, who worked in the field of satellite constellation control and positioning systems, had been accused by security agencies of transferring scientific information related to satellite projects to foreign intelligence services. The allegations were never proven in a fair trial with access to an independent lawyer. His death sentence had recently been upheld by Iran’s Supreme Court. (Source: Hengaw Organization for Human Rights – registered, headquarters in Norway)

May 10, 2026 15:53 IST  Iran produces over three million barrels of crude oil per day, the majority of which flows through its main export terminal at Kharg Island. Amid the war with the US and Israel, Iran is rapidly running out of space to store the unsold crude. Iran revived offshore tanks and floating storage vessels. These ageing vessels, positioned near the island, are now holding excess oil to prevent production shutdowns and keep wells operating. They have seemingly filled quickly. Tehran cannot shut down production, because doing so risks severe and potentially permanent damage to its underground reservoirs. When wells are shut in for extended periods, water and gas can intrude into rock formations, permeability can decline, and sediment or paraffin can clog pores and pipelines. Restarting production later often becomes far more expensive - and in some cases, output never fully recovers. Satellite images near Kharg Island - as reported by Tel Aviv-based YNet and American broadcaster CNN - have raised questions about whether Iran is releasing crude into the sea as its storage fills up under the US blockade. European Space Agency Sentinel imagery has shown multiple suspected oil slicks across the Persian Gulf and around the Strait of Hormuz in recent weeks. Patches appeared near the Kuwait coast on March 5, around Lavan Island on April 10, just days after reports of strikes on nearby facilities, off Qeshm Island on April 22, and most recently in a large slick west of Kharg Island on May 6. One slick near Kharg covered more than 120 square kilometres. The suspected slicks have added to concerns over environmental damage and carry real risks for people. The Gulf supports fishing communities, coral reefs and rich marine life that provide food and income for coastal families in the region. Large numbers of dead shrimp washed ashore on beaches in southern Oman's Dhofar region. US President Trump has maintained the US naval blockade of Iranian ports and the Strait of Hormuz, which began in mid-April 2026. It remains fully in effect despite a fragile ceasefire. It's costing Iran significant oil revenue daily. The sustained US blockade might have now forced Iran to dump some of the surplus oil, floating unused in the sea. (Source: India Today)

Iraq
(Tuesday), May. 12, 2026  A report published Saturday by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) said that Israel had established a clandestine military outpost in Iraq’s desert shortly before the war with Iran began on February 28, allegedly with US knowledge. In a yesterday statement, Iraq’s Joint Operations Command stated that there is an exaggeration in statements made without knowledge of the facts, affirming that there are no unauthorized forces or bases currently present on Iraqi soil. The military unit also noted that necessary legal measures will be taken against entities who attempt to disseminate misleading information or malicious rumors about Iraqi sovereignty and security institutions. The Iraqi government does not maintain any official relations with nor indeed recognize the state of Israel. In May 2022, the Iraqi parliament passed a law to criminalize the normalization of ties with Israel with a majority vote, with the penalties ranging up to life imprisonment or the death penalty. The Iraqi Army and the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) today announced the launch of operation Imposing Sovereignty in the deserts of Najaf and Karbala, following reports of foreign military presence in Iraq’s western deserts. The joint campaign will operate along four axes, and involves carrying out a security sweep extending for a distance of 120 kilometers with the participation of explosives disposal units, intelligence services, and all supporting units. The participating forces are conducting search and sweep operations to a depth of up to 70 kilometers. The campaign is being carried out under the direction of outgoing Prime Minister Sudani and the supervision of the Iraqi Army’s Chief of Staff Yarallah. The developments come after widespread reports of foreign military activity recorded in the desert zone stretching between Najaf and Karbala. (The New Region - Kurdistan Region of Iraq)

Israel
09:34-12 May 2026  Israeli lawmakers approved a bill yesterday, setting up a special tribunal that would try and have the authority to sentence to death Palestinians convicted of taking part in the 2023 Hamas-led attack. The measure passed 93-0 in the 120-seat Knesset, or parliament. The remaining 27 lawmakers were absent or abstained from voting. Defendants can appeal their sentences but the appeals have to be heard by a separate, special appeals court rather than regular appeals courts. The bill empowers a panel of judges to hand down the death penalty by a majority vote and requires the trials to be conducted in a livestreamed Jerusalem courtroom. It has drawn comparisons to the 1962 trial of Nazi war criminal Eichmann, which was broadcast live on television. Eichmann was executed by hanging, the last time the death penalty was carried out in Israel. Hamas-led ’fighters’ stormed into Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, killing some 1,200 people and taking 251 as hostages. Israel’s ensuing blistering offensive on Gaza has killed over 72,628 Palestinians, including at least 846 killed since a ceasefire took hold last October. Israeli forces also took an unknown number of suspects into Israeli custody where they now await trial. The bill is separate from a law passed in March that approved the death penalty for Palestinians convicted of murdering Israelis. That law applies to future cases and is not retroactive so it could not apply to the October 2023 suspects. At least 7,000 Palestinians from Gaza had been held in Israeli custody since October 2023, and 5,000 of them were later released. The country still holds about 1,300 Palestinians from Gaza without charge in its detention facilities. The 1,300 number does not include those held on suspicion of attacking Israel on Oct. 7 or involvement in holding the hostages. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - headquartered in London, England, owned by a member of the Saudi royal family)

12 May 2026  Yesterday evening the Knesset (Israel’s parliament) has passed the first reading of a bill that would place heritage sites in the occupied West Bank under direct Israel’s Heritage Ministry control. The bill also proposes to grant the body all the necessary powers to excavate, develop, and manage archaeological and heritage sites, as well as expropriating and acquiring land for this purpose. In February, Israel’s Security Cabinet ordered the repealing of a law barring the sale of Palestinian land to Jews in the West Bank, unsealing land ownership records, and transferring building permit authority from the Palestinian municipality to Israel’s civil administration. Over the past few years, Palestinian and international organizations have indicated that the Israeli government is seeking to annex the West Bank as a fait accompli through a series of settlement measures without a formal declaration of annexation. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Persian Gulf
May 10, 2026 5:10 AM ET  A cargo ship caught fire today after being hit by an unknown projectile off Qatar's coast. The attack happened 43 kilometers northeast of Qatar's capital, Doha. In Sunday's naval attack, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations Centre said that the strike caused a small fire on the ship, which was extinguished. There were no reported casualties. The Trump administration says the month-old ceasefire remains in effect. On Friday, the U.S. struck two Iranian oil tankers after it said that the vessels were trying to breach its blockade of Iran's ports. Iran has mostly blocked the critical waterway for global energy since joint strikes on Feb. 28 by the U.S. and Israel launched the war. (Source: The Associated Press - United States)

United Arab Emirates
May 11, 2026 4:11 pm ET  In a war in which it has been Iran’s biggest target, the United Arab Emirates has secretly carried out military strikes on Iran. Speculation about the U.A.E.’s involvement in the war has swirled since mid-March. Researchers who track publicly available images and other information have pointed to photos purporting to show French Mirage fighters and Chinese Wing Loong drones - both used by the U.A.E. - in action in Iran. The strikes, which the U.A.E. hasn’t publicly acknowledged, have included an attack on a refinery on Iran’s Lavan Island in the Persian Gulf in early April, and sparked a large fire and knocked much of its capacity off line for months. Iran said at the time that the refinery had been struck in an enemy attack and launched a barrage of missile and drone strikes against the U. A.E. and Kuwait in response. Iran focused much of its fire on the U.A.E., targeting it with more than 2,800 missiles and drones - far more than any other country, including Israel. The attacks have hammered the U.A.E.’s air traffic, tourism and property market, and have led to a wave of furloughs and layoffs. They also have prompted a fundamental shift in the country’s strategic outlook to one that now sees Iran as a rogue actor bent on undermining the country’s economic and social model based on expatriate talent and a reputation for safety and stability. Gulf countries said ahead of the war they wouldn’t let their airspace or bases be used for attacks. The U.A.E. has since emerged as the most openly confrontational country in the Gulf and has maintained strong military cooperation with the U.S. throughout the war. Its military is well-equipped with Western-made jet fighters and surveillance networks. The U.S. has quietly welcomed the participation of the U.A.E. and any other Gulf states that want to join in the fight. The U.A.E. has a highly trained and capable air force with Mirages and a fleet of advanced F-16 jet fighters supported by refueling planes, command and control aircraft and surveillance drones. After the U.S. and Israel wiped out Tehran’s air defense capabilities, the risk of flying combat missions over the country dropped sharply. In addition to the strikes, the U.A.E. backed drafts of a resolution at the United Nations that authorized the use of force if necessary to break Iran’s chokehold on the strategic Strait of Hormuz waterway. Iran has responded by repeatedly accusing the U.A.E. of joining the U.S. and Israeli campaign. (Source: The Wall Street Journal - U.S.)

Australia

May 12, 2026  Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz remained at a standstill today, with oil rising after President Trump rejected Iran’s latest offer and suggested a ceasefire may not hold. Brent crude climbed two per cent to trade above US$106 a barrel. ’The impacts of the war in the Middle East are already serious. There is still a risk that they become quite severe and we’ve tried to give you a sense of that severity’, Treasurer Chalmers told reporters today. Australia’s ruling Labor government conducted scenario analysis in its annual budget under which the war in Iran intensifies, driving oil to US$200 a barrel and throwing the global economy into chaos. ’This could occur if the conflict is protracted or if an escalation further damages energy and export infrastructure across the Middle East and shuts off oil supply from the region, including through the Red Sea trade route,’ the Treasury said in today’s budget papers. Oil prices at that level in the July-to-September period would drive the Australian economy into contraction in that quarter and push domestic inflation to 7.25 per cent in the year through the fourth quarter, with unemployment also moving higher. Higher prices for fuel, fertilizer and other petrochemicals would make some businesses unviable and hit the margins of others, the Treasury said in the report. A prolonged war would also raise the prices of Australian exports of coal and LNG, providing some support to the economy. However, the Labor government’s central forecast is that inflation peaks in the three months through June and then starts to come down as the war ends. That is ’heavily dependent, heavily hostage to developments overseas for obvious reasons, including the duration of the conflict,’ Chalmers said. (Source: Financial Post – Canada / Bloomberg – U.S.)

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2026. V. 10 - 13. United States

2026.05.11. 00:15 Eleve

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United States
13 May 2026 Head-to-head: The US and China on economics, military and resources - who sits atop the world order.   Today, Beijing is regarded as the factory of the world and is outpacing its Western counterpart in many regards. Twenty-five years ago, the US was the world’s largest exporter, selling goods worth $729bn in 2001. China ranked fourth at $266bn according to the World Bank’s World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS). Today, China is the world’s largest exporter, selling $3.59 trillion in goods globally per year. Currently, 145 economies trade more with China than with the US. It is the larger exporter of machinery and electrical machines ($1.68 trillion), such as phones and computers, accounting for nearly one-third of total exports; metals ($286bn); textiles ($268bn). In 2024, China bought $2.58 trillion, producing a trade surplus of more than $1 trillion – the largest of any country. In 2024 the US - the second-largest exporter in the world – sold $1.9 trillion worth of goods globally and bought $3.12 trillion, creating a large trade deficit. US President Trump used the that trade deficit as justification for the trade tariffs he imposed on countries globally since returning to the White House in January last year. The US’s main exports include machinery and electrical machines ($447bn); mineral products including fuels, oils, waxes and their derivatives ($364bn), accounting for nearly one-fifth of total exports; chemical products ($245bn).    The US and China are exchanging more than $500bn worth of goods in 2025. Trade has fallen as the two countries exchanged retaliatory tariffs from the beginning of Trump’s second term. The average effective US tariff on imports from China is about 31.6 percent, according to the Penn Wharton Budget Model. China has imposed a series of tariffs on key US energy and agricultural exports, including a blanket 10 percent levy on all US imports, surcharges on specific items from 11 percent on propane and ethane to 77 percent on beef. Despite this, the US remains China’s largest trading partner, while China ranks third for the US, behind Mexico and Canada. In 2024, the US bought $453bn worth of goods from China: miscellaneous items such as toys, bedding and furniture ($57.9bn); textiles ($31.9bn). That same year, China bought $145bn worth of goods from the US, with the main goods including machinery and electrical machines ($30.8bn); mineral products including fuels, oils, waxes and their derivatives ($24.1bn); chemical products ($18.2bn).     US general government debt is standing at 115 percent of GDP. The 2008 global financial crisis was a turning point for the US, when debt surged sharply as the government bailed out banks and provided economic stimulus. China’s stands at 94 percent of GDP. Its debt is believed to be underestimated. China’s debt has also grown, but more steadily, from about 22 percent of GDP in 2000 to about 34 percent in 2009. After it began to incline even more steeply, mainly driven by infrastructure investment and local government borrowing, as opposed to crisis spending like the US. Both countries saw their debt levels surge dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic. The governments unleashed massive stimulus programmes to prop up their economies. The US allowed trillions of dollars in relief spending in the form of business loans and unemployment benefits, while China increased its infrastructure investments. The US national debt now exceeds $39 trillion, which is the highest level in history. The exact level of China’s government debt is more difficult to establish.   Together, the US and China make up more than half of the world’s total military spending. The US is the world’s biggest military spender, outpacing China by almost three times in dollar terms, according to the research institute SIPRI. The US spent $954bn or 3.1 percent of its GDP on its military in 2025. China spent $336bn or 1.7 percent according to estimated figures. The US holds a clear advantage in air power, with three times as many aircraft and far superior support infrastructure. At sea, China has more ships numerically, but the US maintains a qualitative edge in firepower, submarines and aircraft carriers.   Energy consumption in China has grown rapidly since the turn of this century as the country has ramped up its manufacturing industry and its economy has industrialised. Today, China is the world’s largest energy consumer. In 2024, the country of 1.4 billion people consumed 48,477 TWh, with 80 percent generated by fossil fuels, mostly coal. The US is the world’s second-largest energy consumer. In 2024, the country of nearly 350 million people consumed 26,349 TWh, also with approximately 80 percent coming from fossil fuels, mostly oil. When it comes to green energy investments, China is surging ahead. According to the REN21 Global Status Report, in 2024 China spent $290bn on green energy, while the US spent $97bn.    Emerging technologies - artificial intelligence (AI) robots, electric vehicles: The US leads the world in AI investment with $109bn in corporate spending in 2024 alone, nearly as much as the rest of the world combined, according to Morgan Stanley. It has twice as many notable AI model releases as China, including OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Google’s Gemini and Meta’s Llama – compared with China’s most notable release, DeepSeek. The US also has an edge in semiconductors, with Nvidia’s CUDA software platform giving US chips a significant advantage over Chinese alternatives. Both countries, however, rely heavily on Taiwan, which produces almost 90 percent of the advanced chips needed for AI development. Where China has surged ahead is electric vehicles. Almost half of all new cars sold in China in 2024 were electric, compared to about 10 percent in the US, helped by nearly $230bn in government subsidies between 2009 and 2024.    Rare earths have been a major flashpoint in tense trade negotiations between China and the US and are expected to be revisited during this week’s meeting  China holds the world’s largest rare earth mineral reserves, with an estimated 44 million tonnes of known rare earth oxide deposits in 2024 – a little more than half of the world’s total. Rare earth minerals are a group of 17 metallic elements that are essential components in modern technology, including electric vehicle batteries, wind turbines, smartphones, military equipment, and semiconductors. China also dominates the processing of rare earths globally. Even minerals mined elsewhere often get sent to China to be refined, giving it influence well beyond just what is in the ground. The US has the seventh-highest known rare earth reserves in the world at 1.9 million tonnes, less than 5 percent of China’s, making it highly dependent on Beijing for rare earth imports. Rare earth mining is highly polluting, and the US has faced numerous lawsuits and compliance costs, making it expensive to keep mines open. Where the US confronts regulatory and environmental concerns, China has been willing to absorb the environmental and social costs. Beijing has managed to outpace Washington in rare earth mining because ’it faces fewer obstacles’. Last year, an escalation deepened the trade war between the two superpowers before a temporary truce was reached six months ago. President Trump threatened to levy a 100 percent trade tariff on China after it restricted exports of rare earth elements and equipment    The US and China are part of a number of organisations jointly, such as the UN Security Council, the World Trade Organization (WTO), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the G20 and APEC. Separately, China is part of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and BRICS. It is also part of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). The US is part of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO), the OECD, the G7, the Five Eyes Alliance and the trilateral security partnership AUKUS with Australia and the UK.   China’s economy is driven by the state, with heavy investment in infrastructure, industry and technology, a reliance on exports and long-term national planning rather than free-market forces. Trump’s America First model takes a different approach: Tariffs, especially on China; tax cuts; deregulation; and a push to bring manufacturing back home. He has also publicly pressured the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, favoured one-on-one trade deals over global agreements, restricted immigration and pushed to reduce America’s dependence on China. (Source: Al Jazeera - Qatar)

May 12, 2026  Mr. Trump has vowed to build a defense system similar to Israel’s Iron Dome, with air defense capabilities that intercept rockets and missiles. He estimated that the project would cost $175 billion. Trump’s ‘Golden Dome’ missile defense plan could cost $1.2 trillion over 20 years, a report from the Congressional Budget Office said. Space-based interceptors, the president envisions which do not currently exist - satellites armed with missiles orbiting the planet - would probably consume about 60 percent of the total cost. To protect the continental United States, Alaska and Hawaii would require four separate layers of defensive assets, including several thousand satellites as well as a half-dozen radar and missile sites to engage intercontinental ballistic missiles and 35 new regional sites to defend against hypersonic missiles and cruise missiles. Even if the system is built, the report concluded, an adversary like Russia or China that has a large arsenal of nuclear weapons could overwhelm it and some missiles would hit their targets. The C.B.O. assumed that countering as many as 10 enemy intercontinental ballistic missiles in space simultaneously could require a constellation of roughly 7,800 armed satellites. To be effective, such space-based interceptors, the C.B.O. said, would need to be placed in low orbit where they would be subject to drag from the planet’s atmosphere - which over a five-year span could cause them to lose enough altitude that they would burn up and need to be replaced. In the past, the only weapons capable of intercontinental ranges contained nuclear warheads, and their use would invite a counterattack. But an attack on the United States with conventional guided weapons could achieve a similar strategic effect without necessarily triggering nuclear retaliation, a scenario the Golden Dome is designed - in part - to defeat, Mr. Karako, a missile defense expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said. The C.B.O. report did not estimate the cost of protecting U.S. territories specifically but said the territory of Guam, a small island in the western Pacific that hosts Air Force, Marine Corps and Navy bases, was slated to receive an extensive system of integrated defense” outside of the Golden Dome project. American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands in the Pacific and Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands in the Caribbean could potentially be protected by separate regional missile defense sites, the report says. In December, the Congressional Research Service said in a report that some lawmakers had expressed concern that, if built, the Golden Dome could invite Russia and China to increase their nuclear arsenals in response. The report noted that the Antiballistic Missile Treaty, which the United States and the Soviet Union signed in 1972, and that Russia later honored, precluded the development of antimissile systems like the Golden Dome project. But President Bush’s decision to exit the treaty in 2001 paved the way for such a network of defensive missiles. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

5/12/2026  US Treasury pays $3 billion a day in interest on national debt nearing $39 trillion mark. The U.S. Treasury has paid $628 billion in net interest this year to service its borrowing, according to the the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The report demonstrates the government’s largest outlays: $953 billion so far this year for Social Security benefits, $588 billion for Medicare, and $409 billion for Medicaid. Net interest on public debt is a larger figure than both Medicare and Medicaid, totaling $628 billion for the seven months between October and April. The overall debt picture has marginally improved: The April update shows government income totaled $3.3 trillion for the fiscal year so far, up from $3.1 trillion for October to April of 2025. Outlays have also increased, from $4.2 trillion to $4.3 trillion, meaning the deficit for FY26 stands at $955 billion, which is $94 billion less than for the same period in FY25. A significant driver in this change was the revenue generated by Trump’s tariff agenda, intended to rebalance trade deals with every nation on the planet. (Source: MSN / Fortune = U.S.)

May 11, 2026 / 5:59 PM  Musk, and other 15 senior executives of U.S. companies will accompany President Trump on his trip to Beijing this week as part of a wide-ranging summit with Chinese President Xi. The list include Apple's Cook, BlackRock's Fink and Boeing's Ortberg, among others. Executives from Blackstone, Cargill, Citigroup, Coherent, GE Aerospace, Goldman Sachs, Illumina, Matstercard, Meta, Micron Technology, Qualcomm and Visa will also travel to China with Trump. Each of the executives traveling for the meetings has significant business interests in China. The U.S. caravan will depart for Beijing tomorrow, with meetings scheduled for the rest of the week between the two delegations. Trump is expected to discuss trade, artificial intelligence, Taiwan and the Iran War, with the creation of a board of investment and a board of trade with China high on his list of goals for his meetings with Xi. (Source: UPI - U.S.)

(Monday), 05/11/26 1:17 PM ET  The Pentagon revealed the location of a U.S. Navy nuclear-armed submarine in a rare move a day after President Trump rejected the latest peace proposal from Iran. Iran laid out its demands in a counteroffer, which reportedly included war reparations, Iran’s sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz and an end to U.S. sanctions. The president called the counteroffer on Sunday totally unacceptable. In general, the locations of the U.S. nuclear-armed submarines are highly classified. The Ohio-class ballistic missile submarine arrived in Gibraltar, a British territory on Spain’s south coast, on Sunday, the U.S. Sixth Fleet said today. “The port visit demonstrates U.S. capability, flexibility and continuing commitment to its NATO allies,” the Sixth Fleet said in a press release. “Ohio-class ballistic missile submarines are undetectable launch platforms for submarine-launched ballistic missiles, providing the U.S. with its most survivable leg of the nuclear triad.” The Pentagon did not disclose the name of the submarine, one of the U.S. military’s most secretive weapons. The Ohio-class is made up of 14 ballistic missile and four guided missile submarines. The submarines are stealth, are able to carry Trident II ballistic missiles and can conduct extended deterrence patrols. The Ohio-class guided missile submarines can have over 150 Tomahawk missiles on board. (Source: The Hill - U.S.)

(Monday), May 11, 2026 1:13 AM  Trump's swift rejection of Iran's response to a U.S. peace proposal sent oil prices surging today amid concerns the 10-week-old conflict will drag on, keeping shipping through the Strait of Hormuz paralyzed. Oil prices jumped more than $4 a barrel today following news of the continued stalemate that leaves the narrow Strait of Hormuz largely closed. Days after the U.S. floated an offer in the hopes of re-opening negotiations, Iran yesterday released a response focused on ending the war on all fronts, especially Lebanon, where U.S. ally Israel is fighting Iran-backed Hezbollah militants. The U.S. had proposed an end to fighting before starting talks on more contentious issues, including Iran's nuclear program. Tehran also included a demand for compensation for war damage and emphasised Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. It also called on the U.S. to end its naval blockade, guarantee no further attacks, lift sanctions and end a U.S. ban on Iranian oil sales. Within hours, Trump dismissed Iran's proposal with a post on social media. I don't like it - TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE, Trump wrote on Truth Social, without giving further detail. It is not clear what fresh diplomatic or military steps may be ahead. Addressing whether combat operations against Iran were over, Trump said in remarks aired yesterday: They are defeated, but that doesn't mean they're done. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the war was not over because there was more work to be done to remove enriched uranium from Iran, dismantle enrichment sites and address Iran's proxies and ballistic missile capabilities. The best way to remove the enriched uranium would be through diplomacy, Netanyahu said in an interview that aired Sunday on CBS News' 60 Minutes. But he did not rule out removing it by force. Clashes have continued in southern Lebanon between Israel and Iran-backed militant group Hezbollah, despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on April 16. An end to hostilities with Iran would not necessarily bring an end to the war in Lebanon, Netanyahu said in the 60 Minutes interview, in which he also said Israeli planners had underestimated Iran's ability to choke off traffic through the Hormuz Strait. It took a while for them to understand how big that risk is, which they understand now, he said. Iran's President Pezeshkian said in a social media post that Iran would never bow down to the enemy and would defend national interests with strength. On Sunday, the United Arab Emirates said it intercepted two drones coming from Iran, while Qatar condemned a drone attack that hit a cargo ship coming from Abu Dhabi in its waters. Kuwait said its air defences had dealt with hostile drones that entered its airspace. Shipping data on Kpler and LSEG showed three tankers laden with crude exited the waterway through the Strait of Hormuz last week, with trackers switched off to avoid Iranian attack. Trump is expected to arrive in Beijing on Wednesday. (Source: Miami Herald - U.S. / Reuters - United Kingdom)

Sunday 10 May 2026 10:16 BST  It was the first day of the joint US-Israeli strikes. Reports emerged that hundreds of people had been killed in an attack on a primary school in southern Iran. A team of investigators rushed to social media – ’the Human Rights Watch’s digital investigation team, with the critical task of uncovering the facts and establishing the truth’ surrounding the attack. The team of eight investigates war crimes worldwide, analysing every piece of digital evidence ’to reconstruct the events from their offices’ in London, Berlin, Geneva, and California. They spent hours verifying and analysing scores of videos and photographs recorded immediately after the strike or during search-and-rescue operations, as well as from funerals. ’Satellite images from the past 25 years were reviewed by the team’ and compared to those captured following the attack. They showed both the site and the nearby cemetery where victims were apparently buried. They revealed that at least eight structures across the compound had been directly struck by munitions, including at least one that had been hit and severely damaged. A report was published a week later, which called for the US and Israel to immediately assess their responsibility and prosecute anyone responsible for war crimes. The team’s work ranges from tracking down suspected criminals to analysing ’immigrant deportation patterns’, using technology to investigate conflict violations and human rights abuses worldwide. The team’s digital investigations lab uses social media, artificial intelligence, and satellite imagery documenting crimes and abuses. Their work spans protests in Europe and conflicts in the Middle East to deaths in custody in El Salvador, as well as violence in countries including Burkina Faso, Sudan, and Myanmar. The team was established a decade ago. Investigations can take anywhere from days to years. Their published reports aim to ’put pressure on governments and policymakers’ to act. The team is constantly across social media platforms, hunting for photos, videos, or audio of attacks, which they verify and fact-check. They investigate military units, alleged perpetrators, or victims to determine who they are, what they have posted online, and whether there is evidence they were involved in a crime. One of their main tools is ’satellite imagery analysis’, which is used to track the destruction of villages or sites. They reconstruct areas of attacks using 3D models to provide clear evidence of the before-and-after effects. ’Artificial Intelligence is an essential part of their operations, helping them gather data from foreign government websites or mine data sets for patterns in arrest rates’. Earlier this month, they published a two-year-long report into civilian killings in Burkina Faso. The team used AI to uncover essential information and analyse nearly 40,000 posts, which exposed the activities of perpetrators at a scale that would have been impossible to cover otherwise. Digital tools have made it possible for the team to investigate alleged crimes everywhere, including in countries where they can’t enter, such as Russia, Iran, or Myanmar. ’Technology allows us to look over those walls that are being built, even in places like China. Looking over the Great Firewall, it's very hard, it's very difficult, it requires brave people, but it’s possible, Mr Dubberley, who directs the organisation’s technology, rights and investigations division said. Iran’s internet blackout has made it difficult for them to obtain and verify information, but they are still able to reach sources via WhatsApp, Telegram, and other social media. ’It's important to investigate what's going on in the Middle East right now, what’s going on in Ukraine. People know technology is key for them to have their stories told. ’But it's also really important to make sure that we have the resources to investigate situations that are forgotten, Mr Dubberley added. One of their biggest achievements, Mr Dubberley said, was a 2023 report that found that Saudi border guards had killed hundreds of Ethiopian migrants and asylum seekers who tried to cross the Yemen-Saudi border between 2022 and 2023. The organisation was able to map the route used to cross the border thanks to geospatial and open-source researchers from the digital investigations team, who verified videos and images recorded by migrants and border residents. Analysis of satellite imagery allowed them to assess the development of security infrastructure on the border and identify burial sites near migrant camps, which had grown considerably. Following the report, the German Justice Ministry suspended its training programme for Saudi Arabian border guards. ’We got so many media hits, that was part of the strategy, to embarrass Saudi Arabia as much as anything else, to see if we could get the killings to at least slow down, and for a while at least, they did, Mr Dubberley concluded. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

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2026. V. 9. Russia, United Kingdom

2026.05.09. 23:30 Eleve

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Europe

Russia
May 9, 2026 at 2:52 PM  "I think that the matter is coming to an end," Putin told reporters of the Ukraine war. Asked if he was willing to engage in talks with the 'Europeans', he said the preferable figure for him was former Germany's Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder. The Kremlin said last week that it was for European governments to make the first move, as they were the ones who severed contact with Moscow in 2022. The Financial Times reported on Thursday that European Union leaders were preparing for potential talks. (Source: Miami Herald  - U.S. / "Reuters or USA Today")

(Saturday), May 9, 2026 7:53 a.m. ET  Russia has lost more than 350,000 soldiers, new estimate finds. The new estimate of Russian dead extrapolates from a database of confirmed soldier deaths that Mediazona and the BBC Russian Service have been keeping, based in part on social media posts and Russian probate records. That database now includes nearly 218,000 confirmed names. The figure was released today - the day of Russia’s annual May 9 parade celebrating victory over Germany in World War II - by the exiled Russian media outlets Meduza and Mediazona. The number raises the prospect that about half a million soldiers in total have died on the Russian and Ukrainian sides. The number excludes those who have died on the front this year. It also does not include the full scope of deaths among foreign fighters and soldiers who have fought for Russia in militias formed in the occupied Ukrainian territories. The Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington-based think tank, estimated in January that as many as 325,000 Russian soldiers and 140,000 Ukrainian soldiers had died in the war as of the end of 2025. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

United Kingdom
May 9, 2026, 6:00 AM EDT  On the eve of World War II, many countries, including the United States, still limited Jewish immigration. Most European Jews were unable to escape - in part, because of British policy: Many of them would have gladly taken refuge in Palestine, then a British colony, but in May 1939, the British government effectively ended Jewish immigration to the territory. Today the U.K. is increasingly a place where Jews are forced to look over their shoulder and hide their Jewishness. Over the last 2 1/2 years, but particularly in the last few weeks, antisemitic violence and harassment have become the new normal for British Jews - and increasingly common in the U.S. as well. For American Jews, rising antisemitism in Britain is a frightening preview of America’s future. There were close to 4,300 antisemitic incidents in the United Kingdom in 2023 - an increase of 2.5 times over the previous year. ’It was the murder of Israeli citizens that put Diaspora Jews in harm’s way. In 2025 there were 3,700 antisemitic incidents in the U.K., according to the Community Security Trust, which reports on antisemitic activity. That’s an extraordinary number considering that there are fewer than 300,000 British Jews. As British Prime Minister Kier Starmer (whose wife and children are Jewish) said last week, ’People are scared to show who they are in their community, scared to go to synagogue and practice their religion, scared to go to university as a Jew, to send their children to school as a Jew, to tell their colleagues that they are Jewish.’ Last week, in the predominantly Jewish neighborhood of Golders Green in London, two Jewish men were stabbed by a knife-wielding attacker. This violence follows multiple arson and attempted arson attacks on synagogues, Jewish businesses and a Jewish ambulance service in London. And last fall, two Jewish men died after a man attacked worshippers at a Manchester synagogue. The oft-heard explanation for this increase in antisemitic hate is that it’s a response to anger over the war in Gaza. Even if one accepts the argument, someone attacking a Diaspora community because they don’t like the actions of the world’s only Jewish state is collectively blaming all Jews for the actions of other Jews. The situation is so bad that in response to the violence Britain raised its national terrorism threat level from "substantial” to 'severe.' The more accurate explanation for the increase is that antisemitism is the world’s oldest and most enduring hatred - and Jews are being targeted because of anti-Jewish hatred. The wave of antisemitic violence is not limited to the United Kingdom. What has risen to crisis levels in the U.K. is increasingly becoming the norm in the United States. A new report out this week by the Anti-Defamation League shows that even as there was an overall decline in antisemitic incidents in the U.S. last year, violent assaults against American Jews reached the highest level since 1979. Three people were killed in antisemitic attacks, the first such deaths since 2019. A man inspired by the terrorist group Hezbollah who was armed with a gun drove a car into a Jewish community center in Michigan. Every day, it seems, comes word of a new incident. Data compiled by the New York Police Department showed that Jews were targeted in 60% of confirmed hate crimes in the city in April - even though Jews make up a mere 10% of the population. Today, Jewish politicians are increasingly finding themselves under attack, targeted with antisemitic slurs and death threats. According to a recent New York Times article, ’Protesters have called members of Congress ‘dirty Jews’ during town hall events and thrown red liquid - meant to look like blood - on their front lawns.’ Even a tweet put out by the children’s show Sesame Street marking Jewish American Heritage Month was inundated with antisemitic and anti-Israel messages. ’Anyone who argues that this wave of anti-Jewish hatred is driven by opposition to Israel’s policies is kidding themselves. While Starmer finally spoke out publicly about the wave of violence - after months of pleading from Jewish leaders - most political leaders in the U.S. are silent. President Trump has had little to say about the antisemitic spike. Democratic politicians put out the usual thoughts and prayers statement. Few do more than that. The same should be asked of American cultural and political leaders. Where is the sympathy and concern for a vulnerable minority group in America? Where is the outrage that American Jews are under assault and living in fear? „For my family and millions of other Jews, the U.S. and Britain gave us not just a home but an opportunity to live our lives as Jews, free from fear and intimidation. That sense of belonging is increasingly under assault. Our American dream is slowly morphing into a nightmare’. Does anyone aside from American Jews care? The Guardian columnist Freedland plaintively asked last week, “Where are those who are usually so vocal in their opposition to racism, now that one of Britain’s oldest minorities is facing a violent, murderous threat on the streets? Where are the actors and celebrities who ordinarily waste no time in declaring their solidarity with the oppressed, even those many thousands of miles away, now that British Jews are stabbed in London for no reason other than that they are visibly Jewish?” (Source: MSN - U.S.)
By Cohen

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2026. ápr. 27. Irán, Hormuzi-szoros, Egyesült Államok, Izrael, Kína. Oroszország, Ukrajna - autonóm gyilkos robotok (Video)

2026.05.08. 07:48 Eleve

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Irán, Hormuzi-szoros, Egyesült Államok, Izrael, Kína. Oroszország, Ukrajna.

Autonóm gyilkos robotok.

Kérdez Fekete, elemez Resperger

(Forrás: YouTube / Fekete Rita)

- video -

13 295 megtekintés

Kulcsszavak:

Ázsia    Baltikum    Báb el-Mandeb-szoros    Boszporusz    Dardanellák    Dél-Korea    Egyesült Államok    Egyesült Királyság    Európa    Földközi-tenger    Gáza    Hormuzi-szoros    Irak    Irán    Izrael    Kaszpi-tenger    Kína Lengyelország     Lettország    Libanon     NATO    Nemzetközi Atomenergia Ügynökség    Oroszország    Románia    Szíria    Szuezi-csatorna    Tajvan    Törökország    Ukrajna    Jemen    Venezuela 

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2026. IV. 30 - V. 8. Armenia, Bulgaria, Canary Islands, Europe, European Commission, European Union, France, Germany, Poland, Romania, Russia, Ukraine, United Kingdom

2026.05.01. 12:58 Eleve

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Europe

Bulgaria
May 8, 2026 12:32 pm CET  Bulgaria’s parliament
confirms 'Russia-aligned' Radev as prime minister. The former president and air force commander leads the first majority government to rule the country since 1997. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

Canary Islands
(8 May 2026) 23:49  Record 30-tonne cocaine haul seized from ship off Canary Islands is Europe’s biggest ever. (Source: The Independent - Ireland)
Photo

France
(5 May 2026)  France's public sector broadcasters have been lambasted by a parliamentary committee of enquiry, which recommends closing several channels and cutting their budget by a total of €1bn. The committee held six months of at times acrimonious hearings. The findings were immediately dismissed as politically motivated and impractical by industry insiders, who said that the committee's rapporteur, Alloncle, had a 'far-right' agenda to prepare state TV and radio for privatisation. Alloncle, 32, is an MP, ally of Le Pen's populist-right National Rally (RN), the biggest party in France, which has long claimed to be the victim of state media prejudice. The heated French debate reflects similar tensions in other countries over the future of tax-funded legacy broadcasters, whose declining audiences leave them dangerously exposed to attack. In France, the cost to the state of public broadcasting amounts to nearly €4bn every year. Up until 2022, this was mainly financed by a television licence fee. French state broadcasters take advertising. For their money, tax-payers receive a panoply of television and radio stations - nearly 100 if local, overseas and foreign language channels are included - as well as France 2 and France 3, two parliamentary channels, two television news channels, the European channel ARTE, and the archives of the National Audiovisual Institute (INA). That is not to mention accompanying websites. Among Alloncle’s 69 recommendations are a cut by one third in television's sports budget, and a big reduction in the number of game shows; and abolishing the youth channel France 4, as well as digital channel Slash and the radio station Mouv' – both also aimed at the young. He wants to conduct a number of mergers: the mainstream television station France 2 with the less-watched France 5; the two news channels France 24 and France Info; and overlapping local radio and television networks. Alloncle also calls for greater diversity among radio and television editorialists – commentators called on to express daily opinions on current affairs, who are regularly accused by the right and 'far-right' of being from the same Paris-based left-wing mould. Alloncle cites numerous examples of what he claims is left-wing bias at public broadcasters. On financial waste, Alloncle attacks the outsourcing of production work worth hundreds of millions of euros to outside companies, some of which are run by well-known TV personalities who are themselves on the public pay-roll. Alloncle's aggressive interrogation style during the hearings was widely criticised. ’It's not just a document about public broadcasting. It's become a kind of political trial, where everyone is trying to impose their own ideological interpretation on a public service,’ Ernotte, the president of France Télévisions, said. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

Germany
08 May 2026  German students walk out to protest new military service law. Thousands of students across Germany skip classes today, marking anniversary of the end of World War II and warning against return to conscription. In Berlin, around 2,000 students and supporters gathered at the capital’s landmark Brandenburg Gate today, then marched to the headquarters of Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU). During the protests, students carried banners reading “Never again war!, “Your wars - without us!, and “Students against wars. Others held placards that read “The rich want war, the youth want the future.” (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

(Monday), 04 May 2026  Chancellor Friedrich Merz yesterday confirmed that the US will not station any Tomahawk cruise missiles in Germany for the time being, but stressed that this was not linked to his criticism of President Trump. „The Americans don't have enough for themselves right now ... there is virtually no possibility of the US supplying weapons systems of this kind,” chancellor says. Promised by then-US President Biden in 2024, the Tomahawk cruise missiles ’have a range capable of reaching Russia’. Addressing the aspect of US nuclear sharing, Merz said: ’There are absolutely no compromises. There is no restriction on the US commitment to nuclear deterrence in the NATO area. There is no doubt about that whatsoever.’ Merz described the withdrawal of more than 5,000 US troops from Germany, announced by US President Trump on Friday, as “nothing new.” He noted that this was a contingent that Trump’s predecessor, Biden, had stationed on a temporary basis. The German leader also denied any direct link between Trump’s announcements and his own critical remarks about the US-Israel war against Iran, saying there is no connection. The chancellor reiterated his criticism of the US strategy toward Iran, and defended his statement that Iran had humiliated the US at the negotiating table. The comments had provoked a series of angry responses from Trump, including that Merz was doing a terrible job as chancellor and he was ineffective in the Russia-Ukraine war. Merz, however, argued he would not give up on working to improve transatlantic relations. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

May 3, 2026 1:36 pm KST  A third of the world's fertilizers normally pass through the Strait of Hormuz and the World Trade Organization (WTO) has warned that the blockade there threatens global food security, particularly in Africa and South Asia. "That's why it makes so much sense to have production in Europe," Profitlich, spokesman for the SKW company said. Wittenberg is home to a chemical plant founded in 1915, in the midst of World War I. At that time the aim was to produce nitrogen for explosives and fertilizers to circumvent a blockade which prevented certain raw materials being imported from Chile. More than a century later, it has been scrambling to help make up the shortfall in essential supplies of fertilizers. SKW is Germany's largest producer of urea, an essential component of fertilizers. At SKW's sprawling 220-hectare site, a 23-kilometer rail network transports urea, ammonia and finished fertilisers, destined for sites across Germany and elsewhere in Europe. The company expects an increase in revenue this year of between 10 and 20 percent, but stresses this estimate remains uncertain because of market volatility. Around 80 percent of the company's production is powered by gas, which has doubled in price since the conflict broke out on Feb. 28. The Ukraine war starkly exposed the country's reliance on Russian gas. Today the company imports natural gas from Norway, the Netherlands and the United States, but is suffering as prices rise on global markets. "We can pass on the higher costs to the consumers of our products,' SKW's CEO Franzke said. 'The problem is that our customer, the farmer, might not be able to pass these costs on,' he said. Geywitz, who relies on nitrogen-based fertilizers at his cornfield farm in the southwestern state of Baden-Wuerttemberg said that since the war began, the price of fertilizer has jumped by 50 percent. As cereal prices on the world market have remained stable, he has had to absorb the cost and can't pass it on. He worries about a fertilizer shortage by next year. Without local producers and competitive farming, food security in Europe is seriously threatened, the German Fertilizer Producers' Association (BVDM) said. Dependence on international markets represents a certain risk, it added. Worries revived that European businesses in these sectors will struggle to compete with foreign rivals who face fewer constraints, particularly in terms of environmental standards. 'Like many others in German industry', Franzke has called for a review of the EU's carbon trading scheme in order to ease pressure on businesses. 'The European Commission has said it is looking into the issue'. (Source: The Korea Times - South Korea / AFP - France)

02/05/2026 - 17:26  New tariff hike could cost Germany $18BN. Trump says tariffs on cars and trucks will rise to 25 percent next week because the European Union is not complying. That is 10 percentage points higher than the rate agreed in a trade deal last July. (Source: France 24)

April 30 (2026)  U.S. President Trump announced plans that could see cuts to the tens of thousands of U.S. forces stationed across 20 bases in Germany. There has been a continuous significant U.S. military presence in Germany since the end of World War II, initially as an army of occupation and then as the front-line of NATO deterrence during the Cold War and more recently 'as a bulwark against a resurgent threat to Europe from Russia'. Home to around 27,000 troops and their families, 'Little America' Ramstein Air Base, southwest of Frankfurt, has been the headquarters for U.S. Air Forces in Europe and a critical NATO facility since 1952. Active-duty personnel numbers had fallen to 94,000 in the first half of the 1990s following the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, and then down to 71,000. The numbers in Germany were cut from more than 50,000 from 2013 to 2017 during President Obama's second term, in line with a strategic shift in the United States' defense priorities involving pivoting to the Asia-Pacific and reducing the focus on Europe. U.S. troop strength in Germany stood at 36,436, mainly army and air force personnel, stationed at 20 bases across the country in December, the latest month for which U.S. Department of Defense data is available. That compares with around 28,000 across the rest of Europe, with the bulk of those deployed in Italy, Britain and Spain. Lack of support for the war from European NATO allies has seen Trump and other senior U.S. officials repeatedly threaten to pull out of the 32-country defensive alliance, complaining that Europe was freeriding and never there for the United States when it needed it. On Friday, a Pentagon leak suggested that Spain could face being suspended from NATO in retaliation for not supporting the United States in its war with Iran. (Source: UPI - U.S.)

Latvia
Thursday 07 May 2026 10:06 BST  'Several stray' Ukrainian drones hit Latvia and its Nato neighbours Estonia and Lithuania in late March. The three Baltic countries have never allowed their territories and airspace to be used for drone attacks against targets in Russia, their foreign ministers said in April. Two drones entered Nato member Latvia from Russian territory and crashed today morning, the Latvian army has confirmed. Latvia's Defence Minister Spruds told that the drones were 'probably' launched by Ukraine against targets in Russia. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

Poland
06.05.2026 11:30  Poland is ready to host additional US troops and sees their presence as essential to European security, Deputy Prime Minister and Defence Minister Kosiniak-Kamysz said today, at the opening of the Defence24 Days conference in Warsaw. Around 10,000 US service members are currently stationed in Poland on a rotational basis. The appeal followed the European Commission's approval of a Polish loan agreement under the EU's SAFE defence funding programme, with EUR 43.7 billion in low-interest loans intended to support Poland's armed forces and defence sector. (Source: English Section Polskiego Radia SA - Poland)

06 May 2026  Poland's strategic goal is 'to have Europe’s strongest army by 2030': Defense minister Kosiniak-Kamysz, who also serves as deputy prime minister, says. The planned transformation includes expanding the armed forces to half a million personnel, including 300,000 professional soldiers and 200,000 high-readiness reservists. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Romania
May 05 2026 15:36  Romania's parliament today voted to oust liberal Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan in a motion of no confidence initiated by the Social Democrats and the 'far right'. The motion received 281 votes in the 464-seat parliament. Romania had a deficit of 7.9 percent of GDP in the fourth quarter of last year. The AUR has passed the PSD in surveys since the last parliamentary elections, sitting at around 37 percent. 'Pro-EU' President Dan has given assurances that the eastern European country of 19 million people will keep its pro-Western direction, ruling out the possibility of a far-right government. (Source: Hurriyet Daily News - Turkey)

4 May 2026  The political crisis in Romania is, right now, the clearest indication that the era of a progressive Europe, led by bureaucrats in Brussels, is drawing to a close. AUR may oust Romania’s current pro-EU government. Their goal is to trigger snap elections. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
by Tafo, currently studying Economics & International Affairs in Bucharest

European Commission
08 May 2026  The EU today stressed the importance of protecting religious symbols and ensuring freedom of religion following an Israeli soldier’s alleged desecration of a Virgin Mary statue in southern Lebanon. “We recall the importance of preserving and protecting symbols of worship and ensuring freedom of religion,” EU foreign affairs spokesperson Anouni said. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

30/04/2026 - 18:22 GMT+2  EU shouldn't 'humiliate' itself by seeking direct talks with Russia, warns Kallas. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

(30 April 2026)  On 9 January 2026, EU countries formally endorsed the trade agreement; The EU-Mercosur trade deal applies provisionally from 1 May 2026. The Commission will continue to work 'to ensure its full conclusion' in line with the EU Treaties. (Source: European Commission - Brussels)

European Union
Friday 08 May 2026 12:10 BST  Restrictions on short-term Russian LNG contracts came into force on 25 April. For three months in a row, every Yamal cargo that reached its final destination went to Europe. It shows that Europe keeps Russia's Arctic LNG business alive. The EU received 91 cargoes from Russia's Yamal LNG project between January and April, totalling 6.69 million tonnes – the highest volume for that period since the project was launched in December 2017. Belgium's Zeebrugge terminal has been the busiest entry point, receiving 25 cargoes in the first four months. The scale of Europe's dependence on Yamal is increasing, data shows. According to new analysis of shipping data published on Thursday by environmental group Urgewald, the bloc paid an estimated €3.88bn for the gas over the four months, based on benchmark market prices. 'Europe' is not only buying more Russian gas, it is also paying significantly more for each cargo than it was at the start of the year. The TTF price, Europe's gas benchmark, jumped from around €35 per megawatt hour in January and February to €52.87 in March. April prices averaged €45.21 per MWh. The Yamal project's reliance on Europe is also structural. The project depends on a small fleet of specialised Arc7 ice-class tankers capable of navigating heavy Arctic sea ice, and these vessels need fast turnaround times at European ports during the most operationally constrained months. 'A full ban on long-term contracts is due to take effect from January 2027.' 'EU's energy commissioner, Jørgensen, has ruled out reconsidering the ban timetable despite the energy crisis', telling Politico in March, 'we should not again ever import as much as one molecule'. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

Armenia
May 7, 2026 7:24 AM  Russia's Foreign Ministry said today that Armenia was being drawn into what it described as the European Union's anti‑Russian orbit, becoming aligned with what it described as aggressive Euro-Atlantic standards. Armenia has in recent years sought to deepen ties with the EU, including by hosting the European Political Community (EPC) summit in Yerevan on May 4 and a follow‑up EU-Armenia summit, bringing more than 40 European leaders to the capital. Ties between Russia and Armenia, host to various Russian military bases, have grown increasingly rancorous since Azerbaijan forcibly acquired Nagorno-Karabakh in September 2023 despite the presence there of Russian peacekeepers. (Source: Miami Herald - U.S.)

Russia
07 May 2026 14:56 (UTC +04:00)  Ukrainian drones attempted to attack civilian infrastructure facilities near St. Petersburg from Latvian territory on the night of May 7, the Russian Defense Ministry said. Russian military forces detected a group of six drones in Latvian airspace. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

06/05/2026 - 11:35  Russia's attack in Ukraine: At least 28 killed. (Source: France 24)

Monday 04 May 2026 19:52 BST  Russia's Defense Ministry has declared a unilateral ceasefire in Ukraine to mark Victory Day, commemorating the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II. (Source: Independent - United Kingdom / The Associated Press - U.S.)

3 May 2026  Russian strikes kill 10 as Zelensky says Ukraine hits oil tankers and terminal. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

08:44, 3 May 2026  Russian minister Butsaev, 49, ‘secretly flees to US after dodging FSB’ after being fired from his post as Deputy Minister of Natural Resources, in first escape of high-ranking Putin official. (Source: The U.S. Sun)

Ukraine
(4.5.2026)  Zelenskyy threatens Ukrainian drones could fly over Moscow Victory Day parade. He also says that Kiev discussed 'joint drone production with the EU Commission chief'. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

United Kingdom
08/05/2026 - 17:40  Substantial win for Farage's Reform UK in local elections. The labor party is on the ropes in England as the results of local elections being counted show the 'far-right' making substantial gains. The governing party has lost control of a number of councils... and pressure is piling on Keir Starmer - with some calling for the Prime Minister to resign. (Source: France 24)

8 May 2026  Political Islam sees Europe as a territory to be claimed. The British state, once the global premier standard for stability, is now being held hostage by alien forces. When elections in a Western democracy are decided by how a candidate stands on the Sharia law or on a conflict five thousand miles away, the social contract is effectively being dismissed as irrelevant. Europe is following closely. However, in what looks like a suicidal illusion, Brussels remains comfortably detached, watching the chaos in the UK as if it were a foreign affairs reel. This is a fatal mistake. The networks that operate in the shadow of Big Ben are the same ones that move through the banlieues of Paris and the squares of Athens. They are part of what one could call a “Political Islam without borders” that sees Europe not as a home to be integrated into, but as a territory to be claimed. The vacuum created by the retreat of British national identity is being filled by a militant, cross-border ideology, which treats the “European Project” with utter contempt. To ignore the fire in the UK is to sleep while the neighbour’s house is burning. We are part of the same civilisational block, and the ideology currently dismantling the British social contract is already threatening us too. The British experiment failed because it prioritised "rights' over survival. If we do not change course as a Union, the same failure awaits us. For, even if some EU nation states refuse to submit, European cultural cohesion will have been gone. We must learn this lesson before our own political borders are erased and the world as we know it ceases to be. It is time for a robust, politically incorrect defence of our demographic, political and civilisational integrity. We must decide if we are still a continent of sovereign nations or a collection of unprotected provinces waiting for Islamists to occupy them. The UK is a collapsing frontline. The enemy is at the gates. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
by Bogdanos

Europe
Saturday 02 May 2026 10:11 BST  Some key details on U.S. military presence in Europe: The United States had approximately 68,000 active-duty military personnel assigned permanently in its overseas bases in Europe as of December 2025, data from the U.S. Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC) shows. These do not ⁠include rotation forces sent on deployment and exercise missions. The U.S. military is spread over 31 permanent bases and a further 19 military sites to which the Department of Defense has access as of March 2024, a Congress report shows. U.S. European Command (USEUCOM) oversees U.S. military operations across Europe, working with NATO allies through six component commands representing the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Special Operations Forces and the newly established Space Force. These components are headquartered in Germany and Italy, and focus on crisis response and security cooperation across Europe and Africa. The U.S. troops are stationed in more than a dozen European countries. Germany, Italy and Britain have the biggest presence of personnel.    Germany - The largest U.S. base in Europe is the air base near the German city of Ramstein, where troops have been stationed since 1952. According to DMDC data, as of December 2025, 36,436 active service members were stationed in Germany, divided into ⁠five garrisons.    Italy – U.S. military personnel have been stationed in Italy since the end of World War Two and comprise Army, Navy and Air Force divisions. DMDC data shows that Italy hosted 12,662 active-duty soldiers at the end of 2025 across bases in Vicenza, Aviano, Naples and Sicily.    United Kingdom – The U.S. forces comprised 10,156 service members in the country as of December last year, garrisoned in three bases, hosting mainly Air Force personnel.    Spain – The country hosts U.S. Navy and Air Force bases near the Strait of Gibraltar. DMDC data shows that as of December 2025, 3,814 personnel were permanently assigned to Spain.   Poland – Poland hosts 369 permanently assigned active-duty service members, as well as about 10,000 personnel of rotational forces funded through the European Deterrence Initiative, DMDC and Congressional Research Service data shows. The personnel are garrisoned across four bases with temporary ⁠U.S. access.    Romania – Romania hosts a rotational presence of U.S. ⁠forces on top of 153 permanently assigned service members, according to DMDC and the Congressional Research Service. The bases to which the U.S. has access include Mihail Kogalniceanu Air Base, Camp Turzii, and Deveselu.   Hungary – The U.S. conducts rotational deployments and exercise missions in Hungary. DMDC said in December that the country hosted 77 permanently assigned service members stationed in two bases, Kecskemét, and Papa Air Base. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
by de Rozario

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2026. IV. 23 - 29. Bosnia and Herzegovina, Europe, European Commission, European Parliament, Germany, Ireland, Moldova, Romania

2026.04.24. 23:16 Eleve

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Europe

Germany
April 29, 2026, 4:45 AM  On a new international footing. Lau, a journalist at the weekly Die Zeit is one of Germany’s foremost foreign affairs specialists. His personal-political reflections are distilled in a new book entitled Der Westen sind jetzt wir, or The West, That’s Us Now, in which he divides his critique into four thematic regions: the United States, Russia, the Middle East, and China. He concludes with a series of prescriptions of how a more courageous and self-confident Germany, ’leading’ a more autonomous Europe, can begin to cope with the dystopian world order of U.S. President Trump, Russian President Putin, and Chinese President Xi. When Merz took office, Europe was still reeling from the Trump administration’s early attacks on liberal democracy. He signaled a more robust response from Berlin toward Washington, Moscow, and Beijing, declaring that Germany ’is back.’ Then came the June 2025 U.S. attacks on Iran, followed by the operation in Venezuela, interspersed with threats to Canada and Greenland, peppered with casual volleys of insults about European leaders. And most recently, the mayhem of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran that began on Feb. 28. Merz has rhetorical inconsistencies. Before leaving on a trip to Washington, he said in February that he wouldn’t lecture the White House on international law. Furthermore, he dismissed the notion of values, which has underpinned eight decades of foreign policy, echoing the Trumpian mantra of “deals” and “interests.” He praised the United States for doing the West’s ’dirty work’ in taking out the former spiritual leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, and degrading Iran’s nuclear potential. While sitting by Trump’s side in the Oval Office, one in a long line of excruciating sofa-based press conferences to which visiting leaders have been subjected in Washington, he smiled meekly when the president excoriated the Spanish and British prime ministers, Pedro Sanchez and Keir Starmer, for not aiding the war effort. When he arrived back in Germany - and possibly only then realized the potentially catastrophic consequences for Germany’s and Europe’s economies, alongside the benefit that skyrocketing oil prices were providing Putin - that he did an abrupt U-turn. Each subsequent statement seemed designed to distance himself further from Trump. And in remarks that seemed destined to antagonize the White House, Merz suggested that the US was being outplayed. ‘An entire nation is being humiliated by the Iranian leadership, especially by these so-called Revolutionary Guards,’ he declared. On China, Merz portrays himself as a hawk, then travels there with business delegations in tow, talking benignly about partnership in a bid to do whatever it takes to boost the economy. In this regard, he is no different from his European equivalents. Then there have been the straightforward clangors. Merz was in a minority of leaders of major economies who took the time to travel to Belém, Brazil, to attend the opening of the U.N. Climate Change Conference in November, only to undo much of that goodwill by disparaging the host city on his return home. ’Last week, I asked some journalists who were with me in Brazil: ‘Who among you would like to stay here?’ No one raised their hand. Everyone was delighted to be back in Germany and to have left that place.’ Utterances such as these show a lack of sure-footedness. Does his longer-term strategy deserve more praise? The German foreign policy that he inherited had reached what Lau describes as at rock bottom. ’ ’He has gotten many of the big calls right.’ ’ In barely a year, 'he has overhauled the country’s entire approach to military spending'. ’He’ did push through a constitutional change allowing for heavy borrowing on defense. ’He has also not shied away from a difficult public debate on the need to turn Germany’s armed forces into Europe’s most powerful’ - and quickly. He has mooted the possibility of European Union defense guarantees (something that the French have been pushing for years). He even talked of the possibility of ’ ’extending the French nuclear umbrella among a populace ritualistically hostile to all things nuclear’ ’. And ’he has been at least as forthright other leaders on the need for sustained support for Ukraine’. All of this is vigorously debated in Berlin. But when it comes to meaningful debate about Israel, Germany remains paralyzed. Lau, like many reasonable commentators, calls for a nuanced discussion, separating the requirement to combat antisemitism at home and protect Israel as a state, with the need to move away from slavish support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, his expansionist dreams and his extremist ministers. Many politicians say the same, but only within the safety of private discourse. Lau concludes his book by recalling a recent conversation over a beer, with a Finnish colleague. How would that country feel about U.S. withdrawal from NATO? Finland, the colleague replied, already assumed that the United States wouldn’t be there for the Finns and that, together with the Nordic and Baltic states and Poland, they had enough to hold back the Russians. The Germans are heading in that direction. They still have some way to go militarily and psychologically. (Source: Foreign Policy - U.S.)
By Kampfner, the author of Braver New World: The Countries Daring to Do Things Others Won't, published by Atlantic Books.

Ireland
28/04/2026 - 16:13 PM  EU presidency should be used to advance Irish unity, Sinn Fein MEPs say. (Source: Breaking News - Ireland)

Romania
(Monday), April 27, 2026 1:27 pm CET  Leaders of the PSD - formerly a member of the governing coalition - and the 'far-right' opposition Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), which is leading in the polls, said at a joint press conference today that they would submit a motion of censure together. Together they have only 219 seats in parliament, 14 votes short of the majority needed to topple the prime minister. Bolojan, head of the center-right National Liberal Party (PNL), is currently leading a minority coalition government after the PSD decided to join the opposition last week. Romania was plunged into political crisis in 2024 after a presidential election was controversially annulled due to suspected foreign interference. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

23 April 2026  Seven ministers from Romania’s Social Democratic Party (PSD) stepped down after the party withdrew its political support for Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, triggering a cabinet shake-up. National media reported that efforts could now begin to form a minority government, while noting that the country is facing a new wave of political crisis. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

23 April 2026  Political crisis. Tensions between Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan and the Social Democratic Party (PSD) escalate into an open confrontation. PSD withdraws support after internal vote with 97.7% backing move. Prime Minister Bolojan’s government is at risk of losing majority. Multiple scenarios emerge, including minority rule, government collapse or leadership change as talks intensify. PSD, the largest force in parliament, has increasingly criticized the government’s economic policies and leadership style. Bolojan has refused to step down. President Dan is saying consultations among political parties would follow PSD’s decision and could involve multiple rounds of talks. He stressed that all options remain open, except for including the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians in government. Bolojan was appointed prime minister in June 2025. Backed by the National Liberal Party (PNL) and endorsed by President Dan, he was tasked with forming a broad-based government maintaining Romania’s 'pro-European direction'. It brought together the Social Democrats, the Liberals, the reformist Save Romania Union, and the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania. The coalition agreement included a rotating premiership: the Liberals would hold the post until April 2027, after which the Social Democrats would take over. Bolojan’s government has prioritized fiscal discipline and structural reforms, as Romania grapples with budgetary pressures and strict commitments tied to European Union funding. Cutting the deficit, curbing spending, and meeting EU milestones have formed the backbone of the government’s agenda, policies increasingly difficult to sustain politically at home. PSD has gradually shifted its tone, criticizing the very economic measures it helped endorse. Inflation remained elevated at 9.9% in March 2026. The party repositioned itself as a critic of austerity, arguing that the government’s policies were placing excessive pressure on households. Bolojan argued that coalition partners were trying to evade responsibility through political manoeuvres. The PNL has reaffirmed its support for Bolojan, while the Save Romania Union has said it would continue supporting the prime minister on an interim basis. The Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania has ruled out supporting a motion of censure but stressed that no stable government can be formed without the PSD. If the Social Democratic Party withdraws its ministers, Bolojan could remain in office and attempt to govern with a minority Cabinet. He would have a limited window, up to 45 days, to seek a new vote of confidence in parliament. During that period, the government’s ability to pass major legislation would be significantly constrained. A more decisive outcome would be the collapse of the government through a no-confidence vote. If the PSD aligns with opposition forces, including the Alliance for the Union of Romanians, the parliamentary arithmetic could quickly shift against Bolojan. Such a move would trigger negotiations for a new government, but not necessarily a quick resolution. In a coalition reset without a full collapse, the ruling alliance could survive by replacing the prime minister with another figure from the National Liberal Party who is more acceptable to the Social Democrats. This would allow the coalition to maintain its parliamentary majority. Such a compromise would reinforce the perception that leadership is negotiable and that internal pressure can override agreed power-sharing arrangements. A more gradual scenario: a period of prolonged instability, where the government stays but the political blame game and deadlocks continue. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

European Commission
April 29, 2026 11:08 am CET  Iran war costs EU €500M a day, der Leyen warns. The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz has driven up global energy prices. She said the Commission will present an Electrification Action Plan by the summer. She also urged 'closer coordination' on diesel and jet fuel reserves, oil stock releases and output from refineries. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

27 April 2026 6:15 pm  'Europe' has paid an extra $32 billion for oil and gas imports since the U.S.-Israel war against Iran began, European Commission chief der Leyen said, speaking at a news conference in Berlin. 'In 2022, Putin cut off our gas supply', and now it’s the Strait of Hormuz, she told. She 'urges' faster clean energy transition, nuclear innovation, and opposes premature sanctions relief for Iran. (Source: Outlook - India)

European Parliament
28/04/2026 - 19:03 GMT+2  'European Parliament demands €200 billion extra for EU budget in hardball talks calling for a 10% increase and pushing for EU-level taxes'. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Bosnia and Herzegovina
April 26, 2026  The Party of Democratic Action strongly condemns the holding of a meeting in Zagreb at which, under the guise of a discussion on the position of Croats in Bosnia and Herzegovina, the ideas of ethno-territorial divisions are once again being promoted and new maps of Bosnia and Herzegovina are being drawn. The Republic of Croatia, as a member of the European Union and NATO, has a special responsibility to respect the sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina. (Source: Sarajevo Times - Bosnia and Herzegovina)

Moldova
28 April 2026 11:11 (UTC +04:00)  Moldova’s 'integration' into Romania could allow Chisinau to join the European Union more quickly, said Moldova’s President Sandu in an interview with Le Monde. Sandu holds Romanian citizenship. She emphasized that such a decision must be accepted by the majority of citizens. Sandu did not rule out the possibility of Moldova joining the bloc without the unrecognized Transnistrian Republic. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

Europe
23 April 2026  There will be no European Union nuclear deterrent. Contrary to the headline-inducing claims of their leaders, most European Union member states are not actually rearming (sans the Baltics, Poland, and a few others). But they are aware that Russia remains eager to restore its control over its near-abroad. This caused Western European leaders – who are aware that Russia does not really threaten their own states – to pursue an all-out attempt in order to keep the Trump administration involved in NATO, the cheapest way to keep the EU defended without them having to actually spend significantly more money. Multiple member states refused American access to their bases or overflight rights during the Iran War. Lists are reportedly being drawn up of countries which need to face consequences. This week, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk spoke with French President Macron about the possibility of joint Polish-French nuclear exercises. These efforts are going to go nowhere in the short- to mid-term. America has a nuclear triad, meaning it utilises three nuclear delivery systems: Land-based silos, submarines, and aircraft. The United Kingdom only has submarines, and those four linked to only one base, located in Scotland. Each of them have a secret letter from the prime minister with instructions on what do if they cannot reach London during a conflict. What would those letters say if the UK became responsible for Europe’s defence? Currently, one of the options is to turn over command to Washington. If Scotland ever successfully leaves for the European Union, London would have to scramble in order to find a new base. Three EU member states – Ireland, Austria, and Malta – have already signed the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons and would arguably require them to do everything possible to block the use of nuclear weapons. France would likely love to expand its influence into Eastern Europe, seeking to replace the United States as the protector of the continent. But France’s nuclear deterrent still possesses no land missiles and they ’only’ possess roughly 300 missiles – far fewer than Russia and even China. France, Paris – which already has incredible influence in Brussels – would see that influence heightened further, likely surpassing Berlin’s. Who would give the order? The European Commissioner of Defence and Space does not even have a say over the European Union’s defence forces; that instead goes to High Representative Kallas. ’Warsaw would be foolish if it has not already quietly begun looking into what it would take to speedily develop a nuclear weapon’. This would be far more effective than relying on a weak British/French deterrent – or a nonexistent Brussels-based one. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)

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2026. IV. 22 - V. 8. Panama, United States

2026.04.23. 01:11 Eleve

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Central America

Panama
April 24, 2026  Panama's government is maximising what it can earn from the Panama Canal. The average price to cross through the canal ranges between $300,000 and $400,000 depending on the vessel. Previously, to get an earlier crossing, businesses would pay an additional $250,000 to $300,000. In recent weeks, the average additional cost has jumped to around $425,000. Vásquez, the canal’s administrator, said another company that he would not name paid an extra $4 million when its fuel vessel had to change its destination because of ongoing geopolitical tensions. Other oil companies paid an excess of $3 million in addition to the crossing fee to accelerate their passage in the face of soaring oil prices. The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil briefly jumped above $107 this week, soaring from around $66 a barrel a year ago. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

North America

United States
08/05/2026 - 20:25  US President Trump today announced a three-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, starting on May 9. Aside from a pause in the fighting, the two warring sides will also engage in a prisoner swap, with 1,000 prisoners from each country. (Source: France 24)

5:57 p.m. on Wednesday, May 6, 2026  The Trump administration today unveiled a national counterterrorism strategy calling for more aggressive steps to crack down on left-wing violence, including antifa and the savage attacks prompted by radical gender ideology. “Our counterterrorism activities will also prioritize the rapid identification of violent secular political groups whose ideology is anti-American, radically pro-transgender and anarchist, President Trump wrote in the 16-page document outlining the strategy. “We will use all the tools constitutionally available to us to map them at home, identify their membership, map their ties to international organizations like antifa and use law enforcement to cripple them operationally before they can maim or kill the innocent, he wrote. Gorka, the Trump administration’s senior director for counterterrorism, told reporters that America is witnessing a disturbing resurgence of violent left-wing ideology. In 2015, left-wing terror attacks and plots accounted for roughly 2% of all terror attacks and plots. That number soared to 42% by 2025, a record high. Over the past decade, right-wing extremists carried out 152 attacks in the U.S., killing 112 people, compared with 35 attacks and 13 deaths attributed to left-wing extremists. Islamic Jihadist attacks accounted for 82 deaths over the same period. Mr. Gorka linked left-wing violence to radical gender ideology, ticking off a series of recent murders that authorities have linked to gender dysphoria. Among the cases he cited were Hale, a transgender man who killed three nine-year old children and three adults at a Nashville Christian school in 2023; Westman, a transgender male who killed two children and injured 28 others at a Minneapolis Catholic church last year; and Robinson, the alleged Kirk assassin who opposed Kirk’s views on gender identity. He emphasized that right-wing groups would not be immune from the full force of the federal government should they engage in violence. The State Department designated four left-wing groups in Europe - two in Greece, one in Germany and another in Italy - as terrorist organizations. (Source: The Washington Times - U.S.)

Wed, May 6, 2026 at 7:14 PM GMT+2  Oil prices plunged on reports that Iran and the US are nearing an agreement to end the war. Data highlighted by commentators online showed a well-timed oil short made just ahead of the report. Ex-JPMorgan quant, Kolanovic, said it showed blatantly manipulated markets. Data flagged by the The Kobeissi Letter - its analysis in a today morning post - shows that nearly $1 billion of crude oil shorts were opened roughly an hour before an Axios report that the US and Iran were nearing a deal to end the war. At 3:40 AM ET today, nearly 10,000 contracts worth of crude oil shorts were taken without any major news, an unusually large trade for 3:40 AM ET. At 4:50 AM ET, just 70 minutes later, Axios reported that the US is ’close’ to a memorandum of understanding to end the Iran War. By 7:00 AM ET, oil prices had fallen over -12% with these crude oil shorts gaining approximately +$125 million. Brent oil was down as much as 11.9%, while WTI oil dropped more than 13%. Around 10:20 a.m. Brent and WTI were down roughly 7% at $101.93 and $95.06, respectively. The trades highlighted by market watchers online are the latest example of well-timed bets tied to developments in the war. A $950 million oil trade on April 7 and a $760 million bet a week later were put on just minutes before breaking news that moved the price of crude. Rezaei, Iranian spokesperson for the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, said that the Axios report represents "Americans' wish list," not the reality of negotiations. (Source: AOL / Business Insider = U.S.)

May 6, 2026 5:24 AM  The White House believes it is getting close to an agreement with Iran on a one-page memorandum of understanding to end the war and set a framework for more detailed nuclear negotiations, Axios reported today. Among other provisions, the deal would involve Iran committing to a moratorium on nuclear enrichment, the U.S. agreeing to lift its sanctions and release billions in frozen Iranian funds, and both sides lifting restrictions around transit through the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. expects Iranian responses on several key points in the next 48 hours. (Source: Miami Herald - U.S. / Reuters - United Kingdom)

May 5, 2026 Why Trump doesn’t want European Strategic Autonomy? Instead of issuing empty threats while clinging to hegemonic ambitions, the United States should engage constructively with Europe, encourage Europe’s strategic autonomy, and - most importantly - take concrete measures to retrench from the region. (Source: The National Interest - U.S.)

May 4, 2026 5:13 p.m  Canceled missile deployments and dwindling weapons stockpiles are quietly eroding the foundations of NATO deterrence. (Source: The Council on Foreign Relations - U.S.)
Map: U.S. bases located in Europe 

May 2, 2026 / 3:50 PM  In response to questions about the Pentagon's request for a nearly 50% increase in its budget, after two months of an intense campaign in Iran, U.S. warns European allies - including the United Kingdom, Poland, Norway and Estonia - of ammunition for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, or HIMARS weapons delivery delays. Among the weapons systems that could be affected are the NASAMS missile systems, shortages of which were reported in Estonia and Norway in April. The delays may also spread to deliveries to Asian allies. Japan and South Korea are reportedly bracing for delays, including Patriot missile interceptors and Tomahawk cruise missiles. U.S. munitions stockpiles are reportedly lower than military leaders would like. (Source: UPI - U.S.)

2026/05/01 8:33 PM  The U.S. Department of 'Defense' (the Pentagon) said today it has signed agreements with seven leading technology firms, giving the U.S. military access to their artificial intelligence software for classified operations, including mission planning and weapons‑targeting tasks. Reuters quoted the Pentagon as saying the companies involved are SpaceX (parent of AI lab xAI), OpenAI, Google, Nvidia, Reflection, Microsoft, and Amazon Web Services (AWS), Amazon’s cloud‑computing unit. The deals do not include AI firm Anthropic, which is locked in a dispute with the Pentagon over how the military is allowed to use its AI tools. The Pentagon said the deals will accelerate the transformation of the U.S. armed forces into an AI‑centric fighting force and strengthen soldiers’ ability to maintain decision‑making superiority across all domains of warfare. (Source: SANA - Syria)

Friday, May 1, 2026  Secretary of Defense Hegseth today ordered the withdrawal of about 5,000 U.S. troops from Germany, days after the German chancellor criticized U.S. strategy in the war in Iran. The move follows Wednesday’s announcement from President Trump on Truth Social that the White House would be studying and reviewing a possible reduction in U.S. troop strength over the next short period of time. A standard infantry brigade has about 3,000 to 5,000 personnel. Pentagon officials said the troop pullout should be completed within six months to a year. There are about 35,000 U.S. active duty military personnel based in Germany, the largest U.S. troop presence in Europe. Major hubs for American service members include Ramstein Air Base and the Grafenwoehr Training Area. President Trump’s latest comments came after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s criticism of U.S. strategy in its conflict with Iran. “The Americans clearly have no strategy, and the problem with conflicts like this is always that you don’t just have to go in; you also have to get out again,” Mr. Merz said Tuesday. Mr. Trump responded on social media, “The Chancellor of Germany should spend more time on ending the war with Russia/Ukraine (where he has been totally ineffective!) and fixing his broke country, especially immigration and energy, and less time on interfering with those that are getting rid of the Iran nuclear threat, thereby making the world, including Germany, a safer place.” (Source: The Washington Times - U.S.)

(30.4.2026)  The war on Iran has cost Washington at least $25 billion so far, according to a senior Pentagon official. Once the cost of rebuilding damaged bases and replacing lost equipment is factored in, some estimates suggest the true bill could rise to between $40 and $50 billion. (Source: TRT - Turkey)

(30 April 2026)  Washington views insufficient support from Berlin in the war with Iran. Germany, along with Spain, Italy, and the United Kingdom, has come under fire from Trump for its stance on the U.S. war with Iran and for failing to assist in reopening the Strait of Hormuz. It was to be expected that the United States would impose some form of “penalty” on its NATO allies. One such measure could be a reduction of the American military presence in these countries. On Monday, Merz stated that the U.S. conflict with Iran is unlikely to end quickly. He noted that the Iranians are stronger than expected, while accusing the Americans of lacking a convincing negotiation strategy. The following day, the U.S. president responded to the chancellor, on Truth Social: “The Chancellor of Germany, Friedrich Merz, thinks it’s OK for Iran to have a Nuclear Weapon. He doesn’t know what he’s talking about! If Iran had a Nuclear Weapon, the whole world would be held hostage. I am doing something with Iran, right now, that other Nations, or Presidents, should have done long ago. No wonder Germany is doing so poorly, both economically and otherwise!” President Trump announced that the United States is considering reducing the number of troops stationed in Germany. Back in 2020, Trump had already announced plans to withdraw 9,500 of American troops, accusing Berlin of failing to meet its NATO commitments. The reduction did not take place. (Source: Defence 24 – Poland)

28 April 2026 09:21 (UTC +04:00)  US Secretary of State Rubio said that Iran still has half of its pre-war missile stockpile. 'Now they have half the missiles, none of the factories, and no navy,' Rubio told Fox News. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

(26 April 2026)  How gunfire sparked chaos at Trump press dinner. Source: BBC - United Kingdom)
video

(24 April 2026)  Trump shared a four-page transcript of remarks made by podcaster Savage on America's birthright citizenship where he accused people from India and China of abusing the privilege. "A baby here becomes an instant citizen, and then they bring the entire family in from China or India or some other hellhole on the planet," the transcript documents Savage as saying. India's foreign ministry reacted to the remarks without naming Trump or Savage but said they were uninformed, inappropriate and in poor taste. I used to be a great supporter of Indians in India until I opened my eyes up to what's going on here. White men need not apply to jobs in the state of California. Nevermind in high tech. I don't care what your qualifications are. You're not getting a job at High Tech in California,' Savage said without offering evidence to support these allegations. He goes on to say that white people don't stand a chance to get these jobs because almost all the internal mechanisms are set up to run by Indians and Chinese. Savage said his remarks were sparked by arguments made in the US Supreme Court, which is hearing a challenge to Trump's executive order that aims to end birthright citizenship for children born in the US to undocumented immigrants and some temporary visitors. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

Apr 22 2026 2:14 PM EDT  Secretary of the treasury Bessent says ‘many’ U.S. allies have asked for currency swaps amid Iran war turbulence. A swap line would help buoy nations like the United Arab Emirates with liquidity in the U.S. dollar as Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz sinks Gulf oil revenues. (Source: CNBC - U.S.)

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2026. IV. 16 - 22. Bulgaria, European Commission, European Parliament, European Union, Germany, Hungary, Poland, Russia, Ukraine

2026.04.17. 23:24 Eleve

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Hungary
Apr 17, 2026  Europe is now finally supporting a model of migration control that prioritizes enforcement, deterrence, and externalization. In fact, the European Union is now belatedly moving in the direction Orbán charted years ago. The clearest proof came in late March, when the European Parliament adopted sweeping new migration measures that would have been unthinkable a decade ago. In a decisive vote of 389–206, lawmakers approved legislation enabling EU member states to deport rejected asylum seekers to offshore return hubs outside the Union. Under the new framework, individual countries - or coalitions of countries - can strike bilateral deals with third nations to host detention and processing centers for migrants who have no legal right to remain in Europe. These facilities are explicitly designed to accelerate deportations, reduce the burden on domestic asylum systems, and deter illegal migration flows. The legislation also expands detention authority - allowing migrants deemed a flight risk or security concern to be held for up to two years - while introducing tougher penalties for those who refuse deportation and potentially long-term or even lifetime bans on reentry into the EU. In short, Europe is now finally supporting a model of migration control that prioritizes enforcement, deterrence, and externalization - the very pillars of Orbán’s approach since the 2015 migration crisis when he stood up to then-German Chancellor Angel Merkel’s catastrophic open border policies which allowed more than a million migrants to press into central Europe. Equally significant was how the legislation passed. The vote was carried by a coalition of center-right and right-wing parties - including the European People’s Party, European Conservatives and Reformists, and Orbán’s own Patriots for Europe - that joined forces despite years of political taboo enforced by the Left. This alliance represents yet another breach of the so-called cordon sanitaire, the long-standing effort by Brussels elites to isolate right-leaning and nationalist parties from governing coalitions. That barrier is now thankfully crumbling. On migration - the most politically salient issue in Europe - the 'center-right' is no longer able to exclude parties that reflect the concerns of millions of voters. The result is a new governing reality in Brussels, one where sovereignty-minded parties are shaping policy rather than being sidelined. And that is Orbán’s real legacy. For years, he argued that Europe must defend its external borders, reject compulsory migrant quotas, and retain national control over who enters its territory. He built fences when others issued statements. He resisted EU migration pacts when others signed on. And he insisted that mass migration posed not just administrative challenges, but fundamental questions about sovereignty, identity, and democratic accountability. At the time, these positions were widely dismissed as extreme. Today, they are increasingly accepted - even by governments that once condemned them. Across Europe, countries are tightening border controls, expanding deportation mechanisms, and exploring offshore processing arrangements strikingly similar to those pioneered or championed by Hungary. What was once labeled “illiberal” is now widely regarded as necessary. It happened because Orbán forced the debate. By refusing to conform to Brussels orthodoxy, he exposed the failures of Europe’s migration system and demonstrated that alternative policies were not only possible - but politically popular. Over time, reality caught up with rhetoric. Now comes the test for Hungary’s new leadership. Magyar may have won an election, but he inherits a country where Orbán’s migration policies remain deeply popular. Hungarians have consistently supported strict border enforcement and opposition to EU-imposed migration schemes. Any attempt to reverse those policies, by agreeing to accept migrants from other EU countries, would not only defy public opinion - it would risk political self-destruction. Peter M. would be wise to recognize that. Because while he may seek to reposition Hungary within the European mainstream, the European mainstream itself has moved toward Orbán. Undoing Hungary’s migration framework would not align the country with Europe’s future - it would place it out of step with it. And Hungarian voters are unlikely to reward that. The broader lesson is unmistakable. Orbán’s critics focused on his style. But history will remember his substance. He understood earlier than most that uncontrolled migration would become Europe’s defining political issue. He recognized that national governments - not distant institutions - would ultimately be held accountable. And he acted accordingly. Now Europe is following his lead. Orbán may have lost power. But he won the argument - and in politics, that is the victory that lasts. (Source: The Heritage Foundation - U.S.)
by McCarthy, a Senior Research Fellow for European Affairs in The Heritage Foundation’s Margaret Thatcher Center for Freedom.

(Thursday), 16 April 2026  Populism without sovereignty is mere words. Magyar offers Hungary's sovereignty to Brussels. That the European elite were desperate to see the back of Orbán it was their publicly announced policy. The European elite’s eagerness to welcome Hungary back into the fold was well predicted by every analyst. At 9.29 pm on Sunday, just moments after Viktor Orbán took to the stage to concede the Hungarian election, European Commission President der Leyen announced on X that ’Europe’s heart is beating stronger in Hungary tonight.’ Before 10 pm, Macron announced he had already spoken with the winner, Peter M. P. M.’s victory was far from ’a rejection of national conservatism and a rebuff of the global far-right movement’. P.M. had not transformed conservative Hungary overnight into the political milieu of a progressive city like Amsterdam. P.M. promised no social revolution. P.M., the former Fidesz insider, had campaigned on a kind of Orbánism without Orbán, promising to preserve the key plank’s of Orbán’s political legacy, including a rejection of Ukraine’s EU accession. P.M. had even criticised Orbán for allowing too many migrants into Hungary. Tusk similarly made criticisms of Law and Justice for an overly-permissive approach to migration. Orbán’s greatest legacy was the establishment of ideological hegemony over the fundamental questions of migration, identity and energy security. Although Orbán never described himself as such, even that much-maligned descriptor of Orbán – populist – is not about to be retired. P.M. was quick to assume its mantel. But then why were der Leyen and Macron – indeed, the entire globalist class from Obama and Soros – so eager to celebrate P.M.’s victory as a historic moment? In his speech the day after the election, he claimed to be a populist, though of the good kind. Populism is nothing without sovereignty. Right-wing opinions on migration are meaningless without the national independence to see them through. For all of P.M.’s appealing noises about conservative priorities, his overriding political significance is his desire for reconciliation with Brussels. This has been the subject of the first announcements since his victory. P.M will work tirelessly to see the billions of Euros suspended by the EU sent swiftly to Hungary. The price of this sorely needed cash is submission to Brussels, to the ’27 conditions’ that the EU has been trying to impose on Hungary in exchange for the blocked funds. Tusk, without lifting a finger to reform Poland’s ’corrupt’ institutions, was immediately rewarded for his victory by Brussels with cash. He even managed to secure a so-called opt-out from the EU’s Migration Pact – just as Magyar promises. The opt-out was however not as it seemed – merely a temporary derogation from refugee quotas justified by Poland’s support for millions of Ukrainian war-refugees. More importantly, it was not an assertion of national sovereignty, but a blessing bestowed by Brussels. Sovereign is he who decides on the exception. P.M.’s agenda: The granting of sovereign power to the European Public Prosecutor, the promise to abide by ’fundamental values’ (read: EU rulings and policies on LGBT), and the lifting of the veto on EU sanctions and energy policy. Der Leyen even smells a bigger prize: The abolition of the unanimity requirement in the European Council. She moved fast, waited less than a day after Orbán’s defeat to call for the EU to get more power over national governments to force through foreign policy decisions. Brussels may be prepared to strategically relax its most maximal demands, but only if it senses that it is working with someone who is ’one of us’. The quid pro quo eventually comes due, as is clear in the case of SAFE in Poland – Tusk is desperately attempting to ram through a funding agreement which would seriously curtail Poland’s ability to choose its own defence partners and leave it dangerously reliant on Germany. The fundamental question is about the substance of populism, not its outward manifestations. Without the fundamentals of sovereignty, there is no national policymaking; subject to international institutions, politics becomes reduced to merely having opinions. Through repeated experience of the reality of EU policymaking, Orbán was drawn to the truth of this lesson. His increasingly combative relationship with the EU elite was the product of an understanding of the reality of power and just how precarious a democracy can be in the midst of the European Union’s relentless desire to draw all sovereignty to itself. Real populism is inseparable from the commitment to maintain national independence – to which the EU is by far the biggest threat in Europe. There might be good reasons to be mistrustful of the patchy record of contemporary populists. In replacing a commitment to national sovereignty with a few choice words about border security, it is these faux-populists who are, by definition, the ones really shilling slop. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
by Reynolds, the head of policy for MCC Brussels

Bulgaria
20 April 2026  European leaders congratulate Bulgaria’s Radev on election victory. EU, NATO leaders welcome Progressive Bulgaria win, pledge continued cooperation. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Germany
22/04/2026 - 21:14 GMT+2  German defence minister Pistorius unveiled for the first time a military strategy for the Bundeswehr and Germany as a whole on Wednesday. The German government has examined how threats may evolve, which scenarios are plausible, and which potential conflicts Germany needs to prepare for. Pistorius said the strategy had been driven primarily by Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine and the developments on the battlefield and in the defence industry. The international order is challenged more than at any time in recent memory, Pistorius warned. Germany is now formally articulating national military objectives, priorities and room for manoeuvre, ’which it can then bring into NATO and Europe’, German security expert Dr Mölling wrote in a post on LinkedIn. A fundamental rethink: In future, the German army will focus less on fixed force numbers and more on specific capabilities. What matters is what the forces can actually do, Pistorius said. This approach was echoed by the Armed Forces' inspector general Breuer. ’We are now looking at the impact we can achieve,’ he said. Capabilities will no longer need to be tied to a single system – the outcome is what counts. Priority areas include air defence, long-range strike capabilities - to hit targets far behind the front line - and the ability to wage modern, data-driven warfare. Long-range precision weapons designed to take out enemy supply routes, command centres and critical infrastructure at an early stage will become increasingly important. This approach is seen as crucial to weakening enemy structures early and easing pressure on one’s own forces. Germany aims to significantly expand its ability to strike such targets with precision – and at greater distances. At present, the Bundeswehr has only limited capability in this area. Its main system is the Taurus cruise missile, a German-Swedish weapon with a range of more than 500km, placing it at the lower end of the deep strike spectrum. The planned procurement of the JASSM-ER cruise missile with a range of around 1,000km, for the new F-35 fighter jet, it would extend the Bundeswehr’s reach well beyond current systems. New technologies such as artificial intelligence are also set to play a much greater role. Both the aircraft and the missile are produced by US defence giant Lockheed Martin. Parts of the strategy remain secret, according to Pistorius. Concrete scenarios and potential deployment plans will not be made public. The German government is planning a significant expansion of the Bundeswehr. Germany currently has around 184,300 active soldiers and roughly 860,000 reservists. The immediate goal is to boost operational readiness rapidly by 2029. The aim is to reach a total strength of 460,000 personnel, combining active troops and reserves. To ensure enough personnel, 'more applicants will be accepted than there are posts available'. In the years that follow, new capabilities are to be developed – also in anticipation of incoming weapons systems. Expanding personnel is central to the entire strategy. Reservists are set to play a much larger role, as an integral part of the armed forces. ’In a crisis, Germany is expected to serve as a logistical hub for Europe’, with troop movements, supply lines and critical infrastructure needing protection, tasks that would largely fall to reservists. Organisationally, the defence ministry aims to cut bureaucracy and streamline processes as part of a broader reform push. Plans include digital workflows to replace paper-based systems, fewer reporting requirements, and greater use of technologies such as artificial intelligence. These strategies are living documents, the defence minister said, and will be regularly updated as threats and technologies evolve. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Poland
20 April 2026  Presidential spokesman Urbanek said Tusk’s office pushed for Macron’s trip to take place in Gdansk rather than Warsaw, effectively making a meeting with Nawrocki impossible. Talks in Gdansk are expected to focus on French proposals for a 'European' nuclear deterrent, military cooperation and possible French involvement in Poland’s second nuclear power plant. The Polish president traditionally represents the country alongside the government in foreign affairs, particularly on defense issues. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

European Commission
April 22, 2026 6:44 pm CE  Der Leyen last weekend
seemed to suggest Ankara posed a geostrategic threat to the EU while addressing an audience in Germany. 'We must succeed in completing the European continent so that it does not fall under Russian, Turkish or Chinese influence, she said at an event hosted by German newspaper Die Zeit. 'We must think bigger and more geopolitically. Her remarks generated headlines in Turkey, a longtime EU candidate country and key NATO ally. Former EC President Michel today took to X to slam der Leyen for her comments. He described Turkey as “a core #NATO ally, a key migration partner, an energy corridor, a major defense actor on Europe’s flank, and a serious regional power.” “Europe doesn’t get stronger by applying double standards or simplifying reality,” he added. Michel resurfaced this week to accuse der Leyen of having an authoritarian style in an interview with the Brussels Times. “Dear Charles, since you are talking about double standards, let me remind you that Turkey invaded Cyprus in 1974, and still occupies European territory,” Cypriot President Christodoulides wrote on X ahead of an informal summit of EU leaders in the Cypriot capital April 23-24. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

21/04/2026 - 17:34 GMT+2  The head of the International Energy Agency, Birol, warned that jet fuel in Europe is in short supply, a claim backed by several European airlines that have warned it could lead to flight cancellations. The warning has so far been downplayed by the European Commission, which argues that flight cancellations have nothing to do with shortages but rather with the airlines' own lack of profitability. European transport ministers are exploring options to import jet fuel from alternative supplies such as the United States amid potential shortages across the continent. EU refineries account for roughly 70% of the bloc's jet fuel, with the remainder usually imported from the Middle East. 'Ministers also addressed measures' to avoid queues at fuel stations by encouraging people to use public transport and electric bikes and vehicles. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

European Parliament
17 April 2026  A cross-party group of four Dutch MEPs has written to European Parliament President Metsola, calling for an immediate temporary end to the monthly relocation of plenary sessions from Brussels to Strasbourg. The MEPs state that if the European Union is urging countries and citizens to save energy immediately, including through discussions in Brussels about measures such as car-free Sundays, then the EP itself must take concrete action. Estimates of the annual cost vary, but a 2014 study of the European Court of Auditors put the amount north of €114 million at the time, involving lorries, high-speed trains, flights and significant staff time. Previous attempts to end the arrangement have failed due to opposition, particularly from France, which views the Strasbourg seat as symbolically important. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)

European Union
(21 April 2026)  Diesel prices in the EU rose by 19.8% in March 2026 compared with March 2025, while petrol prices rose by 9.4% over the same period. On a month-on-month basis, compared with February 2026, diesel prices increased by 19.1% and petrol prices increased by 10.6%. In terms of the countries that saw the biggest increase in fuel prices, Germany led the way at 19.8%, followed by Romania (+19.6%), the Netherlands (+18.8%), Latvia (+18.5%), and Austria (+17.2%). Two countries recorded annual decreases, Hungary (-2.7%) and Slovenia (-5.9%). (Source: Europe-Data - Ireland)

Russia
16/04/2026 - 21:14 GMT+2  The Russian Defence Ministry says that in late March, the leadership of a number of EU countries decided to increase the production and supply of drones to Ukraine for use in strikes on Russian territory and to expand the financing of enterprises located in European countries for the production of attack drones and their components. 'We regard this decision as a deliberate step leading to a sharp escalation of the military and political situation on the entire European continent and the creeping transformation of these countries into Ukraine's strategic rear,' the Russian ministry said in a statement. The published list includes 11 branches of alleged Ukrainian companies producing drones and components, among them locations in the United Kingdom, Denmark, Germany and Latvia. Among the foreign enterprises allegedly producing UAVs and components for Ukraine, the coordinates of 10 companies in Germany, Spain and Italy have been listed. Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council and former President Medvedev said that the information should be perceived as a list of potential targets for the Russian Armed Forces. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

2026-04-16 17:17  A Haifa-based firm was identified as supplying critical communication modules for drones, according to Russia, which claims such components enable remote control systems used by Ukraine’s unmanned aircraft. Russia threatens to strike Israel-based drone production firm. (Source: Iustitia - Bulgaria)

16 April 2026 18:57 (UTC +04:00)  'Recently, an increase has been observed in the number of Ukrainian drone strikes on Russia via Finland and the Baltic states. As a result, civilians are suffering and civilian infrastructure is being seriously damaged,' said Secretary of the Russian Security Council Shoigu. He stated that either Western air defense systems are 'quite ineffective,' or the aforementioned countries are deliberately allowing their airspace to be used by Ukraine for drone operations. 'In other words, they are open participants in aggression against Russia. In the latter case, according to international law, in the event of an armed attack, Article 51 of the UN Charter on the right of self-defense comes into force,' Shoigu noted. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

Ukraine
4/21/2026  Billionaire Akhmetov, Ukraine’s richest man, bought a vast, five-floor luxury apartment in Monaco’s most prestigious new development for an eye-popping €471 million ($554 million). Monaco has long been the priciest real-estate market in the world because of its small size and tax haven status. The tycoon has a net worth of more than $7 billion, rooted in SCM, Ukraine’s largest industrial conglomerate with investments in metallurgy, mining and energy, in addition to property. The reported price would make it the biggest known home sale in history. (Source: MSN - U.S.)

6 5 9  23:27 / 6 5 7

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2026. IV. 16 - V. 9. Space

2026.04.17. 00:15 Eleve

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Space

12:01 AM CEST, May 9, 2026  Aldrin observing a fairly bright light source while aboard the Apollo 11; A mysterious object making multiple 90-degree turns at a speedy clip; A blaringly bright object doing corkscrew twists over the skies in Kazakhstan - yesterday, the Pentagon has begun releasing a new batch of files on UFOs, saying members of the public can draw their own conclusions on unidentified anomalous phenomena. ’Whereas previous Administrations have failed to be transparent on this subject, with these new Documents and Videos, the people can decide for themselves, ‘WHAT THE HELL IS GOING ON?’ Have Fun and Enjoy!” Trump wrote yesteray in a Truth Social post. The files include old State Department cables, FBI documents and transcripts from NASA of crewed flights into space. The files reflect cases that the government deems unresolved, meaning that for a variety of reasons they couldn’t be explained with certainty. Experts urge caution around the release of the new files, warning that UAP videos are often misinterpreted and mischaracterized by those unfamiliar with military technology. The initial release - a trove of videos, other imagery and testimony - is sure to stir more speculation among those who believe we are not alone in the universe. A 1948 report from U.S. airmen in the Netherlands raised concerns about recurring flying saucer sightings. Swedish counterparts saw them, too, and believed they did not come from any presently known culture on earth. In a 1969 debriefing of Apollo 11 crew members, the astronaut Aldrin recalled spotting several unusual sights, such as a sizeable object close to the moon and a fairly bright light source that the crew felt could be a laser. Another file is a NASA photograph from the Apollo 17 mission in 1972, showing three dots in a triangular formation. The Pentagon says that a new, preliminary analysis indicated that it could be a physical object. A State Department cable from the U.S. Embassy in Tajikistan in 1994 details how one Tajik pilot and three Americans saw a brightly lit UAP while flying a jet over Kazakhstan. The object, according to the cable, was making 90 degree turns, doing corkscrews and maneuvering in circles at great rates of speed. Several files include military videos from the past several years that showed small ambiguous dots moving above the landscapes of Iraq, Syria and the United Arab Emirates. The objects range from fast-moving specks captured in the distance to a football-shaped object spotted over the East China Sea in 2022. A military report from the Aegean Sea in 2023 cited a UAP flying just above the surface of the ocean and making multiple 90-degree turns at an estimated 29 km/h. An FBI interview with someone identified as a drone pilot in September 2023, reported seeing a linear object with a light bright enough to see bands within the light in the sky. The object was visible for five to ten seconds and then the light went out and the object vanished. Other files include written reports from U.S. military service members who were surveilling locations in the Middle East. One report described an object that was shaped as a bouncy ball and traveling 777 km/h consistently for at least seven minutes over Syria in 2023. The object was later determined to be benign. A 2024 Pentagon report rebutted claims that the U.S. government has recovered alien technology or confirmed evidence of alien life. A U.S. intelligence official last year, doing a search on a helicopter, encountered a super-hot orb hovering over the ground, traveling about 32 kilometers at a speedy clip, then spotted four or five more orbs that flared up and down. The documents include more than 20 video files showing unidentified objects captured by military sensors in locations from Syria and Japan to North America. The most recent video is from Jan. 1 of this year and appears to show two circular lights flying against an inky black backdrop in North America. Congress created an office in 2022 to declassify material. Its 2024 debut report revealed hundreds of new UAP incidents but found no evidence that the U.S. government had ever confirmed a sighting of alien technology. A March letter from Rep. Luna, R-Fla., demanded 46 UAP videos identified by whistleblowers, which will be released later by the Pentagon. (Source: Associated Press - U.S.)

April 21, 2026  The frequency of fireballs in our planet’s skies seemed to grow in recent months. Where are all these Meteors coming from? NASA and other meteor experts can’t agree on what explains it. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

17:55 BST, 16 April 2026  Putin is planning a Pearl Harbor-style attack against satellites in space that could cause pandemonium across the world, General Whiting, the head of US Space Command, has warned. Whiting told the Times: 'They are thinking about placing in orbit a nuclear anti-satellite weapon that would hold at risk everyone's satellites in low Earth orbit, and that would be an outcome that we just couldn't tolerate.' He added: Russia continue to invest in counter-space weapons. 'From a Russian perspective, they look at the United States, they look at NATO and they see an overmatch there of conventional arms. 'And they believe that novel ways of trying to undermine the United States and NATO, such as by neutralising our space capabilities, helps them to level the battlefield.' He declined to comment on how the US came to its understanding of Russia's plane. If true, they would be a major violation of the Outer Space Treaty, which Russia is a signatory to. (Source: Daily Mail - United Kingdom)

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Címkék: video space russia japan nasa sweden nato earth meteor moon iraq kazakhstan tajikistan syria unitedkingdom unitedstates thenetherlands northamerica eastchinasea unitedarabemirates

2026. IV. 14 - 15. European Union, France, Russia, Slovenia, Spain, United Kingdom

2026.04.15. 14:09 Eleve

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Europe

France
April 14, 2026 10:43 pm CET  French police was barred from raiding Macron’s palace to investigate Panthéon contracts. Investigators are looking into allegations of favoritism and corruption regarding contracts linked with memorial ceremonies in Paris. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)

Slovenia
14 April 2026   I must say that we promised the people a referendum on the issue of leaving NATO, and we will hold this referendum, Slovenia’s newly appointed parliament speaker Stevanovic told the country’s public broadcaster RTVSLO. Stevanovic acknowledged that public support for exiting the EU is unlikely. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Spain
14 April 2026  Spain's government has approved plans to give legal status to 500,000 undocumented migrants. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

European Union
14 April 2026  The total number of people from Ukraine receiving temporary protection increased to 4.4 million at the end of February, Eurostat data showed on Tuesday. Germany hosted the highest number of beneficiaries with 1.27 million people, representing 28.8% of the EU total. Poland followed Germany with 966,595 people, or 22%, and Czechia with 399,630 individuals, accounting for 9.1% of the total. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Russia
18:52, Wed, Apr 15, 2026  Russia has warned ships and aircraft to avoid large areas of the Barents Sea off northern Norway, designating them as impact areas for Russian missiles ahead of a planned space launch. The zones - north of Varanger and northeast of Bear Island - will remain restricted until April 30, in an unusually long safety notice for the region. (Source: Express - United Kingdom)

United Kingdom
14/04/2026 - 20:29 GMT+2  United Kingdom approves takeover of Telegraph newspaper by German publishing giant Axel Springer. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

6 5 9 10:15 / 6 5 5

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2026. IV. 14 - 19. NATO, United States

2026.04.15. 12:33 Eleve

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North America

United States
20:48 ET, 19 Apr 2026  Trump yesterday reminded FII attendees that he believes he has stopped eight wars. And if they weren't already convinced, Trump said even Russian President Putin congratulated him on doing so. "You know, when I didn't get the Nobel Peace Prize. You gotta understand, I don't care. Norway has lost so credible. I stopped 8 wars," Trump claimed. The conflicts Trump counts among those he has solved are between Israel and Hamas, Israel and Iran, Egypt and Ethiopia, India and Pakistan, Serbia and Kosovo, Rwanda and Congo, Armenia and Azerbaijan, and Cambodia and Thailand. Trump, during his second term, has attacked Iraq, Iran, Nigeria, Somalia, Syria, Venezuela, Ecuador, Yemen and civilian boatmen in the Caribbean. His administration also claims to be at war with at least 24 cartels and criminal gangs, many of which it has not named, and has threatened military action against Greenland, Iceland, Mexico, Cuba and Colombia. (Source: The Mirror U.S.)

(Saturday), Apr 18, 2026 11:45 IST  On Thursday, Trump announced that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to a 10-day ceasefire. The US had been pushing for such a truce for several days while also working in parallel on a peace deal with Iran. Under the agreement, Israel retains the right to take military action, even during the ceasefire, in self-defence “at any time, against planned, imminent, or ongoing attacks.” At the same time, Israel committed not to carry out offensive military operations against Lebanese targets, including civilian, military and other state sites. The ceasefire remains politically sensitive for Netanyahu, whose government has stressed that it is not constrained from striking Hezbollah if required. However, Trump used markedly stronger language yesterday. “Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the USA. Enough is enough!!!” he wrote. In an interview with Axios, he reiterated his stance, saying, “Israel has to stop. They can't continue to blow buildings up. I am not gonna allow it.” The post stunned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his advisers, as it contradicted the text of the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon that the State Department published on Thursday. Trump’s statement suggested he was issuing an order that Israel had no choice but to obey. Netanyahu was personally alarmed when he learnt of the post. Israel sought clarification from the White House. (Source: India Today)

Apr 16, 2026 4:07 PM EDT  During his press conference Hegseth claims China is helping to arm Iran: “President Trump has a very strong and direct relationship with President Xi, and they’ve communicated on that, and China has assured us that that indeed is not going to happen,” Hegseth avowed. (Source: The War Zone - U.S.)

Apr 16, 2026 4:07 PM EDT  Select Committee on China Chairman Moolenaar sent a letter to Hegseth concerning the operations of Airbus Space 'due to its role in likely providing satellite imagery of U.S. military assets to MizarVision, a Chinese entity, days before the commencement of Operation Epic Fury,' according a committee press release. "While commercial satellite imagery may serve public interest purposes in some cases, unconstrained imagery provision exposing U.S. forces to heightened risk crosses a dangerous threshold,' Moolenaar wrote. “Near-real-time publication of precise, annotated imagery identifying the exact type, number, and location of specific high-value military assets at an active forward operating base - while those assets are actively engaged in combat operations - is targeting data for enemy forces.' (Source: The War Zone - U.S.)
by Altman, a Senior Staff Writer

(April 16, 2026)  US President Trump claims Iran is offering to give up nuclear weapons for 20 years and that war in the Middle East is close to ending. "We have a statement, a very powerful statement, that they will not have, beyond 20 years, that they will not have nuclear weapons," he tells. Trump tells reporters that Iran has agreed to hand over its store of enriched uranium. They've agreed ’to give us back the nuclear dust,’ Trump told. He also said Israel and Lebanon have agreed to a 10-day ceasefire and that the leaders of the two countries will meet next Tuesday for the first time in 34 years. The ceasefire will come into effect at midnight local time, 7am AEST, with Mr Trump saying he had tasked Vice President Vance and Secretary of State Rubio with ensuring a lasting peace between the two sides. Today, the US said it was widening its blockade on Iranian shipping to include what it called contraband, including weapons, weapons systems, ammunition, nuclear materials, crude and refined oil products as well as iron, steel and aluminium. Any vessel suspected of trying to reach Iranian territory would be subject to visit, board, search and seizure, the US Navy said in an advisory. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Caine warned that the US was prepared to use force on any vessel not complying with its orders. The US House of Representatives has backed Trump's military campaign against Iran, narrowly defeating a Democratic-led resolution aiming to stop the war until hostilities are authorised by Congress. The war powers resolution was defeated by 214 to 213 in the Republican-majority chamber, a day after a similar measure was blocked in the Senate. (Source: ABC – Australia)

NATO

April 14, 2026 7:00 pm ET  Europe is accelerating a NATO fallback plan in case Trump pulls out. The transition is already under way. A growing number of key NATO command posts are now held by Europeans, and many major exercises held recently or scheduled in the coming months will be led by European forces - notably in the Nordic region, where the alliance borders Russia. No amount of troop reshuffling can quickly replace the U.S. satellite, surveillance and missile-warning systems that form the backbone of NATO’s credibility. ’After Trump threatened to invade Greenland’, Merz and French President Macron then opened discussions replacing the U.S. nuclear umbrella over whether France’s nuclear deterrent could be extended to cover other European nations, including Germany. 'We want Greenland. They don’t want to give it to us and I said, ‘OK, bye bye,’” Trump said of his threat to leave NATO. Sikorski, the vice-premier of Poland, later posted a video of Trump’s statement to which he appended the comment 'Noted.' (Source: WSJ - U.S.)
by Pancevsky

6 5 7 02:36 / 6 5 5

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2026. IV. 14 - V. 9. China, Egypt, global, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, United Arab Emirates

2026.04.15. 02:23 Eleve

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Africa

Egypt
April 22, 2026 at 2:10 pm  Egypt condemns raising of Israeli flag at Al-Aqsa compound. In a statement, the Egyptian Foreign Ministry said it strongly condemns the storming of the blessed Al-Aqsa Mosque by settlers under the protection of Israeli police, and the raising of the Israeli occupation flag in its courtyards. Earlier yesterday, settlers raised the Israeli flag during a raid on the Al-Aqsa compound in occupied East Jerusalem, under police protection. (Source: Middle East Monitor - Location: London, United Kingdom; financed by State of Qatar)

Asia

China
Thursday, 07 May 2026  Two former Chinese defence ministers, Wei and Li, were sentenced to death by China's military court with a two-year reprieve over graft charges today. Wei served as Defence Minister from 2018 to 2023, and Li barely served a few months as his successor. Both Wei and Li headed the People's Liberation Army's all-important Rocket (Missile) Force, established in 2015. (Source: The Telegraph - India)

(Friday) 01/05/2026 - 16:19  China will extend zero-tariff treatment to all African countries with diplomatic ties from today. (Source: RFI - France)

April 14, 2026 11:31 AM CET  Chinese President Xi today committed to strengthening relations with the EU following a meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. Xi also said that, amid complicated global relations, Spain and China had worked to forge close ties that were “contributing to the stability” of his country’s broader relationship with the EU. He added that ’both Madrid and Beijing were on the right side of history’ and committed to work with the Spanish prime minister to “reject the world’s return to the law of the jungle” and jointly defend ’genuine multilateralism.’ The Spanish leader is on his fourth visit to Beijing in as many years. The premier has long advocated for stronger ties with China insisting the EU must look for other global partners as the transatlantic relationship appears to deteriorate. Following Sánchez’s trip to Beijing last year, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said Spain’s attempts to forge closer trade relations with China were akin to ’cutting your own throat’. Sánchez again defended today a EU-China relationship based on trust, dialogue, and stability and the ultimate goal of a multipolar order built from respect and pragmatism. At Politico’s European Pulse Forum in Barcelona last week, European Commission Vice President and Industrial Strategy Commissioner Séjourné said the EU needed Chinese investment and counseled against following the U.S.’s isolationist stance toward Beijing. The Chinese president recognized Sánchez as a key interlocutor between Beijing and the EU, and praised Spain for being a country that acts with moral rectitude. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company) 

Iran
April 29, 2026 at 9:35 am  Fifty two Iranian vessels have crossed a US-imposed blockade of Iranian waters within a 72-hour period, Iran’s Fars News Agency reported. The report cited satellite tracking data covering the three days leading up to 10:00 pm local time on Monday. The vessels included 31 oil tankers and 21 cargo ships. (Source: Middle East Monitor - Location: London, United Kingdom; financed by State of Qatar)

Iraq
(24 April 2026) 09:20  The US State Department is offering up to $10 million seeking information on Saraji, also known as Walai, the leader of the Tehran-backed Iraqi armed group Kataeb Sayyid al-Shuhada (KSS), which Washington designates as a terrorist organization. The group has 'killed Iraqi civilians and attacked U.S. diplomatic facilities in Iraq, as well as attacking U.S. military bases and personnel in Iraq and Syria,' Washington said. (Source: This is Beirut - Lebanon)

Israel
May 4, 2026 at 2:54 pm  Israel approves $270M budget for settlement roads in occupied West Bank. (Source: Middle East Monitor - Location: London, United Kingdom; financed by State of Qatar)

(29.04.2026)  In the southern city of Ashkelon 200 ultra-Orthodox demonstrator Haredi Jews protest arrests of draft evaders, storm military police chief's home in Israel. In a related development, hundreds of ultra-Orthodox protesters demonstrated at Golda Meir Junction in West Jerusalem, attempting to block roads and clashing with Israeli police. Earlier in the evening, demonstrators also blocked Highway 4 near the entrance to Bnei Brak, chanting slogans including, We will die and not enlist. Israel's Supreme Court ruled in June 2024 that Haredim must be drafted and ordered a halt to state funding for religious institutions whose students refuse to serve. Ultra-Orthodox Jews make up roughly 13 percent of Israel's population of approximately 9.7 million. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

April 22, 2026  Over 150,000 Palestinian laborers have been denied work permits in Israel for two years. They're now smuggling themselves across the Green Line amid the war on Iran, where they are banned from over 11,775 shelters when missiles strike. Before October 2023, about 140,000 Palestinian laborers held permits to work in Israel, accounting for 29% of the construction workforce. An additional 40,000 were employed illegally in settlements and industrial zones. In the aftermath of the Israeli genocide in Gaza, Israel barred most Palestinian workers from entering. Today, only about 7,000 are permitted to enter each month. Many turned to smuggling themselves across walls and in hidden vehicles. (Source: Mondoweiss - U.S.)

(Wednesday), 22 April 2026  Hundreds of Israeli occupiers storm Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa Mosque. The Islamic Waqf in Jerusalem, which oversees the mosque, said in a statement that 508 occupiers forced their way into the site during the morning period. It said that more occupants are expected to raid the compound after the noon prayers. The Jerusalem Governorate said the occupiers moved through the compound’s courtyards and carried out provocative religious rituals, including what is referred to as epic prostration - considered the highest form of yielding and a tool to assert Jewish presence at the site - near Bab al-Rahma gate and the Dome of the Rock mosque inside the complex. The incursion came as Israeli police continued to tighten restrictions across East Jerusalem by setting up checkpoints, closing roads and limiting access for worshippers to the mosque. Al-Aqsa Mosque is the world's third-holiest site for Muslims. Jews call the area Temple Mount, claiming it was the site of two Jewish temples in ancient times. Since 2003, Israeli police have unilaterally allowed the occupiers to enter the mosque daily during two periods - morning and afternoon prayers - except on Fridays and Saturdays. Palestinians say Israel is intensifying efforts to Judaize East Jerusalem, including Al-Aqsa Mosque, and erase its Arab and Islamic identity. The Palestinians regard East Jerusalem as the capital of their future state, based on international resolutions that do not recognize Israel’s occupation of the city in 1967 or its annexation in 1980. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

20:31 ET, 19 Apr 2026  Image of an Israeli soldier destroying a statue of Jesus Christ in Lebanon is circulating on the internet. The photo was posted this morning by Palestinian journalist Tirawi. He said that the statue was in a Christian town in Lebanon called Debel. The photo was not AI. "Following the completion of an initial examination regarding a photograph published earlier today of an IDF soldier harming a Christian symbol, it was determined that the photograph depicts an IDF soldier operating in southern Lebanon,' the official IDF account on X wrote. 'Appropriate measures will be taken against those involved in accordance with the findings. Furthermore, the IDF is working to assist the community in restoring the statue to its place. The IDF is operating to dismantle the terrorist infrastructure established by Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, and has no intention of harming civilian infrastructure, including religious buildings or religious symbols.' (Source: The Mirror - United Kingdom)

Jordan
2026/05/03 9:56 AM  Jordan destroys arms and drug traffickers’ sites along northern border. (Source: SANA - Syria)

Lebanon
09 May 2026  Lebanon is preparing for a third round of direct U.S.-mediated talks with Israel, expected to take place in Washington on May 14 and 15, with Hezbollah’s weapons expected to be a central issue on the agenda. Israeli warplanes carried out extensive raids across dozens of towns and villages in southern Lebanon. In a major development, Israeli aircraft also launched two separate strikes south of Beirut. The strikes marked a notable geographic expansion in Israeli operations during the ceasefire period and signaled a widening operational scope beyond traditional frontline areas in the south. In response, Hezbollah continues to launch attacks targeting Israeli military positions near the border while refusing to hand over its weapons despite state demands; therefore, Israel continues conducting strikes and military operations inside Lebanon. (Source: This is Beirut - Lebanon)

7 May 2026  Israel has expanded its military campaign by bombing Beirut in the first strike on the Lebanese capital since a ceasefire, widely seen as fragile, came into force on April 17. (Source: Al Jazeera - Qatar)

Sunday 03 May 2026 14:04 BST  Christian villages are on the front line of Israel’s war on south Lebanon. Christian residents are refusing to leave as Israel seeks to empty villages of their inhabitants. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

30 April 2026  Is Hezbollah a Lebanese movement or an Iranian proxy? Interview with Damien. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
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Persian Gulf
April 28, 2026, 11:20 AM  20,000 seafarers remained trapped aboard vessels inside the Gulf under severe psychological and operational strain. (Source: Arabian Gulf Business Insight - Headquarters: London, United Kingdom; Regional Office: Dubai, United Arab Emirates)

13:02 ET, 21 Apr 2026  Satellite images captured from space show oil spills in the Persian Gulf due to the Iran war. (Source: The Mirror - United Kingdom)
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Strait of Hormuz
20:44, 05 May 2026  US Secretary of State Rubio has said at least 10 sailors in the Strait of Hormuz have died while about 23,000 sailors have been stranded in the Persian Gulf and left for dead in the strait. He described them isolated, starving and vulnerable. (Source: Mirror - United Kingdom)

April 22, 2026  Clearing Strait of Hormuz of mines could take 6 months, Pentagon tells Congress. (Source: The Washington Post - U.S.)

12:07, 18 Apr 2026  Iran has taken back control of the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian gunboats opened fire in the Strait of Hormuz after closing the cross again. At least two vessels tried to pass through the key waterway today. The strait was shut less than 24 hours after it reopened as Trump warned that the US will start dropping bombs again if Iran does not make a deal by Wednesday. A US blockade applies to Iranian ships, those that have visited Iranian ports and vessels carrying sanctioned oil. (Source: The U.S. Sun)

(Saturday), Apr 18 2026 5:02  Iranian state media say the Strait of Hormuz has been closed again under strict management and control of the armed forces and passage requires Iran approval because the U.S. did not fulfill their obligations. Iran blamed the U.S. for its ongoing blockade of Iranian ports. Iran’s Supreme National Security Council said that it considered the U.S. naval blockade a violation of the ceasefire and that the Strait of Hormuz would not reopen until it was lifted. Approaching the Strait of Hormuz will be considered as cooperation with the enemy and be targeted. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard navy said. Iran’s Supreme National Security Council said in a statement that it would collect detailed information on passing vessels, issue transit certificates and impose tolls. U.S. President Trump said the blockade of Iranian ports will remain in place. Oil prices plunged more than 10% yesterday to below $90 per barrel. Yesterday, Trump said that Iran had agreed to hand over its stockpile of enriched uranium. He said the U.S. will go into Iran and ’get all the nuclear dust,’ referring to the 440 kilograms of enriched uranium believed to be buried under nuclear sites badly damaged by U.S. military strikes last year. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Khatibzadeh dismissed the U.S. president’s claims. (Source: CNBC - U.S.)

Friday 17 April 2026 17:40, UK  Iran war day 49: The Strait of Hormuz has been declared completely open as a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon came into effect. (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)

United Arab Emirates
May 1, 2026 23:43 IST  Israel deployed Iron Beam laser anti-missile interception system, developed by Israel's Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, troops to operate it and Iron Dome to the UAE during the conflict with Iran, the Financial Times reported. Several dozen Israeli military personnel were stationed in the UAE as part of this effort. Alongside the laser system, Israel also sent a surveillance platform known as Spectro, capable of detecting Iranian drones from as far as 20 kilometres. Israel reportedly also shared intelligence with the UAE, including alerts about preparations for short-range missile launches inside Iran. The move pointed to a sharper expansion of Israel-UAE defence coordination after the 2020 Abraham Accords. Iran had launched more than 500 ballistic missiles and around 2,000 drones targeting the UAE after the United States and Israel launched an offensive against the Islamic nation on February 28. (Source: India Today)

April 28, 2026 12:36 pm ET  The UAE is leaving OPEC on 1 May 2026. OPEC membership requires adherence to collective output targets, which can limit individual countries’ production levels. The UAE has expanded its oil production capacity to around 5M barrels per day and wants the ability to utilize that capacity more fully outside OPEC quotas. According to The Guardian, leaving the group could allow the UAE to increase output beyond current caps, with potential additional supply estimated at up to 1M barrels per day. The U.A.E. was the third-largest producer in OPEC in February, behind Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Differences within the broader OPEC+ alliance, which includes Russia, have also been reported. (Source: WSJ - U.S.)

Tue, Apr 28 2026 4:30 PM EDT  United Arab Emirates leave OPEC on May 1, energy chief says still committed to oil price stability. (Source: CNBC - U.S.)

Apr 25, 2026  A reminder to the U.S. that alternatives exist. Given all of his economic pain and the currently remote hope of a resolution between the U.S. and Iran, the UAE is invoking the China card: the threat that it might be forced to use the yuan or other currencies for oil sales. This threat has a precedent. In 2023, Saudi Arabia began accepting yuan as payment for Chinese oil purchases, a move at the time widely interpreted as being aimed at Washington. The Biden administration responded by increasing diplomatic contact with Saudi Arabia and initiated high-level negotiations on a comprehensive security agreement, including advanced weapons sales and a stronger US defense commitment. Abu Dhabi has watched and learned. The most striking moment in recent talks between United Arab Emirates officials and U.S. Treasury officials in Washington was the warning: If the UAE runs out of dollars, Emirati officials might be forced to use Chinese yuan instead of U.S. dollars for its oil sales and other transactions. The U.S. dollar’s dominance rests, in part, on its near monopoly over oil transactions. And because the vast majority of global oil transactions are settled in dollars, almost every country must hold greenback reserves to buy fuel. The specific vehicle the UAE raised was a currency swap line - an arrangement where two central banks agree to exchange currencies at a fixed rate, giving each party access to the other’s currency during moments of crises. The UAE pegs its dirham to the U.S. dollar, and to preserve that peg it must maintain stable access to dollars. That access is now coming under pressure: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is depriving the UAE of oil revenue, while missiles in Emirati skies have damaged its aviation and tourism industries. But this isn’t a country that needs to borrow money from Washington. The UAE held $285 billion in foreign reserves at the end of 2025, and its total dollar assets exceed its dollar liabilities by roughly $1 trillion - one of the strongest net international investment positions in the world. The country had highest possible short-term credit rating and near perfect long-term rating last month. The dirham peg to the dollar has comfortably held, and Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth funds have continued deal making through the war, including a $2.3 billion dollar transaction in Jordan last week. The grievance at its root is not economic, but political. Before American and Israeli bombs started falling on Iran on February 28, Emirati officials were reportedly shuffling between Tehran and Washington urging restraint. They made explicit assurances that their territory would not be used as a launchpad for attacks on Iran (though there were reports the Emirates were preparing to get into the fight with the U.S. and Israel to help open the Hormuz Strait in early April. They also stood out in that they were the first Gulf state - followed by Bahrain - to have normalized relations with Israel under the 2020 Abraham Accords). Since Operation Epic Fury began, the UAE has absorbed more Iranian missiles and drones than any other country - roughly 90% of which targeted civilian infrastructure. Jebel Ali port has been struck, as has Dubai International Airport. Oil and gas infrastructure has been damaged, and the Strait of Hormuz, through which the UAE ships oil, its primary revenue generator, has been effectively closed, severing its financial lifelines. The Emiratis are acutely aware that their pledge to invest $1.4 trillion in the U.S. economy, reaffirmed by its ambassador in Washington at the height of bombardment, is becoming harder to sustain as it simultaneously rebuilds expensive missile defense systems as well as energy and other infrastructure at home. The current maneuver is more about posturing than about the Gulf state undertaking a fundamental, long-term pivot away from the U.S. Gulf and UAE sovereign wealth funds remain overwhelmingly oriented towards U.S. and European assets. The UAE hosts a network of U.S. military bases that it has no immediate interests in closing. As the Emirati ambassador to the U.S., Otaiba, put it in his Wall Street Journal op-ed, “We need a conclusive outcome that addresses Iran’s full range of threats.” This is hardly the tone of a country shopping for a new security patron. What helps the UAE’s posturing is the fact that Abu Dhabi is taking clear steps to boost its investment exposure to China. Crown Prince Khaled’s visit to Beijing last week resulted in dozens of agreements to boost economic and trade ties, including increasing commercial travel between the two countries. The UAE can use this rapprochement to demand better terms in its alliance with Washington. Its manner of doing so entails a steady stream of signals - the currency swap line enquiry, the Beijing visit, an influential Emirati commentator’s suggestion that it may be time to close U.S. bases because they are “a burden and not a strategic asset.’ The UAE’s requests are fairly concrete. It wants Washington to acknowledge (and be prepared to help with) the economic damage its war has inflicted on a country that was not party to its decision to go to war on its much larger neighbor. It also wants to be consulted on and have a say in the terms of any deal with Iran, particularly as it relates to the Strait of Hormuz. A deal where the Trump administration simply cuts loose and walks away from the Iran quagmire - leaving behind a battered but more hardline Islamic Republic with its military infrastructure intact - is no deal at all from Abu Dhabi’s perspective. The UAE understands it possesses immense leverage to renegotiate the terms of its alliance with its senior partner. The swap line conversation is therefore not a plea for help, but a reminder that the UAE has options - and the means to use them. (Source: Responsible Statecraft - U.S.)
by Ibrahim, a writer and analyst covering the politics of the Middle East and Africa, with a special focus on Sudan.

21/04/2026 4:32 pm  British Foreign Secretary Cooper asserted that Hezbollah cannot be considered representative of the Lebanese state or the aspirations of its people. She described it as an Iranian proxy acting to implement Iran’s agenda in the region. Simultaneously with these statements, the British newspaper The Sunday Times revealed an intelligence report documenting a secret alliance between Hezbollah and the New IRA (Irish Republican Army). The report stated that the Lebanese party had been supplying the Irish organization with money and weapons, thus shifting the party’s activities from the region into the heart of British national security. This information was based on evidence obtained by the British intelligence agency MI5 through a covert agent - McFadden, a former member of Scotland’s Special Police Service - who had infiltrated the ranks of the opposition for over 20 years. The information he provided uncovered a complex web of how funding and military support flowed from Beirut to Belfast. Security operation codenamed Arbacia recently led to the arrest of 10 people in Northern Ireland on terrorism-related charges. This reinforces the British view that Iran’s international reach must be curtailed. These developments place Hezbollah in direct confrontation with European security laws. Its transnational activities are no longer confined to regional conflicts but now directly and demonstrably threaten the stability of European nations. (Source: Voice of Emirates - United Arab Emirates)

Global

(Monday) May 4, 2026 at 3:43 p.m. ET  Global oil prices today surged back above $114 per barrel and settled at its highest level in nearly four years, after Iran ramped up attacks on energy facilities in United Arab Emirates and ships in the Strait of Hormuz. (Source: MarketWatch - headquarters: New York City, U.S.)

.6 5 8 05:36 / 6 5 7

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2026. IV. 12 - 15. Germany, Hungary, India, Serbia, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States

2026.04.13. 09:24 Eleve

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Europe

Hungary
13 April 2026  Poll expert takes apart Orbán’s defeat. The magnitude of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s defeat is surprising, perhaps even shocking. The fact his Fidesz party lost by a solid margin, however, should have surprised no one. Orbán was re-elected three times. He won because he did what every good democratic politician does: Provide peace and prosperity while respecting the nation’s values. From 2010 through 2022, Hungary’s economy grew steadily, bringing comfort and some luxuries to the former Communist nation for the first time. The country did not get sucked into the nascent conflict in Ukraine and proudly refused to take in the any of the millions of mainly Middle Eastern migrants who swarmed into Europe in the last decade. There is no evidence that average Hungarians wanted something different. Many current leaders probably wish their nations had been more like Orbán as they figure out how to deal with the growing internal unease over the migrants whom their predecessors let in. Orbán also had ’the luxury’ of running against a largely discredited centre-left, Budapest-focused opposition. He lost on Sunday because he took his eye off the ball following his decisive 2022 re-election. Cronyism, never far beneath the surface, seemed to increase. Inflation has been much higher in Hungary than elsewhere in Europe since 2022, and real GDP has been essentially flat. The country isn’t in recession, but it is in the fourth year of stagnation – and that is never good news for an incumbent government. Fidesz wasn’t entrusted with government to enrich its friends and protect them from justice. It was elected to make Hungarians richer materially and spiritually. Orbán also stopped delivering material riches. The clemency scandal that caused the resignation of the President and Justice Minister added to the sense that Fidesz now served a clique rather than the people. The fact that Fidesz elites would pardon a paedophile in their circle severely weakened the national spiritual bond the party had spent so much time building up. Any Western European government that had experienced scandal and a stagnant economy would expect to be tossed on its rear come election time. That’s what happened to Britain’s Conservatives in 1997 and 2024, and that’s what happened to Viktor Orbán. The fact that this seems so surprising to Fidesz backers – presumably including President Trump and Vice President Vance – makes this landslide defeat stand out, however. It seems that the media empire Orbán created also built a bubble for the regime’s allies. Regime friendly pollsters churned out surveys that told them what they wanted to believe, that Orbán was sure to win re-election. Other polls were discredited for being connected to the opposition. But just because someone is your adversary doesn’t mean they are lying. A ’genuinely independent’ poll from Atlas Intel, a South American firm, showed the same thing as the non-Fidesz pollsters and ’mainly backed up the opposition polling narrative’. Fidesz supporters in the last few days were supremely confident of re-election with only relatively minor losses. They believed their leaders – and ’those people were either lying to themselves or to their backers or both’. Hungarian populist conservatism took an ’enterprising politician’, and a complete rebranding of the opposition into a ’centrist-to-centre-right’ entity to give it even a shot at winning. Keeping a centre-right policy focus while depending mainly on centre-left voters is going to be very difficult. P.M. will also find it easier to talk about restoring economic growth than bringing it about. ’He surely will soon be rewarded’ with a resumption of suspended European Union funding, which should help. That won’t do anything to improve Hungary’s ’lacklustre entrepreneurial culture’, nor can it shield the country from the energy insecurity that affects everyone. Magyar was also aided by the magnitude of Fidesz’s complacency. Orbán should have known he needed to shift gears. We saw the government doubling down on its old playbook. It added even more subsidies for families and pensioners rather than spend on the decrepit health service. It tried to tie P.M. to Zelensky even though ’its not plausible that Hungary is going to get dragged into a war’ that has been a stalemate for years. No wonder Hungarians rejected him. ’It’s difficult to see how Orbán can remain as Fidesz’ leader’. P.M. 'may not get the chance to run again against a tired, overconfident foe’. The Brussels elite surely thinks it had won a permanent victory, though, in Poland in 2023 when Donald Tusk’s coalition unseated the populist Law and Justice party. Tusk found it hard to govern, though, and the Law and Justice-backed candidate for President, Nawrocki, won last year. Populist conservatives elsewhere – I’m looking at you, President Trump – should take note that cultural affinity will not trump economic stagnation at the ballot box. This is a setback for populist conservatism, not a final defeat, as long as they take away the right lessons. In democracies, ultimately the people rule. 'Orbán forgot that'. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
by Olsen

France
13/04/2026 - 15:10  The election in Hungary had the highest turnout since the fall of Communism. According to Magyar, Hungary's former Minister of Education and one of the founding members of the Alliance of Free Democrats, this election marks the 'third regime change' since 1989-90, which will involve transforming it from a 'mafia state back into a liberal democracy'. Magyar built 'wide popular movement': 43% liberal, 22% left-wing, 10% green and only 11% right-wing, Balint said. 'There are three pillars of this latest regime change, he explains. One is the restitution of the constitutional state. The second is abolishing the state criminal organization led by Orbán. And the third is abolishing the client relation to Russia that Hungary would act as an agent, as the most valuable asset of Russia, subversing the EU, subversing the NATO partners. (Source: France 24)

Germany
14/04/2026 - 18:46 GMT+2  P.M.'s election win in Hungary threatens Orbán's EU influence network, putting figures including Commissioner Várhelyi, think tank MCC Brussels, and the Hungarian ambassador on the 'chopping block'. (Source: Euronews, based in Lyon, France)
by 'Zsiros'

April 14, 2026 2:22 AM CET  The Hungarian election had been a major priority just days earlier. Vance had traveled to Budapest last week and while Trump didn’t make the trip himself, he did call into the rally. And that eleventh hour campaign push came weeks after another visit by Secretary of State Rubio. Trump, in his remarks via telephone during Orbán’s rally aside Vance last week, credited 'the autocrat' for his strict immigration policy in particular, stating that he “kept your country strong, and he kept your country good, and you don’t have problems with all of the problems that so many other countries have.” “We didn’t go because we expected Viktor Orbán to cruise to an election victory,” Vance said during an interview on Fox News. “We went because it was the right thing to do to stand behind a person who had stood by us for a very long time.” “His legacy in Hungary is transformational - 16 years, fundamentally changing that country,” Vance said. „We certainly knew there was a very good chance that Viktor would lose that election. We did it because he’s one of the few European leaders we’ve seen who has been willing to stand up to the bureaucracy in Brussels.” Vice president Vance’ comments yesterday evening marked the administration’s first acknowledgment of the disappointing election result which put an end to a 16-year run that served as inspiration for President Trump, Vance and countless MAGA allies. A political ally of Vance, the de facto 2028 GOP frontrunner who has long been a fan of Orbán, said that the vice president has to be aware of the parallels between the circumstances that led to ’the dictator’s’ ouster and an America where Trump’s poll numbers have dropped in recent weeks as the Iran war has driven energy prices higher. ’Several more mainstream European leaders have openly celebrated Orbán’s defeat, many of them relieved about the ouster of the one individual who had been blocking a major EU loan to provide additional defense aid for Ukraine’. One of them, Finnish President Stubb, spoke carefully about the matter during an appearance Monday at The Brookings Institution, a non-partisan Washington think tank focused on foreign policy. After asserting that the fate of nationalist populism varies from country to country, Stubb was asked if he had any advice for countries like Germany that have seen a rise in support for far-right parties. You can take this as you wish, he told his questioner. It’s quite often not very helpful for your own goals to meddle in the politics of another country. President Trump, who has twice taken questions from reporters over the last 24 hours, has yet to make a public statement about the defeat of his closest political ally in Europe. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
’Messerly contributed

April 13, 2026 3:52 pm  Russia will not be congratulating P.M. for his landslide victory in the Hungarian election, Kremlin spokesman Peskov told Russian media today. We don’t send congratulations to unfriendly countries, he said. “And Hungary is an unfriendly country, it supports sanctions against us.” (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
by Melkozerova

April 13, 2026 3:20 - 4:28 pm  In a press conference with Hungarian and international press, P.M. told reporters he is ready 'to find compromises at an EU level, to be a constructive partner to other EU countries, to help countries that are ready to join rather than to make them wait in line'. He did not name-check Ukraine, whose accession he said in the past should be submitted to a referendum. Prime Minister-elect P.M. today 'claimed outgoing Foreign Minister Szijjártó is currently destroying documents' in ministries, but also the background institutions. He said it is in Hungary’s interest to join the Eurozone. 'Whether it is in 2030, 2031 or later, I cannot tell you, he added. Magyar signaled he would not block the EU’s €90 billion loan to Ukraine, but Hungary will not financially support Kyiv. He stated that Hungary should diversify its oil imports from multiple sources, but the Russian oil should remain part of this diversified mix. Magyar expressed hope that sanctions on Moscow energy products would eventually be lifted. He has already said he’s ready 'to sit down' with President Putin, acknowledging Hungary’s energy dependence on Moscow. 'But we will not be friends, he added. 'What Russia is experiencing, they can’t even influence elections in Moldova or Hungary right now, Astrov, an associate professor of international relations at Central European University in Vienna told. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
by Andreu and Hartog

April 13, 2026 11:32 am  Leading members of the U.S.’s Democratic Party celebrated Prime Minister-elect P.M.’s victory over Viktor Orbán in messages posted on social media today. Former President Obama compared the outcome to the 2023 Polish election, in which Donald Tusk defeated incumbent Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, of the right-wing Law and Justice party. Former Secretary of State Clinton also celebrated the end of Viktor Orbán’s 'autocratic regime,' calling P.M.’s win a victory 'for people who value democracy around the world.' (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
by Knapp

April 13, 2026 10:58 am  The EU has withheld some €14 billion from various programs 'due to concerns about democratic backsliding' under Orbán and also postponed a decision on Hungary’s request for €16 billion in defense-related loans under the SAFE program. But things might be about to change. Financial markets are celebrating P.M.’s victory. Hungary’s forint rose a thumping 2.5 percent against the euro to its highest in over four years, 'reflecting the scale of the leader of the Tisza’s achievement'. It’s now up over 7 percent from last month’s lows. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)

April 13, 2026 10:40 am  The Patriots for Europe group in the European Parliament, home to Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz and France’s National Rally, issued a brief statement today after abruptly canceling a planned press conference, accusing the European Commission of 'interfering' in the election without explaining how. “The group highlights the role of Orbán and Fidesz as key representatives of democratic self-determination and traditional European values within the European Union and frames current political developments as a setback for forces advocating this course,” they wrote. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)

April 13, 2026 9:11 am  The people of Hungary have delivered a clear and resolute no to any attempts at pulling their country back into Moscow’s orbit, Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko said today morning. 'Russia’s attempts to undermine our unity have failed. We remain confident that Ukraine and Hungary will continue to strengthen our partnership and advance a shared European future, Svyrydenko said.' (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
by Melkozerova

 April 12, 2026 10:47 PM CET  Orbán just lost his populist touch. The Hungarian PM misread his electorate by bashing the EU and Ukraine. Instead, people cared more about his cronyism and ’economic mismanagement’. Not even the gaming of the electoral playing field - or state capture rolled out over a decade-and-half in power - could save Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán from a crushing defeat today. Nor did the support of Orbán’s MAGA friends, including U.S. President Trump and Vice President Vance, went all in for their most loyal European ideological ally, breaking the taboo against politicians campaigning in other people’s elections. Voters were restless, and increasingly tired of Orbán and his ruling Fidesz party, which they associated with the cronyism and corruption that is helping sink the economy. Orbán stuck resolutely to a playbook he used in the previous three elections portraying himself as the only man capable of protecting Hungarian interests, and conjured up external threats. In this campaign, Orbán accused his rival of dragging the country toward war by aligning with two of his eternal bogeymen: the EU and Zelenskyy. The prime minister has engineered unfair edge through gerrymandered constituencies, a captive media landscape and ’vote-buying’. It gave ’center-right’ Tisza party’s the opening it needed. The great populist had mislaid his popular touch and failed to appreciate that he was being undermined by rampant corruption and cronyism, a kleptocratic ruling class, and 'deteriorating infrastructure'. “You could see it and sense it at the campaign rallies, where there was a tangible enthusiasm at the opposition rallies, but not at the government ones,’ Orbán’s biographer Rényi told Politico. The outside interference of MAGA and European populists, such as France’s Le Pen, the Netherlands’ Wilders and Italy’s Salvini, who like Vance turned up in Budapest to campaign for Orbán, ’was just a wasted effort’. So too the endorsement by Germany’s Weidel, co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), who had told Hungarians in a video: “Europe needs Viktor Orbán.” Despite their nativist and sovereigntist principles, and advocacy of countries taking back control of their political and cultural destinies, there was absolutely no holding back by global ’far-right luminaries’ as they issued ever bleaker and more frantic warnings of what would befall Hungary in the event voters had the temerity to vote for change and end Orbán’s 'goulash populism'. The grand appeals and lectures fell flat with a Hungarian electorate that had more parochial concerns about paying bills, getting jobs and ’receiving decent medical care’. The foreign meddling just didn’t matter; take Vance, said Tompos, an opposition lawmaker with the centrist Momentum party. ’He’s absolutely unknown’ to the Hungarian public, so thinking his presence would change anything was naive at best. The display of transatlantic loyalty was never going to alter the political equation in Hungary. Calling in the American cavalry wasn’t naive, but an act of desperation. Orbán was out of other ideas in his battle with P.M., a Fidesz defector who understood the system Orbán had built. He ’refused to give ground’ when it came to patriotism and embracing national symbols; P.M. urged his supporters to bring national flags to campaign rallies. He sometimes wore traditional embroidered Hungarian shirts. He turned up as a spectator to soccer matches and sat with ordinary fans in the stands. ’He was also succinct in dealing with foreign interference’, arguing that any meddling whether from Washington, Brussels or Moscow was unwelcome: ’It was a strong patriotic’ line that made Orbán look more like the stooge. He remained laser-focused in his campaigning on bread-and-butter issues while hammering Fidesz over corruption, noting how Orbán’s family, business cronies and inner circle have grown ever richer as ordinary Hungarians have just got poorer. What really concerned voters - inflation, economic malaise and endemic corruption P.M. - all remained front and center in P.M.’s campaign, according to Bódi, an election geographer affiliated with Budapest’s Eötvös Loránd University, who analyzed raw local polling data from 'independent pollsters' throughout the election campaign. 'What drove Orbán’s defeat was the cost of living, lack of economic opportunities and lack of jobs, Bódi added. P.M.’s messaging about poor public services also resonated. If you look at health care, transportation, the education system, for ordinary people the average experience has been one of disrepair and increasing dysfunction. Magyar’s ’promises to build a modern, European Hungary appealed not only to young voters but also to middle-aged male blue collar workers, an important segment of Fidesz’s own traditional electoral base, Bódi said. While Orbán campaigned on the risks of being sucked into the conflict in Ukraine and portrayed his challenger as a stooge of both Zelenskyy and the EU, Magyar remained unfazed, defying all efforts to goad him. He remained combative and forward-leaning and had no hesitation campaigning at pace in traditionally Fidesz-supporting towns and villages. For every town Orbán visited, Magyar visited a half-dozen to highlight his accessibility. In his early tours of the countryside he carried with him a cardboard cutout of Orbán as a prop to illustrate how the PM was absent. P.M.’s highlighting of corruption was also telling, said Ash of Britain’s Chatham House. Scheppele, a professor at Princeton University and ’an expert on Hungarian elections’, said: “Orbán was able to be continuously reelected as long as the Hungarian economy was strong and Orbán’s corruption remained hidden from the general public. Those who have observed the Hungarian leader for years, like Rényi, said they felt Orbán sensed early in the election campaign that he would lose - which partly explains his often reckless stoking of tensions with Brussels and Zelenskyy, and his desperate goading of his opponents. He just hoped something would go his way. “The way he was speaking, the language he used, his gestures, his body language, it all seemed different to me and I’ve been covering him for 16 years. He seemed deflated,” Rényi said. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
by Dettmer

April 12, 2026 8:56 pm CET  The Hungarian prime minister concedes to Magyar, who is set to win a supermajority in the 199-seat parliament. The crushing election loss on Sunday will send political shockwaves from Washington to Moscow. 'The EU’s most autocratic leader' — a close ally of both U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin - was on course to lose by a decisive margin in today’s vote. With more than 97 percent of the vote counted, his opponent Magyar looked set to win 138 seats in the 199-seat parliament. Orbán’s Fidesz party was on track to win only 55. A jubilant Magyar, theatrically clutching a Hungarian flag, stepped out onto a stage on the banks of the River Danube to the strains of Frank Sinatra’s My Way as his supporters cheered and popped Champagne corks. 'Together, we have liberated Hungary,' he said. Magyar will secure a supermajority in parliament that will allow him to change the constitution and unravel key pillars of Orbán’s illiberal democracy - demolishing the former prime minister’s tight control over the judiciary, state companies and the media. He called for a raft of top-level resignations to clean up up the state, including the presidents of the supreme court, the judicial council, the state audit office, the competition authority and the media authority. Crucially, he also called for Hungary’s President Sulyok, who has powers to veto legislation and send it back to parliament, to step down. P. M. announced his first foreign trip would be to Poland, his second to Austria, and his third to Brussels “to get the funds that the Hungarians deserve”. Orbán’s departure will come as a huge relief to the EU, whose systemic weaknesses he has exposed and exploited for years, most recently by 'helping Putin' block €90 billion of European support to Ukraine. P.M. has not specifically declared whether he will remove Hungary’s veto on the cash for Ukraine, but spoke more generally today night about clarifying 'outstanding issues' with European neighbors. 'A gleeful European Commission President der Leyen announced: 'Europe’s heart is beating stronger in Hungary tonight.' A heavy loss for the Hungarian premier also delivers a painful blow to Trump’s MAGA movement, which has viewed Hungary’s prime minister as a talismanic trailblazer for its own brand of anti-immigrant, Christian-oriented nationalism. Trump offered several personal endorsements before the race - backed up by visits from Secretary of State Rubio and Vice President Vance - but could do nothing to swing a contest that was shaped by growing public frustration over Hungary’s ailing economy, and the corruption and cronyism associated with Orbán. Brussels officials have long accused Orbán of undermining key pillars of Hungarian democracy - from the judiciary to the media. Looking to quickly reset ties with Budapest, French President Macron rang P.M. to congratulate him. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz invited P.M. 'join forces' for a strong, secure and, above all, united Europe. A relieved Zelenskyy congratulated Magyar and said Ukrainians were 'ready to advance our cooperation with Hungary.' The party would be able to remove Fidesz loyalists from key positions, including the president and the chief of the Constitutional Court, which could otherwise torpedo the new government’s laws. 'With this two-thirds majority, the government could kill off the structures that keep 80 percent of media under Fidesz’s influence, reclaim state assets handed to Orbán-aligned foundations and think tanks, and rewrite election rules long skewed to make it difficult for any contender to remove a party from power, paving the way for a return to democratic pluralism'. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)

Serbia
14.04.2026.  At an international press conference held yesterday, the winner of the Hungarian election, Magyar, commented to Serbian N1 television on the discovery of an explosive device near the Serbian–Hungarian pipeline during the final week of the election campaign. Magyar reiterated that his government would investigate what had happened and added that he knew who the 'godfather' behind the relationship between Serbian President Vučić, outgoing Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, and Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico was. He noted that, as he put it, 'similar to Hungary, independent media in Serbia are also in a very difficult situation.' 'What I can say to the Serbian people, without interfering in their internal affairs, is to draw strength from yesterday’s elections in Hungary. I say this to many other countries where people are in a difficult situation, where there is a so-called hybrid regime, meaning where there is no full rule of law: it is possible – truly possible – if people unite'. '“We showed that despite all the obstacles and the international support Viktor Orbán had, practically from the entire global political leadership – the Russian president, the American president, the Chinese president, the Turkish president, the Israeli prime minister, as well as many other leaders such as Vučić and Robert Fico – the Hungarian people said that Hungary’s history is written by Hungarians in Hungary, and the Hungarian people won', Magyar said. (Source: European Western Balkans - Serbia)

United Kingdom
15 April 2026 19:50 BST  'New Hungarian PM', P.M. tells president to ‘leave office now’ in scathing attack – minutes after posing with him for a picture. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
by Reynolds

Wednesday 15 April 2026 16:01 BST  Mr Orbán has denied eroding any democratic standards and said his government had aimed to protect Hungary’s “Christian character” against liberal ideas fielded by the European Union. Despite Tisza sweeping election victory, could be a complicated reform path with Orban loyalists in control of most key public posts for years to come ’analysts and rating agencies say.’ Hungary’s election victor has announced that the country’s president has confirmed his new government could assume power in the first week of May. He told he would be the nominee as the next prime minister. The new leader announced his government could assume power at the end of the first week of May. He has vowed to conduct a major overhaul in Hungary’s governmental structure - he will create separate ministries for health, environmental protection and education. Magyar in his first appearance on Hungary’s public broadcaster today morning said he would suspend the service’s news programming, until ’conditions are established that are independent, objective, and impartial’. He has called on Mr Orbán’s government to act as a caretaker in its final weeks, and not to make any decisions 'that could threaten Hungary’s interests’. P.M. said he 'had asked the president’ ’I repeated to him’ ’that he is unworthy of embodying the unity of the Hungarian nation, and unfit to be the guardian of the law’. His new government will make constitutional changes to remove him ’along with all the other puppets that the Orbán system has installed’. Four key areas where his cabinet could: 10 billion euros of EU pandemic recovery funding by an end-August deadline ; anti-corruption measures joining the European Public Prosecutor’s Office; the independence of the judiciary and investigative authorities; restoring media and academic freedoms. He had ’a conversation’ with European Commission president der Leyen on yesterday. They ’had agreed to start ’informal consultations’ before the government was formed. 'I explained it clearly to her as well, and we have made it clear before, that We can only comply with conditions that are good for Hungarian people, good for Hungarian businesses and, in general, for our country.' (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
by 'Spike'

Sunday 12 April 2026 21:51 BST  Just two hours after polls closed, Mr Magyar posted on Facebook that Mr Orbán had “congratulated me on the phone on our victory', with 45.7 per cent of the count predicting Tisza were projected to win 135 mandates in the 199-seat parliament. 'Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has congratulated Mr Magyar on his victor, hailing a 'historic moment, not only for Hungary, but for European democracy' It ​would likely spell an end to Hungary's adversarial role inside ‌the EU, possibly opening the way for a 90 billion euro ($105 billion) loan to war-battered Ukraine blocked by Mr Orbán. Defeat for Mr Orbán could also mean the eventual release of EU funds to Hungary. In Hungary, a Tisza victory could open the way for reforms that the party says would aim to combat corruption and restore the independence of the judiciary and other institutions. Ahead of the vote, 'opinion polls' showed Mr Orbán's Fidesz party trailing Mr Magyar's upstart centre-right opposition Tisza party by 7-9 percentage points, with Tisza at around 38-41 per cent. Pollsters predicted record voter turnout of well over 70 per cent. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
Video, photo

Eurasia

India
April 13, 2026 13:15 IST  The downfall of Orbán marks the end of an extensive political experiment that the prime minister branded as building an "illiberal democracy”. Over his four successive election victories, Orbán aggressively remade the Hungarian state in his own image, writing a new constitution and systematically dismantling checks and balances by filling the judicial system and independent agencies with loyalists. He effectively seized control of the vast majority of state and independent media, transforming outlets like the M1 TV channel into platforms that slavishly broadcasted his party’s talking points. He was also behind a controversial patronage network which funneled state resources to his political allies. Such measures prompted Transparency International to rank Hungary as 'the most corrupt' EU country. Despite presenting himself as a fierce anti-globalist and champion of national sovereignty, Orbán's lengthy reign was fundamentally riddled with policy contradictions. He openly railed against immigration, yet he quietly facilitated the arrival of foreign workers from the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Turkey and Ukraine to staff newly constructed factories. He aggressively criticised the European Union and globalist economic policies, yet he eagerly invited German car manufacturers and Asian electric vehicle battery producers to build massive facilities in Hungary. Furthermore, his extensive financial investments designed to boost birth rates and champion traditional family values completely failed, leaving the nation's fertility rate at 1.31 in 2025, which is exactly the same level it was when he originally assumed power from the Socialists in 2010. Because he was deeply familiar with the inner workings of the regime as 'a former diplomat' and state agency official, Magyar was able to effectively expose its vulnerabilities. Strategically, Magyar campaigned primarily on the simple fact that he was not Orbán, deliberately avoiding polarising progressive issues like LGBTQ+ rights to build the broadest possible coalition. During the 2022 general election, a previous conservative challenger named Márki-Zay failed miserably after Fidesz's media machine successfully painted him as a warmonger, but Magyar proved immune to these exact same tactics. For months, Hungary had felt like two different worlds running in tandem: one where Orbán's sympathetic pollsters forecasted victory, and another where Magyar attracted massive crowds while 'respected pollsters' correctly noted his increasing lead. Internationally, this election outcome represents a monumental shift for the European Union, Ukraine and the broader global geopolitical landscape. For years, Orbán functioned as a 'profound security risk' and an obstinate thorn in the side of EU officials in Brussels. He consistently abused his veto power to block crucial initiatives, including sanctions against Russia and vital military and financial aid to Ukraine. Orbán nurtured a cozy alliance with Russian President Putin, 'making' Hungary highly reliant on cheap Russian oil and gas, and he 'allowed his government to leak' sensitive European Union meeting information directly to the Kremlin. Furthermore, the Orbán administration froze a desperately needed €90 billion loan to Ukraine, choosing instead to plaster the country with billboards blaming Zelensky for Hungary’s economic struggles. Magyar's administration 'is expected to immediately' clear the path for the €90 billion loan to Ukraine, while also working to unlock a €10 billion EU grant package and access €16 billion in European rearmament loans. European leaders, including der Leyen and Metsola, openly celebrated the election results following the vote. Orbán's devastating defeat strikes a massive blow to right-wing populists worldwide, who had long viewed his regime as a successful, invincible model for the anti-woke movement. The Trump administration had heavily invested in Orbán's survival, with Vice President Vance travelling to Budapest last week to offer a ringing endorsement and 'baselessly accuse' the EU of election interference. The sudden collapse of this electoral autocracy deprives Trump and Putin of their most essential European ally, 'demonstrating' that even deeply entrenched illiberal systems can ultimately be peacefully dismantled by a determined electorate. (Source: The Week - India)
by Joy

Turkey
12 April 2026  Viktor Orbán: The man who ruled Hungary for 16 years. ’Dubbed as 'Putin's ally in EU,' Viktor Orbán loses general elections to Magyar. Orbán frequently came into conflict with other EU leaders over war in Ukraine. Viktor Orbán was born in 1963 in a town about an hour west of Budapest. He was the oldest of three boys in a family where his father worked as an agricultural engineer and was a member of the Communist Party, while his mother was a special education teacher. He attended grammar school and took part in the Young Communist League. Football was his main passion. He played for his local team, FC Felcsut, and has remained deeply committed to the sport ever since. In 2014, he opened the controversial Pancho Arena in his hometown, where the top-division club Puskás Akadémia now plays, often before modest crowds. Before starting university, Orbán completed his military service. He has said that during this time, he rejected an attempt by the communist secret police to recruit him as an informer. At 23, he married fellow student Levai, whom he met at university. They have five children, four daughters and one son, Gaspar, who received training at Britain’s Sandhurst military academy and later served as an officer in the Hungarian army in Chad. Soon afterward, Orbán left his studies early to campaign in the 1990 elections, in which Fidesz won 22 parliamentary seats, with him heading the party list. Several of his university-era associates later became central figures in Fidesz. His former college director, Stumpf, eventually served as his chief of staff during Orban’s first term as prime minister from 1998 to 2002. As a young lawmaker, Orbán led Fidesz into the Liberal International movement in 1992. In 1998, he guided Fidesz to electoral victory and, at the age of 35, became Europe’s youngest prime minister. During that term, Hungary joined NATO in 1999. He then lost two elections, in 2002 and 2006, experiences that shaped his later political strategy. Orbán returned to power in 2010 amid the turmoil of the global financial crisis and has remained in office ever since. Orbán has frequently come into conflict with other EU leaders over the war in Ukraine, including by holding up key financial support for Kyiv. He has accused Ukraine of trying to drag Hungary into a conflict with Russia. At the same time, he has strong backing abroad. He is widely seen as Russian President Putin’s 'closest ally within the EU,' and US President Trump supported his campaign for a fifth straight term. Trump has said he would use American economic power to benefit Hungary if Orbán were re-elected, while Vice President Vance visited Budapest five days before the vote and urged Hungarians to support Orban, saying he represents their interests. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

North America

United States
April 13, 2026 4:30 AM  Truths for Trump in Orbán's big loss. One of the consequences of Viktor Orbán's decisive election defeat in Hungary is a direct blow to President Trump's strategic vision for Europe, in which an Orbánist Hungary played a starring role. In MAGA's worldview Orbán was openly described by Trump's supporters - and treated by the White House-as a model and partner whose political successes could be replicated across Europe. Orbán was the keystone of Trump's effort to cultivate a loose alliance of nationalists that could weaken Brussels as the European Union (EU) power center, soften resistance to Russia, and legitimize bilateral, strongman‑to‑strongman diplomacy. Hungary was meant to be Exhibit A, proof that nationalist governance could win, entrench itself, and thrive inside Western institutions where it could disrupt and thwart globalist liberalism from within. With Orbán swept out by a ’center‑right’, pro‑EU challenger despite heavy MAGA backing, Trump now faces uncomfortable realities. So when that model collapses at the ballot box, it weakens Trump-fueled claims of inevitable nationalist momentum across Europe. Voters removed Orbán in a landslide, handing his challenger-a former political ally turned rival-a supermajority big enough to dismantle his system. Trump's foreign policy advisers face a recalibration of their strategy in a post-Orbán world, about how far his brand of politics travels, and where it stops. For Trump, the lesson is blunt: personal backing that energizes MAGA audiences can alienate foreign electorates rather than supercharge them. Orbán's loss exposes a basic vulnerability in Trump's worldview: MAGA-style nationalist populism is shrinking where it was supposed to be strongest. Trump still has sympathetic leaders abroad. What he has lost is the illusion of a coherent, durable movement that voters will reliably defend when the going gets tough. The Hungarian election confirmed that American political interference carries real electoral risk in Europe. Trump leaned hard into his support for Orbán, repeatedly and openly endorsing him in the kind of political meddling Washington has little tolerance for the other way around, even sending Vice President Vance to Budapest days before the vote. That intervention could not rescue Orbán. ’Many Hungarian voters believed they were making between European reintegration and deepening isolation’ aligned with Washington's most confrontational instincts. Abroad, the Trump imprimatur is no longer neutral, it is polarizing and even counterproductive. For years, Budapest slowed or blocked EU action on Ukraine, sanctions, and rule‑of‑law enforcement, giving the bloc a built‑in brake. Orbán's strategic value was his veto. With Orbán gone, that brake is lifted, at least for now. Without Hungary playing permanent dissenter, the EU regains institutional momentum, and Washington loses one of its most useful pressure points. European leaders immediately welcomed the result as a chance to restore consensus, and stalled Ukraine financing and EU decision‑making is set to accelerate. That directly undercuts Trump's preference for a divided Europe treat is easier to pressure, bypass, or bargain with bilaterally, whether it be on Russia-Ukraine, trade, market regulation, defense, or other issues. Orbán's defeat is widely seen as a setback not just for Trump, but for Russian President Putin, with whom he had good relations shaped by an outsized Hungarian need for Russian gas, giving the Kremlin a rare friend inside the EU and NATO. The incoming Hungarian government has pledged closer EU and NATO alignment and support for Ukraine. For Trump, this narrows the room to maneuver as he seeks to end the war in Ukraine and bring about a broader reset in relations with Russia to unfreeze much of the economic potential. Orbán served another function for Trump in making fence‑sitting on Russia look European rather than purely American. Calls for accommodation with Russia appear more unilateral, and more exposed to criticism that they isolate the U.S. rather than rebalance it. Orbán's defeat undercuts a core MAGA assumption that culture‑war politics and ostentatious displays of national strength are enough to overwhelm the more prosaic and traditional concerns of voters. Even well‑entrenched leaders eventually face an accounting when daily costs rise and opportunities shrink. Orbán's long control of media and institutions slowed that reckoning, but it could not cancel it. ’Hungarian voters’ were driven to demand change by anger over economic stagnation, oligarchic favoritism, and costly international isolation. Strongman governance can endure for years even inside democracies. When it falls, it often does so decisively, toppled by a public voting with their pockets. Orbán's loss is not a herald of the end of populism in Europe, nor does it erase Trump's considerable influence abroad, even in Europe, where he remains a popular figure among nationalist political parties. ’But Hungary's voters’ chose reintegration over confrontation, and did so despite sustained MAGA pressure. This punctures a strategic fantasy: that nationalist alliances are ascendant and self‑sustaining, electorally immune, and easily exported. (Source: Miami Herald / Newsweek)
Note: ’Newsweek's reporters and editors used Martyn, our Al assistant, to help produce this story’.

April 12, 2026 9:54am EDT  Trailing in the opinion polls, Orbán received a major boost earlier this week when Vice President Vance visited the country, making clear what the administration’s position was on the importance of having a pro-U.S. candidate in the heart of Europe, as so many of its continental allies have proven lackluster, most notably for a lack of help in the war against Iran. In his remarks, Vance made clear why he was there. "The reason why we're doing it is because we thought there was so much garbage happening against Viktor in this election that we had to show that there are actually a lot of people and a lot of friends across the world who recognize that Viktor and his government are doing a good job, and they're important partners for peace," he said at the Mathias Corvinus Collegium, a private university in Budapest, the capital of Hungary. "That's why we're here, but ultimately the Hungarian people are going to be sovereigns because that's how it should be." Following Vance’s return to the U.S., Trump weighed in on Truth Social Friday: "My Administration stands ready to use the full economic might of the United States to strengthen Hungary’s Economy, as we have done for our great allies in the past, if Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and the Hungarian People ever need it. We are excited to invest in the future prosperity that will be generated by Orbán’s continued leadership!" Orbán’s strained relationship with the European Union comes from his positioning on Russia’s war against Ukraine, his country’s firm support of Israel and his hard stance on not accepting migrants, which led to EU financial sanctions for his refusal to open the country's border to foreigners. The country’s GDP per capita (what the average person earns annually) rose to nearly $17,000 last year, up from approximately $12,000 in 2014, according to Trading Economics data. However, it’s not all good. Inflation has recently been relatively high at an annual rate of 4.9%, and business sentiment has been consistently negative since August 2022. The polls shows Magyar’s Tisza party with 50% of the vote and Orbán’s Fidesz party behind at 39% as of April 9, 'according to Politico'. If the opposition wins, there’s a chance that the EU unlocks the frozen funds, which are around 7% of the GDP, Wood, portfolio manager at William Blair Investment Management, told. (Source: Fox News - U.S.)

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2026. IV. 10 -11. II. Europe/Hungary, European Commission, France, Ireland, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States

2026.04.12. 19:06 Eleve

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Europe

France
11/04/2026 - 19:29 GMT+2  As a ’self-professed illiberal’, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has governed Hungary for nearly 16 years, reshaping its institutions, challenging EU norms and positioning himself as the leading voice of nationalist conservatism on the continent. He rose from liberal student, dissident activist to Europe's most polarising leader, self-described champion of illiberal democracy which is one of the most striking - and polarising - political reinventions in post-communist central and eastern Europe. Viktor Orbán first came to public attention in June 1989, when as a 26-year-old student he addressed the crowd at the state reburial of Imre Nagy and other victims of the 1956 anti-Soviet uprising. His call for the withdrawal of Soviet troops - delivered at a moment when many opposition figures remained cautious - made him a voice of a new political generation. Fidesz, the party he helped lead, began as a liberal youth movement. Over the following decade, Orbán transformed it into a centre-right nationalist force, as post-communist Hungary made its shift from a planned to a market economy. Orbán first became premier in 1998 at the age of 35, making him one of the youngest leaders to hold the office in central Europe at the time. His first government oversaw Hungary's accession to NATO in March 1999 and advanced the country's EU membership path, completed under a subsequent administration in 2004. Fidesz lost both the 2002 and 2006 elections to the Hungarian Socialist Party. During his years in opposition, Orbán sharpened a political argument focused on national sovereignty, arguing that liberal dominance in media and public institutions constrained Hungary's self-determination. Orbán won the 2010 election with a two-thirds supermajority, giving Fidesz the parliamentary votes to amend the constitution. His government introduced a new Fundamental Law - Hungary's replacement constitution - along with a series of electoral and institutional reforms. Supporters argued these measures restored political stability and asserted national sovereignty. Opponents said they concentrated power in the executive and weakened judicial and media independence. Fidesz has won every parliamentary election since. The government has faced repeated legal challenges from EU institutions over the rule of law, press freedom and judicial independence. Budapest has consistently rejected those characterisations. In a July 2014 speech ’at Băile Tușnad in Romania’, Orbán set out his governing philosophy explicitly, arguing that Hungary should move beyond liberal democratic frameworks while preserving core freedoms. He described his model as an illiberal state. The term became a favourite among nationalist movements across Europe and beyond, but drew criticism from Western governments and EU institutions. Orbán has since promoted Hungary as a model for right-wing and ’far-right’ parties in France, Italy, Spain, the US and elsewhere. His annual speech at ’Băile Tușnad’ draws European conservatives every summer. Hungary under Orbán has maintained membership of NATO and the EU while simultaneously cultivating relationships with Russia, China and Turkey ’that have repeatedly brought it into conflict with partners in both blocs’. Orbán met Russian President Putin on multiple occasions before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. He has maintained economic ties - including a major gas supply contract and a nuclear energy agreement with the Russian state company Rosatom - since then. Since 2022, Hungary has been the most prominent EU member state to resist the 27-member bloc's consensus on military support for Ukraine. Orbán has argued that arms transfers prolong the war. Hungary's priority is keeping the country out of the war. Other EU governments and NATO allies have described that position as effectively providing ’diplomatic cover’ for Moscow, a charge Budapest rejects. Meanwhile, Orbán's governance has drawn sustained interest from the American right. US Vice President Vance travelled to Budapest earlier this week and addressed a rally days before the Hungarian parliamentary election, urging voters, "we have got to get Viktor Orbán re-elected as prime minister of Hungary, don’t we?" US President Trump, whom Vance called by phone during the event, told the crowd that Orbán "kept your country good" and that the US was "with him all the way." Vance had previously said in 2024 that Orbán "made some smart decisions that we could learn from in the United States." Other prominent US conservatives, like Rubio, Bannon and Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) chairman Schlapp have all visited Budapest. Former Fox News host and influential right-wing commentator Carlson devoted a week of broadcasts from Budapest. Orbán keynoted the CPAC in 2023, while Hungary hosts its European ’spinoff’. The Heritage Foundation described Hungary's institutional model as a governing template, and analysts have documented links between architects of the Project 2025 policy blueprint and Fidesz-aligned think tanks. As his star power grew in the US, Orbán and his policies were met with significant pushback from Europe and its leadership. ’The European Commission has frozen around €18 billion in EU funds over rule of law concerns, and Hungary forfeited more than €1 billion in cohesion funding at the end of 2025’ after failing to implement required anti-corruption ’reforms’ by the deadline. The European Parliament triggered the Article 7 rule of law procedure against Hungary in 2018 - the mechanism that can strip a member state of voting rights, although the European Council never brought it to a vote. Fidesz left the ’centre-right’ European People's Party (EPP) grouping in 2021. The tensions came to a head in October 2024, when European Commission President der Leyen confronted Orbán directly at the European Parliament in Strasbourg, asking whether he would ’blame the Hungarians for the Soviet invasion of 1956 - drawing a parallel to his position on Ukraine’. Orbán called the comparison a humiliation and rejected it outright. Orbán, now 62, wants to extend a political dominance that has lasted more than a quarter century. After more than 15 years of continuous government, Fidesz faces a domestic political challenge that analysts and ’opposition figures say is more competitive than at any point since 2010’, among economic pressures and the emergence of ’a more consolidated opposition embodied in the Tisza Party’. Yet Orbán remains one of the most influential figures in European conservative politics - and one of the most contested. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)
by "Tanács"

11/04/2026 - 19:25 GMT+2  From insider to ’rival’. In just two years, Magyar has grown from a virtually unknown figure in Hungarian politics. He was anything but an outsider when it came to the politics of Fidesz Party, his former political home. Mádl, the President of Hungary, was Magyar's godfather. He received his degree from the law faculty of Pázmány Péter Catholic University in 2004. Lawyer Erőss, Magyar's grandfather was well-known TV personality. While at university, he befriended Gulyás, now Minister of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's office. Gulyás introduced Péter to Judit, - the future Hungarian justice minister Varga, - who being sent to Brussels by the Orbán government was dealing with EU affairs. With Varga, Magyar had three children after marrying her in 2006. The family moved back to Hungary in 2018. Later Varga became the country's justice minister. And Magyar was appointed to the board of directors of the state-owned road operation and maintenance company. He later was on the board of several other state companies and became head of of the government's student loan provider. Magyar and Varga, the justice minister during that period, divorced in 2023. He was largely unknown to the public until a scandal broke out in early 2024. The pardoning of a convicted child abuser's accomplice led to the resignation of the president as well as Varga's retirement from politics. The Fidesz Party blamed Varga, who signed the pardon decision in her capacity as justice minister. Magyar took to Facebook within hours. He spoke out against the Orbán government, accused it of corruption. Magyar outlined abuses which he had personally witnessed, such as being forced to favour people close to Orbán during his time as head of the national student loan provider. Within a matter of days 'he' organised a rally in Budapest on Andrássy Avenue which attracted tens of thousands. Capitalising on his newfound support, Magyar took over the previously unknown Tisza Party. Hungarian voters appeared to have become increasingly disillusioned with other opposition parties. With Tisza finishing second behind the ruling coalition, he ran as a candidate in the 2024 European Parliament elections and won a seat as MEP. 'A number of allegations have been made against at him since then, including accusations of ’domestic abuse’ from his former wife, spying. In a bizarre incident that took place in February this year, Magyar said he was blackmailed by government figures with a sex tape showing him and his former partner, secretly recorded in a Budapest flat in 2024. ’Polls’ indicate that his ’popularity’ has been largely unaffected. A document was recently posted by media online, claiming to be the Tisza Party's tax programme, but its authenticity was never confirmed. The Tisza president has made a point of travelling extensively to meet voters. Towards the end of the election campaign, he spoke in seven cities within a single day. Overall, Magyar's ’promise’ to voters is simple: a functioning country with a Western identity and Christian-conservative politics, but without what he calls the corruption of Fidesz. He has promised to improve public services in the country, and undertake 'reforms that will unfreeze billions of Euros that the EU had allocated for Hungary. Magyar's views on immigration are 'even stricter than Orbán's, as he has said he would end the government's guest worker programme’. His position on LGBTQ issues is vague. Magyar is generally distrustful of the media, often clashes with them. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)
by Siposhegyi

Ireland
Saturday, 11 April 2026  Around 600 of Ireland’s 1,600 gas stations have run out of fuel amid the ongoing blockades of the three fuel depots. Disruptions continue across the country. Fuels for Ireland CEO McPartlan warned that if the situation continues, access to fuel terminals remains blocked, up to two-thirds of petrol stations could be out of stock by the end of the day. He said Ireland has sufficient fuel supplies but access to terminals is needed to restore distribution. McPartlan is urging the public not to panic buy. He added that it could take several days, or up to a week, to fully restock stations once access is restored. McPartlan also said he was disappointed with the state response ahead of the protests, adding that a lessons-learned exercise will be carried out once the situation is resolved. If the Gardai (Irish police) can secure those routes in and out of those terminals, as we hope they will do today, we should be able to start restoring normal service, he said. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

European Commission
11 April 2026  EU foreign policy chief Kallas said Europe has not received sufficient support from Gulf countries over Russia’s war on Ukraine, stressing that cooperation among allies must be mutual, not one-sided. ’We haven’t seen … the Gulf countries helping us there,’ she said in an interview with CNN yesterday, referring to the Russia-Ukraine war. ’It can’t be only one-way street.’ ’Let’s be honest, we haven’t created the situation,’ Kallas said, defending the bloc’s role in regional security amid criticism of EU inaction to ease tensions. She said the EU is doing a lot for the region, pointing to naval operations aimed at keeping the Red Sea open, as well as support for Lebanese armed forces and backing for a two-state solution and the Palestinian Authority. Pakistan, together with Türkiye, China, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, managed to secure a two-week ceasefire between Washington and Tehran this week, 40 days after the war began. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

United Kingdom
(Saturday), 11 April 2026  Magyar attempts to end 16 years of continuous rule by Viktor Orbán's party Fidesz. ’We're at the gates of a two-thirds majority victory’, he told cheering supporters, before mingling for selfies. His final campaign stop will be in the second city, Debrecen. Orbán, who ’trails in most of the polls’, will address a rally in Budapest. His biggest threat is that he is facing a public anger, largely channelled into one single opposition movement, led by a former Fidesz insider who rebelled. Perhaps the biggest rally of all came yesterday night, when tens of thousands of Hungarians crammed the capital's Heroes' Square and surrounding streets for an anti-Fidesz concert. I don't believe I'd vote for [Magyar] in an ideal situation, but this is our only chance, said first-time voter Fanni, who came with her mother from a village two hours' drive away. The Fidesz leader has been buoyed, first by a two-day campaign visit from US Vice-President Vance, and then late yesterday by President Trump's pledge to use the full Economic Might of the United States to strengthen Hungary's Economy if Orbán won the election. There may only be 9.6 million people in this landlocked Central European nation, but Orbán has made himself a key player on the international stage. He is a close partner of both Trump and Russia's Putin, and has become a big thorn in the side of his European allies in the EU and his neighbour Ukraine. ’Some’ pro-Fidesz pollsters do still give the veteran prime minister the edge and there are plenty of shy Fidesz voters who will support him. ’We could lose everything we have built, he warns his audience, and calls for national unity in a time of difficulty. His attempt to identify the EU and Zelensky as Hungary's main threat has failed to dent his challenger's average 10-point lead ’in the opinion polls’. Most of the running in this election has come from Magyar, who now believes victory is in his sights, having criss-crossed the country. It was time to rewrite history with ’regime change’, he told the crowd. He is at heart a ’centre-right conservative’, who held ’key roles’ for years in Fidesz before deciding to establish a grassroots movement called Tisza to drive them from power. Political analyst Végh 'of the German Marshall Fund of the US' says there has been a clear shift away from Orbán among younger voters aged 18-29, with ’opinion polls’ giving Fidesz less than 10% of the younger vote. ’There are overall shifts in terms of the smaller towns and to a lesser extent in the villages too towards the opposition which have been Fidesz strongholds,’ she says. Végh says the numbers that Magyar has been able to attract are unprecedented: ’What I find very telling is the extent of engagement and mobilisation.’ If he were to achieve a majority in parliament it would mean an end to Orbán rule and many of his policies, but without winning two-thirds of seats he will struggle to scrap much of the Fidesz-supporting infrastructure in the judiciary and elsewhere. To do that he needs to overturn Fidesz's long-running control of a swathe of towns and cities, such as Székesfehérvár, Hungary's medieval city of kings. This was the scene of Orbán's penultimate campaign trip yesterday night. A pensioner called Agota, complained about the opposition's intention to embrace the EU and Ukraine: ’Their approach to Hungary is not what it should be. It's a realistic fear to be dragged into the war.’ Anti-EU and anti-Ukraine rhetoric is a staple of the Orbán campaign, repeated on pro-Orbán TV and news sites, and portrayed by Fidesz posters of Zelensky alongside Magyar with the words ’They are dangerous!’ underneath. One of Hungary's richest men, Wáberer, has accused Fidesz of ’fear-mongering’ about the EU and Ukraine while ’cosying up’ to the Kremlin. ’12 April is a fateful date: you will decide whether you want to belong to Europe or to the Russians!’ he said, prompting an angry response from the state secretary in Orbán's office, who said he was betraying the party and selling out. Magyar ’has welcomed Russian ’propaganda’ TV crews to his rallies’, telling them that they can look forward to real regime change, and his supporters have chanted Russians go home, a sign that many Hungarians have had enough. The words ’Russians go home’ resonate here, dating back to 1956 when Moscow sent in the tanks to crush Hungary's revolution against Soviet occupation. The same chant was repeated at an Orbán rally too, where protesters disrupted the prime minister's speech. Orbán's ties to Putin have meant cheap fuel supplies for Hungarians throughout Russia's full-scale war in Ukraine. In Székesfehérvár, Eva, 73, believes it is time for a change, while her daughter-in-law Andrea sees Magyar as arrogant and his supporters loud. Fidesz rule has to stop, they stole a lot and the country's dying, says Eva, who believes 90% of people here still back them. ’Tisza supporters only see the bad things about Orbán,’ Andrea retorts. If you look around in the city, they renovated six schools, and built new buildings in the hospital. That may be true, Eva argues, but she complains many of the public contracts in Hungary have been mired in corruption. ’Corruption and cronyism have pushed many Orbán voters away from the governing party’, both on a local and a national level. Big public contracts were handed to his inner circle and independent media companies were bought up by his allies. After 16 years in charge, Fidesz ’may finally have run out of road’. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)
by Kirby, Europe digital editor, in Budapest

Europe / Hungary
2026. III. 23 - IV. 10.  Europe Elects: Truth in Polling is a publicly accessible database*** that systematically maps and profiles organisations across Europe that publish voting intention data. The database focuses on actors that explicitly or implicitly claim to produce methodologically sound, empirically grounded, and statistically robust polling. By compiling and standardizing information on these organisations, the project seeks to enhance transparency in the European polling landscape and provide researchers, journalists, and the public with a clearer understanding of who produces electoral data and under what conditions. The database does not assume that all listed organisations meet professional polling standards. Instead, it documents variation in methodological practices and highlights cases where organisations diverge from commonly accepted industry norms, such as representative sampling or appropriate statistical inference.

Pollster watch:

Name                          Registration     Key People  / Website
---------
Hungary Ipsos                        2009    (in Hungary Jalůvka (CEO)           
                                                                              https://www.ipsos.com/
Hungary Társadalomkutató      2023    Juhász (Research Director)           
                                                                              https://tarsadalomkutato.hu/
Hungary 21 Kutatóközpont       2020    Róna (Director)                               
                                                                              https://21kutatokozpont.hu
Hungary IDEA                          2017    Böcskei (Strategic Director)           
                                                                              https://www.ideaintezet.hu/en
Hungary Závecz Research         2015    Závecz (Founder and Director)       
                                                                              https://www.zaveczresearch.hu/
Hungary Alapjogokért Központ   2013    Szánthó (Director General)             
                                                                              https://alapjogokert.hu/en/
Hungary Iránytű                       2011    Forrai (Owner)                               
                                                                              http://iranytuintezet.hu/
Hungary Republikon                  2010    Horn (Pres. of Republikon Found.) 
                                                                              http://republikon.hu/
Hungary Nézőpont                    2006    Mráz (Director)                                 
                                                                              https://nezopont.hu/
Hungary Publicus                      2006    Pulai (Strategic Director)                 
                                                                              https://publicus.hu/
Hungary e-benchmark               1996    'Unknown'                                       
                                                                              https://www.e-benchmark.hu/
Hungary Real-PR 93                  1993    Sóvágó (Managing Director)           
                                                                              http://realpr93.hu/
Hungary Századvég                  1993    Fűrész (CEO)                                   
                                                                              https://szazadveg.hu/
Hungary Medián                       1989    Hann (Director)                                 
                                                                              https://median.hu

(Source: Europe Elects)

-------------------------------------

Pre-Election Polling Average:

Tisza (EPP) /April 7, 2026/: 52%;    FIDESZ+KDNP (PfE) 41%;   

MH (ESN) /April 7, 2026/: 8%;        DK (S&D) /April 7, 2026/: 5%;   

MKKP (-G/EFA) /April 9, 2026/: 1%; Others /April 10, 2026/: 0%

---------------------------------------

Pre-Election Seat Projections:

                               FIDESZ-KDNP    Hadházy    Mi Hazánk    ORÖ    Tisza

Taktikaiszavazás.hu (6 4 10): 62                         6                  1         130
Vox Populi (6 4 5):                83                         6                             110
Nézőpont (6 3 23-24)          109           1            8                   1          80
Medián (6 4 8):                     52                        5                   1         141
Minerva (6 4 10):                  80                                             1         118

-----------

Context:

The Varieties of Democracy project classifies Hungary as an 'electoral autocracy', meaning that elections are held but are not fully free and fair, with 'the playing field tilted in favour of incumbents'. Hungary is represented in the European Council by Prime Minister Viktor Orbán (Fidesz), who – at the European level – is associated with the right-wing Patriots for Europe (PfE) group chaired by Bardella. Alongside Andrej Babiš, Orbán is the only PfE European council member. At the national level, Fidesz is in an electoral and parliamentary alliance with the right-wing KDNP (PfE) party. The Tisza party of opposition leader Magyar is affiliated with the 'centre-right' EPP, associated with figures such as der Leyen and Weber. The EPP currently holds 10 out of 27 seats in the European Council. The 'far-right' Mi Hazánk (MH) is affiliated at the European level with the ESN group led by the Alternative for Germany. Democratic Coalition (DK) is affiliated with the centre-left Party of European Socialists. The Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP), widely described as a satire party, does not belong to any group but has expressed an intention to join the Greens/EFA group. Designated national minority lists are not affiliated with European party families. The German minority list MNOÖ is projected to lose parliamentary representation for the first time since gaining it in 2018. The ORÖ list of the Roma may win parliamentary representation for the first time. ((Source: Europe Elects

*** Contributors: Miclea (CTO); Özturan (Data Analyst, Türkiye); Telegdi (Data Analyst, Hungary); Langer (Data Analyst, Georgia); Kostov (Data Analyst, Bulgaria); Schminke (Project Lead)/

Eurasia

Turkey
11 April 2026  Elections - crucial vote. Hungary heads to the polls on Sunday in a vote that could redefine the country’s political trajectory, as Prime Minister Viktor Orbán faces one of the most closely contested elections of his long tenure. More than 8 million eligible voters are expected to cast their ballots, deciding the composition of the country’s 199-seat National Assembly under a mixed electoral system that combines constituency races with proportional representation. Of the 199 seats, 106 are elected in single-member constituencies, while 93 are distributed via national party lists, with a 5% threshold required to enter parliament. Orbán’s Fidesz party remains a central force, but opposition leader Magyar’s Tisza party leads in many polls. After more than a decade in power, Orbán and his ruling nationalist-populist Fidesz party enter the 2026 parliamentary elections amid mounting economic pressures, shifting voter sentiment, and a more consolidated opposition landscape than in previous cycles. For years, Orbán has dominated Hungarian politics, reshaping institutions and promoting what he has called an “illiberal state.” But this election introduces a more competitive dynamic. Rising living costs, inflationary pressures, and lingering concerns over public services have placed economic management at the center of the campaign. In this atmosphere, the opposition Tisza Party, led by Magyar, has rapidly gained momentum, positioning itself as a reform-oriented and pro-European alternative. A projection released by polling agency 'Median' suggests Tisza Party is on track to secure a two-thirds parliamentary majority, a result that would allow it to amend the constitution and overhaul key legislation. The survey places support for Tisza at 58%, compared to 33% for Orbán’s ruling Fidesz party, marking a significantly wider gap than in earlier polls. It estimates that Tisza could secure between 138 and 143 seats in parliament, while Fidesz is projected to suffer a heavy defeat, winning between 49 and 55 seats and securing only limited victories in individual constituencies. Several other parties are also participating in the election, although Hungary’s 5% parliamentary threshold makes it challenging for them to secure representation in the National Assembly. These include the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP), known for its satirical and anti-establishment messaging, particularly among younger and urban voters. The LMP, Hungary's Green Party, focuses on environmental protection, sustainability, and anti-corruption policies. Although it has previously secured parliamentary representation, its support base has fluctuated. The Momentum Movement, a liberal-centrist party popular among pro-European and urban voters, has also faced challenges maintaining momentum since its initial rise. Meanwhile, Jobbik, once a major far-right force that has since repositioned itself toward the center-right, has seen its influence decline, with its electoral strength now uncertain.   Beyond Hungary’s borders, the vote is being closely followed across the EU. Relations between Budapest and Brussels have been strained in recent years over rule-of-law concerns, judicial independence, and media freedom. At the same time, Hungary’s stance on issues such as Ukraine, sanctions on Russia, and migration policy has often diverged from the EU mainstream. On EU integration, opposition leader Magyar stated he is not a big fan of this federal European superstate, so I believe in strong member states and 'a strong EU. He has also said ’he would join the European Public Prosecutor’s Office, the EU body’ tasked with investigating fraud against the bloc’s budget.   However, Tisza has signaled limits to its pro-European shift, 'particularly on issues tied to national sovereignty. The party has expressed opposition to the EU’s Migration Pact, which requires member states to either accept relocated asylum seekers or make financial contributions to countries under migratory pressure. The party, which is leading Fidesz in most ’independent polls, has said it would abandon what it describes as the current government’s ’inflated’ use of veto power within the EU’.   At the international level, the election has also drawn attention from Washington. US President Trump voiced strong support for Orbán, urging Hungarian voters to back him in the upcoming vote. “He fights tirelessly for, and loves, his Great Country and People, just like I do for the United States of America,” Trump said on his social media platform Truth Social. Trump added that Orbán had worked to protect Hungary’s national interests while maintaining law and order, noting that relations between the US and Hungary reached “new heights” during his presidency.    Party positions and EU-Ukraine dimension: Foreign policy remains an important but secondary dimension of Hungary’s electoral debate, alongside domestic economic issues. ’A survey conducted by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)’ found that 77% of respondents support Hungary’s continued membership in the European Union, while 75% express trust in EU institutions. The same survey shows that 68% of respondents prefer ’reform’ of Hungary’s relationship with the EU rather than withdrawal. Still, voters aligned with Fidesz tend to be more skeptical of EU policies, while ’supporters of Tisza are more likely to place their trust in European institutions and the broader project of integration’. This divide becomes even more pronounced on the issue of Ukraine. Supporters of Fidesz show markedly greater skepticism toward EU financial and military backing for Kyiv, while those backing Tisza are more inclined to see Ukraine as a partner and support continued European ’engagement’. “There will be no war under the Tisza government, and there will be no conscription. Anyone who claims otherwise is lying,’ Magyar said in January.   Turnout has remained relatively high in Hungary compared with many European countries. According to data from IFES (International Foundation for Electoral Systems), turnout levels have generally fluctuated between 60% and 70% in recent parliamentary cycles. In the 2022 parliamentary election, official results showed turnout at approximately 69%. Yet turnout is uneven across the country. Analysts say the constituency races, particularly in competitive urban districts, could prove decisive in determining the final balance of power. Urban centers such as Budapest have tended to favor opposition parties, while rural regions remain strongholds for Orbán’s Fidesz-KDNP alliance. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)
by Dayanç

North America

United States
April 11, 2026 5:04 PM ET  As Hungarians head into a national election on Sunday, Orbán is facing a double-digit deficit ’in the polls’, despite a last-minute rally in Budapest on Tuesday with U.S. Vice President Vance. The vote might bring an end to Orbán's 16-year hold on power and could reshape the country's role in Europe. The leader of the opposition, Magyar, a former insider from Orbán's Fidesz Party, has shone a light on the Orbán government's corruption and the country's poverty in his speeches. Hungary is ’the most corrupt state’ in the European Union, according to ’Transparency International’, an organization that aims to combat corruption. ’The EU has blocked billions in funding to Orbán's government for its alleged assault on the bloc's principles of democracy and equality’. „NPR reached out to Orbán's spokesman for comment about the corruption allegations, but he did not respond’. In the past, Orbán has denied accusations of corruption. At a rally this week, Magyar told supporters the country is, destined for much more ’than for those in power to ruin, steal, and turn it into the poorest and most corrupt country in Europe.’ A massive soccer stadium built to seat 4,000 fans, seems out of place in the tiny Hungarian village of Felcsút. The village, nearly an hour drive from Budapest, Hungary's capital, has a population that would only fill half the stadium. But the open-air architectural gem, made of curved wooden beams that jut dramatically upwards and resemble a cathedral, wasn't built in just any village. Felcsút is the hometown of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, and his family's weekend home sits across the street from the stadium, which carries the nickname of Puskás, Hungary's most famous soccer player from the 1950s. The stadium in Felcsút, alongside an adjoining soccer academy, cost more than an estimated $200 million to build, and for political observers like Léderer, it is a prime example of that corruption. Léderer runs a group called K-Monitor, an anti-corruption watchdog that maintains public databases of government spending. His work has been used ’by the European Union and has earned him a fellowship from the Obama Foundation'. He regularly takes people to see the stadium as a demonstration of how Orbán's leadership has drained the country of critical investment, explaining that money for these projects often goes to Orbán's family and friends, who have become very wealthy. They were all getting tax breaks on this, and that's money that would have ended up in the national budget and could have gone to hospitals, schools and things that have a little more benefit to Hungarian society. You can clearly see where money is missing, Léderer said. A short walk from the stadium is a train station for a 3-mile narrow-gauge railway that connects Felcsút to a nearby village where Orbán has built his family's estate: Puskás Akadémia stop on the The Vál Valley Light Railway. It cost $3 million to build and included $2 million in funding from the EU. Now trains only run on the weekends; The proposed ridership for the line was 2,000 people per day, but the annual use has barely reached that level. In Alcsút, a nearby village, ’Hadházy, a member' of parliament, led another tour - he rented a bus and brought more than 60 residents from Budapest here to see what he calls Orbán-land. Hatvanpuszta Castle, once the property of Archduke Joseph of Habsburg 150 years ago, is a manor owned by Orbán's family in Alcsút. It was a protected monument, but then Orbán's father purchased and demolished the structure. He later built a multi-story mansion and complex in its place, the Neoclassical mansion. There is also a golf course, which is owned and run by the richest man in Hungary, Mészáros, who grew up with Orbán in Felcsút. ’Hadházy’ explained that the Orbán family mansion, the rail line, and the soccer stadium have now become part of Hungarian discourse and public opinion. He calls it a gift for those who want to unseat Orbán. (Source: NPR – U.S.)
by Schmitz; Levitt; 'Halmos'; Robbins

(Saturday), April 11, 2026  Vice President Vance visited Hungary this past week. He spoke at and praised Mathias Corvinus Collegium (MCC), an educational institution set up to create a new conservative elite in step with the Russia-friendly and MAGA-aligned views of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. PM Viktor Orbán is seeming vulnerable before Sunday’s vote. Criticism is growing from within institutions his party once counted on for support. With Hungary about to hold a general election that could end Mr. Orbán’s 16 years in power - an outcome that neither Washington nor Moscow wants - Mr. Alkonyi is among a growing list of defectors from institutions that the governing Fidesz party for years counted as loyal allies. Mr. Vance’s laudatory remarks on Wednesday about the 10-year-old college M.C.C., as a bastion of free thinking and common sense, ’stuck in the craw of Alkonyi, a researcher focused on Russia’, who says he has come under pressure to toe the government line. The college, Mr. Alkonyi said in an interview, it has many serious scholars, but it puts pressure on them to speak and publish in support of the government’s line. The chairman of the college’s board of trustees is Orban, who is not related to the prime minister but does serve as his political director. ’For years I had to practice severe self-censorship’ on Russia and the Russian policy of the Hungarian government, said Mr. Alkonyi, 28. He recounted feeling pressure to support, or at least not contradict, Mr.Orbán’s view that Ukraine, not Russia, was the main threat to European security and that the European Union had been foolish in helping Kyiv resist Russian attack. Mr. Alkonyi, who joined M.C.C. in 2022 after a stint working for Hungary’s Foreign Ministry, said the college has only a tiny minority of true believers but many who, after four thumping Fidesz election victories in a row, believed that Mr. Orbán was here to stay so kept quiet. I considered myself a right-winger, too, but I’m not sure anymore, he said. ’I have a crisis of identity like the whole country. Deciding that Fidesz’s rule might not be eternal after all, Mr. Alkonyi last month put a Tisza banner on the balcony of his apartment overlooking a busy Budapest avenue and posted a message on Facebook denouncing ’Russian’ intervention in the Hungarian elections that he said was unprecedented in the European Union in its methods and sophistication. That directly contradicted the government’s line - reinforced by Mr. Vance in public statements during his visit to Hungary - that the only significant interference in the election has come from bureaucrats at the headquarters of the European Union in Brussels, and from Zelensky. Mr. Alkonyi then posted a video contending that M.C.C. employees were pressured to distribute government propaganda. ’I decided to speak up about Russian interference, he added, because this is not a distant issue happening in Moldova or Georgia but in my own country. 'He took vacation time before making the posts and is not due back at work at M.C.C. until after the election'. He said he expected to be reprimanded or fired, but had so far heard nothing from his superiors at M.C.C. Colleagues, he added, had contacted him to express private support. The latest of defectors was Norman Virag, a former senior member of the National Bureau of Investigation, who on Wednesday told an opposition media outlet, that 80 percent of his work involved meeting political expectations, which in one case meant dropping a case against a Russian suspected of being a cybercriminal. 'Others who have broken ranks with the government include Palinkas, a captain in the military who was featured on recruiting posters and attended a military academy in Britain at the same time as Mr. Orbán’s son, Gáspár. Another defector was Berezvai, who recently quit as chief economist at the Hungarian Competition Authority, a state institution under the control of the government. Explaining his departure, he told that he had been prevented from investigating businesses tied to Fidesz. 'Their decisions to abandon ship came as Fidesz slumped in the polls behind Tisza, an upstart opposition party led by Magyar, himself a former Orbán loyalist who split with the governing party in 2024. The polls could well be wrong, as they were in the United States in 2016, but the mere prospect of change has loosened bonds that were based less on ideological affinity with Mr. Orbán than on dependence on Fidesz-controlled institutions for steady work and career advancement. As part of its election program, the opposition Tisza party has promised to claw back assets - primarily shares in a big state oil company - given to M.C.C. by the Fidesz government. ’The party says it will end the practice of using public funds to build political networks. 'Defection often carries a heavy price, said Ivanyi, 74, a Methodist pastor who christened the two eldest children of Mr. Orbán and counted him as an ally in the struggle against Hungary’s Communist government in the 1980s, when both shared a commitment to a liberal, European future for their country. Mr. Orbán was angered by the pastor’s open criticism of Fidesz’s nationalist turn in the 2000s. Since parting ways two decades ago, Mr. Ivanyi has been targeted in a series of media smear campaigns, hit with tax investigations and police raids against a homeless shelter and a school for special-needs children that runs in Budapest. The government stripped his Methodist congregation and scores of others of official recognition, cutting them off from significant state subsidies. Mr. Orbán is very vindictive against those he sees as traitors to his political cause, he said. I’m not even running in this election, but they have a big problem with me because I say they are criminals. he said'. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)
by Higgins, the East and Central Europe bureau chief for The Times based in Warsaw, on temporary assignment in Shanghai; Rutai

.6 4 29

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2026. IV. 10 - 11. Czechia, England, France, Germany, Ireland, Latvia, Schengen Zone, Slovakia, United Kingdom, United States

2026.04.12. 11:44 Eleve

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Europe

Czechia
(Saturday), 11 April 2026  The Czech prime minister expressed support today for Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán ahead of Sunday’s parliamentary election in Hungary. “Supporting Orbán Viktor this Sunday. He has always fought for a stronger Europe,” Andrej Babis said on US social media company X. He described his support for what he called a vision of Europe “one built on peace, sovereign nations, sovereign member states, competitiveness.” “He always protected Hungarian citizens and Hungarian national interests". „In turbulent times, choosing stability and proven leadership matters more than ever,” he added. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

France
(Saturday), 11/04/2026 - 11:55  The Hungarian campaign of the legislative elections on Sunday has seen ’a major escalation in interference, including documented influence operations, disinformation campaigns and reports of intelligence-linked activities’, says Zgut-Przybylska, 42, a research affiliate at the Democracy Institute of the Central European University in Budapest. Hungary's elections are being closely watched in Moscow. Russia ’has also tried’ to help Orban leverage the war in neighbouring Ukraine to reframe the election as „an existential choice between Peace and stability under Fidesz” and ‘Chaos and war' under Tisza, she says. Challenger Magyar’s Tisza party is ’significantly ahead in polls’. Hungary ’has consistently acted as a Trojan Horse of the Kremlin who worked against EU decisions on Ukraine and sanctions against Russia’, Zgut-Przybylska says. A Magyar win could mean the Kremlin might actively work to weaken a new Hungarian government that was looking to normalise relations with the EU, she says. Russia still has allies in Europe beyond Hungary – notably in rightwing Prime Minister Robert Fico's Slovakia, which would, however, be a weaker replacement as a Russian partner since it is more integrated into the European system and thus has less room for manoeuvre. Slovakia ’is part of the eurozone, [so] Fico has more constraints within the EU decision-making system and is less isolated’ than Hungary, Zgut-Przybylska says. Moscow ’has also been accused of dispatching a team of election specialists – linked to the GRU, Russian military intelligence’ – to Budapest to closely monitor the interference operations. The appointment of Boyarskaya, a former interpreter for Russian President Putin, to the observer team overseeing the vote for the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) ’has come under fire. An open letter signed by 56 members of the European Parliament last week called for Boyarskaya to be removed from the role, ’citing her ties to’ Moscow. ’What we are seeing is not interference but the collusion’ between the Hungarian government and Russia, says Shekhovtsov, 48.*** Prime Minister Viktor Orban has long been Russian President Putin's ’closest ally’ his most loyal and reliable partner within the European Union, a position only underscored by the leak last week of a conversation in which Orban said he was ready to help Putin in any way he can’ - "I am at your service," he told the Russian president. An internal intelligence report for Russia’s SVR intelligence service revealed in March outlined ’a strategy dubbed the Gamechanger, which included staging an assassination attempt against Orban to fundamentally alter the entire paradigm of the election campaign’. Shekhovtsov noted that US Vice President Vance’s joint appearance with Orban in Budapest earlier this week was another attempt by foreign interests to influence the vote and rightwing US President Trump has even promised to boost Hungary’s economy if Orban wins re-election. No one expects Budapest to cut ties with Moscow, says Shekhovtsov. And any real break from Russia can only happen if Tisza secures a comfortable majority in Sunday's vote, which would allow it to avoid making significant ideological compromises just to form a government. There are a lot of structural reasons for Hungary to want to continue to push for access to Russian oil and gas, Toomey, a specialist in populism in Central Europe at the University of Glasgow notes. Russia might still be able to rely on Hungarian help even if Magyar wins. Opposition challenger Magyar, a former member of Orban's Fidesz who advocates a more pro-European policy, ’is leading by some 10 points in the polls’. He is unlikely to make a complete break with Moscow. While Magyar is more likely than Orban to be supportive of Ukraine – that does not necessarily mean he will always fall into line. While the EU has called for all member states to end their reliance on Russian energy by 2027, Magyar has already made clear that Hungary would not be able to do this before 2035. An electorate of disgruntled voters want the government to do more to help them in their daily lives, including in areas like public education and health care. (Source: France 24)
by Seibt (His writings are distributed worldwide by MSN, Yahoo, more)
*** (Ukrainian visiting professor at the Central European University in Vienna, Austria, an expert on the links between Moscow and Europe's ’far-right’ parties,’member of the board of the open access journal Fascism: Journal of Comparative Fascist Studies.’

11/04/2026 - 09:50 Days before Hungarians head to the polls in an election that ’stands to define their country's place in Europe’, opponents of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán are hoping ’his ties to Russia’ will drive voters to end his 16 years in power. The final weeks of campaigning have been marked by claims of ’Russian’ involvement and attempted manipulation. Nordic, ’the Russian feminist activist, who lives in exile in Vienna’, is in Budapest this week to open Women Against War, an exhibition documenting the persecution of women in Russia who have opposed the Kremlin's invasion of Ukraine. ’It's really important to open it in Budapest because Orbán's government is a big ally of Russia and Russian propaganda is very strong in Hungary,’ Lölja tells. I think Viktor Orbán ’is a threat for human rights in Europe – same as Putin’, she told. ’We want to open the information for Hungarian people’ to see what's really going on in Russia and what Putin's regime is really about – and ’who is the friend of Viktor Orbán.’ ’Nordic fled Russia after facing arrests, house searches and a terrorism case’. *** Nordic says ’she knows from experience how disinformation hollows out democracy’. Showing the truth, Nordic says, is one of the easiest ways to resist. As the 12 April vote approaches, ’polls show the opposition Tisza Party, headed by Magyar, leading Orbán's Fidesz by 19 to 23 percent’. Media bias, ’alleged’ foreign interference and an ’electoral system structured to favour the ruling party’ mean the playing field remains far from even. 'Orbán's foreign minister was embroiled in controversy after a Washington Post investigation alleged he had regularly leaked sensitive EU meeting information to Moscow. Then on Sunday, Serbian police discovered several kilograms of explosives near the TurkStream gas pipeline that carries Russian gas to Hungary' – evidence, Orbán and his allies claimed, of a plot against his government, possibly by Ukraine. ’Polling by Gallup shows that more than a quarter of adults in Hungary see politics and government as the country's single greatest concern, and more than half lack faith that its elections are honest’. Approval of EU leadership ’remains higher’, at 42 percent. Russia enjoys a 29 percent approval rating among Hungarians, ’according to Gallup's poll’ – a rebound after it fell to 14 percent following the invasion of Ukraine. ’Transparency International’ has ranked Hungary ’as the most corrupt’ member of the EU for the fourth consecutive year. Magyar has framed Sunday's vote ’as a choice between Brussels and Moscow’, with Orbán collecting endorsements from critics of the EU, including US President Trump and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni. Meanwhile United States Vice-President Vance openly endorsed Orbán during a visit to Budapest, where he „accused the European Union of interfering in Hungary's election’ „. (Source: rfi - France)
by: van der Made
*** Note: Activist known for her work in eco-feminist and anarchist movements, and with the ’Left Alternative’ organization. (Source: AI)

10/04/2026 - 17:02  Is Viktor Orban 'Russia's Trojan horse in the EU'? Frequent official meetings with President Putin, staunch opposition to European aid packages to Ukraine, a 'Kremlin hotline with live updates' on EU summits - all of these factors could play into voters' considerations ahead of Hungary's legislative elections on Sunday. (Source: France 24)
video
by Saha

Germany
10/04/2026 - 17:19 GMT+2  A claim that Hungarian opposition leader Magyar plans to bring back military conscription in Hungary has spread online. His party’s manifesto explicitly rules this out, stating that, if elected, a Tisza government will not reintroduce conscription either after the election or any time in the future. The manifesto also rules out sending Hungarian troops to Ukraine or other conflicts, while calling for increased military spending and strengthened national defence. The allegation, shared on X and Facebook alongside an image mimicking a news broadcast, claims that Magyar told voters at a campaign rally that Hungary needs conscription 'to get ready for war.’ Researchers at the Gnida Project, an open-source investigative unit which tracks Russian disinformation, ’have linked the theory to Storm-1516, a Russian propagandist group' that spreads claims online to further the interests of the government in Moscow. The group was first recognised in 2023 by a group of researchers at Clemson University in South Carolina, and ’has since been identified in multiple election campaigns, including in the US and Germany’. Microsoft’s Threat Analysis Centre, a specialised team that detects foreign state influence operations, said in a 2024 report that the group formed part of a network of Russian influence actors that use synchronised techniques to try and discredit Democratic candidates in the final weeks of three US presidential campaigns. In December 2025, the German government summoned the Russian ambassador over allegations that ’the group had interfered in the country’s federal elections.’ A report from the Institute of Strategic Dialogue, an 'independent' non-profit think tank based in London, found that ’pro-Kremlin information operations, including Storm-1516 have increased their activity in Hungary over the past few weeks, focusing their efforts on discrediting Magyar and his party’. Storm-1516 impersonated Euronews by creating a report and accompanying website that claimed Magyar insulted Trump at a campaign rally. The website impersonating Euronews was one of six newly created websites linked to Storm-1516 that were all registered in two weeks and spread claims about the Hungarian opposition. The sites shared content in both English and Hungarian, suggesting an intent to target both audiences. Storm-1516's theories have ranged from implicating members of Tisza to the Epstein files and accusing Magyar of funnelling financial aid from the EU to Ukraine. Lakmusz, a Hungarian fact-checking website, reported that posts linked to Storm 1516 were attempting to discredit Forsthoffer, Tisza’s vice president, by alleging she was implicated in sex offender Epstein’s sex trafficking ring. One campaign identified by the Gnida Project used a video with an investigation from the European Centre for Investigative Journalism - a non-existent organisation. The video claimed that Magyar was involved in a scheme to funnel $16.7 million (€14.3 million) in EU aid funds to Ukraine and alleged that a trip Magyar made to Ukraine in 2024 to visit a hospital damaged by a Russian strike was a ruse to deliver the money. They are using different websites to target the Hungarian audience and the international audience to proliferate the same narrative, the Gnida Project said. For example, after Vance’s visit to Hungary, in which he endorsed Orbán, an English-language campaign appeared claiming that Magyar had withdrawn from the election, mimicking a Sky News report. (Source: euronews - based in Lyon, France)
by Paternoster from Berlin/Brandenburg, Belgium and City, London. (Her writings are distributed worldwide by MSN, Yahoo and Euronews - ending with Brazilian newspaper Espaço Antifascista / Antifascist Space / in this article: ’Líder do partido de extrema direita austríaco perde imunidade’ / Por Paternoster Via Euronews Data 10/12/2024)

April 10, 2026 5:58 PM CET  An attack on an oil pipeline in northern Italy put the supply of gasoline, diesel and aviation fuel to southern Germany at risk in late March. The incident meant crude oil supply to Miro, Germany’s largest refinery near Karlsruhe, via the Transalpine Pipeline was interrupted for several days. According to the company, the refinery supplies 10 million people every day with fuels and heating oil, and also provides district heating to thousands of households in Karlsruhe. ’We received no crude oil through the TAL pipeline for three days, until around 2 a.m. on March 30, and had to rely on our existing crude oil stocks,’ a spokeswoman from the Miro refinery confirmed. There had been no disruption to filling station supplies. The Bayernoil refinery was also affected by the outage. Its sites in Neustadt and Vohburg, in Bavaria, likewise had to bridge the three-day disruption by drawing on local storage reserves. The pipeline failure was caused by an attack on the power supply of a pumping station near Terzo di Tolmezzo in the Italian Alps. The outage was an act of sabotage. The attack on the pipeline came at a sensitive moment for Germany. Fuels and natural gas are not yet in short supply, however bottlenecks in jet fuel supplies for airlines are already beginning to emerge. Shortages of diesel - especially important for transport and industry - also cannot be ruled out if Iran continues not to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Germany relies on imports for around 36 percent of its diesel supply. Because of sharply rising global market prices, ’part of the fuel produced in Germany and Europe is already being exported to Asia, where prices are significantly higher’. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

Ireland
April 10, 2026 at 6:44 AM.  For the last four days, protesters have taken to the streets of Dublin and other areas in Ireland to protest high fuel prices caused by the U.S. and Israel’s ongoing war with Iran. They are calling for the carbon tax on green diesel to be removed and the price of fuel to be capped. Dallon, one of the protest leaders in Dublin said he was willing to protest for up to a month if necessary. “If it takes to close the country down, We’ll close the country down,” he said. (Source: Miami Herald / NewsWeek = U.S.)

Latvia
12:59 pm, April 10, 2026  U.S. President Trump publicly endorsed Orbán, calling him a true friend, fighter, and winner. U.S. Vice President Vance also visited Hungary in April, a trip widely seen as a further sign of White House support. ’Kremlin sources say Russia is no longer ruling out defeat for Orbán’s party in Hungary elections'. A significant share of voters said they had not yet decided how to vote on April 12. Fidesz, the party of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán - ’considered one of Russian President Putin’s closest allies in Europe’ — ’is trailing Magyar’s Tisza party in the latest opinion polls’. ’One of Meduza’s sources said’ that ’there’s no actual management of Orbán’s campaign from the Presidential Administration, of course, but there is ‘assistance’ on the social media side.’ ’That source and a political consultant working with the Kremlin both said’ that ’if Orbán’s party loses, state-controlled Russian media will frame it as a " 'color revolution engineered by the European Union’ .„ (Source: Meduza - Latvia)

Slovakia
11 April 2026  “I wish Viktor Orbán that all his political goals are fulfilled in the parliamentary elections,” Slovakia’s premier Robert Fico stressed on US social media company X, saying he would follow the vote from Vietnam during an official visit. Fico said Slovakia and Hungary invest a great deal of energy into fostering high-quality friendly relations and ensuring what he described as an above-standard position for national minorities. He also described Orbán as a strong advocate for sovereignty and national interests, saying he had never encountered such a figure during his political career. Fico said the cooperation between the two countries helps maintain high-quality friendly relations. ’A compilation of polling’ published by Politico shows Orbán’s Fidesz party trailing the opposition Tisza Party by 11 points. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Schengen Zone
10 April 2026  The European Commission announced today that the EU’s border Entry/Exit System (EES) goes fully operational across 29 countries. It digitally records entries, exits, refusals for third-country nationals visiting the Schengen zone, marking the end of traditional passport stamping for non-EU short-stay travelers. The digital records include travelers’ facial images, fingerprints, and personal data taken from travel documents. It said more than 52 million border crossings have already been recorded since the system began a phased rollout in October 2025 across 29 European countries. There were more than 27,000 refusals of entry for reasons including insufficient justification of visit, expired documents, fraudulent papers and more than 700 individuals were identified as potential security risks. The bloc said the system aims to strengthen external border security and improve the detection of identity fraud across Schengen countries. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

England
11 April 2026 6:00am BST  Is this the end of Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s ‘bane of Brussels’? The finale of our three-part documentary series on the election that could reshape Europe. On April 12, Hungary faces a closely contested election between the ruling Fidesz party, led by Viktor Orbán, and the opposition Tisza party, led by Magyar. Orbán describes his government as an “illiberal democracy” – positioning it against what he portrays as an overreaching, ideologically driven Brussels that promotes policies on Ukraine, immigration, and gender that he argues conflict with Hungarian values and interests. At a press conference in Budapest earlier this year, Orbán told that the liberal world order had come to an end and that we are now entering “the era of nations” – casting the election as a choice between national sovereignty and submission to EU institutions. Magyar’s Tisza party, while also ’conservative and Eurosceptic’, advocates a more Europe-orientated approach than Fidesz. The campaign has been marked by deep divisions, scandals, and allegations of election interference. Beyond Hungary’s borders, the vote is widely seen as a bellwether for Europe’s political direction. Just this week, Vance, the US vice-president, travelled to Budapest to voice his support for Orbán – hoping a victory would help steer Europe towards a different ideological path. After 16 years of Orbán’s rule, what do Hungarians themselves think? Watch the video by Dearnley Executive Editor, Budapest; Daly Video Producer, Budapest; Bourne Senior Video Editor, to hear from people on the streets of Budapest, as well as party members and senior government officials. The previous films in the series can be found here. (Source: The Telegraph - headquarters London, England)

United Kingdom
Saturday 11 April 2026 13:48 BST  Hungary heads to the polls on Sunday for an election ’in which Orbán is expected to lose’. The vote has become ’a key battle for the EU’ at a time of crisis. Viktor Orbán faces reckoning as Hungary heads to the polls. Despite being a high-income and industrialised economy, Hungary still struggles with inflation and spending constraints ’tied to its democratic shortcomings’ - ’the EU has withheld roughly €19bn in funding due to concerns over the rule of law and corruption', with the economy suffering. At a cultural event in Romania in 2014, Viktor Orbán - who had led Hungary through four years of recession and recovery - in his most consequential speech as leader, argued that the financial crisis of 2008 had exposed holes in the liberal project and that a strong state, no longer bound to obsess over personal freedoms, was Hungary’s future. Orbán, now aged 62, has cast himself as a defender of the country’s cultural identity, imposing some of Europe’s toughest asylum rules and limiting gay rights while offering families generous handouts to reverse falling birth rates. With his tough talk on immigration and emphasis on restoring the Christian family, Orbán attracted the backing of Trump. Maga and Orbán’s Fidesz party have since become kindred ideological spirits, with Washington throwing its weight behind Orbán and sending vice-president Vance to campaign on his behalf this week. Such an intervention in a European election would have been unthinkable in a previous US administration. Paradoxically, the backing of the world’s most powerful man ’may have sealed’ Orbán’s fate, as Trump’s America First policies continue to hurt European economies. Orbán has spent the last few months attempting to discredit his opponents, while laying on the strength of relations with Trump and Putin under his leadership. Few leaders can boast to have the support of both in 2026. Analysts say their backing may no longer be enough. After 16 years in power, the Hungarian prime minister is seeking a mandate to continue his illiberal democracy that has clamped down on the press and judiciary while blocking vital support for Ukraine. ’In this he has become Europe’s clearest internal threat to its values of free speech, the rule of law and tolerance’. Frustrations with Hungary blocking aid have ballooned into ’accusations of outright collaboration’ with Russia. Landlocked Hungary is largely dependent on Russian oil and gas, ’making it a valuable access point for the Kremlin to try to influence support for Ukraine in Europe’. 'Leaked conversations' appeared to show Orbán and his foreign minister Szijjártó pandering to Moscow and undermining efforts to help Ukraine. One conversation apparently heard Orbán laying on his friendship to Putin. He reportedly said: “In any matter where I can be of assistance, I am at your service.” Betting markets suggest Vance’s trip may have backfired. ’Polls’ carried out after Vance’s high-profile visit this week showed the incumbent leader’s performance drop. Orbán's system now faces its most stern test yet. His popularity suffers due to faltering economy. He is now trying to turn on the heat, but ’they don’t seem to have any new ideas', Fodor, a professor at the Central European University, told. 'Now they don’t seem to have a new enemy that they can construct. Before every election, they had a different kind of enemy: immigrants, Soros, Brussels, and the gender lobby', she said. Around 95 per cent of both votes - on constituency and another for a nationwide party list - are expected to be processed on election night. The National Election Office will also have to aggregate ballots cast from abroad, meaning in a tight race it could be another week before there is a definitive outcome. Historical gerrymandering and a high proportion of ethnic Hungarians supportive of Fidesz casting their vote in neighbouring countries could cause an upset. Around one in five voters are undecided. 'Critics have also warned of the potential for vote manipulation'. Waiting in the wings is Magyar, 45, a former insider of Orbán’s Fidesz party. He emerged as a 'rival' only in 2024 and says it is now or never to reverse the ’damage’ wrought by Fidesz. The ’polls' suggest a lead for Magyar, whose party had the support of 52 per cent of decided voters going into the election, according to ’a poll’ conducted by the Publicus Institute. Some 39 per cent of decided voters backed Orbán’s Fidesz. Magyar earned support by successfully tapping into growing public discontent with years of economic stagnation and corruption. He has meanwhile promoted a Hungarian New Deal, promising massive investment and predictable policy if his ’centre-right’ party wins. That would include clamping down on corruption and ’buying back state assets’ while investing in a major healthcare reform, housebuilding and modernisation ’using EU funds’. Analysts caution that a victory for Magyar’s Tisza party is unlikely to see the pendulum immediately swing back to a liberal democracy. Dr Eyal, associate director at the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies, warned against expecting too much from a victorious Magyar at first. If he wins, the main task will be to topple the existing structure in the face of fierce resistance, Dr Eyal told. Orban has waged two campaigns, he explained. One was a very direct frontal assault to stop him getting elected. The second one was to plant landmines everywhere to ensure that if Magyar does get elected, he cannot succeed. Orbán will have already committed spending to communities, constraining the next leader or forcing him to abandon Fidesz’s promises. Magyar’s ace card is the claim to the €19bn frozen by the EU. He is likely to remain suspicious of Ukraine, citing ’pre-war’ disagreements, Dr Eyal said. If Magyar wins, he will have to be careful to balance the EU’s demands with the public’s views on Ukraine. Nationwide, just 34 per cent of voters want a new approach to Ukraine, while 32 per cent want a continuation of Fidesz’s reluctance to get involved. Tisza overwhelmingly supports change while Fidesz’s base supports the status quo. But Magyar will aim to be unobstructive in ’Europe’, crucially allowing a €90bn loan for Ukraine to pass. The challenge for Europe will be to avoid 'liberal purism' while Magyar adjusts to a system designed to destroy him, Dr Eyal said. His success would show other countries that the global swing towards autocracy is not inevitable. There will be corners being cut at the beginning before ’we end up in the position of a more open society', Dr Eyal said. To ensure he succeeds, ’Europe’ will have to release ’some money’ before Magyar can start enacting policies to show quick achievements before Orbán can unsettle him, he said. 'I think the key idea to remember is to discredit the idea that Orbán stands for the future. He stands for the past’. Anything that brings Orbán down says that there is nothing inevitable or historic about this wave of 'far right' authoritarianism … but ’it requires the Europeans not to be too pure about this’ , Dr Eyal said. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
by Reynolds

North America

United States
(Friday), Apr 10, 2026 1:44 PM CET  Voters will head to the polls on Sunday in Hungary’s general election - the results of which will have profound implications for the country, the European Union, and beyond. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has led Hungary since 2010. Orbán has governed the nation with no significant challengers for more than a decade. Now, ’most polls’ show that his ruling party, Fidesz, is trailing behind the opposition party, Tisza, by a significant margin. If his party were to lose the race on Sunday, it would mark a stunning political shift in a country ’that the European Parliament has said can no longer be considered’ a full democracy. “It’s a very important election for what it means for Europe, what it means for Ukraine, but also what it means for the broader far-right movement around the world, which has built up Hungary as the kind of ’far-right’, illiberal democratic model where you have an elected autocracy pushing back against migrants and against supposedly woke values,” says Bergmann, director of the Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Orbán, who has cast himself as a proponent of illiberal democracy, is an icon of the global ’far-right’, and viewed by U.S. President Trump as a MAGA ally - so much so that U.S. Vice President Vance joined Orbán in Budapest on Tuesday, in an effort to boost the Prime Minister’s campaign just days before the general election. Vance said that Orbán was wise and smart and that his leadership “can provide a model to the Continent.” What the election could mean for Hungary? In the years since he first rose to become Prime Minister, Orbán and his party ’have taken control of Hungary’s media outlets’ and deployed propaganda to vilify his political opponents as well as consolidated their power’ over institutions intended to serve as checks on executive authority, such as the country’s courts’. [Orbán has] utterly changed the nature of Hungarian democracy where it basically revolves around him, Bergmann says. He has run Hungary as if it were his fiefdom. But polls now show Orbán’s party trailing behind the opposition party, which Bergmann attributes at least in part to voters’ growing frustration and concerns regarding corruption in Hungary. Bergmann says that Hungary is considered ’by many’ to be one of the most corrupt countries now in the European Union. Orbán’s opponent, Magyar, is ’a conservative’, able to bring together Orbán’s critics, ’ranging from voters on the far left’ to those on the right who have become disgruntled with the Prime Minister, Bergmann says. He was previously part of Orbán’s party before splitting off in 2024. Magyar has pledged to implement anti-corruption reforms in the country if elected. If his party wins the election, ’it would signify Hungarian voters’ rejection of Orbán’s ’far-right’ movement’, Végh, a political analyst at the German Marshall Fund said. With this new challenger rising Tisza party there is a realistic chance to oust Orbán and potentially reform the country to halt the autocratization that we have seen over the past decade and a half and return to a more democratic way of governance and just generally operation of the state, she says. Over the past decade and a half, what we have seen is that after every single election, this government ’has radicalized further and further’, she continues. ’We are really at a point where if radicalization continues with all the pressure and threats against critical voices and the opposition, the civil society, media, that we may start to move into repression from intimidation.’ So I think this is really a milestone election and the consequences in either direction will be very significant, she said. Whether Magyar will follow through on the reforms he has promised if his party wins the election ’remains to be seen’. If his party wins a two-thirds majority, he would have almost a free hand to actually 'reform the country', Végh says. But she also notes that how Magyar responds to criticism will be a measurement of his democratic ’character’ … that doesn’t depend on really having the constitutional majority. If he responds to critiques in a different way, if he accepts accountability, that will be an important indicator of ’how much of a democrat’ he can really be. What the election could mean for the EU? The Prime Minister has become a thorn in the side of the European Union, Bergmann says, often using his veto power in a way that has hindered the EU’s response to various issues, particularly the war in Ukraine, blocked the EU’s attempts to impose sanctions against Russia over the war, ’as well as to support’ Ukraine. Effectively, over the past years, the Hungarian government have been blocking EU decision making, have been ’hampering the EU’s ability to really act as a global power,’ Végh says. A Tisza government would approach the European Union ’much more constructively’, she says. If Magyar upholds his pledge to implement anti-corruption reforms in Hungary, that could also help ’repair the country’s’ relationship with the EU, she says. With regards to Ukraine, Végh expects that Magyar will not veto outright. He would not be ’representing Russian interests’ in the EU’s decision making process, she says. Could Trump and Vance’s support for Orbán impact the election? At a rally in Hungary on Tuesday, Vance called Trump and put the phone on speaker so the audience could hear the American President as he commended Orbán, particularly over Orbán’s anti-immigrant policies. Trump described Orbán as “a fantastic man” and said the Hungarian Prime Minister “did not allow people to storm your country and invade your country like the people have and ruined other countries.” “I’m a big fan of Viktor,” Trump said. “I’m with him all the way.” I don’t think that this is going to result in any sort of major boost for Orbán, Bergmann says. Polling shows that Trump is a polarizing politician among people in Hungary: 53% have some or a lot of confidence in him, according to a poll released by the Pew Research Center last June. 46% of people in the country have little to no confidence in him as ’a world leader.’ I think by now, people know who they want to vote for, Végh says. Even for the undecided voters, foreign policy is not the top priority; cost of living is the top priority. But, she adds, Vance’s visit to Hungary is an attempt to keep Orbán’s base mobilized ahead of the election - and demonstrates the allyship between the MAGA movement and Orbán’s party. While Orbán is seen as a model of the ’far-right’ movement, Végh says that, if his party loses the election, that may not have direct impacts on the rise in ’far-right’ politicians globally. The rise of ’far-right’ parties is driven by domestic dynamics, she says. Even if Orbán's party loses, the French context, the Polish context, the Italian one is going to determine the overall success of the ’far-right’ parties in the given countries. Magyar told that, if his party wins the election, he would work to mend the country’s fractured relationship with the bloc, saying that he thinks the general election will be a referendum ’on our country’s place in the world.’ But Bergmann acknowledges that ’there’s a lot of uncertainty about Magyar and where he’ll actually position himself.’ If Magyar's party wins the election, implements his promised reforms, and repairs Hungary’s relationship with the EU, then the bloc would likely release funding for the country, which “will create an economic windfall,” Bergmann says. The EU needs to have unanimity among its 27 member nations in order to take action on certain issues - a rule that ’some’ have criticized as one that, at times, can limit the union’s effectiveness. ’The hope, I think, for Europe is that if this election goes the other way and Orbán were to leave, that then you could begin to have conversations about reforming the EU and making it work better’, he says. Experts tell that Hungary’s struggling economy is one of the reasons that Orbán’s party is polling poorly in this election. ’In 2022, the EU began suspending billions of dollars in funding to Hungary over violations of the bloc’s rule-of-law standards’. In 2022, the European Parliament said that Hungary has become a ’hybrid regime of electoral autocracy,’ meaning that, while the country holds elections, “respect for democratic norms and standards is absent.’ (Source: Time – headquarters New York, U.S.)
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2026. IV. 10 - 13. China, Iran, Israel, Strait of Hormuz, Turkey

2026.04.12. 00:11 Eleve

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Asia

China
(Saturday), April 11, 2026  China’s public rhetoric during the Iran war has been mostly neutral, possibly because of the deep economic ties that China has with Arab nations in the Persian Gulf which have been under attack by Iran during the conflict. The economic, the technological relationship, the energy relationship with the Gulf is in many ways more strategically significant for China than anything it has with Iran. China is Iran’s largest trading partner, and the largest purchaser of Iranian oil. Chinese purchases account for roughly 90 percent of Iran’s exported oil, providing tens of billions of dollars in annual revenue that supports Iran’s government budget and military activities. China is heavily dependent on oil that passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and is anxious not to do anything that extends the war, according to American officials. At the same time, at least some Chinese officials are interested in supporting Tehran in a war that is seen as weakening American standing and strength. Some officials in the government want Beijing to allow its companies to directly supply the Iranian security forces during the conflict with the United States. American intelligence agencies have assessed that China is secretly taking an active stance in the war, allowing some companies to ship chemicals, fuel and components that can be used in military production to Iran for the war. A debate in Beijing over sending missiles to Iran suggests the degree that China sees itself as having a stake in the conflict. A CNN report today said that China was preparing to send a shipment of shoulder-fired missiles to Iran in the coming weeks. Intelligence agencies have obtained information that China in recent weeks may have sent a shipment of shoulder-fired missiles to Iran. Shoulder fired missiles, known as MANPADS, are capable of shooting down low-flying aircraft. The intelligence is not definitive that the shipment has been sent. There is no evidence that the Chinese missiles have yet been used against American or Israeli forces during the conflict. The shipment of missiles would be a significant escalation and an indication that at least some of China’s leaders are working actively to bring about an American military defeat in a war that has engulfed the Middle East. A spokesman for China’s embassy to the United States strongly denied his government had shipped missiles to Iran during the war. China also provided some intelligence and supplied dual-use parts to Iran, much as they provided to Russia during its war with Ukraine. American officials have seen Russia as more eager to help, sending food aid, nonlethal military supplies and satellite imagery to Tehran. Moscow appears to have ruled out providing any offensive or defensive military equipment. The military support to Iran shows how America’s powerful adversaries have seen an opportunity to raise the costs for the United States for launching the war and to potentially bog down the American military in the conflict. President Trump is planning next month to travel to China to meet with President Xi of China, a summit that is expected to focus on a range of trade, technology and military issues. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

Iran
April 14, 2026 at 1:13 pm  Damage from US-Israeli strikes against Iran is estimated at about $270 billion, the Iranian government spokeswoman said today, citing preliminary assessments “One of the issues that our negotiating team is pursuing, and which was also pursued in the Islamabad talks, is the issue of war reparations,” Mohajerani told Russia’s RIA Novosti, according to Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency. (Source: Middle East Monitor - Location: London, United Kingdom, financed by Qatar)

11:39, 13/04/2026, Monday  The most significant direct talks between the United States and Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution ended without a framework for lasting peace, with Iranian officials openly blaming Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for the failure. Foreign Minister Araghchi said a phone call between Netanyahu and US Vice President Vance during the negotiations shifted the focus from the US‑Iran agenda to Israeli interests. Araghchi stated that 'Washington is trying to gain at the negotiating table what it failed to achieve on the battlefield' and “We came in good faith, but remain firm on sovereignty,” he added. While talks were ongoing, Netanyahu released a video message, approximately 13 minutes long, signaling continued military pressure on Iran and its regional network. In his speech in the video, Netanyahu stated that attacks against Iran would continue, effectively targeting the negotiating table by saying, 'Iran is now fighting for its survival.' In the video, Netanyahu targeted not only Iran but also Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen, with statements such as 'Iran is begging for a ceasefire' and 'We have crossed the threshold of fear in Iran,' which were interpreted as a direct challenge to the negotiation process. The Israeli Prime Minister's claim that Iran's nuclear capabilities had been largely destroyed, and that the process would be completed through other means if necessary, was also seen as a defiance of any potential agreement in Islamabad. The third and most critical step was the developments on the ground. Despite it being known that this was one of Iran's primary conditions, the occupying forces increased their attacks on southern Lebanon, particularly the Sidon region, at a critical juncture in the negotiations. This was interpreted as a military sabotage attempt proceeding simultaneously with diplomatic efforts. It is noted that US President Trump's statements, made while negotiations were ongoing and downplaying the importance of the outcome, further damaged the already fragile trust between the parties. Speaking to reporters at the White House the previous day, Trump said, "As you've probably been following, they've been talking for hours. We'll see what happens. In any case, we're winning. Whatever happens, we're winning. Maybe they'll make a deal, maybe they won't. From the US perspective, we're winning." The US President's words led to the assessment that he 'doesn't care about the outcome of the negotiations.' The fact that the US President attended a UFC cage fighting match in Florida while critical talks were underway in Islamabad also drew criticism. Parliament Speaker Qalibaf, who headed the Iranian delegation in the negotiations, stated that they had emphasized their good faith and necessary will before the negotiations. 'We have no trust in the other side due to the previous two wars. The US understood our logic and principles. The other side failed to gain the trust of the Iranian delegation in this round of negotiations', he said. Israel has also signaled that attacks against Iran could resume. Energy Minister Cohen said that Tehran could be targeted if an agreement cannot be reached. In an interview with the Israeli newspaper Yedioth Ahronoth, Cohen stated: The nuclear issue is an international matter, and it is positive that Trump has set red lines on this issue. He then issued the threat, 'If there is no agreement, Iran could be struck.' Speaking about Lebanon, Cohen said that Israel should target not only Lebanese military forces but also their facilities and infrastructure. Meanwhile, it was reported that the Israeli General Staff had given the army an order to be ready to attack Iran. In Islamabad, negotiations stalled over three main issues, according to the New York Times: Reopening the Strait of Hormuz, the fate of approximately 900 pounds of Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile, and the release of nearly $27 billion in frozen Iranian revenues. The US pushed for immediate reopening of maritime routes, while Iran linked the step to a comprehensive agreement. However, Iran stated it would only do so after a final peace agreement. According to officials, Iran also demanded compensation for damages caused by six weeks of airstrikes and the release of frozen oil revenues for the country's reconstruction. Another point of disagreement was President Trump's demand that Iran transfer its entire stockpile of enriched uranium. While Iran offered a counter-proposal, the parties failed to reach an agreement on this issue. Trump said he had instructed the US Navy to identify and stop all ships paying transit fees to Iran in international waters. No one paying illegal transit fees will have the right to safe passage on the high seas, he said. US President also threatened that the US was on alert and fully prepared. (Source: Yeni Şafak - Turkey)

(Monday), 13 Apr 2026  After a taxing 21 hours, US Vice President Vance thanked Pakistan for hosting US-Iran talks but ultimately concluded that ’Iran was not prepared to accept our demands.’ So ended perhaps the most important peace talks arguably since the end of the Cold War. Vance was the most senior American leader to meet with Iranian officials since the 1979 Revolution, and the encounter was the first direct contact with the IRGC rather than with traditional diplomats and negotiators, lending the meeting unique significance. The Iranian delegation comprised at least half a dozen senior IRGC representatives, including the Ambassador in Islamabad, who has been a contemporary of Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf. For its part, the US delegation included Baker, the deputy national security adviser to the president and the national security adviser to the vice president, and Vance, the special advisor to the vice president for Asian affairs. Given Iran's lack of trust in Kushner and Witkoff, their presence seems to have spoiled the talks. The two envoys - the former being Trump’s son-in-law, with no official position in his administration, and the latter, his close friend and real estate magnate - have earned a reputation in the president’s second term as representing Israel's interests rather than America's. Pakistani security officials told that while the Iranians were able to build a rapport with Vance, they sensed his hands were tied in the presence of Kushner and Witkoff. Ahead of the talks, Iranian media played interview clips of Kent, the most senior US official to step down over the US decision to wage war on Iran. Following his resignation, the former Director of the United States National Counterterrorism Centre explicitly said that the US decision to wage war on Iran came at the insistence of Israel - a claim that a recently published New York Times article seems to corroborate. They also aired US Secretary of State Rubio’s comments to the press, when he said the US decided to join the war after Israel said it was planning to attack regardless of Washington’s participation, and knew that such an attack would trigger Iranian retaliation on US bases in the region. Former MAGA heavyweights like Conservative podcast hosts Carlson, Kelly, Owens and Jones, and even Kirk - 'whose assassination last year has led some to speculate whether or not Israel had a hand in it' - all assert the same. Kerry and Rhodes, who served in previous US administrations, both stated that Israel tried to bully every US president into attacking Iran, but Trump was the first one to actually cave under pressure. For his part, Vance has been notably quiet since the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February. While being on record for his opposition to war with Iran and also issuing tepid criticisms of Israel on its Gaza war and settlement expansion in the occupied West Bank, he said he wouldn't stand in the way of Trump's decision to wage war on Iran, according to the New York Times account. In Islamabad, the Iranians began the talks by pointing out the growing American belief that Israel forced the US into the war. They also emphasised ’that Lebanon had always been part of the ceasefire - something that Pakistan both confirmed and stressed’. Following the announcement of the truce overnight on Tuesday, Israel carried out one of the deadliest assaults on Lebanon in its history on Wednesday, dropping more than 100 bombs across the country and in central Beirut (not considered a Hezbollah stronghold) in 10 minutes, killing more than 300 people. A day after the attack, and a day before US and Iranian officials met in Islamabad, Pakistani Defence Minister Asif described Israel as ’a curse for humanity’. In the since-deleted post, Asif wrote that "peace talks are underway in Islamabad, genocide is being committed in Lebanon. Innocent citizens are being killed by Israel, first in Gaza, then in Iran and now in Lebanon; bloodletting continues unabated.’… The points where Tehran was willing and unwilling to negotiate: Iran was potentially open to moving its enriched uranium to a third country, such as Türkiye. This had been discussed in Oman prior to the start of this current round of hostilities and confirmed by the Omani Foreign Minister himself. Iran was also open to lifting its tax on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, but only if primary and secondary sanctions on the country were lifted. The Iranians were also open to limiting their support to their regional 'axis of resistance' allies, but drew a red line over any talk of eliminating or scaling back their missile capabilities. For his part, Trump shared his view of the talks' conclusion in a Truth Social post, saying that many issues had been agreed upon, but the US would accept only 100% compliance from Iran - not even 95%. As things stand, the two sides remain very far apart on core issues. However, since the delegates left Islamabad on Saturday, Pakistan says „regular contact between the two sides has continued”. But later, Trump came out and announced the US would conduct its own blockade of the Hormuz and prevent any ships destined to or from Iran from entering or exiting. An internet meme has since circulated, jokingly describing it as ’a blockade to block a blockade’. (Source: Al Majalla - a Saudi-owned, London-based political news journal, headquarters in Saudi Arabia)

(13 April 2026) 09:25 (am)  After protests in January and the war against Israel and the US, Iranian authorities executed at least 1,639 people in 2025, two NGOs said today. In 2024, Iran put to death 975 people and also included 48 women who were hanged, Norway-based Iran Human Rights (IHR) and Paris-based Together Against the Death Penalty (ECPM) said in their joint annual report. IHR - which requires two sources to confirm an execution, the majority of which are not reported in Iranian official media - said that the figure represented an absolute minimum for the number of hangings in 2025. The ECPM's report noted that the Kurdish minority in the west and the Baluch in southeast - both of whom largely adhere to the Sunni strain of Islam rather than the Shia branch dominant in Iran - are particularly targeted. Almost half of those executed were convicted of drug-related offences. Public hangings more than tripled to 11 in 2025. (Source: This is Beirut - Lebanon)

12/04/2026 3:41 pm  Is Washington moving closer to adopting the ’Israeli option’ towards Tehran after the Pakistan talks faltered? In an analytical assessment reflecting the extent of the deadlock in diplomatic channels between Washington and Tehran, Iranian political analyst Ghazizadeh, speaking on the “X” platform, warned that the failure of the Islamabad talks presents the region with grim scenarios. He argued that the current outcome reinforces the conviction that a ’military solution’ is the only remaining option. Qazizadeh commented on the stalled negotiations led by US Vice President Vance. He noted that this round, despite its meticulous details, clearly revealed the impossibility of reaching a political settlement. 'These negotiations demonstrated to someone like Vance - who doesn’t see a military solution as desirable - the reason for the deadlock in diplomatic channels.' Qazizadeh added sharply that negotiations with Tehran will yield nothing. He explained that the United States might find itself compelled to revert to the logic of war. Qazizadeh continued: ’This is what the Israelis have been saying for years, and the Americans don’t understand it, implying that Iran’s rigid stance has turned diplomacy into a vicious cycle. This analysis coincided with US Vice President Vance’s announcement today morning that the Islamabad talks had ended without an agreement. Vance confirmed that the US delegation had left Pakistan, leaving behind a “specific framework” representing Washington’s final offer. Since Iran’s enrichment facilities had already been dismantled, the real obstacle was not technical, rather, it lay in the absence of a long-term Iranian commitment not to pursue nuclear weapons in the future. Washington, despite its hopes, had not yet received any substantial guarantees confirming Tehran’s permanent abandonment of its nuclear ambitions. While Vance remains committed to peaceful solutions, observers like Qazizadeh believe that the failure of Washington’s “final offer” to convince Tehran could signify the end of the era of negotiations, it could mark the beginning of a phase of open confrontation. (Source: Voice of Emirates - headquarters: Dubai, United Arab Emirates)

Israel
(Sunday), 14:07-12 April 2026  Israeli National Security Minister Gvir ’stormed’ the Al-Aqsa Mosque compound today morning with a group of settlers, under the protection of Israeli police. The Palestinian News Agency (WAFA) reported that ’during the incursion, settlers performed Talmudic prayers in the courtyards of Al-Aqsa Mosque, in a new provocative step aimed at imposing a new religious reality at the site and entrenching temporal and spatial division.’ The Jerusalem Governorate said the move comes amid escalating violations against Islamic and Christian holy sites in occupied Jerusalem, and continued restrictions on worshippers’ access. In a video filmed at the site and published by his office, Gvir said: ’Today, I feel that I am the owner of this place,’ according to Reuters. He added: ’There is still more to be done, and more that needs to be improved. I continue to press Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to do more. We must continue to move forward step by step.’ Jordan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned the visit in a statement. A spokesperson for Ben Gvir said the minister is seeking to secure more entry permits for Jewish visitors and to allow prayers at the site. The spokesperson added that Gvir prayed at the site. Previous visits and statements by Gvir had prompted Netanyahu to issue statements affirming that there is no change in Israel’s policy of maintaining the status quo. (Source: Asharq Al Awsat - headquartered in London, England, owned by a member of Saudi royal family)

April 10, 2026 6:56 AM ET  The United States, the EU, allies in the region want the ceasefire and talks for the end of this war with Iran. Iran says the peace talks are not going to go through unless Israel stops in Lebanon. But Israel instead has escalated with deadly strikes in central Beirut in the middle of the day earlier this week. Is the prime minister willing to derail the entire ceasefire to keep fighting Hezbollah in Lebanon? Falk, a top foreign policy adviser to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discusses the Iran war, Lebanon and the ceasefire:   ’There is no ceasefire in Lebanon. And it wasn't part of the ceasefire deal that was discussed with Iran. Iran always lies. That's one. ’The president of the United States and the vice president of the United States said that it was not part of the deal. ’Two: 300 people were killed yesterday, or on Wednesday, in Lebanon. I would like to mention that out of those 300 people, at least 200 were Hezbollah terrorists. And we are fighting Hezbollah. It's a genocidal terrorist organization. And if we've learned one lesson from the October 7 atrocities, is that we will not allow genocidal terrorist organizations near our border, not in the south with Gaza and Hamas and not in the north with Hezbollah.” ’The Lebanese government reached out a number of times to Israel to conduct these negotiations. Now that Hezbollah has been degraded, and after Lebanon reached out to Israel, we've agreed. And we want to conduct direct negotiations”.   There are a number of issues that will be discussed in negotiation in Israel-Lebanon talks that are going to happen in Washington, D.C., next week.    ’Our two main objectives is our mutual objective with the Lebanese government and Israel's to dismantle Hezbollah, which by the way, we agreed upon in the November 24 ceasefire. That's a Lebanese objective. It's an Israeli objective. And two, to forge an historic peace agreement between the two countries. We hope it's possible. Hope is our national anthem. And we hope we can reach peace with Lebanon, peace through strength.’   President Trump told NBC News he asked Netanyahu to"low-key it" in Lebanon, as these talks with Iran possibly happen this weekend. We heard Netanyahu then put out a video saying, don't worry, the fight will continue.    ’What I can say is that the president has briefed the prime minister daily on the negotiations, and that there is no daylight between these two great leaders.    ’We carried out the Rising Lion operation with the United States. Our objective was three. One is to degrade the nuclear threat, the missile, ballistic missile threat and to create the conditions for the Iranian people to grasp their destiny in their own hands. We have done a huge amount of achievements. We've degraded the nuclear capabilities. We've taken out key nuclear bomb scientists. We've taken out thousands of missiles, hundreds of launchers. And we've created the conditions for the Lebanese - for the Iranian people to do the right thing, to take freedom in their hand. And God willing, that day will come. Sooner or later, this regime will fall’.   ’There has never been more coordination and cooperation between two leaders, President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu, or between our armed forces, Israeli and American armed forces, that Iran will not have nuclear capabilities, period’. ’War is not a good thing. And war can be costly. There's a price to war. And there's a price to action. But there's a much bigger price to inaction when you're fighting a genocidal terrorist regime that wants to annihilate you. And that's what we're facing. And that's what we face together with the United States in an unprecedented operation carried out by the United States and Israel’. ’And in honesty, there has never been a more successful operation. We've taken out thousands, thousands of their missiles and their launchers. We've taken out their key regime leadership and commanders. And they are on their knees. We are going to achieve all our objectives. Either it's going to be through an agreement or through action, but our objectives will be reached’. ' (Source: NPR - U.S.)

Strait of Hormuz
April 13, 2026  US Central Command said US forces begin implementing the blockade of all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian ports at 10 a.m. ET (1400 GMT) vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, it said in a statement on X, according to Arab News. US forces would not impede freedom of navigation for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz to and from non-Iranian ports, it said. Iran’s Revolutionary Guards said yesterday that any military vessels attempting to approach the Strait of Hormuz would be considered a violation of the ceasefire and be dealt with harshly and decisively. Pakistan-flagged tankers Shalamar and Khairpur entered the Gulf on yesterday, data from LSEG and Kpler showed. The Aframax tanker Shalamar is heading to the United Arab Emirates today to load Das crude while the Panamax-sized Khairpur is heading to Kuwait to load refined products. Liberia-flagged very large crude carrier (VLCC) Mombasa B., which also transited the strait earlier yesterday, is ballasting in the Gulf. Malta-flagged VLCC Agios Fanourios I, which tried to pass through the strait yesterday to enter the Gulf to load Iraqi Basra crude for Vietnam, has since turned back and is now anchored near the Gulf of Oman. Despite the stalemate, three supertankers fully laden with oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday. They appeared to be the first vessels to exit the Gulf since the ceasefire deal was struck last week. (Source: The Times - Kuwait)

Turkey
April 12, 2026  Disinformation over Turkish President Erdogan threatening to invade Israel had gone viral, claiming that he threatened to attack Israel if Pakistan fails to establish peace [hosting talks between the US and Iran over ending the Iran war]. “Fact-check investigations reveal that the claim is completely false. The viral clip is taken from a real speech, but it has been edited and misrepresented. In the original video, Erdogan was condemning Israel’s strikes in Lebanon - not announcing any military action,” Dailymotion’s video explainer was telling yesterday. Also on April 12, the Turkish foreign ministry released a formal statement describing Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu as the ’Hitler of our time’. In recent years several times Turkey’s leader has also described him as a ’psychopath’, ’maniac’ and ’vampire’. This week Erdogan, who has accused Israel of committing genocide in Gaza and has repeatedly expressed anger over Israel’s continued bombardment of Syria, has also described Netanyahu as ’blinded by blood and hate’, according to The Telegraph. The weekend also saw an announcement that Turkish prosecutors have filed indictments against 35 top Israeli officials, including Netanyahu, seeking a total of more than 4,500 years in prison. The individuals were charged with crimes against humanity, genocide, torture and unlawful deprivation of liberty, Turkish state-run news service Anadolu Agency reported. Gurlek, the Turkish justice minister, called the indictment historic. Katz, the Israeli defence minister, posted remarks, including: “Israel will continue to defend itself with strength and determination – and [Erdogan] had better sit quietly and shut up.’ Around July 2024, Erdogan threatened Israel with military action. He comes under fire from critics: He has said nothing about Trump’s part in opting to launch a bitter US-Israel war against Iran, instead concentrating on Israel’s lobbying of Trump to go to war and, in the past week, warning that Israel would look for any opportunity to sabotage the peace talks. IntelliNews wrote last October how, after Israel ’bulldozed’ Gaza, Washington’s local proxies, namely Turkey, Egypt and Qatar, then helped Hamas to surrender. Now, they will build ‘Trump town’ in Gaza. The oil-rich among the proxies will finance this real estate project. Like Israel, Turkey has ambitions to become a pivotal player with telling influence right across the Middle East. Between Turkey and Israel lies Syria. The Turks and Israelis have competing ideas of the type of post-Assad Syria they want to see. After the December 2024 fall of Assad caused by an offensive mounted by Turkey-backed militia, Israel made sure to bomb airfields in Syria that Turkey was looking at as possible military bases. (Source: bne IntelliNews – headquarters Berlin, Germany)

(Friday), 10/04/2026 12:32 GMT+2  US President Trump has issued an ultimatum to NATO Secretary General Rutte in Washington, DC, urging countries to find a solution to reopening the Strait of Hormuz within days. Rutte is in Washington for a series of meetings, including a closed-door discussion with the US president, as well as Secretary of State Rubio and Defence Secretary Hegseth. Only a limited number of vessels have been able to pass through the Strait, despite a tentative ceasefire agreed on Tuesday evening aimed at restoring traffic. A coalition of around 40 countries - mainly NATO members, alongside Japan, South Korea and Australia - has been working on a strategy to secure the waterway ’once hostilities have ceased’. Trump is pushing for an immediate solution, including the deployment of military assets and naval forces. Allies are not obliged to assist the United States and Israel in the war with Iran, Turkey’s Trade Minister, Bolat told. NATO’s presence is primarily as a deterrent force to maintain peace and security on the European continent, but also globally, Bolat said. Turkey has the second-largest army in NATO. The alliance is defensive in nature. and was not involved in planning the conflict. NATO members have rejected initial US calls to support the military campaign in Iran, noting they were not consulted ahead of the strikes, rejecting claims from the White House that they had a duty to intervene alongside the US. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France / Associated Press - U.S.)

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2026. IV. 10 - 14. Australia, space, United States

2026.04.11. 13:18 Eleve

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Australia

(Tuesday), 14 April 2026 7:00am BST  In the film Mad Max, an oil shortage leaves Australian society teetering on the brink of total collapse. In real-life, Australia’s petrol stations run dry as energy crisis turns existential. Australia has one of the highest per-capita rates of diesel consumption in the world but it relies almost entirely on imports to meet that demand. There are two domestic refineries producing petrol but up to 90pc of that is imported, too. Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has stifled one fifth of the world’s supply of oil. Much of this goes to the Asian refineries that supply Australia. Now, they’re running short. The problem in Australia isn’t just the soaring price of fuel. It’s the prospect of not being able to get any at all. With hundreds of forecourts running dry, the anxiety is palpable. The country has 38 days’ worth of petrol left in reserve before reaching critical levels, at which point rationing would need to kick in. For diesel, it’s 31 days and for jet fuel, just 28. For truckers and farmers in particular, the supply crunch feels near-existential. Munro, the chief executive of the Australian Trucking Association, sounds alarmed. He recently described the situation for the country’s 60,000 trucking businesses as an emergency; They are running out of money. They can’t see a way forward. “Growers are right now weighing up whether they can afford to buy seed, fuel the tractor and sow their crop,” says McIntyre, the president of the National Farmers Federation. “We’ve been ringing the bell for years that our heavy reliance on imports leaves agriculture exposed and historically not enough has been done to plan for these vulnerabilities,’ he says. “Most farmers will need to decide before Anzac Day [April 25] whether they will plant a crop this year”. The country is the fifth-largest producer of wheat and second-largest grower of barley. For three decades, Australia has consistently been one of the rich world’s most robust economies. But its unique combination of high fuel consumption and import dependence has shaken the country’s self-belief. Australians may not have taken to the streets over fuel prices, as the Irish have done. But the crisis taps into a deep-rooted sense of vulnerability. Newspapers have started listing the names and arrival dates of incoming petrol and diesel tankers. Anthony Albanese, the Australian prime minister jumped on a plane to Singapore on Friday. Australia gets 55pc of its petrol and 15pc of its diesel from there. The Asian city-state is the world’s third-largest refining hub behind Houston in the US and Rotterdam in the Netherlands. Albanese signed what he called a “win-win” statement on energy trade with Lawrence Wong, the Singaporean prime minister. They vowed to keep fuel flowing south and Australian liquefied natural gas heading north. Ominously, Wong did remind his guest that Singaporean exports could only be forthcoming “as long as upstream supplies continue”. Singaporean refiners get about 70pc of their crude from the Middle East. They’re now looking to the US, Africa and even Russia. But they’re running low and they are competing with crude buyers from all over the world. This will only get worse if the Hormuz disruption lingers on. Australia’s other major suppliers are South Korea, India, Malaysia and Taiwan. Albanese also reportedly plans to visit Brunei this week and Marles, his deputy, has visited Japan. Reports also suggest that Canberra has extracted a guarantee from Indonesia on fertiliser supplies. Before he went to Singapore, the prime minister dropped into the Lytton refinery in Queensland to announce a more tangible (and potentially expensive) fix. The government has amassed an A$2bn (£1bn) fund to help the country’s two biggest importers, Viva Energy and Ampol, buy surplus fuel on the volatile world spot market. If their purchases are at unusually high prices, the taxpayer will cover their losses and also meet the cost of storing or holding the extra supplies. It’s essentially a contract-for-difference arrangement. As of the weekend, 173 of Australia’s 7,940 forecourts were out of diesel. There are now more than 50 tankers en route to Australia that will arrive in the next five weeks, but that won’t make much of a dent in the problem. Prices are at record highs, already back near record levels, selling for A$3.25 a litre in the cities. Australia doesn’t have the debt problem of Britain or France, but the treasury would be reluctant to pour the required billions into such a scheme. The energy companies claim the Australian-made oil would be vastly more expensive than buying from abroad. There have also been calls for Australia to rebuild its own refining capacity. The number of refineries has dwindled from eight to two in the past 25 years. Albanese last week flagged that it might be an option. Polling commissioned by the lobby group Australian Energy Producers found almost 80pc of the public supported the idea. Another option would be to publicly fund the construction of extra storage facilities, allowing Australia to get its meagre stockpile up to the International Energy Agency’s benchmark of 90 days. Bowen, the energy minister, has suggested this could cost A$20bn. The state of Western Australia, which hosts much of the country’s mining industry, is considering building its own diesel stockpile. Bowen has already released some of the national stockpile to help deal with panic-buying. That marks stage two of a four-step plan the government set out last month. The third step, which would reportedly be triggered if the stockpile thinned to 15 days’ worth of fuel, would be to encourage people to cut consumption voluntarily. The final step, if the stockpile dropped to 10 days or fewer, would be rationing. Bowen admitted at the weekend that even if the Strait of Hormuz is back to normal, ’this is going to have a long tail, this crisis’. (Source: The Telegraph - United Kingdom)

North America

United States
Apr 13, 2026 3:46 PM CET  Pope Leo has been critical of the Trump Administration’s immigration agenda. In September, the suggested that people who support the ’inhuman treatment of immigrants in the United States’ are not necessarily pro-life, prompting White House Press Secretary Leavitt to respond that the Administration was “trying to enforce our nation’s laws in the most humane way possible.” As Trump ramped up his deportation campaign, including in the Pope’s hometown of Chicago, the Pontiff met with a group of Catholics from El Paso, Texas, in October who feared going to Mass could put them at risk of being arrested by Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents. More than 50% of Catholic voters supported Trump in the November 2024 election. But Catholic leaders have been increasingly vocal against the war. In his Palm Sunday homily in March, the Pope said that God does not listen to the prayers of those who wage war. A week ago, when asked if he thinks God approved of the U.S.’s actions against Iran and the Islamic regime, Trump replied: “’I do - because God is good and God wants to see people taken care of.’ As the leader of the Catholic Church, Pope Leo XIV recently emerged as an outspoken critic of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. Leo - the first U.S.-born pontiff - last week denounced Trump’s threat to destroy Iran’s whole civilization as truly unacceptable. In an April 10 post on social media, the Pope wrote, “God does not bless any conflict. Anyone who is a disciple of Christ, the Prince of Peace, is never on the side of those who once wielded the sword and today drop bombs.’ The Bishop of Rome again alluded to war in a prayer vigil at St. Peter’s Basilica on Saturday. “Enough of the idolatry of self and money! Enough of the display of power! Enough of war!” the Pope said on April 11, the same day as U.S. and Iranian officials began unsuccessful peace negotiations in Islamabad, Pakistan. The Pope pushed for negotiations toward a cease-fire. “Dear brothers and sisters, there are certainly binding responsibilities that fall to the leaders of nations,” Leo said in his April 11 homily. “To them we cry out: Stop! It is time for peace!” President Trump lashed out against accusing him of being ’weak on Crime’ and ’terrible for Foreign Policy.’ Trump also attacked the Pope over his denunciation of the violence in the Middle East and the U.S. military campaign in Venezuela that captured its former President Maduro earlier this year. “I don’t want a Pope who thinks it’s OK for Iran to have a Nuclear Weapon,” Trump said. “I don’t want a Pope who thinks it’s terrible that America attacked Venezuela, a Country that was sending massive amounts of Drugs into the United States and, even worse, emptying their prisons, including murderers, drug dealers, and killers, into our Country. And I don’t want a Pope who criticizes the President of the United States because I’m doing exactly what I was elected, IN A LANDSLIDE, to do, setting Record Low Numbers in Crime, and creating the Greatest Stock Market in History.’ And Trump claimed, that Leo owed his papacy to him. ’He wasn’t on any list to be Pope, and was only put there by the Church because he was an American, and they thought that would be the best way to deal with President Trump". Telling reporters at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland on Sunday, Trump deemed the Pope a ’very liberal person’. Trump subsequently posted what appeared to be an AI-generated image depicting himself as someone with biblical powers, similar to that of Jesus Christ. The image shows Trump laying a glowing hand on a bedridden man, as various people, including a nurse, a soldier, and a woman with her hands clasped in prayer, look on in apparent awe. In the sky are images of an American flag, eagles, and what appear to be military forces. “Leo should get his act together as Pope, use Common Sense, stop catering to the Radical Left, and focus on being a Great Pope, not a Politician,’ Trump posted on Truth Social Sunday night. Leo responded to Trump's post today. "I will continue to speak out loudly against war, looking to promote peace, promoting dialogue and multilateral relationships among the states to look for just solutions to problems,' Leo told reporters on a flight to Algiers. Too many people are suffering in the world today, he said. Too many innocent people are being killed. „And I think someone has to stand up and say there's a better way." Archbishop Coakley, president of the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops, said in a statement Sunday that he was disheartened that the President chose to write such disparaging words about the Pontiff. “Pope Leo is not his rival; nor is the Pope a politician,” Coakley said. “He is the Vicar of Christ who speaks from the truth of the Gospel and for the care of souls.” (Source: Time - U.S.)

April 12, 2026 / 9:34 AM EDT  After talks in Pakistan failed to yield an agreement to end the war, President Trump said today morning, in a post on Truth Social, that the U.S. Navy will begin blockading any and all ships from entering or exiting the Strait of Hormuz. Mr. Trump also said he has instructed the Navy to seek and interdict every vessel in International Waters that has paid a toll to Iran. And the U.S. would begin destroying the mines the Iranians laid in the Straits. At least two vessels that have traversed the strait have paid Iran fees in Chinese yuan to guarantee safe passage, analysts from Lloyd's List Intelligence said in a recent report. Analysts wrote that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has imposed a de facto 'toll booth' regime in the Strait of Hormuz, requiring vessels to submit full documentation, obtain clearance codes and accept IRGC-escorted passage through a single controlled corridor. Iran has indicated that it might seek to impose a toll on all ships passing through the strait under a long-term peace deal. The president has previously urged Iran not to impose tolls on ships traveling through the key waterway. His announcement of a blockade came after the U.S. and Iran failed to reach a deal after face-to-face talks led by Vice President Vance in Islamabad yesterday. The two sides agreed to a two-week ceasefire five days ago. Vance told reporters that the Iranians "have chosen not to accept our terms' and that the direct talks were over. In his post on Truth Social, Mr. Trump claimed that "most points were agreed to, but the only point that really mattered, NUCLEAR, was not.” The president said that other countries will be involved in the blockade, Iran will not be allowed to profit off this ’illegal act of extortion,’ and, at an appropriate moment, ’our Military will finish up the little that is left of Iran!’ (Source: CBS News - U.S.)

21:45 BST, 11 April 2026  The list of deaths and sudden disappearances in recent years continues to grow: Missing nuclear official becomes TENTH person with ties to America's rocket technology - space - or nuclear secrets. Garcia, 48, vanished without a trace on August 28, 2025. He was last seen leaving his Albuquerque, New Mexico home on foot, carrying only a handgun and no phone, keys or wallet. Four of these officials have vanished without a trace in almost the same manner as Garcia. An anonymous source told that Garcia was a government contractor working for the Kansas City National Security Campus (KCNSC), a key nuclear weapons facility in Albuquerque, that plays a key behind-the-scenes role in America's national defense. KCNSC manufactures more than 80 percent of all the non-nuclear components that go into building the military's nuclear weapons. Garcia allegedly served as a property custodian at KCNSC's New Mexico facility, giving him a top security clearance and broad access to the entire site's nuclear secrets, overseeing position for all the assets. The anonymous source disputed any suggestions that the nuclear official may have been suicidal or was battling mental health issues, adding that the possibility of Garcia being the target of foreign spies 'makes the most sense.' ’Our scientists have been targeted for a long time, especially in the rocket propulsion area, by hostile foreign intelligence services,’ former FBI Assistant Director Swecker previously told. Days after Garcia's disappearance, KCNSC reportedly launched a desperate search for the missing contractor, including going through his work computers, emails and files for any clues to his whereabouts, but nothing has been found. 'He literally just walked off into the desert with a firearm and a bottle of water and that was it, the source said, comparing it to the disappearance of retired Air Force General McCasland. McCasland, 68, who also lived in Albuquerque, was last seen around 11am on February 27 near Quail Run Court NE in Albuquerque, leaving his home with no phone, wearable devices or his prescription glasses. The Air Force veteran was only carrying a .38-caliber revolver. Two other individuals in New Mexico - Chavez and Casias - with a connection to US nuclear facilities disappeared under identical circumstances in 2025. Both were employees at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), one of the nation's most important nuclear research sites and disappeared within weeks of each other in 2025. Chavez, 79, worked at the lab until his retirement in 2017, although his role there has not been made clear. Casias, 54, was an active administrative assistant at the facility and is believed to have had top security clearance. Both were last seen leaving their homes in New Mexico on foot, leaving behind their cars, keys, wallets and phones before disappearing without a trace less than four months before Garcia vanished. All three, Garcia, Chavez and Casias, have been tied to General McCasland, who was the former commander of the Air Force Research Lab (AFRL) and oversaw research at Kirtland Air Force Base from 2001 to 2004. Kirtland, KCNSC and LANL work closely together on national security projects, especially research involving America's nuclear capabilities. 'That entire mission runs out of Kirtland Air Force Base. A big part of it, including the technology and the production of the technology that they use, is all built in Albuquerque. So McCasland would have absolutely known and been to these facilities, a source revealed. Fearing that a foreign power may be taking aim at America's nuclear program again, Swecker noted: ’I think we’ve even seen instances where nuclear scientists have been taken out. They've been assassinated.’ NASA scientist Reza, 60, the director of the Materials Processing Group at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory disappeared while hiking with friends in California on June 22, 2025. She has also been directly tied to General McCasland through her work to invent a space-age metal called Mondaloy. The project was funded directly by AFRL while McCasland was overseeing her lab from 2011 to 2013. Five scientists in key areas of research have died over the last three years, including two who were murdered in their own homes. Loureiro, 47, was assassinated at his home in the Boston suburb of Brookline on December 15, 2025. Authorities said the gunman was Valente, a former classmate from Portugal. A former FBI official and independent investigators have noted that Loureiro's revolutionary work in nuclear fusion may have made him a target of a greater conspiracy against US scientists. Astrophysicist Grillmair, 67, was shot to death on the front porch of his home on February 16, 2026. The California Institute of Technology researcher's work had been heavily supported by NASA's JPL, including major space telescope missions led by NASA. Grillmair's work with the NEOWISE and NEO Surveyor has also been linked to the Air Force, as the NASA telescopes used the same systems the military relies on to track satellites and hypersonic missiles. Two other men with deep ties to NASA JPL died recently, with the circumstances surrounding their passings remaining a mystery. NASA scientist Maiwald reportedly died on July 4, 2024 in Los Angeles at the age of 61, but the cause of death has never been made public, and officials confirmed that an autopsy was never performed. In June 2023, just 13 months before his death, he was the lead researcher on a breakthrough that could help future space missions detect clear signs of life on other worlds, including Jupiter’s moon Europa, Saturn’s moon Enceladus, or the dwarf planet Ceres. Hicks, a research scientist at NASA JPL, passed away on July 30, 2023 at the age of 59, but the cause of death was never made public, and no record of an autopsy being performed could be found. Hicks had been involved with the DART Project, NASA’s test to see if humans could deflect dangerous asteroids away from Earth. He also worked on the Deep Space 1 Mission, which tested new spacecraft technology that flew by a comet in 2001. In another mysterious incident, Thomas, a pharmaceutical researcher testing cancer treatments at Novartis, was found dead in a Massachusetts lake on March 17, 2026, after disappearing without a trace three months earlier. (Source: Daily Mail - United Kingdom)

United States
Friday, April 10, 2026  Artemis II mission around the moon marked a return by the U.S. to manned space exploration, with the crew traveling more than 250,000 miles before returning to Earth. Next week leaders from across the space industry and U.S. military converge in Colorado Springs for the 2026 Space Symposium which is featuring major speeches from U.S. government stakeholders and futuristic displays from dozens of leading space technology companies. This year’s event is organized by the nonprofit Space Foundation. The outlook for future NASA’s Artemis missions will be a hot topic at the Space Symposium. NASA Associate Administrator Kshatriya is slated to address the gathering Monday on the topic of “science and exploration in the Artemis Era.” NASA Administrator Isaacman is also slated to speak on Monday. The U.S. Space Force, the newest branch of the military, and U.S. Space Command are also playing a critical role, sending representatives for key speaking engagements. Mr. Isaacman will sit down Monday evening with the CEO of the Space Foundation, retired Air Force Maj. Gen. Pringle, to discuss the infrastructure and innovation needed to support the U.S. government’s priorities in space. The pair will be joined by Kratsios, the director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, and will also address the administration’s push for more space exploration. The event will host space leaders from around the world to discuss, address, and plan for the future of space, the Space Foundation said in a statement. The Trump administration’s focus on ’developing futuristic space-based missile’ defense will be a theme. Golden Dome is expected to be a hot topic in private conversations at the Space Symposium. So is the growing landscape of constellations of LEO satellites that are seen as increasingly critical to the future of U.S. military and intelligence communications. Funding for the administration’s Golden Dome missile defense plan has grown over the past year to $38.9 billion. U.S. Space Force programs are slated to receive some $4.5 billion for low-Earth orbit (LEO) sensors and tracking hardware tied to Golden Dome. Gen. Saltzman, the chief of space operations for the U.S. Space Force, is slated to address the symposium on Wednesday. He recently made headlines by saying the current year has marked a shift for the Space Force to „talking about real, operational, combat space effects and the Guardians who deliver them.’ The symposium serves as one of the key touchpoints for the U.S. government and powerful defense industry companies that are involved in the space industry to do business in an increasingly critical and lucrative area of warfare. Over half of the attendees at last year’s symposium were industry professionals, according to the Space Foundation. Several of the top U.S. military contracting and defense technology companies, including Boeing, Northrop Grumman, RTX and Lockheed Martin, are listed as co-sponsors for this year’s gathering. The Space Symposium lists 56 different sponsors for the week’s engagements, with companies attending from around the world. Organizers are expecting participants from more than 60 different countries. They described it as hosting members of the space ecosystem from multiple spacefaring nations. Industry exhibitors will set up at the sprawling Broadmoor hotel complex and the Cheyenne Mountain Resort. Full-scale spacecraft will be on display, as will exhibits on innovations and industry, ranging from nanotechnology to government intelligence satellites. Estimates by the U.S. Space Force show that the service will heavily rely on privately owned and operated satellites for command and control, surveillance, reconnaissance, navigation and communications. The rapidly expanding importance of space to nearly all the equipment being implemented by the U.S. military involves a small but growing group of companies focused on supplying those capabilities and conducting ’routine launches of new space-based technology’. A broad range of discussions is set to play out at the Space Symposium, from the law and regulations surrounding space operations to the use of artificial intelligence applications for space exploration. The symposium will run through Thursday, ending with an address by Gen. Saltzman at a dinner to honor military forces. (Source: The Washington Times - U.S.)

April 10, 2026 6:54 AM ET  Vice President Vance is lead U.S. negotiator in face-to-face talks with Iran. It's a big role for an Iraq war veteran whose political brand included noninterventionist statements, opposition to American wars in the Middle East. It has been reported that Vance was initially, within this administration, a loud voice against this war. So there's some logic to him playing a part in trying to end it. The U.S. team will meet for talks in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan. He's trying to broker a permanent peace between parties that don't even agree on what the current ceasefire is. A big goal is to make sure the Strait of Hormuz is open, but that strait doesn't appear to be fully open right now, even after the ceasefire. President Trump this week even floated the idea of the U.S. and Iran together charging fees for ships to pass through, though he didn't explain any further how that would work. Besides the strait, there's enriched uranium. And again here, President Trump has floated the idea of cooperating. On social media this week, he suggested the U.S. and Iran dig up uranium together. Prior to being the VP, Vance was a senator from Ohio and only for two years, so he doesn't have a lot of international experience. But he's been less than diplomatic in the lead-up to these negotiations because when asked about accusations from the speaker of Iran's parliament that the U.S. had violated points of the ceasefire this week, Vance had this to say about that speaker: 'I actually wonder how good he is at understanding English because there are things that he said that, frankly, didn't make sense in some - in the context of the negotiations that we've had'. That doesn't mean Vice President Vance will be disagreeable at the negotiating table. But it does show that, like his boss, he can be harsh. (Source: NPR – U.S.)

(Friday), 10 April 2026  The US and Iran announced a two-week ceasefire yesterday, brokered by Pakistan. Officials tell Politico that during the White House meeting held on Wednesday with NATO chief Rutte, Trump threatened reprisals and pressed allies on Hormuz as NATO members offered only limited post-ceasefire support. The closed-door meeting earlier this week descended into a heated exchange. Politico reported yesterday that the meeting exposed deepening strains within the North Atlantic Treaty Organization over the Iran conflict. Trump vented frustration, criticizing European allies for refusing to support US-Israeli actions against Iran. Officials familiar with the talks said Trump appeared to press allies to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz, though a White House official denied any formal demands, stating: “As President Trump said yesterday, NATO was tested, and they failed … He has zero expectations for NATO at this point and did not ask them for anything.” NATO countries, in contrast, point out that Trump started the Iran war without consulting them and that there was no attack on the US to trigger the alliance’s collective defense mechanism. NATO invoked Article 5, for collective defense, exactly once, in the wake of the 2001 terrorist attacks on the US. Allies offer limited support as NATO avoids action - European leaders signaled conditional support following a ceasefire: Friedrich Merz said Germany could help secure navigation after peace; Mandon said France was considering “strictly defensive” options. Healey added that the UK had no immediate follow-up plans. NATO diplomats in Brussels reported no operational decisions following the meeting, as Rutte sought to reassure that the alliance remained intact. Rutte acknowledged this week’s tensions but defended the exchange as ’constructive’. In his two non-consecutive terms as president, Trump has been openly contemptuous and dismissive of NATO, and has spoken numerous times about possibly leaving the alliance. Trump later escalated his criticism on his social media platform Truth Social, writing: 'NATO wasn’t there when we needed them, and they won’t be there if we need them again. Remember Greenland, that big, poorly run, piece of ice!!!' (Source: Anadolu Agency – Turkey)

Space

(Saturday) 1:14 PM CEST, April 11, 2026  Launched from Florida on April 1, the first astronauts to visit the moon in more than a half-century are back on Earth. NASA’s lunar comeback is ’the first major step in establishing a sustainable moon base’. The Orion capsule, dubbed Integrity, made the entire plunge on automatic pilot. Yesterday evening, the lunar cruiser hit the atmosphere traveling Mach 33 - or 33 times the speed of sound - a blistering blur not seen since the 1960s and 1970s Apollo. Artemis II came screaming back at 11,026 meters per second - or 24,664 mph (39,693 kph) - before slowing to a 19 mph (30 kph) splashdown. The capsule became engulfed in red-hot plasma during peak heating and entered a planned communication blackout. The capsule’s life-protecting heat shield had to withstand thousands of degrees during reentry. The capsule emerged from its six-minute blackout and again at splashdown. Artemis II’s crew of four - Commander Wiseman, Pilot Glover, Canada’s Mission Specialist Hansen and Mission Specialist Koch - have emerged one-by-one from their lunar capsule after their capsule parachuted into the Pacific off the coast of California. Koch became the first woman to fly to the moon, Glover the first Black astronaut and Hansen the first non-U.S. citizen. The three Americans and one Canadian set a distance record for space travel during their lunar flyby. The crew reached 406,771 kilometers. They documented not only swaths of the lunar far side never seen before by human eyes, but a total solar eclipse and a parade of planets, most notably our own shimmering Earth against the endless black void of space. The astronauts asked permission to name a pair of craters after their moonship and Wiseman’s late wife, Carroll. With their flight now complete, the four astronauts have set NASA up for a moon landing by another crew in just two years and 'a full-blown moon base' within the decade. NASA’s Mission Control erupted in celebration, with hundreds pouring in from the back support rooms. Born a decade after Apollo, Isaacman greeted the astronauts with hugs as they headed from the helicopters to the ship’s medical bay for routine checks. They walked by themselves, refusing the wheelchairs offered them. We are back in the business of sending astronauts to the moon, bringing them back safely and to set up for a series more, Isaacman said. ’This is just the beginning.’ The nearly 10-day flight was not without technical issues. Both the capsule’s drinking water and propellant systems were hit with valve problems, the toilet kept malfunctioning. But the astronauts shrugged it all off. As for the heat shield, military aircraft crews photographed it from afar during reentry, and divers checked it from underneath as the capsule floated in the Pacific. More detailed examinations are planned. Under the revamped Artemis program, next year’s Artemis III will see astronauts practice docking their capsule with a lunar lander or two in orbit around Earth. Artemis IV will attempt to land a crew of two near the moon’s south pole in 2028. (Source: The Associated Press - U.S.)

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2026. IV. 9. Iran

2026.04.10. 23:37 Eleve

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Iran
09 April 2026 16:54 (UTC +04:00)  Iranian President Pezeshkian warned today that continued Israeli attacks on Lebanon would render ceasefire negotiations with the United States meaningless, as Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf said Lebanon is an inseparable part of the agreement. The Israeli army escalated its attacks across Lebanon since yesterday despite a two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan between the US and Iran as a step toward a final agreement to halt a war launched by Washington and Tel Aviv against Tehran on Feb. 28. While Islamabad and Tehran said the ceasefire includes Lebanon, Washington and Tel Aviv denied that. According to Lebanon’s Civil Defense, Israeli airstrikes killed at least 254 people and wounded 1,165 others yesterday. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan)

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