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Sun, Earth
(Source: WunderGround):
http://tinyurl.com/nk82bkz
Time data, photos regarding the occurence of M-class or stronger solar flares, Kp= 5-level or greater geomagnetic storm activity, big or slow solar wind speed, etc. Possibly about some quakes, volcano activity.
Update
In the context of solar activity is interesting to extend our attention to the seismic Earth (see my blog in October).
2014 09 30
03:00 UT - 06:00 UT. Earth Unsettled geomagnetic field (Kp= 4)
09:00 UT - 12:00 UT. Unsettled geomagnetic field (Kp= 4)
22:00 UT. Sun: Solar activity at low levels for the past 24 hours. It is expected to be moderate to high. Chance for M-class flares. A slight chance for an X-class solar flare.
Space: Solar wind's peak speed was around 410 km/s.
Earth: Geomagnetic field at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are possible locally.
2014 09 29
18:00 UT. - 21:00 UT. Earth: Unsettled geomagnetic field (Kp= 4)
22:00 UT. Sun: Active sunspot regions number 2172, 2173 and 2175 are the most likely sources for significant flare production. Solar activity is expected to be moderate to high with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare.
Space: Protons: a slight chance of crossing threshold.
Earth: Geomagnetic field at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. It is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods.
2014 09 28
02:58 UT. Sun: M5-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2173.
04:28 UT. Filament eruption - a backside event; the detected CME was originating from the same active region that has produced multiple CME's over the past days. The CME departed from just behind the east limb. The region turns onto the visible disc next days.
17:33 UT M1-class, long-duration solar flare occurred. Its source: active sunspot region number 2173.
22:00 UT. Solar activity was high during the past 24 hours. Chances: further moderate to high solar flare activity with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare. Sunspot regions number 2172, 2173, and 2175 remain active and are the most likely sources.
Space: Solar wind speed was maintained at about 400 km/s; its reached peak speed was about 45o km/s. Chances for a proton event are increasing. Moderate solar wind is expected. Protons: slight chance of crossing threshold.
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected. Some active periods are still possible.
2014 09 27
08:37 UT. Sun: M1-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2178.
22:00 UT. Solar activity was at low to moderate level in the last twenty-four hours. Further growth in the sunspot regions numbered 2175, 2172 and 2173 was observed. Chance of occurrence of M-class solar flares. Slight chance for an X-class solar flare.
Space: The solar wind reached a peak speed of about 480 km/s.
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet levels, with isolated active periods between 00:00 - 06:00 UT. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected.
2014 09 26
22:00 UT. Sun: Low solar activity. Sunspot regions numbered 2171, 2172, and the new 2175 show growth. Low to moderate solar activity is expected. M-class solar flare probabilities are rising. A filament eruption occurred behind the south-eastern limb starting at 04:19 UT. Its region produced multiple CME's over the past days and it will be turning around the east limb during couple of days.
Space: Moderate solar wind; its speed peaked within the 430- about 490 km/s range.
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled to quiet (Kp= 3; Kp= 2). Active geomagnetic conditions are possible.
2014 09 25
22:00 UT. Sun: Solar activity was at low levels with low solar flare activity for the past 24 hours.The solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Chance for M-class flares. A slight chance for an X-class flare. A new region has emerged, developing fast in size and complexity. It adds to the M flare potential. A filament is situated closely to the west of the new region.
Space: Solar wind minimum velocity was about 420 km/s. Peak: about 510 km/s. The present solar wind stream is expected to persist for the next three days.
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled with active periods. The geomagnetic field reached active level at 00:00 UT - 00:03 UT, due to the continuous effect of the coronal hole high speed stream. Geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Active periods are possible.
2014 09 24
22:00 UT. Sun: The solar activity is expected to be low to moderate, with a chance for M-class flares. Sunspot numbered 2171 is the significant potential flaring source as it continues to evolve.
Space: Solar wind speed increased from a minimum of 375 km/s to about 450 km/s. Similar solar wind conditions are expected.
Earth: Geomagnetic field: unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions. Active levels (Kp= 4) were during 00:00-06:00 UT and 09:00-15:00 UT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected. Active periods are possible.
2014 09 23
22:00 UT. Sun: Solar activity at low levels for the past 24 hours. Chance for M-class flares; sunspot number 2172 is the most significant potential flaring source.
Space: Solar wind speed was within the 455 - 375 km/s range. Proton levels have meanwhile settled to almost nominal values. Arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream is expected. It is likely to last over the coming days.
Eart:h The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Periods of active conditions are possible.
23:16 UT. Sun: M2-class (medium) solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2172.
2014 09 22
around 09:00 UT. Space: Rise of proton levels starting.
22:00 UT. Sun: Low levels of solar activity for the past 24 hours. Low to moderate levels are expected, with increasing chance of M-class solar flares during the next 24 hours.
Space: Solar wind speed decreasing from a peak of around 465 km/s to around 415 km/s value. Chanse: increased activity due to the influence of a corotating interaction region (CIR).
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled and is expected to remain so with more chance to reach active levels due to the arrival of a coronal high speed stream.
2014 09 21
22:00 UT. Sun: Solar activity: at low levels for the past 24 hours. Next 24 hours: chance for M-class flares.
Space: Solar wind speed: it reached a peak of about 610 km/s, after it decreased with oscillations to a level of about 440 km/s.
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions: quiet (Kp= 1), and it is expected to remain so.
2014/09/20
22:00 UT. Sun: Solar activity: low. Slight chance for M-class flares.
Space: Solar wind speed's varying values were about 450 km/s - 590 km/s during last 24 hours. Both plasma density and solar wind speed'll increase in next 24 hours.
Earth: Quiet geomagnetism (Kp= 2).
2014 09 19
03:00 UT - 06:00 UT. Earth: G1-level (minor) geomagnetic storm (Kp= 5). Its cause could be a blow of a CME related to the M1-class solar flare on September 14. /No geomagnetic storm was in the forecast. See also the new update regarding the rise of an extensive arch of solar plasma in September 17-18. The named storm could have caused by an arriving CME released by a coronal hole, too/.
22:00 UT. Sun: The solar activity was at low levels for the past 24 hours. Slight chance for an M-class flare.
Space: The solar wind speed increased from about 350 km/s reaching a peak speed about 550 km/s during this day.
Earth: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active levels.
2014 09 18
08:41 UT Sun: M1-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot numbered 1269, arising on the eastern-northeastern limb of the Sun.
18:00 UT. Sun: Flares: eruptive. Slight chance for M-class flares.
Space: The solar wind reached a peak speed of about 400 km/s and a minimum of about 350 km/s; still decreasing in the previous 24 hours. Protons: warning
Earth: Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 2)
2014 09 17-18 (updated from 2014 09 19)
Sun: An extensive arch of plasma rose up out of the Sun, stretched itself and had reached back to a point behind our view of the Sun. The arch is likely connecting to another active region over the Sun's horizon. (Source: YouTube/SDO): Link
2014/09/17
14:00 UT. Sun: Solar activity: at low levels.Flares: eruptive; chance for M-class flares.
Space: Solar wind speed's minimum for the past 24 hours: about 370 km/s. Protons: warning.
Earth: Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 1)
2014 09 16
14:00 UT. Sun: Chance for M-class flare. X-class solar flare: slight chance.
Space: Solar wind's speed: decreasing. It reached a minimum of 380 km/s. Protons: warning.
Earth: Geomagnetic field: at quiet levels (Kp= 1). Active conditions may be reached.
2014 09 15
14:00 UT. Sun: Flares: eruptive. Chance for M-class flares: less likely. Slight chance for an X-class solar flare.
Space: Solar wind's speed: decreasing. Protons: warming
Earth: geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 1)
2014 09 14
00:00 UT - 03:00 UT. Space: Fluctuation of solar wind's speed; its increased value about 610 km/s, which later decreased to about 460 km/s.
02:16 UT. Sun: M1.5-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2157.
12:00 UT. Sunspots number 2157 and 2158 continue their decay. M-class solar flares remain possible.
Earth: Quiet geomagnetic conditions
21:00 - 24:00 UT.:
Sun Solar activity: at moderate levels
Space: Solar wind speed's minimum value: about 450 km/s
Earth: Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 0)
2014 09 13
12:00 UT. Sun: Continued threat for M-class (or stronger) solar flare
Earth: Geomagnetic conditions: unsettled to active; quiet to unsettled are expected in general.
18:00 UT. Sun: Eruptive flares.
Space: Solar wind speed: about 550 km/s. Protons: quiet
Earth: Geomagnetism: quiet (Kp= 2).
Space (update): During the day, the solar wind's speed decreased gradually from 740 km/s to about 530 km/s.
2014 09 12
between 00:00 UT - 06:00 UT Earth: Kp =5 level, minor geomagnetic storm.
... - 02:00 UT. Space: ...during last three hours the solar wind speed increased from 350 km/s to 480 km/, due to the M4-class solar flare from September 9.
12:00 UT. Sun: M-class flares are expected, with the chance of X-class event(s).
Space: Slightly increased proton flux.
Earth: Active geomagnetic conditions. The X1 flare's CME arrival is expected for later today. It may results major (to severe) geomagnetic storm(s).
after 15:00 UT. Space: The solar wind's speed increased suddenly from about 400 km/s to more than 650 km/s.
15:10 UT. Energetic ion enhancement event beginning.
Earth: Soon a shock of the magnetic field occurred; it is related to the arrival of the CME emission of the X1-class solar flare from September 10.
18:00 UT Space: Increased proton flux. S2.type (moderate) solar radiation storm.
Earth: G2-level (moderate) geomagnetic storm is underway (Kp= 6.)
21:00 UT - 24:00 UT. Space: The solar wind speed increased to about 740 km/s
Earth:: G3 level, strong planetary geomagnetic storm (Kp= 7)
- Did you see auroras in Europe - London (England); Brussels (Belgium); Cologne (Germany); Warsaw (Poland) ?
- 21:05 UT. Aurora in Franeker, the Netherlands / Vincent van Leijen (Source: Flickr): http://tinyurl.com/nzu3qca
- Aurora in Norfolk, UK / Matt S (Source: SpaceWeather): http://tinyurl.com/n8pfg3x
- Aurora in Western Denmark / Ruslan Merzlyakov (Source: SpaceWeather): http://tinyurl.com/nbbsx5c
- Aurora in Lingen (Ems) Germany / Waldemar Skorupa (Source: SpaceWeather): http://tinyurl.com/p7mmo2k
- Aurora in Abisko National Park, Sweden / Mat Richardson (Source: SpaceWeather): http://tinyurl.com/lo7rkpu
23:10 UT. Space: The proton event related to the X1 flare ended.
2014 09 11
06:00 UT. Sun: High solar activity (Source: YouTube/Helioviewer): Link
Space: Chance: an associated plasma cloud is directed towards Earth Increase of energetic particles, proton flux levels
Earth: High-frequency radio-communication at the Earth's dayside (USA and South-America) was probably disturbed. Chance: geomagnetic storm is possible if the plasma cloud arrives at Earth
12:00 UT.. - Space: Gradual increase in proton flux.
Earth: Unsettled geomagnetic conditions. Active geomagnetic conditions are expected.
15:25 UT Sun: M2-class solar flare occurred. Its source is an emerging sunspot at the north-eastern limb of solar sphere.
21:26 UT. Sun: M1-class solar flare occured. Its source: sunspot 2157. This flare started at 21:01 UT.
21:26 UT. Sun: M1-class solar flare occurred. Its source: the emerging sunspot at the north-eastern limb of solar sphere. This flare started at 21:22 UT.
23:00 UT ... - Space: The solar wind speed increased from 350 km/s...
(2014 09 11 12:00 UT Forecast: major to severe geomagnetic storming:
2014 09 12 Earth: G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storms, as a result of the plasma cloud ejected into space associated with the R1 (minor) solar flare observed on September 9.
around 21:00 UT or later The CME associated with R3 (strong) solar flare occurred in September 10 is expected to arrive at Earth):
(2014 09 11 12:00 UT Forecast: severe geomagnetic storming:
2014 09 13 Earth G3 (strong) geomagnetic storm is expected due to the combined influence of two solar flare events on September 9 and 10).
2014 09 10
12:00 UT. Earth: Geomagnetic conditions: quiet to unsettled.
17:45 UT. Sun: X1.6-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2158.
Around 21:00 UT. Space: Gradual increase in the number of energetic particles. Proton flux
(2014 09 10 12:00 UT. Forecast: 2014 09 10-11 Earth Unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, caused by an high speed stream which arose from a coronal hole on 09 05, and the 09 06 CME's blow).
2014 09 09
00:28 UT. Sun M4.6-class solar flare occurred. Its source is sunspot number 2158. This, prolonged flare activity started in 2014 09 08 at 23:12 UT and was completed at 01:30 UT.
Space: Condition for solar proton event maintained.
12:00 UT. Earth: Geomagnetism: quiet.
23 UT. Space. During the day the solar wind's speed decreased gradually from about 460 km/s.to 350 km/s.
(2014 09 09 12:00 UT. Forecast: 2014 09 11-12 (= estimated impact time): Earth Chance of receiving a blow from the mentioned long duration event's CME).
2014 09 08
Sun: Condition for a proton event remains in effect.
around 04:00 - 06:00 UT. Space: The solar wind speeds gradually increased from 340 km/s up to 430 km/s and with a sudden swinging to 480 km/s
12:00 UT. Earth: Geomagnetic conditions remained quiet.
2014 09 07
12 UT. Sun: Sunspot group 2157 has beta-gamma-delta configuration of the photospheric magnetic field.
Space: The solar wind speed decreased to about 340 kilometers / second. The solar proton flux is starting a slow decrease.
Earth: Geomagnetism quiet.
18:18 UTC Asteroid "2014 RC", a 12 - 26 meter-wide space rock flew past Earth. through the Earth-Moon system, at 0,1 Lunar distance * (Close approach to Earth, forecasted in 2014 09 05 at 12:00 UT.)
Almost inside the orbit of geosynchronous satellites, its closest approach occurred in the indicated time, when it passed just 40,000 km over New Zealand. Its relative velocity was about 10 kilometers / second (Source: SpaceWeather)
* (Lunar distance = ~384,000 kilometers)
Earth: Late on Saturday, around midnight, into a wooded area near the airport in Managua, Nicaragua an explosion was creating a large crater, measuring 12 meters. It appears to have been caused by a small meteorite. Nicaraguan authorities believe it was a piece of the asteroid dubbed "2014 RC". (Source: Yahoo): http://tinyurl.com/ot3epbx
2014 09 06
Space: Solar proton flux increased. The expanding solar wind's speed increased from a value of about 330 to about 410 - 420 kilometers / second.
15:25 UT. Earth: Weak impact of the Earth-directed solar filament eruption from September 2. Geomagnetism: quiet.
17:09 UT. Sun: M1-class solar flare occurred. Its source: sunspot number 2157.
2014 09 05
12:00 UT. Sun: Condition for solar proton event maintained.
until 22 UT. Space: The solar wind's speed decreased from a value of about 420 to 330 kilometers / second
Earth: Quiet geomagnetic conditions.
(2014 09 05 12:00 UT. Forecasting an upcoming close approach to Earth:
2014. 09 07 18:18 UTC Through the Earth-Moon system, at 0,1 Lunar distance *, Asteroid "2014 RC", a 12 - 26 meter-wide space rock will fly. Almost inside the orbit of geosynchronous satellites, its closest approach occurs in the indicated time, when it will pass just 40,000 km over New Zealand. Its relative velocity: about 11 kilometers / second
Earth: 'There is no danger of a collision with Earth. ' (Sources: SpaceWeather; NASA Near Earth Object Program)
* Lunar distance = ~384,000 kilometers)
2014 09 04
12:00 UT. Sun: Condition for Solar proton event maintained.
21:00 UT. Earth: Geomagnetism quiet.
2014 09 03
around 08:00 UT. Sun: An active, still unnumbered by NOAA sunspot group appeared from behind the east-south-east limb.
13:53 UT. M2.5-class solar flare was produced by the active region. Condition for solar proton event maintained.
2014 09 02
12:00 UT. Sun: In the northern hemisphere a long filament's eruption is imminent. Solar filaments are clouds of ionized gas above the solar surface squeezed between magnetic regions of opposite polarity. Filament eruptions are often accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME).
16:00 UT. The filament erupted.
16:36 UT. A partial halo CME first appeared In the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view, CME detected in association with the eruption of the filament in the northern hemisphere.
13:54 UT - 20:39 UT The filament's eruption (source: SpaceWeather): http://tinyurl.com/qhdzuw2
Conditions for Solar proton event.
2014 09 01
11:05 UT. Sun: 'Significant' (M- or X-class) farside flare occurred behind the sun's northeastern limb. (Source: SpaceWeather): http://tinyurl.com/loe5wqg 'Farside explosions, however, cannot be precisely classified because none of the spacecraft stationed over the farside of the Sun are equipped with X-ray sensors.'
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