Egyik 19

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Conservative Political Action Conference, Budapest

The largest event of the conservative right,

this time for the fifth time in Budapest

- film -

/Recording of the live broadcast/

(Source: YouTube / The European Conservative)

16 302 views on 30 March 2026

Keywords (from 1st hour 11th minute to 2nd hour 40th minute):

Argentina    Asia    Austria    Bolivia    Bosnia and Herzegovina    Caucasus    Chile    Czechia    Denmark    Donbas Druzhba pipeline    Europe    European Commission    European Parliament    European Union    film    Georgia    Germany    global    Hungary    hymn    Iran    NATO    The Netherlands    Nord Stream    Persian Gulf    Poland Portugal    Russia    Schengen Area    Serbia    Slovenia    South America    Strait of Hormuz    Turkey    TurkStream    Ukraine    United States    Visegrád Countries

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Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), Budapest

A konzervatív jobboldal legnagyobb rendezvénye,

ezúttal ötödik alkalommal Budapesten

- video -

(Forrrás: YouTube / Patrióta)

2026. III. 30-án: 101 534 megtekintés

Kulcsszavak (az 1. óra 11. percétől a 2. óra 40. percig elhangzottak):

Argentína     Ausztria     Ázsia     Barátság kőolajvezeték     Bolívia     Bosznia-Hercegovina     Csehország     Chile     Dánia     Dél-Amerika     Donbász     Egyesült Államok     Európa     Európai Bizottság     Európai Parlament     Európai Unió     Északi Áramlat     Georgia     globalizmus     himnusz     Hollandia     Hormuzi-szoros     Irán     Kaukázus     Lengyelország     Magyarország     NATO     Németország     Oroszország     Perzsa-öböl    Portugália     Schengeni-övezet    Szerbia     Szlovénia     Török Áramlat     Törökország     Ukrajna     video     Visegrádi országok

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Hungary
(Saturday), March 21, 2026 5:13 pm CET  U.S. President Trump today reiterated his “complete and total endorsement” of Orbán in the Hungarian elections. And U.S. Vice President Vance is reportedly due to fly to Budapest in April in support of the prime minister. “The prime minister has been a strong leader whose shown the entire world what’s possible when you defend your borders, your culture, your heritage, your sovereignty and your values,” Trump said in a video address to the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) taking place in Hungary today. Trump praised Hungary’s “strong borders” and said the country will continue to “work very hard on immigration,” and said Europe has to “work very hard” to solve 'a lot of problems' around immigration. The American president said that Hungary and the U.S. are “showing the way toward a revitalized West,” and would also work “hard together on energy.” (Source: Politico - U.S.)
See: March 21, 2026 10:59 a.m. President Trump's video address to the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) taking place in Hungary on Saturday. (Source: X / Orbán Viktor)
795 800 views

13:26, 21/03/2026, Saturday  Human Rights Watch * has issued an urgent call for Hungarian authorities to arrest Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu should he set foot in the country, as the Israeli leader prepares for a visit beginning today. The visit comes just weeks before Hungary’s April 12 general elections, adding political dimensions to the diplomatic encounter. (Source: Yeni Safak / Anadolu Agency = Turkey )
* with the main headquarters located in New York City

(Saturday), March 21, 2026 at 5:00 a.m. EDT  During Orbán’s first stint as prime minister, from July 1998 to May 2002, Hungary joined NATO -  over Moscow’s objections. After Orbán was elected for the second time, in 2010, "they made a deal about Russian energy imports for Hungary”. Russian energy has been supplied not directly but through different intermediaries. For years, a central node in this relationship has been MOL, the Hungarian oil and gas conglomerate that is one of the country’s biggest and most profitable companies benefiting from the supply of cheap Russian energy. Just before Orbán became prime minister, MOL sold a 50 percent stake in its gas trader MOL Energy Trade, later renamed MET, to a Cyprus-registered company, Normeston Trading. Once Orbán was in power, Normeston transferred its stake in MET in 2011 to two of Orbán’s closest allies, allowing them to earn hundreds of millions of dollars in dividends through the purchase of cheaper gas on the European spot market. MET’s management bought out the shareholders in 2018. Another key way for Orbán and his allies to benefit came through Orbán’s decision to award a contract to Russia’s state nuclear monopoly Rosatom to build the Paks II nuclear reactor in 2014 with Russian state bank VEB providing a 10 billion euro loan for the project, of which 40 percent was to go to Hungarian subcontractors. Orbán’s childhood friend Mészáros was a key beneficiary. He received tens of millions of dollars’ worth of construction deals, according to E.U. procurement contracts, helping him become Hungary’s richest man and earn the moniker Orbán’s wallet. In an internal report for the Russia’s foreign intelligence service (SVR) ’obtained and authenticated by a European intelligence service and reviewed by The Washington Post’, ’the operatives proposed a way to fundamentally alter the entire paradigm of the election campaign -  the staging of an assassination attempt on Viktor Orban.’ Such an incident will shift the perception of the campaign out of the rational realm of socioeconomic questions into an emotional one, where the key themes will become state security and the stability and defense of the political system, the 'operatives wrote in a report prepared for the SVR’s main unit for political influence operations, Directorate MS, or Active Measures Department'. "There have been no physical attacks on Orbán". Orbán last week accused Ukrainians of plotting physical attacks on his family, while Zelensky earlier this month, speaking about Orbán, threatened to give ’this person’s address to our armed forces.’ On Thursday, the Hungarian government said it was banning three Ukrainian citizens from entering its territory. They made threats against Hungary, Orbán and his family. Mere suggestions of staging an attempt on Orbán’s life’ underscores high stakes in the Hungarian race. Orbán said he was moving troops to protect Hungary’s critical energy infrastructure against a potential attack by Ukraine. In the current campaign, Orbán has sought to promote himself as the candidate for peace, while presenting the rival, Magyar, as a stooge of Brussels who would drag Hungary into war on Ukraine’s side. The two candidates held rival rallies on Sunday, which drew ’hundreds of thousands’, with both sides claiming their gatherings were the largest ever. Russia is not the only outside power potentially looking to prop up Orbán. Orbán acted as a bridge for the Kremlin to U.S. conservatives in hopes of forging a new post-liberal world order. Hungarian foreign minister Szijjártó has made 16 official visits to Moscow since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, most recently on March 4 when he met with President Putin. (He ’made regular phone calls during breaks at E.U. meetings to provide his Russian counterpart, Lavrov, with live reports on what’s been discussed and possible solutions, one of the European security officials said’). Secretary of State Rubio visited Budapest last month, telling Orbán that “your success is our success.” Orbán has made no secret that he hopes Trump will do the same. Szijjártó said Vice President Vance will visit instead. And Kremlin spokesman Peskov dismissed questions from The Post about the SVR strategy document: 'This is another example of disinformation, he said." (Source: The Washington Post - U.S.)

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Geopolitikai elemzés Casteltől

orosz-ukrán háború aktualitásairól,

az Egyesült Államok külpolitikájáról, Trump döntéseiről

és az Európai Unió történéseiről.

Kérdezi: Fekete.

- video -

(Forrás: YouTube / Fekete)

2026. III. 24.-én: 59 208 megtekintés

Részlet az átiratból

"Most lehet, hogy meglepő, amit mondani fogok, de ez a fegyverátadás, meg ez az emberkedés Oroszországgal szemben, meg ezek az adósságok, amiket az Európai Unió rá akar kényszeríteni a tagállamokra, ezeknek az égvilágon semmi köze nincs Ukrajnához. Tehát itt, amit az Európai Unió vezetősége csinál, gyakorlatilag ez a Hamilton-féle forgatókönyv az Egyesült Államokban. Mi történt? Azt láttuk, hogy az Egyesült Államok, mikor megszületett, a Fiatal Egyesült Államok, egy ilyen nagyon laza konföderáció volt, kicsit olyan, mint most az Európai Unió. És ott is volt egy ilyen szándék, hogy egy komoly, komoly nemzetet, egy komoly államot kovácsoljanak ki belőle. És erre két eszközt használtak. Az egyik az adósságok. Az államoknak az adósságait Hamilton összevonta, és egy föderális adóssággá tette. Ez volt az első ilyen lépés. A másik, második ilyen lépés: a Hiltont követő elnökök elkezdtek komolyan beleállni az észak-afrikai kalózok elleni, kalózállamok elleni harcba, akik megsarcolták az amerikai hajózást, az amerikai tengeri kereskedelmet a Földközi-tengeren. És ezt a háborút használták föl tulajdonképpen egyfajta ilyen emelőrúdként, egyfajta ilyen eszközként arra, hogy ebből a laza konföderációból egy uniót hozzanak létre. Tehát ez, gyakorlatilag ez az európai forgatókönyv is. Háború és adósság, kölcsönök, és ezek faragnak egy laza konföderációból egy 'igazi uniót'. Tehát én ezt látom, ezt a forgatókönyvet próbálják leutánozni az európai honatyák'.

Kulcsszavak:

Afrika     Ázsia     Csendes-óceán    Dél-Korea     Duna     Egyesült Államok     Egyesült Királyság     Európa     Európai Tanács     Európai Unió     Észak-Korea     Földközi-tenger     Franciaország     globális     Guam     Irán     Izrael     Japán     Japán-tenger     könyv     Krím     Lengyelország     Magyarország     NATO     Németország     Oroszország     Perzsa-öböl     Románia     Spanyolország     térkép     Ukrajna     űr     

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Iran
Mar 22, 2026 12:48 IST  Can Iran make a dirty bomb? The short answer is yes. (Source: India Today)

Mar 21, 2026 16:55 IST  Today Tehran attempted to strike the US-UK base Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean with two intermediate-range ballistic missiles, 4,000 km away, according to the semi-official Mehr news agency. One failed and the other may have been intercepted. By targeting Diego Garcia, Iran has expanded the theatre of conflict from the Middle East into the Indian Ocean. This attempt reshapes the risk map. Iran achieves a strategic impact simply by forcing the US to engage defensive measures. Diego Garcia is a pivotal platform for US power projection, hosting heavy bombers, surveillance aircraft, and critical logistics infrastructure. US officials, speaking to the Wall Street Journal, reported that one missile failed mid-flight while a US warship fired an SM-3 interceptor at the second. It remains unclear if the interception was successful. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi had previously said the country’s missiles could reach 2,000 kilometres. This is a strategic demonstration as much as a technical test. Experts suggest Tehran may be testing systems approaching true intermediate-range ballistic missile capabilities, with potential reach into southern Europe or deeper into the Indian Ocean. (Source: India Today)

21.03.2026  Iran says Natanz nuclear enrichment complex hit again in US-Israeli attack. The attack targeted the Shahid Ahmadi Roshan enrichment facility in Natanz, no radiation leak detected, says Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Mar 20, 2026 14:48 IST  The story of how this war began is, at its core, the story of a phone call. On February 23rd, Netanyahu rang Trump with a piece of intelligence: Iran's supreme leader and his top advisers were all convening at a single location in Tehran that Saturday morning. They could all be killed in one strike. It was, Netanyahu told the President of the United States, a now-or-never moment. Trump took the deal. Netanyahu had visited the White House a record-breaking six times in the prior year. In call after call, he had been methodically shifting Trump's gaze toward Iran's nuclear ambitions. When Omani mediators were reportedly on the verge of announcing a potential diplomatic breakthrough in Geneva, Netanyahu worked to derail those talks. Then came the Saturday morning airstrike. Israel's elections are scheduled for October 2026. Polls before the war showed his coalition projected to win just 49 to 52 seats in the 120-member Knesset, against 57 or 58 for the opposition. His corruption trial grinds on. Conviction could mean prison. Political analysts say the war is one of the cornerstones of his reelection strategy. The plan: battlefield achievements would allow him to reframe October 7th not as a catastrophic failure of his leadership but as the opening chapter of a broader, triumphal transformation of the Middle East. Despite 81 percent of Israeli Jews supporting the strikes, the latest Channel 12 survey shows Likud receiving exactly the same number of Knesset seats as before the war began. The pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs remain deadlocked at 53 seats each, well short of the 61 needed for a majority. He needed a game changer. The war alone may not be enough. He is now reportedly counting on regime change in Tehran. Now turn the lens to Washington. Trump ran for president in 2024 promising to end wars, not start them. MAGA's core instinct is isolationist. And yet here he stands, the man who once mocked endless Middle Eastern entanglements, presiding over America's largest military operation in the region in two decades, without a congressional vote. The American public has noticed. According to NPR/PBS/Marist, 56 percent of Americans oppose the military action, and just 36 percent approve of Trump's handling of Iran. He is now being guided by neo-conservatists like Rubio in the government. These hawks want him to put boots on the ground to either capture Kharg, or Iran’s stock of Uranium. The war is being fought on the go. Senator Van Hollen put it pungently: Netanyahu 'finally found a president stupid enough to attack Iran.' Gulf allies who trusted American security cooperation now experience that cooperation as a direct threat to their own stability. There is a scene that captures this entire relationship. Netanyahu, meeting with US Ambassador Huckabee, reportedly showed him a literal 'punch card' of Iranian leaders Israel had already assassinated or intended to assassinate. A punch card. As though the lives of leaders, the fate of a 90-million-person nation, the disruption of global energy markets, and the risk of American soldiers dying were items to be tallied toward some reward. On the morning of March 18, 2026, Israel struck the South Pars natural gas field in the Persian Gulf, the world's largest, without telling the United States it was going to do so. Trump, the man whose military is also fighting the war, found out when everyone else did. There is no scenario in which both men get what they want. Netanyahu needed this war to survive an election. Trump may lose one because of it. Israel has a clear endgame. America, watching its midterms approach and its approval ratings crater, does not. The tail has wagged the superpower. (Source: India Today)

20 March 2026 2:30 pm  Dylan’s song has never felt more alive than today. He wrote: '...you don’t count the dead when God’s on your side.' Iran and its allies are speaking of jihad, the holy war, and the return of Imam Mahdi, the supposed redeemer of Islam. Jerusalem, a site historically important for all three Abrahamic faiths - Judaism, Christianity and Islam - has become the bull’s-eye of three major state powers to bomb, and bomb enemy territories indiscriminately, targeting even schools and hospitals. All for geopolitical dominance, but in the name of God. Today’s Iran cannot be compared with ancient Persia. Nevertheless, Israel is using this story to paint their war efforts as the fulfilment of a religious quest of the Jewish people against a supposedly ancient enemy. When secular strategic interests get baptised in sacred language, wars become harder to end. Atrocities become divine will. Everybody can claim to have God by their side. But it’s we who have to figure out - whose side God, the merciful, is really on. Israel and the US continue to use Biblical references. Trump would not and does not hesitate to express his real intentions. Iran’s nuclear programme is a lame excuse the US-Israel alliance is citing, much like how the US invaded Iraq, alleging the presence of weapons of mass destruction, but could not provide any evidence of Iraq building such things. Netanyahu wants to weaken Iran as much as possible. He even wishes for a collapse of the state. A fragmentation of Iran along ethnic lines would be his most favoured outcome. Trump does not want that. He feels that a collapse of Iran, or even of its current regime, would destabilise western and central Asia; it would also hurt US interests there. Trump wants Iran’s regime itself to shift and collaborate with the US, like what happened in Venezuela. As Dylan’s song pointed out, 'And you never ask questions when God’s on your side.' The current war efforts have both religious and material motivations because these efforts are being driven by religious nationalism, not religion or nationalism alone. Since nationalism is even more powerful than religious sentiments, even religious fundamentalists have to frame the ideology as religious nationalism. There is also a growing Islamophobic dimension in the ideological beliefs held by proponents of Hindutva, Zionism and right-wing conservative Christian evangelism claim terror as an inherent characteristic of Islam. However, the fact remains that terrorism can be and is justified in the name of all kinds of ideologies - religious and secular. Can believers who do not want the war go on to reclaim God to end it? “If God’s on our side, He’ll stop the next war,” Dylan concluded. (Source: Outlook - India)
by Bhattacharya

12:12, 20/03/2026, Friday  The Israeli military announced today that its air force struck Iranian naval infrastructure in the Caspian Sea, marking the first such attack in that theater since the conflict began. The army alleged the strikes targeted a military port housing dozens of vessels, including missile boats, along with a central command headquarters. The Caspian Sea, the world's largest inland body of water, borders northern Iran and lies far from Israel's traditional operational reach. (Source: Yeni Şafak - Turkey)

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United States
03/23/26 1:31 p.m. EDT  USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier leaves Middle East amid Iran fight. It reached Crete, Greece for repairs due to a fire onboard, in the laundry room on March 12 amid the ongoing U.S.-Israeli war in Iran. The U.S. military only has one aircraft carrier in the war against Iran unless Washington sends another such vessel to replace it. The Navy said the Gerald R. Ford arrived at Souda Bay for maintenance and repairs today but remains fully mission capable. The ship, along with the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, has played a key role in the Trump administration’s war against Tehran. It has been at sea for nearly nine months after departing Norfolk, Va., in June, initially sent to the European theater. The vessel was then ordered to head to the Caribbean as the Pentagon was establishing a massive military presence near Venezuela. Then, in early February, the Ford was ordered to the Persian Gulf region as tensions climbed between Washington and Tehran. (Source: The Hill - U.S.)

March 23, 2026, 11:14 AM ET  The U.S. government is insolvent - it’s the conclusion drawn directly from the Treasury Department’s own consolidated financial statements for fiscal year 2025, released last week to near-total media silence. The numbers: $6.06 trillion in total assets against $47.78 trillion in total liabilities as of September 30, 2025. If the $88.4 trillion in 75-year off-balance-sheet obligations were added to the $47.8 trillion in official balance sheet liabilities, total federal obligations would now exceed $136.2 trillion - roughly five times U.S. annual GDP. 'Congress has clearly lost control of the nation’s finances. America is facing a fiscal catastrophe'. (Source: Fortune - U.S.)
by Hanke, a professor of applied economics at The Johns Hopkins University, a member of the Board of Directors at the Federal Fiscal Sustainability Foundation, co-editor, with Poulson and Merrifield, of "Public Debt Sustainability: International Perspectives" (2022); Walker is the former Comptroller General of the United States and the Chairman of the Board of Directors at the Federal Fiscal Sustainability Foundation.

March 22, 2026, 7:45 p.m. ET  “The Department of State advises Americans worldwide, and especially in the Middle East, to exercise increased caution. Americans abroad should follow the guidance in security alerts issued by the nearest U.S. embassy or consulate,” the State Department said in a statement. The alert comes after Iranian military spokesman Gen. Shekarchi issued a threat on Friday, warning that Tehran terrorists will now be targeting popular tourism havens as the US and Israel continue their attacks against Iran. Iran quickly hurled retaliatory rockets at American interests in the region, with missiles hitting tourist hubs in Dubai and Israel. Iran yesterday vowed to deploy a policy of zero restraint and hit energy infrastructure across the Persian Gulf as well as banks that do business with the US if President Trump carries out his threat to obliterate Tehran’s power plants. Trump’s ultimatum demanded an end to the Islamic Republic’s hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz. The president set a 48-hour deadline for the deal, which ends around 8 p.m. ET today. Iran’s Parliament Speaker Qalibaf said his country would make no such concession, warning of a retaliatory attack if Trump follows through with the blitz. (Source: New York Post - U.S.)

21.03.2026  A federal court in the US yesterday ruled that the 'Department of Defense’s' (Pentagon) restrictions on the press violated freedom of speech rights protected by the Constitution. 'It provides no way for journalists to know how they may do their jobs without losing their credentials,' Federal Judge Friedman says in ruling. The federal court announced its decision in a lawsuit filed by The New York Times in December 2025. In its decision, the court acknowledged the need to protect national security, military personnel, and war plans. Pentagon spokesperson Parnell said that they disagreed with the ruling and would immediately begin the appeals process. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Indian Ocean

Diego Garcia
March 23, 2026 1:09 p.m.  The tiny, British-owned Chagos Archipelago has been home to a major U.S. military base for decades. A deal to return the islands to Mauritius has raised alarm in the White House. What’s on the table in the UK-Mauritius agreement, why Trump has chosen now to advocate against it, and whether or not it’s likely to go through. Mauritius has argued that it was illegally forced to cede the islands to the UK as part of a deal to gain independence from Britain and has claimed sovereignty over the islands for decades - going as far as pursuing a case with the International Court of Justice (ICJ) in 2019. The establishment of the U.S.-UK military base in the early 1970s included forcibly removing native Chagossians to Mauritius, the Seychelles, and the UK, and enacting measures to prevent their permanent return. In 2022, the UK entered into negotiations with Mauritius to transfer sovereignty of the island. In October 2024, the newly elected Labour government, led by Keir Starmer, reached a political agreement with Mauritius, which both parties later signed in May 2025. The agreement grants Mauritius full sovereignty over the archipelago, while allowing the UK to continue exercising authority over Diego Garcia for an initial ninety-nine-year period. The agreement’s exploratory memorandum outlines an annual sum of roughly $220 million for first three years; a fixed annual sum of about $160 million for years four through thirteen, and then an annual sum indexed to the GDP deflator; a sum of about $53 million for a trust fund to benefit Chagossians; and an annual grant of about $60 million for twenty-five years to promote the economic development and welfare of Mauritius and its people. During this time, Mauritius will allow the United States and the UK to access, maintain, and invest in the joint military base. It will also bar other countries from accessing the outer islands surrounding Diego Garcia without explicit permission from the UK. The military base on Diego Garcia is jointly held. It is primarily operated by roughly 2,500 U.S. personnel. It also hosts some of the world’s most advanced military and logistical equipment, including B-52 bomber aircraft, radar installations, and fuel storage facilities. The United States heavily relied on the base for air and maritime operations. “The U.S. national interest is crystal clear, and that is to get legal access to the base in perpetuity, for one hundred years, and have somebody else pay for it,' said Harris, a Colorado State University professor who has studied the Chagos Islands for nearly two decades. The UK did not permit the United States to use Diego Garcia or any other UK air bases in its initial February 28 strikes on Iran, to Trump’s dismay. The next day, Starmer allowed the U.S. military to rely on UK bases, including Diego Garcia. Trump also seeks to counter China’s foothold in the Indian Ocean, citing Beijing’s bilateral relationship with Mauritius and its growing interest in strengthening its regional security presence. Mauritius’s close partnership with India would likely cull any Chinese efforts to build a presence on the islands. The British government wants to see the deal through into alignment with international law. It currently sits with the House of Lords in the UK Parliament, and will then require formal approval from King Charles III. Recent reports indicate that thousands of Mauritian officials have traveled to China for specialized courses ahead of the planned handover, with hundreds more set to receive training from Beijing. (Source: Council on Foreign Relations - U.S.)

Mar 21, 2026 16:55 IST  Today Tehran attempted to strike the US-UK base Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean with two intermediate-range ballistic missiles, 4,000 km away, according to the semi-official Mehr news agency. One failed and the other may have been intercepted. By targeting Diego Garcia, Iran has expanded the theatre of conflict from the Middle East into the Indian Ocean. This attempt reshapes the risk map. Iran achieves a strategic impact simply by forcing the US to engage defensive measures. Diego Garcia is a pivotal platform for US power projection, hosting heavy bombers, surveillance aircraft, and critical logistics infrastructure. US officials, speaking to the Wall Street Journal, reported that one missile failed mid-flight while a US warship fired an SM-3 interceptor at the second. It remains unclear if the interception was successful. This is a strategic demonstration as much as a technical test. Experts suggest Tehran may be testing systems approaching true intermediate-range ballistic missile capabilities, with potential reach into southern Europe or deeper into the Indian Ocean. (Source: India Today)

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Az európai uniós csúcstanácskozón az ukrán zsarolás elbukott.

Orbán Viktor megállította Zelenszkijt:

Amíg Magyarország nem kap kőolajat, addig Ukrajna sem kapja meg a 90 milliárd euro-t.

Video

(Forrás: YouTube / Mandiner)

2026. III. 20. óta: 55 740 megtekintés

/Részletek a Bóka, európai uniós ügyekért felelős miniszterrel készült interjú szövegéből/:

"Nincs olaj, nincs pénz."   'Zelenszkij-féle (olaj)zsarolás: - Ukrajna lezárta a Barátság kőolajvezetéket nyilvánvalóan politikai okokból. Ez nyilvánvalóan egy energia-fegyver, nyilvánvaló beavatkozás a magyar választásokba. Ilyen körülmények között Magyarország ehhez nem tud hozzájárulni, úgy, minthogyha semmi se történt volna. Tehát akkor: a magyar álláspont az nem egy kampány-álláspont. Ugye ez volt az egyik fontos vád Magyarországgal szemben, hogy Orbán Viktor ezt azért csinálja, mert Ukrajnából egy kampánytémát csinál'.    - "Nem, ezt Magyarország azért csinálja, mert Zelenszkij csinál belőle kampánytémát. Tehát azt azért látni kell, hogy a Barátság olajvezeték már korábban, a háború kitörése óta 22 alkalommal meghibásodott úgy, hogy az ukránok ezt nem politikai szinten, hanem technikai szinten kezelték. A vezetéket ütemezetten helyreállították, majd utána mehetett tovább a kőolajszállítás. Most néhány héttel a választások előtt döntött úgy Zelenszkij elnök, hogy ezt ő politizálja. A magyar választási kampányba beavatkozik az energiafegyver alkalmazásán keresztül, és erre a helyzetre kellett valahogy reagálni a magyar miniszterelnöknek. Még, ugye, Zelenszkij ráadásul még meg is fenyegette a magyar miniszterelnököt életveszélyesen. Tehát nem arról van szó, hogy a magyar miniszterelnök fenyegette Zelenszkijt, hanem fordítva. Tehát ezt én elég egyértelművé tettem a kollégáimnak is és a brüsszeli sajtó kérdéseire is, hogy az ukránok politizálják át a Barátság olajvezeték kérdését. Az ukránok teszik ezt kampánytémává, nem Magyarország. Nekünk semmi problémánk nem volt azzal, hogy az előző 22 alkalommal az ukránok helyreállították a vezetéket anélkül, hogy ennek az ügynek bármilyen politikai szintre föl kellett volna kerülnie. Most az ukránok döntöttek úgy, hogy ebből politikai kérdést csinálnak. Maga Zelenszkij többször, több alkalommal márciusban és egészen az Európai Tanácsot megelőző utolsó napokig azt mondta, hogy ha rajta múlik, akkor ő nem állítja helyre a Barátság vezetéket. Ő a Barátság vezeték helyreállítása ellen van. Ez nyilvánvalóan egy politikai pozíció, amire Magyarországnak valamilyen politikai választ kell adnia. A magyar álláspont szilárd".    - A válasz megszületett, és mik a reakciók az európai partnerek részéről? Most duzzognak, felháborodnak, vagy elmennek és meggyőzik Zelenszkij elnököt, hogy márpedig nincsen más választás?   - 'Nagyon sokáig ment ilyen susmus Brüsszelben arról, hogy lehet, hogy van más megoldás is, lehet, hogy Magyarországot meg lehet kerülni. Én ezt nem zárom ki, hogy erre kísérletet tesznek. Ugye az európai intézmények jogi szolgálatai elég 'kreatívan' viszonyulnak ezekhez a kérdésekhez. Tehát én azt nem tudom nem eskü alatt vallani, hogy az Európai Unió szabályait nem tudják a jogi szolgálatok úgy csavarni, ahogy az ő érdekükben áll, de az uniós jog általunk ismert állapota szerint Magyarország megkerülése nem lehetséges."      Európa fizet?      Kijev titkolózik.      Szóba került a Zelenszkij-féle halálos fenyegetés?      Meddig tarthatóak az orosz szankciók?      Közel-Kelet: Európa teljes tehetetlensége...      Újabb migrációs hullám fenyeget.      "Mi lesz az uniós költségvetéssel?    "- A mi nyitó pozíciónk rendkívül egyszerű. Három pillére van. Az egyik az, hogy semmiről sem állapodunk meg addig, amíg mindenről nincs megállapodás. A másik pozíció az, hogy nem nyitunk új fejezetet az uniós költségvetés történetében, amíg az előző fejezetet le nem zártuk, vagyis hozzá nem jutottunk valamennyi uniós forráshoz, ami bennünket megillet. A harmadik pedig az, hogy mi csak valódi uniós forrásokról vagyunk hajlandóak tárgyalni, fiktív forrásokról nem. Tehát mi valódi pénzt és nem játékpénzt szeretnénk kitenni az asztalra. Mindaddig, amíg a kondicionalitás lehetővé teszi, hogy az EU-s intézmények politikai vagy ideológiai okból blokkolják a hozzáférést, addig ez fiktív pénz, nem valódi pénz. Mi csak valódi pénzről akarunk tárgyalni. Ez a magyar pozíció."      A csúcstalálkozó értékelése.    - Akkor ezek szerint nem történt ezen a találkozón túl sok azon kívül nyilván, hogy Magyarország álláspontja érvényesült.    - Attól függ, hogy mi a túl sok, ugye, mert egyébként az ET következtetések 23 oldalt foglalnak le, tehát azt nem lehet mondani, hogy kevés következtetés született, de azt is szokták mondani, a sok beszédnek sok az alja.   - Így értettem. A belga miniszterelnök arról beszélt, és ez már az utolsó kérdésem, hogy az Európai Unió egyre inkább Belgiumra hasonlít egy örökkévalóság, mire bármilyen döntés megszületik. Ez egy helytálló összefoglalója volt ennek a csúcstalálkozónak? Ennyire rossz és ennyire lassú Európának a reakciója?   - Nyilván az intézmények reakció ideje is lassú. Ugye emlékszünk arra, hogy amikor kitört az új közel-keleti háború, akkor az volt a döntés, hogy majd két-három nap múlva, amikor ugye letelik a hétvége, akkor összeülnek az uniós intézmények illetékesei és értékelik a helyzetet. De hát, ugye, azért a hétvégi pihenést emiatt talán ne szakítsuk meg... Ez volt, ez volt az általános vélekedés Brüsszelben. Tehát nyilván az intézmények maguk is lassúak, de valójában arról van szó, hogy a politikai helyzetértékelés az rendkívül széttartó, és sokan a nyilvánvaló politikai helyzetértékelésből sem hajlandóak levonni a következtetéseket, aminek valószínűleg szintén alapvetően személyes politikai okai vannak. Nagyon nehéz konszenzust teremteni alapvető kérdésekben, és az európai intézményrendszer működéséből az adódik, hogyha nincsen konszenzus alapvető kérdésekben, akkor az egész rendszer, az működésképtelen. Ugye, ez az Európai Unió az egy olyan autó, amiben van 27 kormány - illetve vannak még intézményi vezetők, akik úgy gondolják, hogy az ő kezükben is van kormány, de ők valójában csak a levegőt vezetik - tehát van 27 kormány egy autóban, és valahogy úgy kellene azt a 27 kormányt tekerni, hogy az autó, az egy irányba haladjon. Ha pedig az autó nem tud egy irányba haladni, akkor a dolog természeténél fogva helyben fog állni.

Kulcsszavak:

Baltikum    Barátság kőolajvezeték    Belgium    Ciprus    Egyesült Államok    Európa    Európai Bizottság    Európai Központi Bank    Európai Parlament    Európai Tanács    Európai Bíróság    globális    Irán    Lengyelország   Libanon    Magyarország    Németország    Oroszország    Skandinávia    Spanyolország    Szíria    Szlovákia    Ukrajna    video

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United States
19 March 2026  Distressing as it may be for America’s allies and friends – given that this would be a disaster for the entire West – the possibility of American defeat in Iran should be taken into account, if for no other reason than to properly understand what’s at stake so that governments can make informed policy decisions. What would defeat mean in this case, then? Notionally, it would involve an outcome that leaves Iran heavily battered but still standing as a missile and drone power, keeping its nuclear programme, and with demonstrated control over the Strait. In this version of the future, for some reason – political, economic or military – at some point the US president decides to cut his losses and pull out of the war whether or not the Strait is fully reopened, and while Iran can still strike at least across the Gulf. Let’s just assume this is the White House (or indeed Mar-a-Lago) decision. However, this cannot be done unilaterally: If US forces simply stand down and stop engaging the Iranians, there would be nothing stopping Tehran from continuing to block the Hormuz and bomb the Gulf states as a way to exert its power over the Arabs and force concessions including reparations. This course of action would be absurd. So if the American goal at that point is to actually stop the war altogether, Washington will obviously require Tehran’s assent, i.e. a deal that also makes Iranian forces stand down. Any deal with an Iran that remains an active threat, still firing missiles and drones (even if just sporadically), perhaps still harassing Strait traffic, and still formally in possession of its enriched uranium stockpile, will be widely seen as a framework of defeat for the US. The actual terms of the agreement may add to that perception given that Iran will likely request a significant or even complete US withdrawal from its Gulf bases. We agree to stop only if you leave, would likely be the IRGC message. A US president under heavy pressure to terminate the conflict may have no better option than to negotiate on that basis; all alternatives (escalation, open-ended war, etc), at that point, might be worse. Staying with this purely theoretical scenario for a while longer, let us consider the colossal implications of such an outcome. The Gulf would come under Iranian dominance, with Chinese (and Russian) backing. In the Pacific, US inability to break a much weaker Iran would change deterrence calculations and likely persuade Taiwan that peaceful reunification is the only rational way forward. Chinese power would replace America’s across the region perhaps without a single shot being fired. For Europe, the consequences of an American defeat would depend on US politics in the aftermath of the Iran war. The backlash against foreign involvement could be so strong as to accelerate US isolationism and focus on the Americas, thus hastening perhaps even a de facto US exit from NATO. Coupled with the panic and demoralisation which would ensue among Europeans, the new situation would likely make the Ukrainian war effort unsustainable – allowing Russia to impose harder peace terms and perhaps achieve a new Russian sphere of influence in Eastern Europe. A more hopeful case can also be made for the eventuality in which a new, more traditional political administration takes over the White House. Instead of further retreating from the world, a future president might look for ways to repair the damage and compensate for the presumed Iran 'mishap'. Doubling down on US support for Europe and Ukraine, to keep Russia at bay and shore up the transatlantic strategic space as a base for a future re-assertion of US power across the Middle East, and indeed to backstop Israel, would make grand-strategic sense and thus be rather likely. The main risk with all this, though, is that the sheer scale of the instability and strife that would engulf the period of transition from one US political order to the other, and the ultimate uncertainty about the outcome, will create the conditions not only for major economic disruptions but also for further international conflict. What about the domestic scene? As suggested above, the key consequence of any form of US defeat in Iran will primarily play out in domestic politics – in America but also in Europe. If the Iran campaign goes the way of Iraq or Afghanistan – i.e. if it comes to be seen as an incredibly foolish, expensive mistake – then this will likely collapse not just Trump but the entire MAGA movement as well as its overseas copycats, irrespective of how they’ve positioned themselves on the war. Only one narrative will emerge from the potential political ruins of the attack on Iran: That MAGA-style populism ultimately means only chaos engineered by demagogues who don’t know what they’re doing. But if anyone thinks that this would open the way for a return to sensible centrist politics, think again: It’s far more likely that the pendulum will swing towards more extreme forms of politics as large majorities of people begin seek radical solutions to chronic problems. A perceived American defeat in this Iran war is mere speculation at this point. But victory is also not clearly in view either – at least not yet – and the US is now at a point where it feels compelled to ask for help from allies to finish the job. So thinking through some of the potential consequences of the worst-case scenario might focus the minds of policy-makers, certainly when it comes to decisions as to whether and how to support the US-Israeli effort. Irrespective of higher questions of the war’s legality or strategic wisdom, its reality – the fact that it is now underway – is the only thing that matters for practical policy purposes. However it was begun, a war must be fought to victory, either full or partial; the only alternative is accepting the consequences of defeat. 'The path to a favourable outcome in Iran for the US and Israel is now narrowing considerably. If it begins to vanish, it will quickly become clear that “their problem' is in fact everyone else’s problem as well, and hard choices about allied involvement will need to be considered. (Source: Brussels Signal - Belgium)
by Elefteriu

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Global
19 March 2026 6:11pm GMT  The benchmark TTF contract for gas in Europe was €29 (£25) per megawatt-hour (MWh) in mid-February. Bank of America says it could reach €500 this winter if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for 10 weeks, as it may well do. That would blow through the record high seen after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and amount to a full-blown economic emergency 'for Europe, the UK', Japan, South Korea and South Asia. It is just as bad for oil. Physical deliveries are under far greater stress than Brent futures, at about $113, would suggest. Actual barrels of the Dubai basket and Oman’s Murban are fetching close to $170 a barrel as Asian refiners scramble to buy anything they can. Jet fuel deliveries have hit $210 in Rotterdam and $240 in Singapore. Barrow, the vice-president of oil at S&P Global Energy says it may become physically impossible to obtain supplies. 'If the Strait stays closed for two months, you’ll have plants without feedstock and we’ll get real rationing. We’ll have panic buying and hoarding,' he said. 'Net, we’re around 15 million barrels a day (b/d) short in the market. Crude gets the headline but the actual impact is further downstream in refined products, diesel, jet, fuel or naphtha. There are 68 refineries in the war zone.' The world will hit a brick wall within two months. 'We may need to ground planes, shut chemical plants and accept lower crop yields,' Currie, an oil veteran at the Carlyle Group, said. Currie compares today’s nonchalance to the misjudgement in January 2020 as Westerners watched the Covid lockdown in China and carried on as if the virus had nothing to do with them. Europe will face its own physical shortage as we go into April, Kaneva, the commodity chief at JP Morgan, said. The average tanker trip from the Gulf to Asia is 10 to 15 days. It is 25 to 30 days to Europe via Suez, and 35 to 45 days via the Cape. Europe is still receiving normal pre-war cargoes. West Asia is not. That is where violent “demand destruction” has begun. Plans to try to hold down prices within the US fortress economy by starving the rest of us would deprive the global market of up to seven to eight million barrels a day (b/d) of oil and petroleum products, depending how much Trump would allow out to help his culture war friends. 'We continue to watch for any signs that the Houthis may enter the conflict and imperil the Red Sea,' said Croft, a former CIA analyst now at RBC Capital. (Source: The Telegraph - United Kingdom)

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Europe

Hungary
(Sunday), March 22, 2026 10:52 PM CET  Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán refused to sign off on €90 billion in loans for Ukraine at Friday’s European Council, sparking a furious reaction: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned on X yesterday ’of long-standing suspicions’ Viktor Orbán’s government is ’sharing information with Russia’; Tusk has backed the Hungarian opposition leader in the election. The Washington Post said in a report yesterday that Orbán’s government maintained close contacts with Moscow throughout the war in Ukraine, and Foreign Minister Szijjártó ’used breaks during meetings with other member countries to update’ his Russian counterpart, Lavrov. Despite widespread agreement on the threat posed by Russia, a diplomat pointed out that the content of discussions among leaders and foreign ministers are routinely reported in the press and frequently take place in an unrestricted format, meaning leaders don’t leave their phones outside to minimize the risk of surveillance. Szijjártó, for his part, rejected the content of the Washington Post article and accused the media of putting forward conspiracy theories that are more preposterous than anything seen before. For example: 'The EU is limiting the flow of confidential material to Hungary and leaders are meeting in smaller groups'; 'The Bucharest Group of Nine, a club of countries on the military alliance’s Eastern Flank, reportedly contemplated kicking Budapest out of the format in 2024' over failures to agree on support for Ukraine. The allegations come as Orbán’s foreign supporters set course for Budapest to help him campaign in the final stretch of the elections. Polish President Nawrocki - a political rival of Tusk’s - will attend events on Monday, while U.S. Vice President Vance will jet in ahead of the vote next month. Whatever the EU and its leaders do, Orbán will use it in his favor in the campaign. Despite ’lagging behind Tisza in the polls’, the Hungarian prime minister told Politico on Friday he could certainly secure another term. Over the weekend were fake news designed as a desperate reaction to [Orbán’s party] Fidesz gaining momentum in the election campaign, but the Hungarian people won’t be deceived, Hungary’s Europe Minister Bóka told the reports. (Source Politico - headquarters in the U.S., owned by a German company)

20/03/2026 - 17:58 GMT+1  Speaking to media in Brussels a day after he blocked the €90 billion loan to Ukraine, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán raised the prospect of further actions his government could take against Ukraine to force the resumption of Russian oil deliveries that have been stalled to Hungary and Slovakia since January. "40% of Ukraine's electricity supply goes through Hungary, we haven't touched that yet. (The EU) constantly wants to introduce new sanctions (against Russia). That will require unanimity and we will not give it." Orbán insists that Ukraine has purposely sabotaged the pipeline to orchestrate an energy crisis ahead of a tight election on 12 April and has promised to block all EU measures to assist Kyiv until shipments resume. Orbán also threatened today to veto the EU's next seven-year budget if it includes financial aid for Ukraine. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

March 20, 2026, Friday // 09:17  Hungary has maintained its opposition to a major EU financial package for Ukraine at a European Council meeting in Brussels yesterday. Prime Minister Viktor Orbán again refused to lift his veto on the €90 billion loan intended to support Ukraine through 2026–2027, linking his position to the resumption of Russian oil transit via the Druzhba pipeline. Hungary is insisting that oil flows through Druzhba must resume before it backs any further decisions favorable to Kyiv. The funding is designed to cover roughly two-thirds of Ukraine’s financial needs over the two-year period. Ukraine remains heavily dependent on external assistance. The dispute has widened beyond Hungary alone. Slovakia has aligned itself with Budapest, with Prime Minister Robert Fico warning of possible additional measures against Ukraine. Fico was suggesting that Ukraine’s actions could be politically motivated and even linked to Hungary’s domestic electoral dynamics. Both Hungary and Slovakia have blocked the adoption of the bloc’s 20th sanctions package against Russia, which had been expected to pass last month. In parallel, the European Council adopted conclusions on Ukraine signed by 25 member states, excepting Hungary and Slovakia, highlighting a growing split within the Union. Inside the summit, Orbán reiterated his position with the message “first oil, then money,” arguing that restoring energy flows is a prerequisite for further support. His stance drew sharp criticism from several leaders. European Council President Costa 'described Hungary’s actions as unacceptable'. Some leaders also took issue with remarks made by Zelenskyy, saying his tone toward Orbán had complicated negotiations. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni told colleagues she understood Orbán’s reasoning. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

(Thuersday), 19/03/2026 - 16:04 GMT+1  Leaders fail to lift Orbán's veto on Ukraine loan. Early on the day, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán reaffirmed his veto on the €90 billion loan for Ukraine, which he has linked to the interruptions of oil deliveries through the Druzhba pipeline. "We are ready to support Ukraine when we get our oil, which is being blocked by them. Until then, there is no decision that is favourable for Ukraine," Orbán said today. The 27 leaders have finished their lunch with United Nations Secretary General Guterres and have begun their discussion on the raging war in the Middle East. The high-level talks could very well stretch into tomorrow, dominated by the spiralling war in the Middle East and the high energy prices that continue to weigh down the economy. The 27 heads of state and goverment will also address competitiveness, the single market, trade, security, migration, the multilateral system and the next EU budget. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France) 

(Thuersday), 19/03/2026 16:03 GMT+1  Hungary accuses Ukraine of attacking key gas infrastructure on Russian territory, endangering its energy security. Foreign Minister Szijjártó said Ukraine had targeted a compressor station in Russia that forms part of the TurkStream pipeline, which carries Russian natural gas through Turkey and the Balkans to Europe. Moscow reported that Russian defence forces had repelled the attack and that no damage was sustained. 'The Ukrainians are keeping us under an oil blockade, and now they want to make our natural gas supply impossible. We call on the Ukrainians to end this immediately," Szijjártó said. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Czechia
Sun 22 Mar 2026 07:24 CET  People gathered yesterday in Letná Park in the Czech capital, Prague, to demonstrate against the government and Prime Minister Andrej Babiš. According to the organizer, up to 200,000 demonstrators were there to protest the government, which they believe threatens democracy and steers the country away from support for Ukraine. The protest follows a recent decision in the lower house to maintain Babiš's immunity from prosecution 'in a wide-ranging fraud case involving EU subsidies'. "The government has aligned with Hungary and Slovakia in its position on Ukraine and opposes all financial aid to the country and EU loan guarantees in its war against Russia". (Source: Sweden Herald)

France
(Sunday), March 22, 2026 9:52 a.m. ET  Billionaire Stérin, 52, is funding France’s ’far right’, financing projects to make France less Muslim, more Catholic and more capitalist. He says his program has trained thousands running for municipal office today. Mr. Stérin has spent millions, to ensure France doesn’t disappear. He has steered money to right-wing think tanks, political training programs, social media influencers and nonprofit groups. One program funded by Mr. Stérin has, by his count, trained at least 4,000 right-wing candidates in the municipal elections. With the far-right National Rally party projected to potentially win the presidency next year Mr. Stérin is striving to accelerate France’s rightward shift. The France of Mr. Stérin’s dreams would be socially conservative and Trumpian. It would tolerate little immigration, particularly from Muslim countries that France colonized. Undocumented immigrants who commit crimes or do not work would be deported. Muslim dress would be banned in public, and halal food no longer served in schools. Mr. Stérin wants to ban abortion, access to which was enshrined two years ago in the French Constitution; to swell Catholic church attendance; and to encourage more French couples to procreate. The ultimate goal, Mr. Stérin said, is to bring to power a right-wing government that fundamentally changes how the country looks and works. He is meddling in sectors where the far right has generally not been very present - sports, culture, nonprofits, training, schools. It was the 21st that made him rich - Smartbox, a company that offers experiences as gifts. Within six years, he had earned enough to launch a private equity firm, Otium Capital. Around a decade ago, realizing that he would soon become a billionaire, Mr. Stérin looked for another life-framing objective. He committed to Catholicism, he said, because it offered him a moral framework to separate right from wrong - a rational and mathematical way of guiding his life. He vowed to worship more, he said, and give away 99 percent of his wealth to serve Christ. In 2021, Mr. Stérin founded the Common Good Fund, funneling his own money toward beneficiaries including a Catholic boys’ boarding school - the first of 50 that the fund hopes to open - and exhibitions. The fund had also dispensed roughly an additional $116 million to private enterprises, rather than charities. He realized his funding would be more effective in a more favorable political and legislative environment. In 2023, that led him to start Périclès, an organization that funds and promotes political projects that many associate with the 'far right'. It supports think tanks opposed to immigration and to woke ideology; right-wing media; social media influencers; and groups opposed to Islamism. He became convinced that more Muslim customs should be banned in public after seeing many hijabs while driving through poorer suburbs of Paris. ’If we don’t do that, France in 50 years would be the first Islamic republic of Europe, or the second after Belgium,’ he said. „I don’t want my country to become an Islamic republic.’ A major recipient of Périclès’s money is a training school, Politicae, for aspiring right-wing municipal politicians. Some believe Mr. Stérin’s impact is minimal. Last year, Mr. Stérin had assets worth roughly $1.85 billion. He made it all himself. Former French President, Mr. Hollande said that Bolloré, who owns news outlets associated with the far right, is more influential. Mr. Stérin’s funding for so many municipal candidates potentially gives him outsize influence over the selection of French senators. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

Germany
22.03.2026  The German government has withdrawn its support for Israel in its defense against a genocide charge before the International Court of Justice (ICJ). The German government intends instead to focus on the legal proceedings initiated by Nicaragua which filed a lawsuit against Germany before the ICJ in March 2024, Hinterseher, a Foreign Ministry spokesman said. Nicaragua filed the complaint with the court alleging that Germany was aiding and abetting genocide against the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip by supplying weapons to Israel. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Slovenia
22.03.2026  Slovenia today imposed temporary limits on fuel purchases at gas stations nationwide. Individuals are allowed to purchase up to 50 liters of fuel per day at a single station, while legal entities and self-employed individuals, including those in agriculture, are limited to 200 liters. The Slovenian Armed Forces have been mobilized to assist in fuel distribution, with personnel supporting transport and supply operations. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Europe
(19 March 2026) 14:05  State-owned QatarEnergy, the operator of Ras Laffan, told Reuters the damage to two of its LNG units, in which ExxonMobil was a co-investor, would take three to five years to repair, cost the company $20bn a year in lost revenue, and force it to cancel long term contracts with Italy, Belgium, Korea and China. The volume of gas now lost for the foreseeable future is roughly 17 per cent of Qatar’s total capacity. Gas prices in Europe rose 30 per cent as markets reopened and have more than doubled since the start of the war, as traders try to calculate the impact of months, or longer, without Qatar’s gas flowing to world markets. Oil prices also jumped 10 per cent to almost $119 a barrel, due to fears of further strikes on energy supplies. One trader said that gas prices in Europe would be pushed higher through 2027 and that Europe would find it harder to refill its gas storage tanks this summer as Asian buyers snapped up LNG from the US to make up for the lost supply. Europe, which has become more reliant on LNG 'since Russia slashed pipeline exports' during its war with Ukraine, is now expected to be pitched into direct competition against countries such as Japan and South Korea for limited cargoes. Many countries are already starting to switch to coal-fired power generation. (Source: Financial Times - United Kingdom)

European Commission
(19/03/2026) 14:15 GMT+1  Slovakia and Hungary complained to der Leyen about not being informed in advance of an EU expert mission to inspect damage to the Druzhba pipeline and regretted that their own experts were not included, despite early offers to participate. Bratislava and Budapest sent a letter to der Leyen and argue that this exclusion raises doubts about the credibility and objectivity of any findings and call for greater transparency and cooperation involving all affected parties. The two countries are expressing dissatisfaction with the European Commission's slow and ineffective response to issues related to oil transit through the Druzhba pipeline, claiming the EU executive consistently advocates for Ukraine's interests rather than those of the bloc's member states. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

European Council
(Thuersday), 19/03/2026 - 14:29 GMT+1  Vetoes remain. The European Council has adopted joint conclusions on support for Ukraine, but without the signatures of Hungary's Viktor Orbán and Slovakia's Robert Fico, both of whom are involved in a dispute with Kyiv over the Druzhba oil pipeline. The statement speaks of the €90 billion loan for Ukraine, which Hungary is blocking, and the 20th package of sanctions against Russia, which Hungary and Slovakia are blocking. There is no real Plan B or workaround to allow the cash to flow to Ukraine. Budapest and Bratislava have harshly criticised the European Commission for excluding their own national experts from the inspection of the pipeline. 'Their exclusion raises fundamental questions regarding the credibility and objectivity of any conclusions,' they say. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

Greenland
19.03.2026  Danish soldiers have been preparing for a possible US attack on Greenland amid President Trump's takeover threats, broadcaster DR reported today, citing sources in Denmark, France, and Germany. When Danish soldiers were flown to Greenland in January, they reportedly brought explosives to destroy key runways and blood supplies to treat the wounded in a bid to prepare to block a possible US takeover. Sources also noted that if the US attempted an attack, Danish soldiers would carry ammunition and engage in combat, while the F‑35 fighter jets that rushed north were also heavily armed. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Russia
March 20, 2026 4:29 pm CET  During their meeting last week in Miami, Russian envoy Dmitriev made a proposal to Trump administration envoys Witkoff and Kushner. Moscow proposed a quid pro quo to the U.S. under which the Kremlin would stop sharing intelligence information with Iran, such as the precise coordinates of U.S. military assets in the Middle East, if Washington ceased supplying Ukraine with intel about Russia. 'The U.S. rejected the proposal'. Dmitriev labeled the report of the proposal as fake in a post on X. The U.S. continues to share intelligence with Ukraine, even as it has reduced other support. French President Macron had said in January that two-thirds of military intelligence for Ukraine is now provided by France. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

Ukraine
22/03/2026 - 15:23 GMT+1  Yesterday, a Ukrainian delegation sent by Zelenskyy met with a US delegation in Miami in the hope of restarting peace talks. US Special Envoy Witkoff said on X that the talks were constructive.  ' A NATO delegation led by French Admiral Vandier is in Ukraine for the first time since the 2022 full-scale invasion. Deputy Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Palisa, wrote in a post on X that they discussed in detail 'the involvement of Ukrainian military personnel in future NATO exercises in the role of the conditional adversary,' as well as the future of JATEC (NATO-Ukraine Joint Analysis, Training and Education Centre), an initiative 'supporting coordination and development between Ukraine’s forces and NATO '. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

United Kingdom
March 22, 2026 7:00am EDT  Churchill, Shakespeare and the UK flag all under siege in modern Britain. The statue of Churchill, the British prime minister during WWII, was vandalized in Westminster in 2020 and again last month. The face of Churchill is being removed from the five-pound note by the Bank of England. The proposal was to replace Churchill with a picture of a beaver. Now Shakespeare is under attack. Apparently, being White is a bad thing, and some say the Bard was really a Black woman. Flying your own country’s flag can get you in trouble. Left-wingers in Britain, such as Labor Party supporters, often view the flying of the United Kingdom’s Union Jack flag, or St. George's Cross, as racist or anti-immigration. 'Much of this flag-hating began following the invasion of Israel by Hamas, an Iran-backed terrorist organization. 'The U.K. then witnessed a surge in Palestinian flags flying on public buildings. This upset more than a few British patriots, who then stepped out with the British flags. 'Decades of woke education policy have taught people to deny and decry the history of this country. 'The teaching labor unions controlled by the hard left have enforced their agenda on generations of pupils. (Source: Fox News - U.S.)

20 March 2026  UK allows United States to use bases to bomb Iranian sites targeting ships in Strait of Hormuz. Ministers agreed today that permissible actions include degrading missile sites being used by Tehran to attack ships in the Strait. The two British bases being used by American bombers are RAF Fairford in England and Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

Vatican
Sunday 22 March 2026 13:14 GMT  On Wednesday, the Vatican's top diplomat, Italian Cardinal Parolin, a senior advisor to Pope Leo had called on U.S. President Trump to end the expanding Iran war as soon as possible and suggested Israel should also stop its strikes against Lebanon. Parolin said he was worried that the conflict would continue to escalate and called on Trump and other world leaders "to resolve problems ... through the peaceful ways of diplomacy and dialogue". "I would say to finish it as soon as possible ... and to leave Lebanon alone," , said in a direct appeal. "This message goes also to the Israelis," he added, speaking to journalists at an event at the Italian parliament. Parolin, the Vatican's Secretary of State since 2013, is known for speaking in muted tones and seeking to avoid the spotlight. During his weekly Angelus prayer in St. Peter's Square, US-born Pope Leo XIV has renewed his plea for an immediate ceasefire, calling the death and suffering caused by the war in the Middle East a 'scandal to the whole human family'. "We cannot remain silent in the face of the suffering of so many people, the defenceless victims of these conflicts,' Leo said as the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran enters its fourth week. "I strongly renew my appeal for us to persevere in prayer, so that hostilities may cease and the way may finally be paved for peace.” Leo, who is known for speaking diplomatically, has been ramping up calls for an end to the Iran war in recent days. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

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Asia

India
Mar 17, 2026 05:45 AM IST  The National Investigation Agency (NIA) has arrested seven foreign nationals - six Ukrainian nationals and one from the United States - on charges of conspiring to carry out terrorist activities against India. The accused had entered India on valid visas, but had proceeded to Mizoram without the mandatory Restricted Area Permit. From there, they crossed into Myanmar, where they reportedly met ethnic groups hostile to India. The group was plotting terror strikes, and their movements had raised alarm over cross-border threats. Investigations uncovered that multiple consignments of drones from Europe were delivered by them in Mizoram. According to the NIA, the accused were involved in illegally importing huge consignments of drones from Europe to Myanmar via India for the use of Ethnic armed groups. These groups were allegedly also supporting some proscribed Indian Insurgent Groups by way of supplying weapons and other terrorist hardware and training them. National Investigation Agency (NIA) wanted to apprehend the close unknown associates still at large who are likely to surface after technical analysis of the social media accounts. (Source: Indian Express)

Iraq
Saturday, 21 March 2026   A drone attack targeted the headquarters of the Iraqi intelligence services in an upscale residential neighborhood in central Baghdad today at around 10:00 am local time (0700 GMT). The attack targeted a telecommunications building with the National Intelligence Service, which cooperates with US advisors in Iraq as part of an international anti-jihadist coalition. Another drone, filming the operation, crashed into a private members sports club popular with Iraqi elite and foreign diplomats. On Thursday, the Pentagon acknowledged for the first time that combat helicopters had carried out strikes against pro-Iran armed groups in Iraq during the latest conflict. Overnight from Friday to today, at least three drone attacks targeted a US diplomatic and logistics hub that houses US military personnel at Baghdad International Airport. A fire broke out near the base following the third attack. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - headquartered in London, England, owned by a member of the Saudi royal family)

Kuwait
March 20, 2026 / 5:06 AM  Tehran government vowed to hit the energy infrastructure of U.S. allies following the South Pars attack. Iran attacked Kuwait's Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery for the second time in two days today. Yesterday saw Iranian drones strike the Mina Al-Ahmadi and Mina Abdullah refineries, sparking fires that were later extinguished. Together, they are among Kuwait's most significant refineries. Established in 1949, Mina Al-Ahmadi spans 6 1/2 miles along the Kuwaiti coast, producing up to 346,000 barrels of oil a day. The Mina Abdullah refinery has a capacity of 454,000 barrels a day. (Source: UPI - U.S.)

Southwest Asia
Mar 19, 2026 11:33 IST  Iran has placed sea mines across the Strait of Hormuz. There are fears that Bab el-Mandeb in the Red Sea could also be hit by Iran's proxy Houthis. The world's digital arteries pass through these routes in the form of vital subsea cables that carry global internet traffic and also pass through Hormuz. Amazon, Microsoft and Google have poured billions into building huge data centres in Gulf countries like the UAE and Saudi Arabia. And seventeen submarine cables run through the Red Sea, carry the main share of internet traffic linking Europe, Asia and Africa. The active subsea cables in the Persian Gulf are AAE-1, FALCON, Gulf Bridge International Cable System and Tata-TGN Gulf. These thin lines stretch for thousands of kilometres and carry nearly all the data that powers the global internet - from video calls and e-mails to banking transfers and AI services. Any damage to them could trigger internet outages and hit financial systems across countries, including in India. In the Red Sea, Houthi groups from Yemen are firing at passing vessels, turning that narrow waterway into a danger zone. That both passages are blocked, repair work has become almost impossible. A single accident, mine strike, or deliberate cut could leave lines out of action for weeks or even months. In 2024, Houthi-related attacks - a broader campaign in solidarity with Hamas amid the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza - damaged several Red Sea cables. Internet speeds dropped sharply in parts of Asia and Africa, and full repairs took months because ships stayed away. Yet with mines in the water, attacks continuing and repair ships locked out, the risk has never been higher. (Source: India Today)

17 Mar 2026  Now, 18 days into the conflict, aid agencies and countries neighbouring Iran are increasingly concerned about a potential refugee crisis. The United Nations refugee agency, UNHCR, estimates that 3.2 million people have already been displaced in Iran since US-Israeli strikes began on February 28. More than 10,000 civilian sites have been damaged since the war began, including 65 schools and 32 medical facilities. There have been attacks on residential areas in Tehran, Shiraz and Isfahan. Things could get worse if Tehran, a city of about 10 million people, were to lose its electricity grid or water supply. In a US-Israel attack, for instance, residents could be forced to leave en masse. Infrastructure destruction produces sudden, massive displacement, driven by the collapse of basic urban services. If a country of 90 million experienced the same scale of crisis as Syria, nearly 56 million people would be forced to flee their homes, and nearly 26 million of them would become international refugees. For now, the number of people crossing Iran’s borders remains comparatively modest. Iran borders seven countries: Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iraq, Pakistan, Turkiye and Turkmenistan. Provinces bordering Afghanistan, Pakistan and Turkmenistan, are absorbing much of the internal displacement. Countries such as Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Iraq, and Pakistan are facing varying degrees of economic, political, or security challenges. These internal pressures make it difficult for them to accommodate a large influx of refugees. Only Iraq, Pakistan and Turkiye, have extensive experience of hosting large refugee populations. Iran itself hosts one of the world’s largest refugee populations: about 3.7 million displaced people, most of them from Afghanistan.    Afghanistan: Between one and 1.5 million Afghans fled to Iran in the immediate aftermath of the US withdrawal, pushing the total Afghan population in Iran to upwards of five or six million. Iran and Pakistan initiated aggressive mass deportation campaigns, forcing millions back into Afghanistan. Iran drastically accelerated its expulsions, deporting nearly two million individuals in 2025 alone. Since October 2023, about 5.4 million Afghans have returned to Afghanistan from Iran and Pakistan, many not by choice.    The South Caucasus states of Armenia, Azerbaijan have each expressed concern while trying to balance relations with Washington and Tehran.    Armenia’s border with Iran, which is just 44km long, remains open.    Azerbaijan has closed its land borders to routine traffic, requiring government approval for any crossing.    Iraq shares the longest frontier, stretching for almost 1,600km. The semi-autonomous Kurdish region of northern Iraq, which, unlike the rest of the country, still allows visa-free entry for Iranian passport holders, adds a layer of complexity. The region hosts several Kurdish armed groups, some of which have reportedly been in discussions with Washington about receiving military support in return for joining the war against Iran. The development has prompted Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to strike Kurdish positions inside Iraqi territory. Baghdad has publicly stated that it will not allow its territory to be used to infiltrate Iran, but experts on the region say its ability to enforce the position is limited.    Pakistan faces its own geographical and security challenges. The country’s border with Iran runs through Balochistan, its largest but most volatile province, where separatist sentiment has simmered for decades. Balochistan’s porous border is next to Iran’s Sistan and Baluchestan province, a region that has historically been home to various separatist groups. Any refugee crisis could make the situation in Balochistan difficult for Islamabad to manage. In February this year, Pakistan’s military concluded a weeklong security operation in the province and claimed it had killed 216 fighters in targeted offensives. October 2025 led Pakistan to close its borders with Afghanistan. Hundreds of thousands of newly displaced Afghans crossed into Pakistan in the immediate aftermath of the US withdrawal, joining a long-established refugee community there and swelling the total number of Afghans in the country to more than three million. Pakistan’s stringent repatriation plans pushed out more than 1.3 million people. Large-scale and hurried returns of refugees could trigger further instability in the region. Further complicating the situation, Pakistan and Afghanistan have been engaged in fighting.    Turkiye shares a 530km border with Iran and allows visa-free entry for Iranian citizens. It already hosts the world’s largest refugee population, including roughly 3.6 million Syrians, and anti-immigrant sentiment has hardened within domestic politics over the past decade. Turkiye’s Interior Minister Ciftci said earlier in March that the government had prepared three contingency plans in light of the war in Iran. The first involves intercepting migration flows within Iranian territory before they reach the border. The second proposes establishing buffer zones along the frontier. The third would allow refugees to enter Turkiye under controlled conditions as a last resort. Turkish authorities say they have already strengthened the border with Iran, 380km of concrete wall, 203 optical towers and 43 observation posts were undertaken.  (Source: Al Jazeera - Qatar)

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Americas

North America

United States
March 22, 2026 / 9:00 AM EDT  Iran war, rising gas prices fuel economic concerns; most say conflict not going well, don't want regime left in power, CBS News poll finds. When gauging a war, Americans consider at least two important things: what the goals are overseas and its impact back home. Right now, Americans want a lot of things to happen in Iran: Most feel it's important to stop its nuclear program, ensure the Iranian people are free, and, now that the conflict is underway, that it would be unacceptable to leave the Iranian regime in power at the end of it. But it's also important to end the conflict as fast as possible, they say, with growing economic pressure back home. Rising gas prices are fueling some pessimism about the U.S. economy more broadly, with concerns about negative impacts on it in at least the near-term, if not the long term. That uncertainty is underpinned by a rising number of people who feel the Trump administration hasn't explained things. In all, most Americans feel the conflict isn't going well right now, though it gets continued support from most of the president's Republican base, in part because they express a lot of confidence in him personally. Most Americans don't think the conflict with Iran is going well so far. Many aren't sure how long it will last. They don't see payoffs, not in making the U.S. safer, nor in making the economy stronger. Americans see this as a war of choice, not a war of necessity. MAGA Republicans say Trump is doing what he promised in the 2024 campaign regarding Iran. (Survey conducted with a nationally representative sample of 3,335 U.S. adults interviewed between March 17-20, 2026). /Source: CBS News - U.S./

March 22, 2026 12:12 AM  Pentagon adopts Palantir AI system after dispute with Anthropic. Concerns about AI warfare continue to grow. The move signals long-term reliance on advanced artificial intelligence tools for defense operations. According to Deputy Defense Secretary Feinberg, the Maven Smart System will provide warfighters with advanced tools to detect and respond to threats. He explains that the system analyzes battlefield data and identifies potential targets. The decision ensures stable funding and wider adoption across all military branches by the end of the fiscal year. The Maven platform already serves as a key command-and-control system and has supported thousands of targeted operations in recent weeks. The Pentagon plans to shift oversight of the program to its Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office. The U.S. Army will manage future contracts with Palantir which states that humans remain responsible for final decisions. (Source: Daily Times - Pakistan)

March 20, 2026  Hundreds of millionaires are trying to escape the US. California’s millionaires are trying to pay hand over fist for golden visas, an extremely expensive and controversial form of residency. New Zealand, along with several other countries like Greece, Portugal and Italy, are currently offering wealthy foreigners what’s called a golden visa. To obtain one of these visas in New Zealand, aka the Active Investor Plus visa, applicants must spend a minimum of $2.9 million on “Growth” investments for three years or $5.8 million on “Balanced” investments for five years, and simply processing this paperwork costs an equivalent of over $15,000. In exchange, applicants receive an “enviable lifestyle brimming with adventure,” as boutique immigration firm Greener Pastures New Zealand puts it on its website, and cinematic views of rolling hillsides. Once this investment period is fulfilled, they and any immediate family members who were included in the original application can become permanent New Zealand residents. Over the last several years, the super-rich have set their sights on the island country as a place to build elaborate bunkers and opulent estates in anticipation of societal collapse. Many of investor applicants are merely interested in summer homes. According to the advocacy group Transparency International, golden visa programs are allowing criminals to treat residency and citizenship in European countries as luxury commodities and use them for money-laundering schemes. In April 2025, the European Court of Justice declared that Malta’s “golden passports” program was illegal, and Spain, Ireland, the UK and the Netherlands have recently ended their investor visa programs amid rising security concerns, Forbes reported last year. Meanwhile, New Zealand officials announced in September that golden visa holders can now buy or build homes valued at the equivalent of around $3 million or more. Ultimately, Kiwis pity us, and they’re right to: Our behavior is embarrassing. I thought of my friends who are educated and employed and living in cars and on couches. I thought about the laid-off tech workers who could be entering another year of unemployment, unsure of how they’ll pay their mortgages and medical bills. My biggest fear, though, is that I’ll look back on this years later and reminisce about how good we had it. (Source: SFGate - U.S.)

March 18, 2026 8:00 pm ET  The Pentagon has deployed the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit, a rapid-response force of about 2,200 Marines, to the Middle East, The Wall Street Journal reported. The U.S. could use the unit to seize one or more of the islands off the southern coast of Iran to use as leverage or as a base to counter Iranian attacks on commercial shipping. The unit, aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli, is slated to arrive in the Middle East from Japan in just over a week. (Source: WSJ - U.S.)

Caribbean

Cuba
(Wednesday), Mar 18 2026  Two vessels heading for energy-starved Cuba carrying Russian oil and fuel are due to arrive as early as next week in defiance of US President Trump’s energy embargo. The Hong Kong-flagged Sea Horse, believed to be carrying some 27,000 tonnes of Russian gas, was headed towards the island after appearing to divert course last month. The Russian-flagged Anatoly Kolodkin, carrying some 100,000 metric tons of crude - equivalent to 725,000 to 728,000 barrels depending on oil grade - was estimated to arrive in Cuba on April 4. 'Whether I free it, take it, I think I could do anything I want with it, if you want to know the truth,' Trump told reporters at the White House on Monday. “They are a very weakened nation right now.' Cuba’s last delivery was an oil shipment from Mexico on January 9. (Source: Financial Times - United Kingdom)

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A kormányfő március 15.-én, vasárnap, kora délután a budapesti Kossuth Lajos téren, a Parlament előtt felállított színpadon mondott beszédet. Kiemelte: akármekkora is a sokaság, ha gyűlölet és düh hozta össze, abból sohasem lesz szabadság. A sokaság önmagában sosem elég, szabadság csak szeretetből szökhet szárba, és csak az összefogás erősítheti meg - fűzte hozzá. Kijelentette: sohasem fogják megengedni, hogy Magyarországot gyűlölet és düh kormányozza. Hangsúlyozta azt is: ma Brüsszel is magyar embernek öltözött, az ő 12 pontja a szolgaság 12 pontja. Arról szól, mit kívánnak a brüsszeliek, de "mi, márciusiak sohasem törődünk bele, hogy a magyarok 12 pontjából brüsszeli 12 pontot csináljanak a budapesti labancok. Nem engedjük, hogy 30 brüsszeli ezüstért eladják, amit 16 év alatt felépítettünk" - fogalmazott. Nem adjuk a nemzeti és keresztény alkotmányunkat, a rezsicsökkentést, a 13. és 14. havi nyugdíjat, a világbajnok családtámogatási rendszerünket és Európa legjobb adórendszerét - sorolta, hozzátéve: megvédjük az édesanyák támogatását, a gyermekeinket, és "nem hagyjuk, hogy ukrán vagy szivárványos zászlóra cseréljék a nemzeti színeinket". Emlékeztetett: ünnepeljük a Rákóczi-felkelést, a ’48-as szabadságharcot, az ’56-os forradalmunkat, amiket egytől egyig mind elveszítettünk, de nem azért, mert elment volna az eszünk. Akik a felettünk aratott katonai sikereiket ünnepelhetnék, már nincsenek meg. Ma a győztes bécsi és cári udvarnak kellene itt ünnepelnie, de már nincsenek meg. Mohácsot se tudja megünnepelni a győztes ottomán birodalom, mert már nincsen meg. Az 1944-ben Magyarországot megszálló német Harmadik Birodalom sem ünnepel, és az ’56-os forradalmat leverő Szovjetunió sem tud ünnepelni, mert már az sincs meg - sorolta. "Ők már nincsenek. Mi pedig itt vagyunk, és itt is leszünk. Akkor is, ha az égből százszámra potyognak a brüsszeli ejtőernyősök" - fogalmazott. Hozzátette: "Majd összeszedjük őket, kiporoljuk a nadrágjukat, és visszaküldjük őket. Van, akit Brüsszelbe, és van, akit Kijevbe". Magyarország ezeréves állam, nem nekik való vidék - szögezte le. Orbán Viktor az ukrán elnöknek is üzent, úgy fogalmazva: "Látjátok, ukránok, látod, Zelenszkij! Ez itt a magyarok ezeréves állama". 'Ti azt hiszitek, hogy olajblokáddal, zsarolással, a vezetőink fenyegetésével ránk tudtok ijeszteni? Legyen eszetek, és ezt hagyjátok abba!" - szólított fel, kiemelve: aki a magyarokat meg akarja törni, annak 'jónéhány száz évvel korábban' kell felkelnie. "Van elég bajotok a keleti fronton, miért támadtok bennünket?" - tette fel a kérdést, hozzátéve, hogy a magyar békeszerető és béketűrő nép, "adjátok ide az olajunkat, aztán guruljatok a furgonokkal a brüsszeli kasszához a nyugatiak pénzéért, ha már ők nem tudnak nemet mondani'. "Forr a világ bús tengere" - folytatta, utalva arra, hogy háború van keleten és a Közel-Keleten is. Hozzátette: Ukrajna elzárja az olaj útját Magyarország felé, a másik háború pedig elzárja az olaj útját az óceánok felé. Felidézte: a 2015-ös migrációs invázió úgy kezdődött, hogy Szíriában kitört a háború, és a milliós tömegek megindultak Európába. Arra figyelmeztetett: Irán kilencszer nagyobb, mint Szíria: 90 millió ember, a térség 400 millió, ráadásul az izraeli-muszlim háborúskodás beköltözött Nyugat-Európába, mert beengedték a migránsokat. "Adjunk hálát a Jóistennek, hogy helyén volt a szívünk, volt merszünk nemet mondani, és mi nem engedtük be őket. Vállalom, hogy amíg én vagyok a miniszterelnök, ez így is marad" - rögzítette. Úgy értékelt: "reng a föld" az európai gazdaság alatt is, hiszen egymillió ipari munkahelyet zártak be Nyugaton. Hozzátette, hogy Magyarországon is nehéz négy évük volt és igazságtalannak nevezte, hogy olyan bajoktól kell megvédeniük az országot, amiket mások okoztak. "De megvédtük: Magyarország ma Európa legbiztonságosabb országa. Sikerült megvédeni a munkahelyeket, a rezsicsökkentést, a családokat, és nem hagytuk magukra a nyugdíjasokat sem" - szögezte le. Hangsúlyozta: elegük van az állandósult veszélyekből, izgalommentes, unalmas évekre vágynak, azonban nem ez következik, "megint embert próbáló idők dörömbölnek". Arra figyelmeztetett: Brüsszel magára vette az ukrán háborút, háborúra készül és már át is állt a hadigazdálkodásra. Nem távol akarják maguktól tartani a bajt, hanem egyenesen belemasíroznak: még több fegyver, még több pénz, még több katona - sorolta a miniszterelnök, aki szerint olyan próbatétel előtt állnak, amit még a magafajta "vén csatalovak se láttak". Hangsúlyozta: nem lehet tudni se a napot, se az órát, amikor a brüsszeliek első katonája Ukrajna földjére lép, de biztosan tudják, hogy ez meg fog történni. Maguk harsogják büszkén és lelkesen, alig várják, hogy európai uniós felségjelű katonák induljanak Ukrajnába. Ez az, amiből ki kell maradnunk, ez az, amivel szemben meg kell védeni magunkat - jelentette ki. "Vállalom, hogy egy ilyen felfordult világban is megőrizzük Magyarországot a biztonság és a nyugalom szigetének" - rögzítette. Orbán Viktor kijelentette: Ideje, hogy Kijev és Brüsszel is megértse, a "mi fiaink nem fognak Ukrajnáért meghalni, hanem Magyarországért fognak élni". Azt mondta: háborúban nem számít, hogy ki vagy, mire jutottál, miben vagy jó, mit akarsz elérni az életben, csak az számít, jól fogod-e a gépfegyvert, az számít, hogyan futsz az ellenség után vagy elől, csak az számít, hány embert öltél meg, hány golyót fogtál fel. "De mi nem ilyen sorsot szánunk a gyerekeinknek. Mi nem azt a sorsot szántuk a gyerekeink édesanyjának, hogy a fiaikat idegen földön, idegen zászlók alatt temessék el" - fogalmazott. Úgy folytatta: Brüsszelből a bürokraták, Kijevből a háborús maffiózók zsarolják, fenyegetik és riogatják Magyarországot. Mindenki azzal, amije van: Brüsszelből a pénzeinket, Ukrajnából az olajunkat blokkolják. Nem hagyjuk, hogy az ukránok euromilliókat és aranytömböket mozgassanak, ki tudja, mi célból Magyarországon, és mert nem hagyjuk, hogy Ukrajna belépjen az unióba, és ezzel Magyarország nyakára hozza a háborút - sorolta. Kiemelte: most kell igazán észnél lennünk, mert a magyarok pénzét el akarják vinni Brüsszelbe és onnan Ukrajnába. Mert a háborúhoz pénz kell, és Brüsszelben kifogytak belőle. Kell a magyarok pénze is, de még ez sem elég, kell a hitel is, és kell mögé a tagállamok fedezete. 'Nem elég nekik a mi pénzünk, még a gyerekeink és az unokáink pénzét is meg akarják szerezni. Ukrajnára hivatkozva adósrabszolgákká akarnak tenni benneteket sokad íziglen' - fogalmazott Orbán Viktor, hozzátéve "amíg én vagyok a miniszterelnök, nem hagyom, hogy elvegyék, ami a tietek és ami nektek jár, nem hagyom, hogy kizsebeljék Magyarországot". (Forrás: kormany.hu)

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Egy korszak üzenete:

Békemenet

- Forrás: Hír TV -

Video

Kulcsszavak:

Európa   Európai Unió   Kárpát-medence   Lengyelország   Magyarország   Székelyföld 

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Magyarország
2026.03.11. Titkosszolgálati hátterű dezinformációs kampány terjed a magyar médiában. A Szuverenitásvédelmi Hivatal kiemelt figyelmet fordít a 2026-os magyarországi választási kampányt manipuláló külföldi akciókra. A Hivatal felhívja a magyar választók figyelmét egy mesterségesen felépített, Magyarország szuverenitására súlyos fenyegetést jelentő dezinformációs kampányra, amelynek középpontjában egy állítólagos orosz befolyásolási kísérlet áll. A titkosszolgálati hátterű dezinformációs kampányt ugyanaz a külföldről finanszírozott médiamunkásokból, influenszerekből és politikusokból álló hálózat terjeszti, amelyik korábban olyan veszélyes hazugságokkal próbálta manipulálni a magyar közéletet, mint Aszad szír elnök soha meg nem történt Budapestre menekülése, Magyarország állítólagos katonai tervei Kárpátalja megszállására, vagy hogy az orosz energiahordozók vásárlásával Budapest tudatosan finanszírozza az ukrajnai háborút. Az akcióban részt vevő szereplők szándékosan figyelmen kívül hagyják a dezinformációnak ellentmondó tényeket, és miközben a magyar állami szervek cáfolatait és hivatalos közléseit relativizálják, addig 'a saját országuk érdekeit szolgáló külföldi állami szervek' állításait kritika nélkül átveszik és tényként közlik. Akárcsak a korábbi esetekben, a nemzetközi hálózaton keresztül finanszírozott és mozgatott médiafelületek és politikai szereplők egymást körbehivatkozva hangosítják fel és próbálják hitelesként beállítani a bizonyítatlan állításokat. 'A dezinformációs kampány egy nagyszabású külföldi beavatkozás része, amely mögött éppen azok a háborúpárti országok állnak, amelyek abban érdekeltek, hogy aláássák' Magyarország szuverén, békepárti politikáját, majd belekényszerítsék hazánkat az orosz-ukrán háború finanszírozásába és Ukrajna európai uniós csatlakozásának támogatásába. (Forrás: Szuverenitásvédelmi Hivatal - Magyarország)

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Europe

Hungary
10.03.2026  Tensions between Budapest and Kyiv are escalating over energy supplies. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán recently urged Zelenskyy to restore oil shipments through the Druzhba oil pipeline, one of the world’s largest pipeline networks transporting Russian crude to Central and Eastern Europe. Hungary relies heavily on Russian crude transported through Ukrainian territory via the Druzhba pipeline. Hungarian and Slovak officials have accused Kyiv of deliberately delaying the pipeline’s restart. Shipments were interrupted on Jan. 27. In an open letter, Orbán accused Ukraine of blocking the pipeline - also known as the Friendship Pipeline. The disruption threatens Hungary’s energy security. Speaking on state radio, Orbán said Budapest had already halted gasoline and diesel deliveries linked to Ukraine and Hungary could take further retaliatory steps, could block additional measures if oil transit is not restored. Budapest has also threatened to block a proposed €90 billion ($105 billion) EU financial package for Ukraine, saying it will not support additional funding while its energy interests are under pressure. Hungary’s Parliament today adopted a resolution opposing Ukraine’s membership in the European Union (EU), warning that admitting the war-torn country could draw the bloc directly into the conflict with Russia. Lawmakers said Ukraine’s accession should not proceed while the country remains at war. The resolution calls on the Hungarian government to oppose the launch of substantive accession negotiations and to reject Ukraine’s future entry into the bloc. The resolution urges the government to support international peace efforts and avoid sending additional financial or military assistance to Ukraine. It also calls on Budapest to resist initiatives that would transform the EU into a military alliance and to oppose attempts by EU institutions to bypass the bloc’s unanimity rule in decision-making. The measure passed in the National Assembly with 142 votes in favor, 28 against, and four abstentions. The resolution calls on the government to support international peace efforts, avoid sending money or weapons to Ukraine, and prevent both Hungary and the EU from being drawn into the war, a statement by government spokesperson Kovács read. The statement also criticizes continued financial and military support for Kyiv. It notes that the EU has already provided ' about €193.3 billion ($225 billion) in aid ' to Ukraine since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022 and warns that 'Ukraine’s potential share of the bloc’s next seven-year budget could exceed €360 billion ($419 billion)'. Hungarian lawmakers said such spending could reduce funding available for existing member states through cohesion and agricultural programs. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

March 10, 2026, Tuesday // 09:15  Rising oil prices, fueled by the ongoing war involving Iran, have pushed up diesel and gasoline costs globally. Hungary plans to release fuel reserves sufficient to cover 45 days of domestic needs. The announcement was made by Economy Minister Nagy, as reported by Reuters. Hungary's government has moved to ban the export of crude oil, diesel, and 95-octane gasoline. The day prior, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated that Hungary would cap fuel prices as a measure to shield both consumers and businesses from escalating costs. The price ceiling applies specifically to vehicles registered within Hungary. Orbán also took the opportunity to urge the European Union to abandon its sanctions on Russian energy. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

Finland
10.03.2026  Finland’s three opposition parties are set to vote against a government bill that would allow 'nuclear weapons to be transported' into or through the country, criticizing the government for discussing the issue within a limited circle rather than following Finland’s tradition of broad consultation on major foreign and security policy decisions. The proposal, announced last week by Defense Minister Hakkanen, would remove Finland’s current legal ban on bringing nuclear weapons onto its territory. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

France
10.03.2026  Nuclear energy is key to reconciling independence and energy sovereignty, decarbonization and achieving carbon neutrality 'by 2050', and competitiveness, which enables job creation in our economies, French President Macron said during his speech at the Nuclear Energy Summit held in Paris. He stressed the need for competitivenes. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Germany
March 10, 2026 1:59 pm CET  The majority of Germans oppose the attacks, according to surveys and German chancellor Merz warns against ‘endless war’ in Iran. Today he took a harder tone, warning that a long war could lead to a quagmire that disrupts Europe’s energy supply and sparks another refugee crisis. EU leaders were set to conduct a video conference today hosted by Germany. Belgium and Italy focused, among other things, on how to tackle rising energy prices across the bloc. Speaking alongside Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš in Berlin, Merz warned against calls to loosen sanctions against Moscow in order to bring down energy prices. Merz expressed concern that there’s no common plan, there's lack of a strategy by the U.S. and Israel for bringing this war to a swift and convincing conclusion. The day after the attacks were launched, Merz expressed doubt that they would succeed in toppling the regime in Tehran, while also saying Germany was in no position to lecture its allies. Since then, the chancellor has repeatedly said he supports the U.S. and Israeli goal to topple the regime. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

10/03/2026 - 11:02 GMT+1  Volkswagen Group net profit slumped 44% to €6.9bn in 2025, the carmaker's worst result since the diesel emissions scandal nearly a decade ago. Trade conflicts, difficulties in China and the change in strategy at Porsche are putting Europe's largest car manufacturer under pressure. Trump's tariffs hit the US market for Volkswagen cars particularly hard, while changes to environmental regulations and the withdrawal of government subsidies have cooled demand for electric vehicles. In China, long Volkswagen's most important growth market, local manufacturers including BYD, Geely and Nio are closing the technological gap and gaining market share. The sports car brand Porsche suffered a sharp drop in Chinese sales while absorbing the costs of a strategic reversal. Having long prioritised electric vehicles, Porsche is now pivoting back toward combustion engine models. The Volkswagen group had already agreed 35,000 job reduction with trade unions at the end of 2024. According to the announcement made by chief executive Blume in Wolfsburg today, the group plans to cut 50,000 jobs in Germany by 2030, a dramatic escalation of its cost-cutting programme. The current predicament is considered to be more damaging than the 2015 scandal. The Group now expects profitability to improve again in 2026. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

European Commission
10/03/2026 - 16:07 GMT+1  Oil prices soar, EU and US clash over Russia sanctions relief. Since Trump's re-election, Europeans have struggled to keep the US president on their side. In late October the US imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's two largest oil companies. Russia ended 2025 with a 18% year-on-year drop in revenues from crude oil sales. Brussels then saw a window of opportunity. In early February, the European Commission unveiled a new package of sanctions with a full ban on maritime services, such as insurance, banking and shipping, for Russian crude tankers. The ban is designed to replace the G7 price cap, recently adjusted to $44.10 per barrel, and significantly raise materials costs for vessels carrying Urals. Greece and Malta, with powerful shipping industries, raised concerns about the measure. G7 members have kept quiet about their positions. The G7 price cap, recently was adjusted to $44.10 per barrel. ’Our view is that we must continue to apply the G7 price cap and we must move towards a full maritime services ban,’ Dombrosvkis, the European Commissioner for the Economy said. (Russian Ural's oil daily price now: $90,96.) Hungary and Slovakia have vetoed the 20th package of sanctions over the dispute with Ukraine about the Druzhba pipeline. Yesterday, Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán called on the Commission to initiate "the review and suspension of sanctions on Russian energy". (His country's purchases of Russian oil and gas remain exempt from sanctions.) That same day, Putin said Russia was ready to resume fossil fuels exports to Europe, free from political pressures. President Trump has suggested suspending US sanctions on foreign oil in an attempt to bring down global prices, reassure panicked investors and contain the fallout from the war he launched. We have sanctions on some countries. We're going to take those sanctions off till this straightens out. Then, who knows? Maybe we won't have to put them on – there'll be so much peace, Trump said yesterday. Trump's press conference was preceded by a phone call with his Russian counterpart, Putin. Last week, Washington introduced a temporary exemption to allow India to buy Russian crude stranded at sea - a major reversal for the Trump administration, which had spent months browbeating New Delhi into ending purchases of Urals oil. The US currently sanctions oil trade with Iran, Venezuela, Syria, North Korea and Russia. In Brussels, officials look at the White House's volte-faces with increasing apprehension. ’They insist the EU will stay the course’. Granting sanctions relief to Russia would be ’self-defeating’, Commissioner Dombrovskis said. ’From the European Union's point of view, the situation is very clear: we must continue to exert maximum pressure on Russia and, indeed, the current oil and gas price spike may provide windfall revenues for Russia,’ Dombrovskis said today, after Trump's announcement and a ministerial meeting. ’Because the opposite would be self-defeating. It would reinforce Russia's capacity to wage war, undermining Ukraine, undermining our support for Ukraine and also undermining the goals which the US and Israel are trying to reach in Iran.’ Russian officials are already anticipating that Russian oil revenues rise. Asian countries dependent on the Middle East might be forced to resort to alternative providers. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

(Tuesday), 10/03/2026 - 10:06 GMT+1  EU energy battles. Speaking of energy, Slovakian prime minister Robert Fico is due to meet commission president der Leyen today on the sidelines of the Nuclear Energy Summit in Paris. PM Fico made the announcement in a video message posted on social media on Sunday evening. The Slovak prime minister has warned that Slovakia could block the European Union’s €90 billion loan package for Ukraine after April if Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán loses Hungary’s election and Kyiv fails to restart oil flows through the Druzhba pipeline. Zelenskyy ’has recently been talking about resuming supplies in a month, which means after the Hungarian elections, where he is counting on the victory of the opposition. The most important message will be that Slovakia is ready to take over the baton from Hungary, if necessary.” PM Fico said. Hungary is currently blocking a loan to Ukraine over the Druzhba pipeline, a key route for Russian oil supplies to Hungary. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán called on the European Union to suspend sanctions on Russian energy imports, as prices spike across Europe, amid Iran war. Hungary and Slovakia are the last EU member states importing large amounts of pipeline oil from Russia through the Druzhba pipeline running across Ukrainian territory. Both PM Orbán and PM Fico have accused Ukraine of refusing ’to repair’ the pipeline in order to exert political pressure on Budapest and Bratislava. The Slovakian prime minister has warned against what he describes as the Commission prioritising Ukraine’s interests over those of EU member states such as Slovakia and Hungary. PM Fico said he will urge der Leyen to pressure Zelenskyy to allow the pipeline to be inspected, adding that „Slovakia has satellite evidence suggesting Druzhba remains operational”. Against this backdrop, ’the European Commission will present a new plan today to lower energy costs and tackle energy poverty across the EU, amid soaring energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East, according to an internal document seen. Executive Vice President Ribera and Energy Commissioner Jørgensen are set to propose measures aimed at lowering electricity costs. The plan includes reducing electricity taxes, making it easier for consumers to switch energy suppliers, and promoting ’energy communities’ in which citizens generate and share renewable power’. According to the Commission, the package ’could cut’ household electricity bills by around 14% and help millions of Europeans gain access to more affordable energy. The push to expand energy communities comes after an audit by the European Court of Auditors found earlier this week that the European Commission had failed to deliver on its pledge to empower local communities to produce and share clean energy. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)
’Liboreiro and Pacheco contributed’

March 10, 2026, Tuesday // 09:43  After a meeting of EU finance and economy ministers, where the steep climb in global energy prices dominated much of the discussion, European Commissioner for the Economy Dombrovskis signaled that the EU is prepared to release its strategic oil reserves should the deteriorating situation in the Middle East demand it. The participants were cautioned: the bloc must brace for a prolonged stretch of instability - one that could bring supply disruptions, further energy price hikes, and inflationary knock-on effects. The scale of the impact will ultimately depend on how long the conflict drags on and how intense it becomes, with stagflation emerging as a real risk over a longer horizon. Dombrovskis was particularly firm on the question of Russia. ’Keeping pressure on Russia prevents it from fueling its war machine’, he said. 'Failure to do so', he argued, 'would undermine Ukraine, EU solidarity, and Western allies more broadly'. ’Securing energy supplies’ and reopening the Strait of Hormuz are priorities, he added. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

10.03.2026  Speaking at the World Summit on Nuclear Energy in Paris, European Commission President der Leyen today announced a new strategy to accelerate the development of small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs), aiming to have the technology operational across Europe by the early 2030s. She also said Europe once generated roughly one-third of its electricity from nuclear power in 1990, but the share has since fallen to about 15%. It was a strategic mistake for Europe, Der Leyen said. And: the European Commission will introduce 'a €200 million ($231 million)' guarantee to support private investment in innovative nuclear technologies. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

European Council
10/03/2026 - 14:24 GMT+1  Diverging tones in chaotic world. A day after Commission President der Leyen called for an interest-driven foreign policy anchored in realpolitik, seeing the world as it is, not how it should be, European Council President Costa addressing the same conference told ambassadors the EU will always defend the rules-based international order even if others don't. He said the bloc should not tolerate violations of international law citing the United States, Russia, and China, as forces of disruption - from trade to security. Costa referenced the treaties of the EU and the United Nations Charter as the core of its foreign policy action. He also said the EU should call out violations of international law, going from Ukraine, to Greenland, Latin America in a reference to Venezuela, in Gaza and the Middle East. Costa said the people of Iran deserve to live in freedom and peace but suggested that bombs alone will not achieve that as the US-Israeli military operation enters its second week. Der Leyen argued that the war is a fact, and political debates do little to change the course of it.  She was the first EU official to call for a political transition in Iran as the war broke out, aligning with the US and Israel in their push to change the Ayatollah regime. Iran's late Supreme leader Khamenei was killed in the first day of the war. The Commission president's role central has focused on implementing the treaties, drafting legislation and ensuring it is applied across the bloc, while refraining from playing a role in foreign policy or defense, seen as a national competence.  The legitimacy of the war remains a point of tension among EU member states. The Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called it illegal and escalatory, rejecting an extension of the conflict. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz initially downplayed international law, suggesting that this is not the time for the EU to lecture its allies. Since 2022, der Leyen has enlarged her competences and even set up a security college for her Commission to discuss defense matters in ad hoc consultation body. After the war in Iran broke out, she called an emergency meeting and established direct talks with Middle Eastern leaders. Diplomats consulted by Euronews said her one-off remarks, without consensus from the 27 member states, reflect her position and do not represent the EU. (Source. Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

European Union
10.03.2026  EU temporary protection for non-EU citizens fleeing Ukraine rises to 4.380.000 at the end of January, Eurostat reported today. The total figure increased by 23,110 people, or 0.5%, compared to December 2025. Germany hosted the largest number of beneficiaries with 1.26 million people; Poland followed with 965,990 people and Czechia with 397,185 (9.1%). The highest ratios of protection beneficiaries per thousand residents were found in Czechia (36.4), Poland (26.5), and Slovakia (25.8). Adult women represented 43.5% of the group, while minors accounted for 30.3% and adult men comprised 26.1%. The EU average stood at 9.7 per thousand people. Ukrainian citizens made up 98.4% of the total beneficiaries in the EU. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Asia

China
5:10pm, 10 Mar 2026  China has built the world’s largest highway network as it attempts to boost economic growth and stimulate consumer spending through infrastructure investment. But rising geopolitical risks along its borders – fuelled by territorial disputes, conflicts between neighbouring states and Beijing’s concern that terrorism could spill over – have heightened the strategic importance of logistics in frontier regions. China plans to further strengthen its strategic transport network in sensitive border regions over the next five years to fortify and better project power along its remote frontiers amid rising geopolitical uncertainty. In the event of an emergency, personnel and resources could be deployed more quickly to frontier regions, which is crucial for border stability and national defence. One project involves building a 394km highway linking the northern and southern sides of the rugged Tianshan Mountains in far-western Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region, according to the draft 15th five-year plan released last week. The route will run parallel to a strategic road built in the 1970s to improve military mobility following the 1962 Sino-India border war. Construction of the Dushanzi-Kuqa Highway in central Xinjiang began in September and is expected to finish in 2032. Once completed, it will allow year-round travel and cut journeys across the Tianshan Mountains to half or a third of the time. Under the plan, which outlines China’s policy priorities for the rest of the decade, China aims to complete two highways spanning all nine of its land-border provinces and advance construction of the National Coastal Highway along its east coast that links the port city of Dandong, near North Korea, with Dongxing on the border with Vietnam. It also proposes upgrading the three existing highways running into Tibet. In August, Beijing established the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company to oversee the construction of a strategic 1,980km artery between Lhasa in Tibet and Hotan in Xinjiang. Sitting on the Karakoram plateau, Hotan administers the Galwan Valley, the hotly contested area at the centre of the bloody war in 1962 and a deadly clash in 2020 that resulted in months of military stand-off with India and a diplomatic chill between the two Asian powers that only began to thaw last year. Following the Galwan clashes, both Beijing and Delhi have significantly ramped up infrastructure construction near border regions. In 2022, China unveiled plans for a new highway between Tibet’s Lhunze and Xinjiang’s Mazha that will run near disputed areas, such as the Depsang Plains, the Galwan Valley and Hot Springs on the Line of Actual Control (LAC). In 2024, the Indian government approved a plan to build the 1,637km Arunachal Frontier Highway, which is expected to connect 12 districts and 1,683 villages along the LAC, according to The Times of India. The construction pushes have sparked diplomatic tension. In January, India’s external affairs ministry lodged a protest over China’s road construction in Shaksgam Valley, which is administered by China as part of the Kashgar prefecture in Xinjiang. India, which sees the region as part of its territory, called the Chinese construction an illegal occupation, while the Chinese foreign ministry responded that the area belongs to China, adding that it was fully justified in conducting infrastructure construction on its own territory. (Source: South China Morning Post)

2026-03-10 10:08  China today noted that keeping the Strait of Hormuz secure is vital for global energy supplies. Geng, spokesperson for China’s Foreign Ministry, underscored Beijing’s focus on halting military conflict, noting that China’s special envoy for Middle East affairs plans to travel across the region to support stability and encourage dialogue among all parties involved. Stressing the importance of safeguarding shipping lanes and oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, he urged the international community to cooperate in preserving stability. Earlier today, US President Trump threatened Iran with a strike ’20 times stronger’ than anything it has faced if the country moves to block oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz which handles roughly 4.5% of total global trade annually. Oil prices jumped more than 20% yesterday to their highest levels since July 2022. (Source: Shafaq News - Kurdistan)

India
(11 March 2026)  Yesterday, White House Press Secretary Leavitt described India as a good actor that had previously stopped buying sanctioned Russian oil amid Moscow’s war on Ukraine. “So as we work to appease this temporary gap of oil supply around the world because of the Iranians, we have temporarily permitted them to accept that Russian oil,’ she said. The opposition leader Ramesh today in Congress described remarks by the United States that Washington had ’temporarily permitted’ India to accept Russian oil as a ’capitulation certificate’ for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The recent waiver follows earlier tensions between the US and India over New Delhi’s purchases of Russian crude oil. The Trump administration had in August imposed a punitive levy on India for buying oil from Russia amid the Ukraine war. This had taken the combined US tariff rate to 50%. On February 7, Trump issued an executive order to remove the additional 25% punitive tariff on imports from India over New Delhi’s purchase of Russian oil. This brought the effective US tariff rate on Indian imports to 18% after the interim trade deal was agreed to. On March 5, the US had granted Indian refiners a 30-day waiver to buy Russian oil stranded at sea amid the conflict in West Asia. (Source: Scroll – India)

Iran
(Wednesday), 10:39-11 March 2026 AD ـ 22 Ramadan  Iran's Kharg Island, about 25 kilometers south of the mainland in the north of the Gulf hosts the country's main crude export terminal and is responsible for the overwhelming majority of its oil shipments to the world. Kharg underwent key developments during Iran's oil expansion in the 1960s and 1970s, with much of the country's coast too shallow for supertankers. The island handles roughly 90 percent of Iran's crude exports. Any attempt to seize it would mark a major escalation in the conflict. The US and Israel have so far treaded carefully around the island. But an Axios report over the weekend cited Trump administration officials saying capturing Kharg was on the table as the war in the Middle East persists. Iran has looked to diversify its export capabilities by opening the Jask terminal outside the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint in the Gulf of Oman in 2021, but Kharg remains a critical vulnerability for Iran. ’A direct strike would immediately halt the bulk of Iran's crude exports, likely triggering severe retaliation in the Strait of Hormuz or against regional energy infrastructure,’ JP Morgan said. It is a cornerstone of Iran's economy and a major source of revenue for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, JP Morgan added. Over the weekend, the director of the White House National Energy Dominance Council, Agen, told Fox News that ’what we want to do is get such massive oil reserves in Iran out of the hands of terrorists’. Also in recent days, the Washington Post reported heightened speculation that US ground forces could be being prepared to deploy, citing analysts saying Kharg Island would be an early target. Not a wise move during combat, when Kharg is almost an entire island of oil facilities and pipelines and tank farms. Iranian strikes have all but halted maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz and have also impacted oil infrastructure in other Gulf states. Iran - the fourth-biggest crude producer within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) -- vowed not one liter of oil would be exported from the Gulf while the war continues. Any attack on its infrastructure would get an eye for an eye response, it said. On Saturday, Israel launched its first attack of the war on oil facilities in Iran. It said they were used to operate military infrastructure. The same day, Israeli opposition leader Lapid argued for stronger steps, saying in an X post: ’Israel needs to destroy all of Iran's oil fields and energy industry on Kharg Island; that's what will crush Iran's economy and bring down the regime.’ (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

11.03.2026  Funeral ceremonies for slain military commanders, including former Revolutionary Guards commander Pakpour, former armed forces chief of staff Mosavi, and former Defense Council chief Shamkhani, are set to take place in Tehran today afternoon. Iran’s military threatened today to launch retaliatory attacks on American and Israeli banks in the region following an airstrike on a bank in Tehran. A spokesperson for the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, the unified command of Iran’s armed forces, said that a bank in the Iranian capital was struck by the US and Israel yesterday, adding that it has left Iran’s armed forces with the right to target economic centers and banks belonging to the US and Israel across the region. The spokesperson also urged people in countries hosting US and Israeli banks to stay out of a one-kilometre radius of these facilities. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Mar 10, 2026  Ten days into President Trump's Iran campaign, the war has gone global. At least 20 countries are now militarily involved - shooting, shielding or quietly supplying - while a widening energy shock punishes nations far from the front lines. Iran has struck at least 10 countries since the war began, hitting U.S. and Israeli bases, Persian Gulf capitals, oil infrastructure and civilian areas in an attempt to impose maximum pain on Washington and its allies, and has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz. Prices for oil, gas, plastics and fertilizers are soaring across the globe. Israel is fighting on two fronts - pounding Iran while battling Hezbollah on the ground in Lebanon, where more than 500,000 people have been displaced in a week. The war is pulling European militaries into the conflict, forcing NATO to shoot down Iranian missiles over allied territory. France has dispatched its nuclear-powered aircraft carrier to the Eastern Mediterranean, joining British warships after an ’Iranian-made drone’ struck a U.K. air base on Cyprus, a member of the European Union. Greece and Turkey - bitter rivals within NATO - also have rushed forces to Cyprus, where their fighter jets now face each other across a partition line that has divided the island for 50 years. Australia said yesterday it's sending missiles and a radar plane to help the UAE and other Gulf countries defend themselves from Iran. Russia has been sharing satellite imagery of U.S. warships and aircraft with Iran, the Washington Post first reported. China, which is set to welcome Trump for a state visit in a matter of weeks, ’is navigating the war from both sides’. It has been calling for a ceasefire and pressuring Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Beijing relies on for roughly 40% of its oil imports. U.S. intelligence shows China may be preparing to supply Iran with financial assistance, spare parts and missile components, according to CNN. India is back to buying Russian oil after the U.S. waived sanctions to help manage the energy crisis. (Source: Axios – U.S.)

10.03.2026  Late yesterday, in an interview with CNN, Kharazi, a foreign policy adviser to the office of Iran’s supreme leader ruled out diplomacy and said Tehran is prepared for a prolonged war with Washington and may continue attacking Gulf countries to pressure them to urge US President Trump to step back from the conflict. ’Trump had been deceiving others and not keeping with his promises, and we experienced this in two times of negotiations - that while we were engaged in negotiation, they struck us,’ Kharazi told CNN yesterday. Asked whether Iran’s military and leadership remain unified, Kharazi said they do. “The responsibility of the leader of Islamic Republic of Iran is to lead the defense capability of Iran, and therefore, as Ayatollah Khamenei was doing that, now the new leader would do that,” he added. Trump said last week that Mojtaba’s appointment as his father, Khamenei’s successor would be ’unacceptable’ to him. “That is not his business,” Kharazi said. Iran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf countries that are home to US military assets. Iran also effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, which normally handles about 20 million barrels of oil shipments daily and around 20% of global liquefied natural gas trade, most of which is destined for Asian markets, also cutting off the region’s large exports of crop nutrients used in fertilizer production. The supply shock, combined with rising energy and freight costs, is expected to increase pressure on global food supply chains and contribute to higher food prices worldwide. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Iraq
(Tuesday), Mar. 10, 2026  Kataib al-Imam Ali, which makes up the PMF's 40th Brigade, today said that 'a cowardly American attack' targeting one of its bases in Kirkuk's Dibis had killed four of its fighters. Shortly after the pro-Iran group's announcement, Iraq's Joint Operations Command condemned the attack as 'a blatant attack on Iraq.' On Saturday, another position of Kataib al-Imam Ali was attacked in the Qayyarah town south of Mosul, in which at least one person was killed. Iran-backed Iraqi factions have claimed responsibility for several recent attacks on US interests in Iraq and the Kurdistan Region, including the US Embassy in Baghdad, the Consulate General in Erbil, and American military bases. The attacks have also targeted bases of Iranian-Kurdish opposition groups, the Turkish consulate in Sulaimani, the Emirati consulate in Erbil, and civilian infrastructure like hotels and telecommunication towers. At least three people have so far been killed in the attacks on the Kurdistan Region. (Source: The NewRegion - headquartered in Erbil Governorate, Iraq)

March 10, 2026, 8:19 AM  The most important question: why this war has erupted at this particular moment, and what ’the major powers’ seek to achieve through it. The most common explanation links the war directly to Iran: its nuclear programme, its missile capabilities and its regional influence. Iran may be the immediate target, but it is not the only objective. The first dimension relates to Israel. Iran is not merely a hostile state; it is a country with a large industrial, military and demographic base, capable of developing advanced military programmes and building a network of regional influence that stretches across several countries. The deeper objective is to eliminate Iran’s ability to re-emerge in the future as a threatening regional power. This explains why some strands of Israeli strategic thinking go beyond simply targeting Iran’s nuclear or missile programmes, extending instead to weakening the Iranian state itself or altering the nature of the system that governs it. The war unfolding today appears closer to an attempt to reshape the balance of power in the Middle East. Since the fall of Saddam’s regime in Iraq in 2003, a new regional order has emerged, characterised by a fragile balance among several key powers: Iran, Turkey, Israel and the Gulf states. This balance enabled Iran to expand its influence across several regional arenas, making it a central actor in the region’s strategic equations. The current war may represent an attempt to redraw this balance. Iran emerges weakened or exhausted, thereby opening the way for a new regional order in which Israel assumes a greater economic and military role, alongside an expanded role for other regional powers. The third dimension relates to Iran’s ability to threaten maritime navigation or target energy infrastructure - a strategic concern for countries ’around the world, primarily the US’. Weakening Iran militarily could effectively secure the flow of global energy in the Gulf region and the Strait of Hormuz under a security umbrella led by Washington, thereby strengthening its capacity to influence one of the most vital levers of the global economy. The fourth dimension concerns great power competition. In recent years, Iran has strengthened its relations with both Russia and China, in military as well as economic spheres. In some western strategic circles, this growing alignment has been viewed as part of a broader axis seeking to reduce western influence in the Middle East. From this perspective, weakening Iran could also reduce the scope of Russian and Chinese influence in the region. And there is the dimension of military dominance. The region remains a strategic crossroads within the international system for the US at the intersection of global trade routes, energy flows and vital maritime corridors. One of the war’s unstated objectives may be to send a broader deterrent message within the international system, reasserting American military dominance in the region. In light of these factors, the current war may represent a moment of profound transformation in the regional order of the Middle East. The region could change significantly, potentially giving rise to a new regional order. Political and security vacuums’ effects of a weakened emerged Iran may extend across a number of countries in the region. For Iraq, the post-war phase represents both a challenge and an opportunity. By virtue of its geography and its political and economic relations with Iran, the Gulf states and the US, Iraq is likely to be among the countries most affected by the outcome of this war. It becomes essential for Iraqi foreign policy to adopt a pragmatic approach built on three fundamental principles. The first is to insulate Iraq from regional conflicts and prevent its territory from becoming a battleground among competing powers as much as is feasibly possible. The second is to maintain balanced relations with major international and regional actors, enabling Baghdad to act as a bridge for dialogue rather than as an arena of confrontation. The third principle is to use regional transformations as leverage to strengthen Iraq’s role as a balancing state in the region – capable of playing a greater political and economic role within the emerging regional order. (Source: The National – United Arab Emirates)
by Alaaldin, a foreign affairs adviser to the Prime Minister of Iraq

Israel
10.03.2026  Israel said today that a total of 2,339 injured people, including both civilians and soldiers, have been admitted to hospitals since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran on Feb. 28. At least 191 injured people were admitted to hospitals in the past 24 hours. 95 people are currently hospitalized, including one in critical condition. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

March 10, 2026 at 8:55 am  Speaking yesterday, an Israeli official has criticised remarks by US President Trump suggesting the war with Iran is close to ending, saying: ’Nothing has been completed yet’. ’Our initial assessment was that the battle would take about two weeks,’ the senior Israeli official said, reported by Israel’s privately owned Channel 15 television, which did not name the official. Earlier yesterday evening, Trump told CBS News that the war was nearly over. He said: ’I think the war is very complete, pretty much. They have no navy, no communications, they’ve got no Air Force.’ He added: the US is ’very far’ ahead of his initial 4-5 week estimated time frame for the war. (Source: Middle East Monitor – located in London, United Kingdom, financed by the State of Qatar)

Jordan
10 March 2026 12:21 (UTC +04:00)  On the night of March 10, a missile strike was launched at the military base in Al-Azraq, Jordan, where Bundeswehr and U.S. Air Force personnel are stationed. The missiles were launched from Iran. One of the projectiles hit a building where the FRG contingent was housed, however, the military personnel were in shelters at the time of the attack, so no one was injured. The Bundeswehr has been at the Al-Azraq base for several years, participating from there in the international coalition against the terrorist group islamic state. (Source: APA – Azerbaijan)

Lebanon
(Wednesday), 05:12-11 March 2026 AD ـ 22 Ramadan  The Israeli military ordered reinforcements to the area bordering Lebanon including its elite Golani Brigade. It has also sent more soldiers into south Lebanon, where some of its troops had remained since 2024, establishing what it has called forward defensive positions to guard against the risk of Hezbollah attacks on northern Israel. Hezbollah fighters were braced for the possibility of a full-scale Israeli invasion of the south. Around 5:30 a.m. (0330 GMT) an Israeli strike hit an apartment block in central Beirut today in Aisha Bakkar neighborhood, beyond the Hezbollah-controlled southern suburbs where heavy bombardment continued. On Sunday, an Israeli strike hit a hotel in the seafront Raouche neighborhood. The Israeli military said that strike killed five senior members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, which established Hezbollah in 1982. Israel kept up heavy strikes on the southern suburbs, known as Dahieh, overnight and into today, sending towers of smoke billowing across the skyline. Israel has ordered residents of Dahieh to leave, along with residents of a swathe of southern Lebanon and parts of the east - all areas where Hezbollah has a grip on security and political sway. Since March 2, Israeli strikes have killed 570 people in Lebanon, and uprooted 700,000 more, Lebanese authorities say. Adding to the death toll, Israeli strikes killed seven people in the eastern Bekaa Valley today morning, and another seven in south Lebanon. After fleeing their homes, around 100,000 people are in organized shelters. France will provide 60 metric tons of humanitarian aid for Lebanon, French Foreign Minister Barrot said. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

10.03.2026  Israel and the US launched a joint attack on Iran on Feb. 28. The conflict spilled over to Lebanon, with Israel launching deadly airstrikes that have so far killed nearly 500 people and displaced thousands. The Israeli army launched attacks in southern Lebanon today, shortly after issuing in a statement on the US social media company X immediate evacuation orders for residents in areas south of the Litani River to move north ahead of attacks. The army also ordered immediate evacuation orders for residents in the coastal cities of Tyre and Sidon ahead of attacks against what Tel Aviv described as Hezbollah infrastructure. It called on residents of buildings marked in red on the attached maps, as well as nearby structures, to evacuate immediately and move at least 300 meters away. Two airstrikes targeted the towns of Deir Siryan and Taybeh in Marjayoun. Fighter jets also struck a building in Aabbasiyyeh town in Tyre. The Israeli army confirmed that its aircraft bombed what it called Hezbollah infrastructure in the town of Ansariyah in southern Lebanon. The army said airstrikes yesterday targeted assets and cash storage facilities belonging to Al-Qard Al-Hassan, claiming the funds are used by the group to purchase weapons, and pay Hezbollah fighters. In recent days, Israeli forces have carried out airstrikes on facilities linked to the association at multiple locations across Lebanon, including the capital Beirut. The attacks came as Israeli forces attempted to advance on the ground in southern Lebanon amid cross-border attacks with Hezbollah. Earlier today, Hezbollah said its fighters engaged in intense clashes with the advancing Israeli force in Khiam, damaging two Merkava tanks. It also said it targeted an Israeli force with rockets as it attempted to infiltrate toward the border town of Houla. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Oman
Mar 11, 2026, 10:15 AM CDT  Today, Iranian drones struck oil storage facilities at the Port of Salalah, located on Oman’s southern coast along the Arabian Sea. Fuel storage tanks at the port were hit in the strike. No merchant vessels in the area were damaged. The strike raises fresh concerns that Iran is expanding the conflict beyond the Gulf chokepoint and into alternative export routes used by oil producers and shipping companies. Earlier this month, drones hit a fuel storage tank at the Port of Duqm in Oman, another strategic energy hub located outside the Strait of Hormuz. Iran also targeted vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz today, according to statements from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reported by Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency. The Thai-flagged bulk carrier Mayuree Naree and the Liberian-flagged Express Rome vessel was struck by Iranian projectiles after ignoring warnings from Iranian naval forces, according to the statement. According to the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), at least 13 vessels have been attacked across the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, and Gulf of Oman since hostilities began on February 28 following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and Tehran’s retaliatory response. With attacks now targeting ports, storage facilities, and commercial shipping simultaneously, analysts warn the conflict is increasingly evolving into a broader campaign aimed at disrupting the Middle East’s energy supply network. (Source: OilPrice.com – Global)

Persian Gulf
11/03/2026 - 11:33  Iran continues to target Gulf states. Dubai airport, Qatar, and Saudi oil field among targets of Iranian drones. (Source: France 24)
Video

(March 10, 2026) 8:44 PM CET  There are currently about 400 oil and product tankers idle in the Gulf. One oil tanker passed through the Strait of Hormuz without incident yesterday, according to data from MarineTraffic, a project that tracks the movement of vessels around the globe using publicly available data. (Source: AP - U.S.)

Qatar
11/03/2026 - 11:24  Iran adoption a strategy of 'war of attrition on several fronts' (Source: France24)
Video

Strait of Hormuz
March 11, 2026, Wednesday // 11:40  The Revolutionary Guard emphasized it would not allow even a single litre of oil to leave the region for hostile countries until further notice. The US Central Command reported destroying 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels yesterday. President Trump confirmed on social media that the US had taken pre-emptive measures against the vessels. Trump assured lawmakers that US operations were significantly ahead of schedule and predicted the war might end “very soon.” Casualties among US forces continue to mount, with the Pentagon reporting seven deaths and around 140 injuries, mostly minor, among service members. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reaffirmed that military action would continue until Iran and its regional proxies no longer posed a threat to his country. Contrasting with Trump’s optimistic timeline, the conflict shows no signs of de-escalation, both Iran and Israel continue to engage in heavy exchanges of fire. Early today, Iran and Israel exchanged additional strikes, with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia intercepting multiple Iranian drones targeting oil facilities. Residents in Tehran described some of the heaviest strikes they had witnessed since the war began, with reports of damaged residential buildings and civilians seeking refuge in the countryside. Iranian casualties have been significant, with at least 1,230 reported killed. Lebanon and Israel reported over 480 and 12 deaths, respectively. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

09:17-11 March 2026 AD ـ 22 Ramadan  Three vessels have been hit by unknown projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz today. The Japan-flagged container ship One Majesty had sustained minor damage from an unknown projectile 46 km northwest of Ras Al Khaimah in the United Arab Emirates. Its crew members are safe and the vessel is sailing towards a safe anchorage. The Thailand-flagged bulk carrier Mayuree Naree was targeted and damaged north of Oman. The fire had been extinguished, there was no environmental impact. Necessary crew remained on the vessel. The Marshall Islands-flagged Star Gwyneth, a bulk carrier, was also hit by an unknown projectile approximately 50 miles northwest of Dubai. The vessel's crew were safe. There were no reports of Iran planting explosives in the Strait of Hormuz, US President Trump said in social media posts. The US said it took out more than a dozen minelaying Iranian vessels yesterday to help prevent any attempt to close the waterway. Some tankers, believed linked to Iran, are continuing to get through the Strait of Hormuz. Seven ships had passed through the strait since March 8. Of those, five were linked to Iranian-associated shipping. Iran has restarted crude exports through its Jask oil terminal on the Gulf of Oman. A tanker loaded roughly 2 million barrels at Jask on March 7. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

(March 10, 2026)  Iran has begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz. The mining is not extensive yet, with a few dozen having been laid in recent days. Iran still retains upward of 80% to 90% of its small boats and mine layers, so its forces could feasibly lay hundreds of mines in the waterway. Severe volatility was on the crude oil market today, with the price per barrel fluctuating between more than $90 and less than $80 in a series of peaks and valleys. Nearly 15 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude production, plus another 4.5 million bpd of refined fuels, are now effectively stranded in the Gulf. Producers like Iraq and Kuwait have no alternative to shipping oil through Hormuz. US Central Command said in a social media post later today that the military destroyed multiple Iranian naval ships - including 16 minelayers - near the Strait of Hormuz. (Source: CNN – U.S.)

United Arab Emirates
March 11, 2026 at 10:25 am  In a statement issued early today Houthi- and Hezbollah-linked group calling itself the Brigades of the True Promise in the Arabian Peninsula threatens to target Barakah nuclear facility in Abu Dhabi. (Source: Middle East Monitor - located in London, United Kingdom, financed by the State of Qatar)

(10 March 2026)  The UAE is considering a crackdown on Iran’s financial assets. Estimates range high, could be $20 billion to $50 billion or more. The figure includes Iran-linked trade, real estate, gold, and corporate accounts. Annual UAE-Iran trade is about $27 billion, with Emirati exports to Tehran amounting to $22 billion. The UAE has long been Iran's gateway to the world, it has implicitly allowed a number of Iranian businesses and individuals to operate in the shadows, away from the sanctions spotlight cast by the treasury departments of Western governments. Iran uses shell companies registered in Dubai’s free-trade zones to mask the origin of its oil. Iran-linked entities conduct business through hundreds of shell companies in the UAE that sell oil, petrochemicals, and other commodities to global buyers. The UAE allows this in self-interest, as Abu Dhabi balances its US military alliance with Iran ties. A large Iranian diaspora of about 400,000 people forms the backbone of the UAE workforce, while Iranian capital boosts the Emirati property market. The UAE’s potential freezing of Iran-linked assets can mirror the West’s actions against Russia. Gulf states once criticised the West for freezing the assets of the Central Bank of Russia to browbeat Moscow into ending the war against Ukraine. Freezing assets can spark further Iranian attacks on key infrastructure, such as ports and refineries, analysts say. The UAE’s real estate market can face a slump, while its image as a neutral destination for investments and tourists from around the world remains at stake. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

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Americas:

Caribbean

Haiti
10 March 2026 10:32 (UTC +04:00)  Haitian security forces, with support from Vectus Global, have carried out anti-gang operations using quadcopter drones strapped with explosives, often in densely populated parts of the capital Port-au-Prince. Since last March, explosive drone strikes by Haitian security forces targeting gangs have killed 1,243 people, Human Rights Watch said in a report today. The strikes also injured 738 people. Vectus Global is a private U.S.-based military company led by Blackwater founder Prince. The operations have ramped up in recent months - from November to January there were nearly double the number of drone operations compared with the prior three months. The drones can maneuver between buildings and moving vehicles while their controllers track suspects using live video feeds. The U.S. charge d'affaires in Haiti told a Senate committee last month that the State Department had licensed Vectus to export its services to Haiti. A spokesperson for the U.N.-backed Gang Suppression Force in Haiti declined to comment. Despite Kenyan, U.S. and U.N. support, armed gangs have expanded well beyond the capital and security forces have yet to capture a major gang leader. The gangs have killed thousands, displaced over a million and crippled the economy. The U.N.'s human rights chief said last October the drone strikes were disproportionate and likely unlawful. Last month, the United Nations Integrated Office in Haiti (BINUH) said it had no indications the deaths and injuries were being investigated. HRW said there was no evidence drones were being used widely by gangs. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan „citing Reuters” – United Kingdom)

North America

United States
March 11, 2026  ' A summary of the Iran war, so far. As it stands now, the United States and Israel are conducting an air war that appears bent on destroying Iran’s nuclear program. Both see a nuclear weapon as dangerous to themselves, regardless of how it’s delivered. It’s unclear whether Iran can build a deliverable nuclear weapon, but even if there’s a small possibility, it could lead to catastrophic consequences. The first U.S. attack on Iran’s nuclear development program having only partially succeeded, the U.S. and Israel then mounted a far broader aerial assault to bring about a second objective: to force regime change or, failing that, inflict enough damage to elongate the recovery time, during which perhaps a more prudent government might emerge. The anti-regime demonstrations that had filled the streets and resulted in many deaths made regime change appear a possible outcome of a military attack ending Iran’s nuclear program (as the primary goal) and creating an Iran that would be less destabilizing to the region. A new supreme leader has since been appointed to head the government, of the same demeanor as the last one. But he is perhaps less powerful because he seems to be sharing decision-making with the head of the Supreme National Security Council and does not seem to have full control over Iran’s primary military force, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Given the destruction of much of the governing system, including its leadership, and national infrastructure – meaning, a loss of command and control and a semi-functional government – it seems as though the IRGC is executing operations under decisions made by its own commanders by default, perhaps according to its own preference. This is evident in the fact that the Iranian president – considered weak because he is a reformist – apologized to countries in the region that were attacked by drones and missiles in the opening stages of the conflict. It seems likely that the IRGC acted as a military force without political guidance, striking long and deep at all threats, that the first strike left it playing the roles of both military force and decision-maker. The government’s apologies were designed to limit the degree to which the attacked nations would join the Western-led hostilities. It follows from this that the primary goal of the U.S and Israel is to cripple or systematically destroy the IRGC before the new government becomes effective, putting it militarily impotent, in a vulnerable and even desperate situation. The IRGC is a well-armed and trained organization with both ground forces and sophisticated weapons, including drones and missiles. It is widely dispersed throughout Iran, where it is responsible for internal security as well as conventional ground warfare. The group’s drone and missile systems would need to be resupplied with new weapons from storage areas. The primary mission for the U.S. and Israel is to identify the logistical system supplying these dispersed forces and destroy them. These logistics networks are identifiable by satellite, immobile and located far from major population centers. Much of the combat between U.S. and Israeli forces on one hand and the IRGC on the other would take place in remote locations, rather than in cities. Only a few Western aircraft have been shot down, which means either that Iranian air defense systems are ineffective or destroyed, or that the information coming out of Iran is limited. Another vital dimension to this war: oil. In the long run, it is likely that the IRGC will be crippled and that other oil producers will increase production, or that Russian oil, under U.S. pressure now, will flow more readily. This is the war’s shelf life for the U.S. and Israel. They need to end it before prices, particularly in the U.S., rise dramatically - Iran is a less important issue than the cost of living. Iran has attempted to close the Strait of Hormuz. If this creates enough sensitivity to, say, energy prices, it would be a fundamental problem for the U.S. and, as such, would undermine the war effort. „The Strait of Hormuz seems to me to be the critical place where the war will be largely decided”. Sending troops into Iran to occupy it, even with limited opposition, would be difficult and tremendously expensive. A war in Iran would likely be very long and unsuccessful. The key to the war will be the battle to keep Hormuz open as air power shatters the IRGC – something that could potentially be done in months, not decades. The IRGC has not completely halted its attacks on other oil-producing states in the region. Increasing production in other parts of the world can be difficult and time-consuming. If the new Iranian government is unwilling or unable to rein in the IRGC, and it intensifies attacks on regional oil facilities, what could follow would be a significant decline in global oil capability and a dramatic uptick in prices, threatening the global economy. If the IRGC is able to renew its attacks on regional oil producers, simply keeping the strait open would not by itself eliminate the threat of a global economic crisis. This leaves the U.S. and other oil consumers in an extreme economic crisis that will take time to recover from, even after production is resumed. This scenario would leave Trump facing a political crisis in the United States. Washington, then, has three options. The first is to try to cripple the IRGC’s missile and drone capabilities quickly. ’The second is to create’ a new regime that is able and willing to take control over the IRGC. The third is to battle it out in the Strait of Hormuz. It could also pursue a combination of the three, with each facing severe challenges. This brings us to Russia and China. Russia’s army is fighting in Ukraine, and it stands to benefit greatly from the destruction of oil production in the Middle East – which would give Moscow much-needed money and political leverage. China even has diversified its sources of energy, high oil prices would still hurt its economy, dependent as it still is on exports. The Chinese foreign minister has condemned the attacks, even as he confirmed that Trump would meet with President Xi in late March (earlier than the original date). Given China’s exposure, and given the ongoing negotiations between Washington and Beijing, ’China is unlikely' to provide military assistance to Iran. The consequences of the war come down to whether Tehran can or will control the IRGC, or whether the U.S. and Israel will risk launching an even greater attack. The stakes are now getting higher globally, with the most likely option being that the U.S. will destroy the IRGC. From a military standpoint, the fundamental question is whether these goals can be reached primarily from manned and unmanned air power, given that a ground war would likely be long and costly in terms of both lives and money, due to Iran’s size. If airstrikes cannot achieve the goal, the unknown is whether in the end the U.S. would follow with a ground war, which has been since World War II very costly and in many cases a failure.  '  (Source: Geopolitical Futures - U.S.)
By Dr. Friedman, an internationally recognized geopolitical forecaster and strategist on international affairs and the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures. He holds a doctorate in government from Cornell University. His book, THE STORM BEFORE THE CALM: America’s Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond, published February 25, 2020 describes how ’the United States periodically reaches a point of crisis in which it appears to be at war with itself, yet after an extended period it reinvents itself, in a form both faithful to its founding and radically different from what it had been.” The decade 2020-2030 is such a period which will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture. His most popular book, The Next 100 Years, is kept alive by the prescience of its predictions. Other best-selling books include Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe, The Next Decade, America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge. His books have been translated into more than 20 languages. For almost 20 years before resigning in May 2015, Dr. Friedman was CEO and then chairman of Stratfor, a company he founded in 1996.

(March 10, 2026) 7:35 PM CET  About 140 US troops have been wounded in the Iran war, including 8 severely. “The vast majority of these injuries have been minor, and 108 service members have already returned to duty,” Pentagon spokesman Parnell said. Eight U.S. service members are currently 'severely injured,' Parnell added. Retaliatory rocket and drone strikes from Iran have also claimed the lives of seven soldiers in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. (Source: AP - U.S.)

(March 10, 2026) 4:41 PM CET  First 2 days of Iran war cost the US $5 billion in munitions alone. An estimate the Pentagon sent to Congress does not appear to include other war-related expenses besides munitions. The war is currently in its 11th day. (Source: AP - U.S.)

14:08, 10 Mar 2026  To date, the US has a total of six unaccounted-for nuclear warheads from 32 documented Broken Arrow accidents. One incident in 1958 involved a fully-armed B-47 carrying a Mark 15 hydrogen bomb, which dropped its nuclear bomb following a mid-air collision. The weapon was never retrieved despite initial assertions it was a dummy. The B-47 was transporting a 7,600-pound Mark 15 hydrogen thermonuclear bomb. The Mark 15 possessed an explosive yield of 3.8 megatons, 190 times more devastating than the Fat Man bomb, which flattened Nagasaki. The B-47 sustained damage, the pilot worried the bomb might explode and released the Mark 15 into the waters of Wassaw Sound, near Tybee Island. Over 100 Navy personnel searched for the jettisoned Mark 15. The search continued for two months, and they discovered nothing. The Air Force informed the public that the bomb's plutonium warhead had been removed before the flight and replaced with a lead substitute. Decades later, in 1994, documents released from a 1966 Congressional testimony revealed the Tybee Mark 15 was actually an intact nuclear weapon. In 1966, a B-28 thermonuclear bomb was lost in the Mediterranean Sea following a collision between two U.S. military aircraft, and its warhead remains missing. One Spanish shrimp fisherman witnessed the misshapen white package descend. It was one of four B28 thermonuclear bombs that had been dispersed after two US military aircraft collided over the Mediterranean. Three of the B-28s were recovered on land but the warhead has never been located. (Source: Mirror - United Kingdom)

(11.03.2026)  US President Trump said yesterday that the United States will build its first new oil refinery in five decades with investment from Indian billionaire Ambani’s Reliance Industries. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump described the project as a historic $300 billion deal, the biggest in US history, thanking India’s largest private energy company, Reliance Industries, for the investment. Reliance Industries, which operates the world’s largest refinery complex in Jamnagar, India, has a market capitalisation of about $206 billion. „The cleanest refinery in the world” will be built at the port of Brownsville, Texas, and is expected to process 100 percent American shale oil. The refinery is being developed by America First Refining. The company said it received a nine-figure investment from a global energy major at a 10-figure valuation but did not disclose the investor. America First Refining also said the same investor has signed a 20-year agreement to purchase, process and distribute US-produced shale oil. According to the company, the facility will process about 1.2 billion barrels of US light shale oil valued at $125 billion and produce roughly 50 billion gallons of refined products worth around $175 billion. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

10.03.2026  The Trump administration is mulling a ground operation to retrieve Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium, believed to be sitting in a storage facility deep underground, according to military officials who spoke to CNN. They said that the move would require a significant number of US ground troops, not just a special forces operation - mark of ’the first major commitment of US ground forces to the war.’ Much of the uranium is believed to be at Iran’s Isfahan nuclear site. The military escalation would put a large number of troops in danger, as it would require a complex mission to safely recover and transport a large amount of highly radioactive material. US intelligence agencies believe the Iranians who have been working to clear the debris from damage to Isfahan facility’s above ground facilities caused by US military air strikes in June last year, have access to the underground tunnels where the uranium was hidden. Officials believe that 200 kilograms of uranium is probably still at the Isfahan site. Iran’s uranium is currently enriched at around 60%, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency. Additional radioactive material also believed to be stored at Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility. Iran has claimed that it uses the uranium only for peaceful energy purposes. Experts said enriching the material above a certain threshold - around 90% - means it can be used to create nuclear weapons. Trump has repeatedly said that Iran can never be allowed to have a nuclear weapons program. ’One thing is certain: I will never allow the world’s number one sponsor of terror, which they are by far, to have a nuclear weapon’, the president said last month. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

(Tuesday), March 10, 2026 9:51 AM (= 02:51 CET)  Trump, Putin talk of war and peace as US weighs easing Russian oil sanctions. US President Trump and Russian counterpart discussed on Monday the war in Iran and prospects for peace in Ukraine, just hours after the Kremlin chief warned that a global energy crisis threatened the world economy, cautioning that oil production dependent on transport through the Strait of Hormuz could soon come to a halt. The Kremlin said Trump called Putin, in the leaders' first telephone call this year, and they discussed Russian ideas for a speedy end to the conflict in Iran, the military situation in Ukraine and the impact of Venezuela on the global oil market. The US and Israeli attack on Iran triggered the biggest spike in oil prices since the turmoil following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Gulf producers reduce output after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. "I had a very good call with President Putin," Trump told a press conference at his Florida golf club, adding that Putin wanted to be helpful on Iran. "I said, 'You could be more helpful by getting the Ukraine-Russia war over with. That will be more helpful." Putin said Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter and holder of its biggest natural gas reserves, was ready to work again with European customers if they wanted to return to long-term co-operation. Amid the turmoil on global energy markets, Trump's administration is considering reducing oil sanctions on Russia, with an announcement possible as soon as Monday, according to three sources familiar with the planning. The move would be intended to boost world supplies of oil following massive disruptions to Middle East shipments from the expanding conflict. It could also complicate US efforts to deprive Russia of revenue for its war in Ukraine. Talks could cover broad sanctions relief as well as more targeted options for certain countries, such as India, to buy Russian oil without fear of US penalties, including tariffs. "We're also waiving certain oil-related sanctions to reduce prices. So we have sanctions on some countries. We're going to take those sanctions off until this straightens out," Trump told reporters, without identifying the countries. "Then who knows, maybe we won't have to put them on; there'll be so much peace. But when the time comes, the US Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the Strait if needed." Last week, the United States allowed India to temporarily buy Russian crude oil already on tankers at sea, to help it cope with the cuts to Middle East supply. On Friday, Treasury Secretary Bessent said the United States could free more Russian oil from sanctions. Russia's special presidential envoy on investment, Dmitriev, said on Saturday he was discussing the issue with Washington. Kremlin foreign policy aide Ushakov said the discussion with Trump was "very substantial" and "likely to have practical significance for further work between the two countries". Ushakov said Trump believed it was in the US interest to see a "rapid end to the conflict in Ukraine with a ceasefire and a long-term settlement". (Source: AsiaOne Singapore / Reuters - United Kingdom)

 Space

March 10, 2026 / 10:35 AM EDT  A 1,300-pound NASA probe is set to re-enter Earth's atmosphere today, nearly 14 years after it was launched. The Van Allen Probe A, which was launched in August 2012, is likely to reenter Earth's atmosphere around 7:45 p.m. ET today. There is a 24-hour margin of uncertainty. Most of the probe is expected to burn up as it reenters the atmosphere, NASA said, although some components are expected to survive re-entry. 'There is a 1 in 4,200 chance of anyone on Earth being harmed', NASA said, noting that the risk is low. The probe and a twin spacecraft, Van Allen Probe B, were sent to explore Earth's permanent radiation belts and determine how particles within them are gained and lost. (Source: CBS News - U.S.)

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Hungary
06/03/2026 - 17:26 GMT+1  Hungary detained seven Ukrainians and opened a money laundering probe after authorities intercepted two security vans carrying cash and gold from Austria to Ukraine’. Hungarian customs and police stopped the convoy overnight in a motorway service area. According to Budapest, the transfer was supervised by a former general of Ukraine's Defence Intelligence Service, and other crew members also had military backgrounds. The Hungarian government further stated that Ukraine had previously moved $900 million, €420 million and 146 kilograms of gold through Hungary. Ukraine's Foreign Ministry ’issued a travel warning for its citizens, stating that their safety could not be guaranteed’ in Hungary. The Hungarian Tax and Customs Administration has opened a money-laundering case against the seven Ukrainian nationals arrested. The Hungarian government published photographs of the confiscated cash and gold and released a video depicting the raid, which was carried out by the Anti-Terrorist Police. "If this is genuinely a transaction between banks, the question arises as to why the banks cannot settle this by transfer between themselves – and why such a large amount of cash needs to travel at all, let alone through Hungary," Foreign Minister Szijjártó said. Today afternoon, NGOs with ties to the Hungarian government organised a demonstration outside the Ukrainian embassy in Budapest, protesting what they described as Ukrainian interference in Hungary's electoral campaign. People were seen holding banners portraying the opposition leader as a puppet of Zelenskyy. Orbán's Fidesz party has alleged that Ukraine is financing the Tisza Party in order to unseat the government and remove the vetoes it has exercised within the European Union. (Source. Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

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European Commission
06.03.2026  Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó warned that Budapest would block EU funding to Ukraine until deliveries through the Druzhba pipeline resumed. In response, Zelenskyy said: ’We hope that someone in the European Union will not block the €90 billion… Otherwise, we will give this person’s address to our armed forces. They will contact him in their own language.’ The EU "condemned' comments by Zelenskyy threatening Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. EU Commission spokesperson Gill today said Zelenskyy’s threat against Hungarian premier 'unacceptable'. Zelenskyy said he would give the prime minister’s address to Ukrainian soldiers, and ’they will contact him in their own language’ if Hungary blocked €90 billion ($78 billion) in EU aid to Ukraine. „There should be no threats towards EU member countries,” says spokesperson at a press briefing in Brussels. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Hungary
05/03/2026 - 15:50 GMT+1  Last Saturday, shortly after the US and Israel launched their strikes on Iran, PM Orbán convened his security cabinet and raised the country's terror alert by one level. Then, today, the prime minister met with his anti-terrorism coordination committee and ordered border checks. 'Terrorist organisations with Middle Eastern origins have established themselves and grown stronger in Western Europe. We expect them to activate terrorist cells across Europe. We will protect the peace and security of Hungary in this situation as well. We have therefore strengthened controls on foreign passenger traffic arriving in Hungary," he announced. Orbán also ordered soldiers and police to protect Hungary's key energy infrastructure last week, citing 'fears' of an attack from Ukraine. Hungary is currently blocking the European Union's €90 billion loan package to Ukraine over the Druzhba pipeline dispute. Budapest accuses Kyiv of political blackmail. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

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Ukraine
Thursday 05 March 2026 16:43 GMT  Zelenskyy says he would rather not repair a damaged pipeline that carries Russian oil to Central Europe. 'This is my position,' Zelenskyy said. 'Zelenskyy added' that he hopes one person will not block the EU's 90-billion euro loan which Ukraine needs to continue funding its defense against Russia's invasion. The government of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has blocked a 90-billion euro ($106 billion) EU loan to Ukraine over the interruption to oil shipments, and vowed to veto any further pro-Ukraine decisions until oil flows resume. PM Orbán has claimed that Ukraine and Zelenskyy seek to bankrupt Hungary, and warned voters that if he loses the election, the country would become directly involved in the conflict with Russia. "We have political and financial tools, and with these we will compel them, unconditionally and preferably as soon as possible, to reopen the Druzhba pipeline,” Orbán said. “I will make no pact, there will be no compromise. We will defeat them,” speaking to an economic forum today, Orbán said. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
by 'Spike. Associated Press writer Novikov in Kyiv, Ukraine contributed.'

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