Egyik 19

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Europe

Germany
16.06.2025  Over the weekend, social media posts alleged that a German A400M tanker was visible on flight tracking websites when it accidentally activated its transponder over Jordan during suspected refueling operations with Israeli fighter jets. The aircraft's transponder then went offline shortly after. The Defense Ministry dismisses social media claims that German aircraft refueled Israeli fighter jets over Jordan. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Russia, 
15 June 2025, 8:45pm  In the wake of the Israeli strikes, Putin was the only world leader to speak by phone to Netanyahu, Iranian President Pezeshkian and Trump. Years of two-track diplomacy have allowed Putin to position himself both as a friend to Israel’s Prime Minister and to the Iranian leadership. That will make Russia an indispensable partner for the US once it embarks on the long process of patching up the new political realities of the Middle East in the wake of this war. Though Israeli planes have so far carefully avoided striking Iran’s oil export infrastructure, the war has inevitably spooked markets and boosted sagging crude oil prices – and with them, Putin’s war chest. Back in the 1990s, Moscow helped Iran build its first Shehab long-range ballistic missiles and constructed Iran’s first civilian nuclear reactor at Bushehr, which became operational in 2013. Russia and Iran pooled efforts to shore up Assad’s government in Syria, with Russia deploying warplanes in 2015. Moscow also supplied S-300 air defence missile systems and has been importing thousands of Shahed drones, which it has fired at Ukraine. At the same time, Moscow was a signatory of the US-brokered Iran nuclear deal in 2015, which was scrapped by Trump two years later. This year, Moscow has offered to handle the enrichment of Iran’s nuclear fuel as part of a possible updated nuclear deal. That arrangement could allow Iran to maintain a civilian nuclear energy programme while depriving it of any excuse to enrich uranium to weapons-grade. Russia was selling Iran advanced Su-35 fighter jets that might be a match for Israeli jets in the air. Israeli warplanes have reportedly blown up Iran’s Shahed drone factory in Isfahan just days after Ukrainian long-range drones damaged Russia’s plant for producing their own Shahed clones, known as Geran, in Yelabuga. In the immediate aftermath of Israel’s attack, oil prices jumped from under $60 to $75 a barrel as nervous traders feared disruption to Iran’s ability to export crude. But it soon emerged that Israeli warplanes had not hit key infrastructure at the biggest Iranian oil terminal at Kharg Island, and traffic in the Strait of Hormuz at the mouth of the Persian Gulf appeared normal. Instead, Israel attacked Iran’s domestic energy industry, including gas processing plants and petrol depots across the country – perhaps in an effort to spark price hikes that have spurred anti-regime protests in the past. Washington will be urging Israel to hold off attacking Kharg ’to avoid catastrophic damage to the economy of Iran’s main customer’, China. At the same time, Israel is keeping the option of escalating against oil infrastructure as it negotiates with both enemies and allies. Kremlin was facing the prospect of falling oil prices pushing up deficits and stretching budgets. And with every new conflict - especially a major Middle Eastern conflagration - the importance of the Ukraine war to the West fades a little. ’A war between Israel and Iran will help the Russian army’s success in Ukraine.’ tweeted Kremlin-aligned analyst Markov. And the more opportunity Putin has to leverage Russia’s diplomatic weight and help Washington and Beijing solve the world’s problems, the further he moves away from being a warmonger and towards his coveted role as senior international statesman. Has he always had the devil’s own luck? Washington now faces a multi-dimensional challenge as it simultaneously tries to prevent a global oil price shock, ’a bilateral war between Iran and Saudi Arabia’, and blowback against US military and civilian targets by Iranian agents or proxies. (Source: The Spectator - United Kingdom)
by Matthews, the author of Overreach: The Inside Story of Putin’s war on Ukraine.

June 16, 2025  Overnight, on June 11, Russia launched 85 drones, 40 of which Ukraine intercepted. Kyiv targeted a gunpowder plant known to be a major supplier of explosives to the Russian military in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, located approximately 550 km northeast of Kharkiv. Russia has maintained that the strike resulted in no casualties. Ukraine also attacked a factory in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast. (Source: The National Interest - U.S.)

June 16, 2025  Before 2014, Russia contributed to the modernization of China’s armed forces by selling various types of weaponry, while Beijing was a lucrative market for Russia’s military-industrial complex. The annexation of Crimea left Russia with China as the sole remaining major source of much-needed imported military technology and components. In exchange, China has received access to advanced Russian missile, air defense, and electronic warfare technology. Deepening cooperation has also been demonstrated by the growing frequency of joint military exercises. While Russia and China share a strong anti-US stance, Beijing is unwilling making any commitment to Russia that would lead to an open conflict with the West or the introduction of sanctions. Beijing refuse to officially recognize any Russian territorial gains since 2014. Limited trust is also reflected in the joint Russian-Sino military exercises, as these maneuvers are more about demonstrating the will of cooperation to the outside world than improving interoperability between Russian and Chinese armed forces. While military cooperation along shared interests will continue, it is extremely unlikely that it will develop into any functioning, institutionalized alliance. (Source: Center for European Policy Analysis - U.S.)

United Kingdom
16.06.2025  UK government sidesteps questions on possible evacuation plans for Britons in Israel. The Foreign Office is currently advising against all travel to Israel. with Israeli airspace now closed due to the conflict, those already in the country are facing increasing difficulties returning to the UK. ((Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Asia

Iran
16 June 2025, 7:02am  The war may be a huge event for diplomats, for military strategists, and for the fate of the region. The markets don’t care much about Israel and Iran, investors, at least for now, appear indifferent They are assuming that Israel has already won. We rely far less on Middle Eastern oil and gas than we used to. Fracking has turned the United States into the largest oil and gas producer in the world, and there is plenty more to be developed. Even the Canadian prime minister Mark Carney, a fierce opponent of fossil fuels when he ran the Bank of England, is increasing production. At the same time, green energy may be more expensive than its champions predicted, and may require bigger subsidies, but there is starting to be a lot of it. The wind turbines in the North Sea generate 30 per cent of the UK’s electricity. In Spain solar contributes 20 per cent of the total, while wind contributes another 20 per cent. The result? Investors have other things to worry about. (Source: The Spectator – United Kingdom)
by Lynn, a financial columnist and author of ‘Bust: Greece, The Euro and The Sovereign Debt Crisis’ and ‘The Long Depression: The Slump of 2008 to 2031’

(Monday), Jun 16, 2025  The Iranian death toll in four days of Israeli strikes had reached at least 224, with 90% of the casualties reported to be civilians, an Iranian health ministry spokesperson said, adding that more than 1,200 had been wounded. Iranian media said an Israeli strike hit police headquarters in the city center on Sunday. The intelligence chief of Iran's Revolutionary Guard, Kazemi, and his deputy were killed in attacks on Tehran on Sunday, Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency said. (Source: The Japan Times / Reuters (United Kingdom), AFP (France), JIJI (Japan)

Israel
Jun 16, 2025  Israel has multilayered air defenses against hundreds of Iranian ballistic missiles and suicide drones fired at Israel since Friday. An Israeli military official said Saturday that the defensive umbrella had an "80 or 90% success rate," meaning that some Iranian missiles were breaking through the shield. Israeli combat helicopters and fighter jets have fired air-to-air missiles to destroy drones that were heading to Israel, military officials have said. The long-range Arrow-2 and Arrow-3 interceptors, developed by Israel are designed to engage incoming targets both in and outside the atmosphere respectively. They operate at an altitude that allows for safe dispersal of any nonconventional warheads. State-owned Israel Aerospace Industries is the project's main contractor while Boeing is involved in producing the interceptors. The midrange David's Sling system is designed to shoot down ballistic missiles fired from 100 kilometers to 200 kilometers away. Developed and manufactured jointly by Israel's state-owned Rafael Advanced Defense Systems and RTX, a U.S. company previously known as Raytheon, it is also designed to intercept aircraft, drones and cruise missiles. Developed by Rafael Advanced Defense Systems with U.S. backing, the short-range Iron Dome air defense system was built to intercept the kind of rockets fired by Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas in Gaza. It became operational in 2011. Iron Dome was originally billed as providing city coverage against rockets with ranges of between 4 km and 70 km, but experts say this has since been expanded. Each truck-towed unit fires radar-guided missiles to blow up short-range threats such as rockets, mortars and drones in midair. A naval version, to protect ships and sea-based assets, was deployed in 2017. The system determines whether a rocket is on course to hit a populated area. If not, the rocket is ignored and allowed to land harmlessly. Last October, the U.S. military said that it had sent the advanced Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) anti-missile system to Israel. THAAD is designed to intercept and destroy short, medium and intermediate-range ballistic missile threats in their terminal phase of flight. The U.S. military helped to shoot down Iranian missiles fired at Israel on Friday, using ground-based systems, one U.S. official said. A U.S. Navy destroyer in the Eastern Mediterranean also helped to shoot down incoming ballistic missiles, Israeli media has reported. Jordan’s air force also intercepted missiles and drones entering its airspace Friday, its state news agency said. (Source: The Japan Times / Reuters - United Kingdom)

Jun 16, 2025  Iranian missiles struck Israel's Tel Aviv and the port city of Haifa today, destroying homes. The alerts came in shortly after 4 a.m.in Tel Aviv. Video footage showed several missiles over Tel Aviv and explosions could be heard there and over Jerusalem. The predawn missiles struck near Shuk HaCarmel, a popular market in Tel Aviv. A residential street in nearby Petach Tikva and a school in ultra-Orthodox Jewish city Bnei Brak were also hit. Several residential buildings in a densely populated neighborhood of Tel Aviv were destroyed in a strike that blew out the windows of hotels and other nearby homes just a few hundred meters from a U.S. Embassy premises in the city. Israel's national emergency service said three people were killed in the country's center, while dozens more were wounded in the overnight strikes. In Haifa around 30 people were wounded. Fires were seen burning at a power plant near the port. Iran's Revolutionary Guard said the latest attack employed a new method that caused Israel's multilayered defense systems to target each other. (Source: The Japan Times / Reuters (United Kingdom), AFP (France), JIJI (Japan)

Jun 16, 2025 10:42 IST  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that Iran's Islamic regime had plotted to assassinate US President Trump, labelling him as enemy number one. (Source: India Today)

Pakistan
Jun 16, 2025 12:20 IST  ’Pakistan has told us that if Israel uses a nuclear bomb on Iran, then Pakistan will also attack Israel with a nuclear bomb,’ General Rezaei, an IRGC commander and member of Iran's National Security Council, said on Iranian state television. Pakistan’s Defence Minister Asif dismissed the claim, saying Islamabad had made no such commitment. Later in a post on X, Asif cautioned that Israel’s undeclared nuclear arsenal, amid the current volatile situation, could embolden it to act more aggressively - raising the risk of a wider regional conflict. Islamabad has expressed open support for Iran in the broader confrontation with Israel. Following the attack on Tehran, Pakistan had vowed to stand behind Iran, calling for Muslim unity against Israel, a Jewish country. On June 14, Asif told the National Assembly that Muslim nations should unite against Israel or risk meeting the same fate as Iran and Palestine. ’Israel has targeted Iran, Yemen, and Palestine. If Muslim nations don't unite now, each will face the same fate,’ Turkiye Today quoted him as saying. Asif also urged Muslim nations with diplomatic ties to Israel to sever relations and called on the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) to convene a meeting to form a joint strategy against the Jewish nation. Western powers and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have raised concerns over Iran’s uranium enrichment levels, ballistic missile development, and lack of transparency in past nuclear activities -- suggesting possible military dimensions to its program. Iran officially maintains that its nuclear program is solely for peaceful purposes, such as energy production and medical research. It is also a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and has consistently claimed it does not seek nuclear weapons. Despite the official silence, the Jewish nation is widely believed to have developed a nuclear arsenal and a doctrine focused on deterrence and counter-proliferation, aimed at preventing adversaries from acquiring similar capabilities. (Source: India Today)

Saudi Arabia
Monday - 16 June 2025  The Israeli defense minister declared that Tehran will burn if it continued to target civilians, meanwhile the Iranians watched as their facilities went up in flames and were turned to rubble. We aren’t just being confronted by two countries with no shared borders trading strikes. Following the deadly blows the Israeli army dealt in recent months in Gaza and Lebanon, the Israelis were deluded into believing that they were living in a fortified fortress. Te walls of the fortress are riddled with holes and the Iranian missiles can infiltrate them. After decades of expanding in the region, the Iranians believed that they were living in a fortified fortress and that the wars in the region were always going to be waged in other people’s countries. Their fortress is weak, with holes so large they allowed Israel to control their skies and the Mossad to infiltrate their land and homes. It wasn’t easy on October 7, 2023, to inform Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu about Yehya al-Sinwar's attack. On June 13, it wasn’t easy at all to inform the Iranian supreme leader about what had happened to the military commanders and nuclear scientists. The Israeli attack on Iran launched a mutually destructive operation. Iran doesn’t have the ability to stop the Israeli raids. Israel cannot stop the barrage of Iranian rockets. It is more dangerous than all the wars the Middle East has seen in half a century given the arsenals involved and the expected repercussions. Was Iran wrong to ignore his 60-day deadline and the severe consequences of failing to make a deal? Should it have sensed the danger when Iranian advisors fled Syria? Was it wrong when it failed to assure the International Atomic Energy Agency? Did it underestimate the dangerousness of a dangerous player and gambler called Benjamin Netanyahu and the growing hostility of Israel’s military and security institutions in wake of the Al-Aqsa Flood? It will be difficult for the world to live for a long time at the beat of the destructive blows between Israel and Iran. It won’t be long before it urges Netanyahu and the supreme leader to consider their options. Israeli fighter jets violate regional countries to pounce on targets in Iran. The Iranian rockets and drones violate the skies of regional countries to attack targets in Israel. Expanding the conflict by attacking American bases will only deepen its crisis and so will the closure of the Hormuz Strait. The only solution lies in returning to Trump’s table, perhaps with Russian and Chinese help. Trump’s table means abandoning the nuclear dream and opening the door to Iran normalizing ties with the US, the West and the world. This means changing Iran without changing its regime. The fight between Israel and Iran has taken the spotlight from the horrors in Gaza and crises elsewhere. The Middle East needs countries to respect the borders and sovereignty of others and to recognize people’s rights. It needs to know the borders of a country called Israel and the limits of Iran’s role in the region. It needs Israel to adopt a different policy. And for Iran to seek different options. The fight is costly, and Trump is looking at his watch. He seems confident that Israel won’t be able to achieve peace without US support. And Iran has no other choice than taking the path laid out by the ’Great Satan.’ Trump holds the keys. He alone can sway the battle in Israel’s favor. He alone can summon Netanyahu to the negotiating table. He alone can save Iran from Israeli strikes. However, the holder of the keys is not a charity, and Iran will pay a price in negotiations he is sponsoring. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - hedquarters in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of Saudi royal family)
by Charbel, Editor-in-Chief of Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper

North America

Canada
June 16, 2025 8:41 PM CET  During a working session at the G7, the U.S. leader claimed Moscow wouldn’t have invaded Ukraine if it hadn’t been banned from the forum. “The G7 used to be the G8,” Trump mused after a bilateral meeting with host Prime Minister Mark Carney at the G7 summit in the Canadian Rockies. 'Obama and a person named Trudeau didn’t want to have Russia in. And I would say that was a mistake because you wouldn’t have a war right now,' he said about Moscow’s ongoing invasion of Ukraine. Trump also told his Canadian audience that it was not a bad idea to have China as part of the G7. Zelensky will attend the G7 meeting as a guest tomorrow. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

United States
Jun 16, 2025  By the traditional temporal approach to imminency, Operation Rising Lion did not fulfill the preconditions for anticipatory self-defense. But that rigid standard has been supplanted by an interpretation more attuned to contemporary threats, one that allows States to use force anticipatorily when an adversary is committed to an armed attack using capabilities it wields, and the targeted State must act now lest it forfeit its ability to defend itself effectively. A colorable argument can be made that these criteria were satisfied on June 13, but such an argument requires a somewhat liberal interpretation of each. The nuclear (inter alia) nature of the threat Israel reasonably believes it is facing also bears on the appropriateness of such an interpretation. And if the operation was lawful, U.S. actions to defend against Iran’s retaliation are a lawful exercise of the right of collective self-defense. Yet, a colorable argument also can be made that the situation Israel faced on June 13 fell short on one or more of the criteria, especially that allowing for action only when the defending State is liable to lose the opportunity to mount an effective defense. If so, Operation Rising Lion was, therefore, a use of force in violation of the prohibition resident in Article 2(4) of the UN Charter and customary law (see, e.g., Milanovic). This interpretation would raise the question of the United States’ operation in defense of Israel. There is generally no right, individual or collective, to defend against actions undertaken pursuant to the jus ad bellum right of self-defense. Nevertheless, if reports that Iran is targeting population centers in addition to military targets are accurate, the United States is entitled to help Israel defend against them, for unlawful actions (targeting civilians and civilian objects in violation of LOAC) do not satisfy the necessity criterion of self-defense and therefore are themselves unlawful uses of force (armed attacks) triggering the right of individual and collective self-defense. Obviously, the analysis of the current situation is highly fact dependent. That Iran represents a significant threat to Israel is beyond doubt. The fact that the threat is nuclear renders it existential. It is not a threat that Israel can ignore, and, in my opinion, the severity of the threat affords Israel greater leeway under the jus ad bellum than would be the case with a lesser threat. But whether Operation Rising Lion comports with the right of anticipatory self-defense, even in light of the greater leeway merited by the nuclear factor and using the last window of opportunity test as the standard of assessment, is a question that will ultimately be judged against facts that likely will be long contested. For me, a claim that the operation was lawful is colorable, but not incontestable. (Source: The Lieber Institute for Law & Warfare at West Point - U.S.)
Schmitt is the G. Norman Lieber Distinguished Scholar at the United States Military Academy at West Point. He is also Professor of Public International Law at the University of Reading and Professor Emeritus and Charles H. Stockton Distinguished Scholar-in-Residence at the United States Naval War College.

June 16, 2025  American Foreign Policy in an Age of Unrestrained Executive Power. The last decade of scholarship has made clear the very real differences among authoritarian regimes and the implications for their foreign policy and national security choices. In matters of foreign policy and national security, the presidency now has the characteristics of a personalist dictatorship. Without constraints, even from elites in the leader’s inner circle, personalist dictators are prone to military misadventures, erratic decisions, and self-defeating policies. A United States that can change policy daily, treat those who serve its government with cruelty, and take reckless actions that compromise its basic systems and leave shared secrets and assets vulnerable is not one to be trusted. Moreover, if American institutions, especially Congress, are not functional then U.S. foreign policy is fully at the mercy of the whims of each newly elected president. The American presidency has long been imperial. But not until Trump’s second term has a president truly tried to act as an emperor. Since the 9/11 attacks, Congress has granted the presidency more and more power over foreign affairs and declined to take any of it back, and the Supreme Court has been reluctant to provide any meaningful restraints. In July 2024, the Supreme Court, never inclined to check presidential power in foreign affairs and especially deferential on national security matters, gave a literal get-out-of-jail-free card in ruling that the president enjoyed substantial immunity from prosecution for virtually any action related to his official duties. The ruling not only stopped the federal prosecutions of Trump but also made it highly unlikely that Trump will ever be held accountable for violating federal law and the Constitution. Trump inherited an ever-expanding national security apparatus that operates with little oversight. Trump governs today in the wake of the near-complete dismantling of checks and balances on the executive branch, at least in the foreign policy and national security realm. It is worth cataloging three broad categories of damage that add up to one conclusion: Trump has decimated U.S. diplomacy. Trump has also eroded trust in and goodwill toward the United States - and he has done so on live television. with visiting leaders Zelensky,and South African President Ramaphosa. Another blow to U.S. diplomacy - also televised - came on April 2, when Trump dropped a tariff bomb on the global economy. Rebuilding the expertise and experience of the federal bureaucracy ’will be the work of a generation, not an administration’ *. (Source: Foreign Affairs - U.S.)
by Saunders
* Note: Why is not the work of this administration?

Jun 16, 2025  The U.S. president has repeatedly said Iran could end the war by agreeing to tough restrictions on its nuclear program, which Iran says is for peaceful purposes but which Western countries and the IAEA nuclear watchdog say could be used to make an atomic bomb. The latest round of nuclear negotiations between Iran and the U.S., due on Sunday, was scrapped after Tehran said it would not negotiate while under Israeli attack. In Washington, two U.S. officials said that Trump had vetoed an Israeli plan in recent days to kill Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. When asked about the report, Netanyahu told Fox News on Sunday: "There's so many false reports of conversations that never happened, and I'm not going to get into that." We do what we need to do, he told Fox's "Special Report. (Source: The Japan Times / Reuters (United Kingdom), AFP (France), JIJI (Japan)

Globalization

June 16, 2025 7:25 PM CET  For years, an annual decrease in the global inventory of nuclear weapons combined with the disarmament of retired warheads by the U.S. and Russia has outstripped the number of new warheads. But a report released Monday by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) found this trend will be reversed in the coming years as dismantlement slows while the deployment of new nuclear weapons increases. China, India, Israel and Pakistan are among those increasing their nuclear muscle. Out of the nine nuclear-armed states - the U.S., U.K., Russia, France, China, Pakistan, India, Israel and North Korea - all are upgrading existing weapons and adding new versions to their stockpiles. China is leading the pack, with its nuclear arsenal having grown by 20 percent in just one year to an estimated 600 warheads. An estimated 12,241 nuclear warheads existed worldwide as of January. Of those, approximately 9,614 are held in military stockpiles ready for potential use, with more than 2,100 kept on high alert - primarily by the United States and Russia. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

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Europe

Russia
Jun 15, 2025  Russian President Putin told his U.S. counterpart, Trump, yesterday that Moscow was ready to hold a fresh round of peace talks with Kyiv after June 22, once the sides complete exchanging prisoners and soldiers' bodies. Putin and Trump held a call for the fifth time since the Republican took office and sought to reset relations with Moscow. "Both leaders expressed satisfaction with their personal relations" during the call, in which they also discussed the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel, the Kremlin said. It added that the presidents "communicate in a businesslike manner and seek solutions to pressing issues on the bilateral and international agenda, no matter how complex these issues may be." Zelenskyy urged the United States to ’shift tone’ in its dialogue with Russia, saying it was "too warm" and would ’not’ help to end the fighting. Washington might relocate resources at its expense, to beef up the defense of its close ally Israel which unleashed a large-scale attack on Iran on Friday. Zelenskyy meanwhile did not mention whether Ukraine would agree to the next round of talks, only saying that the exchanges will be completed and the parties will discuss the next step. Earlier on Saturday, Ukraine and Russia swapped prisoners in the fourth such exchange last week. It is part of a large-scale plan to bring back 1,000 wounded prisoners from each side and return bodies of killed soldiers. As part of the Istanbul agreements, Kyiv also said it had received another 1,200 ’unidentified’ bodies from Russia. Ukraine did not say whether it returned any bodies to Russia. Russia intensified its advances along the front line, especially on the northeastern Ukrainian region of Sumy, where it seeks to establish a buffer zone, to protect its bordering region of Kursk, previously partly occupied by Ukraine. Zelenskyy said Russia's advance on Sumy was stopped and that Kyiv's forces had managed to retake one village. He said 53,000 Russian soldiers were involved in the Sumy operation. Russia has demanded Ukraine cede territory and renounce Western military support if it wants peace. (Source: The Japan Times / AFP (France)-JIJI (Japan))

Asia

Iran
(Sunday), 15 June 2025 - 09:25  Israel and Iran strike at each other overnight into Sunday. Iran has said 78 people were killed there on the first day of Israel's campaign on Friday, and scores more on the second, including 60 when a missile brought down a 14-storey apartment block in Tehran. The Shahran oil depot in Tehran was targeted in an Israeli attack. A fire had erupted after an Israeli attack on an oil refinery near the capital. Israeli strikes also targeted Iran's defence ministry building, causing minor damage, the semi-official Tasnim news agency said today. In the first apparent attack to hit Iran's energy infrastructure, Tasnim news agency said Iran partially suspended production at South Pars, the world's biggest gas field, after an Israeli strike caused a fire there on Saturday. The South Pars field, offshore in Iran's southern Bushehr province, is the source of most of the gas produced in Iran. Fears about potential disruption to the region's oil exports had already driven up oil prices 9% on Friday even though Israel spared Iran's oil and gas on the first day of its attacks. An Iranian general, Kosari, said on Saturday Tehran was reviewing whether to close the Strait of Hormuz controlling access to the Gulf for tankers. (Times Live – South Africa / Reuters - United Kingdom)

15 Jun 2025 - 08:01 am  In Iran's capital, AFP journalists heard a series of blasts at around 2:30 am. Iranian authorities have not provided an updated toll as of early Sunday. (Source: The Peninsula – Qatar)

Israel
15/06/2025 - 9:42 GMT+2  'Israel military warns Iran to evacuate nuclear sites'. The Israeli military has warned Iran on Sunday to immediately evacuate 'military weapons production factories', likely signalling new strikes. Col. Adraee, a military spokesperson, posted the warning on the social platform X in Farsi. The warning follows a statement by the Iranian minister of foreign affairs Araghchi saying Tehran would stop its attacks on Israel if Israel would stop theirs. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France, „With AP” - U.S.)

15 Jun 2025 - 08:01 am  Air raid sirens and explosions were heard by AFP journalists in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv early Sunday. Israel's emergency services said at least eight people, including children, were killed in the overnight strikes, and around 200 were wounded. In Bat Yam, outside of Tel Aviv, two women, aged 69 and 80, a girl and a 10-year-old boy were killed, while about 100 others were wounded, according to a spokesperson for Magen David Adom (MDA). In Shfela region, west of Jerusalem, another 37 people were wounded, the MDA spokesperson added. In the north of Israel, in the Western Galilee, rescuers said a strike late Saturday destroyed a three-storey building, killing three women. A woman in her 20s also died after an Iranian missile hit a home in the Haifa region, leaving about a dozen people wounded, MDA said. An MDA spokesman told Israeli broadcaster Channel 12 that around 200 people were wounded in the overnight missile strikes fired by Iran. (Source: The Peninsula – Qatar)

Yemen
15.06.2025  Today, Yemen’s Houthis claim striking ‘sensitive Israeli targets’ in Yaffa, central Israel, with hypersonic ballistic missiles, in coordination with the Iranian army, at various times in the last 24 hours. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

North America

United States
15.06.2025 A US official, according to Axios, confirmed that Israel asked Washington to join the military operation, but said currently the administration is not considering it. Washington has repeatedly said that Israel acted alone in its recent military actions against Iran. Citing American and Israeli sources, the news outlet said Israel lacks the capability to destroy Iran’s Fordow uranium enrichment site, which is buried deep within a mountain, and needs US assistance to target it ’effectively’. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

June 15, 2025  People from 12 countries are already banned from entering the United States – and now Trump is said to be thinking of adding another 36 countries to the list. An internal memo about it reportedly says these countries have 60 days to meet new requirements, or face restrictions too. They include 25 countries in Africa, four in Asia, four in the Carribbean, and three in Oceania), and include strategic US partners Egypt and Djibouti. The Washington Post said that concerns varied for each country, but were things such as lack of reliable ID documents, lack of a ‘competent or cooperative central government authority’, a high number of citizens who previously overstayed their visas, or claims of antisemitic and anti-American activity in the United States by their citizens. But the paper reported it said that if a country was willing to accept foreign nationals deported from the US in a ‘safe third country’ agreement, they could reconsider the ban even if other reported issues were not resolved. (Source: Metro – United Kingdom)

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Europe

Russia
June 14, 2025 21:19 CEST  Among other things, Russian President Putin discussed the conflict between Iran and Israel during a 50-minute call with US President Trump today, top Kremlin aide Ushakov told state media outlet TASS. Putin condemned Israel’s attack on Iran and offered to mediate between the two countries. The Russian president made a similar offer to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu yesterday, according to a prior statement from the Kremlin. (Source: CNN - U.S.)

Saturday, 14 June 2025 11:58 AM EDT  Russian President Putin held separate talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Iranian President Pezeshkian following Israel's attack against Iran. When speaking to Netanyahu, per the Kremlin, Putin emphasized the importance of resuming the negotiations and resolving any issues pertaining to Iran's nuclear program exclusively via political and diplomatic means. In addition, the Russian leader expressed willingness to provide mediation so as to prevent further escalation. In his call with Pezeshkian, Putin stressed that Russia condemned Israel's actions, which had been carried out in violation of the UN Charter and international law. The Russian side has been fully supporting the efforts to resolve the situation around Iran's nuclear program peacefully and has proposed concrete initiatives aimed at reaching mutually acceptable agreements. The Kremlin also noted Russia's willingness to "resolving the current situation, which is fraught with the most disastrous consequences for the entire region'. Russia's Foreign Ministry, in a message posted to Telegram, further condemned Israel's attack, describing them as "Unprovoked military strikes against a sovereign UN member state." The foreign affairs office went on to criticize the attacks targeting Iran's citizens, sleeping peaceful cities and nuclear energy infrastructure are categorically unacceptable. "The international community cannot afford to turn a blind eye to such acts of aggression, which threaten peace and undermine both regional and global security,' the ministry added. 'What makes the situation especially cynical is that these Israeli attacks took place in the midst of an [International Atomic Energy Agency] Board of Governors session and just before another round of indirect talks between Iran and the United States.' (Source: Newsmax - U.S.)

June 14, 2025, 5:01 a.m. ET  In May, Russian forces seized roughly 173 square miles, more than double April’s gains, according to DeepState, a Ukrainian group that maps the conflict using combat footage. This spring, both sides have turned to motorcycles and civilian cars to quickly cross open terrain. Ukraine is using them to resupply its defensive lines, while Russia uses them in assaults. It’s a kind of renaissance of the cavalry. Russia is advancing around Kostyantynivka in the Donetsk region with small, fast-moving units. The first step is to try to isolate Kostyantynivka from multiple directions, in a semi-encirclement, isolating Ukrainian units while maintaining a narrow, hazardous corridor for retreat. The idea would be to advance eastward across the T-0504 road; northward from Toretsk; and westward from the hilltop town of Chasiv Yar. To the south, Russian forces are bogged down in urban fighting in Toretsk. They have been trying to capture Chasiv Yar for two years, since the nearby city of Bakhmut fell in the spring of 2023. So long as Chasiv Yar remains contested, Russia’s advance to Kostyantynivka will be slowed. West of Kostyantynivka lies Pokrovsk, also in the Donetsk region, where Russian forces are also pressing forward with superior manpower. Russian forces are closing in on Pokrovsk from several directions. Their efforts have recently shifted farther west, with some troops crossing the administrative border between the Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions. In some areas near Kostyantynivka, Russia has a manpower advantage of up to 20 to 1, Ukrainian commanders in the area say. Frontline airstrikes have intensified. At the start of May, Russia was carrying out 11 airstrikes a day. That pace has picked up to 17 in June. In recent months, Russian troops have captured at least a dozen villages in the northern Sumy region. Small assault groups, often just two or three Russian soldiers probe Ukrainian positions in waves. The terrain is full of ravines, movement is only possible on roads. Russian forces were seizing high ground north of Sumy and pushing toward dense forests that dominate the city’s northern and northeastern approaches. If Russia captures four villages - Khotyn, Yunakivka, Pysarivka, and Kyyanytsia - that would threaten the city of Sumy itself. If the battles shift into the forests, it could require additional infantry reinforcements from Ukraine, as drone surveillance becomes less effective. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)
by Varenikova; Sholudko and Diadchenko contributed

19:52, 14 Jun 2025  British fighter jets are being deployed to the Middle East 'to protect British military interests amid the spiralling Israel-Iran conflict, Prime Minister Keir Starmer says. The escalation came after Iranian state media said American, British and French military bases would be in the firing line if they blocked Iran's drone and missile retaliation. Military capabilities such as further refuelling aircraft and additional fast jets will be deployed in the wake of the threat – adding to British presence there under Operation Shader. Sir Keir Starmer's intervention comes after a diplomatic blitz by telephone in the last 48 hours to the leaders of the US, Saudi Arabia and Israel. ’And of course, all of this is linked to what's going on in Gaza’, the PM said. He will be holding intense negotiations face-to-face with fellow leaders at the G7 on Sunday in Canada. He refused to get into any detail on whether he knew about the Israel attack in advance. It added that Putin also informed Trump about the implementation of the agreements reached at the meeting between the Russian and Ukrainian delegations in Istanbul on June 2. Foreign Secretary Lammy had conversations with representatives from Iran, Jordan and Saudi Arabia as well as European foreign ministers yesterday. (Source: The U.S. Sun)

Asia

Iran
June 14, 2025 Following yesterday's attacks, Iran said it was withdrawing from the sixth round of nuclear negotiations that were due to take place in Oman tomorrow with US special Middle East envoy Witkoff. Tehran considered the dialogue with the US over the Iranian nuclear programme meaningless after Israel's biggest military strike yet, which it accused Washington of supporting. 'The other side [the US] acted in a way that makes dialogue meaningless. You cannot claim to negotiate and at the same time divide work by allowing the Zionist regime [Israel] to target Iran's territory,' the semi-official Tasnim news agency quoted foreign ministry spokesman Baghaei as saying. US President Trump told Reuters yesterday that he and his team had known the attacks were coming – and still believed there was room for an accord. 'We knew everything, and I tried to save Iran humiliation and death. I tried to save them very hard because I would have loved to have seen a deal worked out,' Mr Trump said. 'They can still work out a deal, however, it’s not too late.' Mr Trump said he had repeatedly pushed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to delay an attack to give diplomacy more time, though the US President himself had threatened to bomb Tehran if nuclear talks failed. (Source: The National - United Arab Emirates)

Saturday 14 June 2025 11:45 BST  Iran has warned the US, UK and France that their bases and ships in the region will be targeted if they help stop Tehran's strikes on Israel, Iran state media reported today. Yesterday, a US official said the country’s military had helped shoot down Iranian missiles that were headed toward Israel. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

(14 June 2025)  What if Israel succeeded in its long term aim of forcing the collapse of the Islamic revolutionary regime in Iran? Netanyahu claims his primary aim is to destroy Iran's nuclear capability. His broader aim involves regime change. He told in his statement yesterday "the proud” people of Iran that his attack was ’clearing the path for you to achieve your freedom’ from what he called their ’evil and oppressive regime’. Bringing down Iran's government what vacuum might it leave? What would civil conflict in Iran look like? Many can remember what happened to both Iraq and Libya when strong centralised government was removed. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

(14 June 2025)  What if the Israeli attack fails to destroy Iran's nuclear capability? What if Iran's nuclear facilities are too deep, too well protected? ’What if its 400kg of 60% enriched uranium’ – the nuclear fuel that is just a small step away from being fully weapons-grade, enough for ten bombs or so – is not destroyed? It's thought it may be hidden deep in secret mines. No bombs can destroy Iran's knowhow and expertise. What if Israel's attack convinces Iran's leadership that its only way of deterring further attacks is to race for nuclear capability as fast as it can? What if those new military leaders round the table are more headstrong and less cautious than their dead predecessors? At the very least, this could force Israel to further attacks, potentially binding the region into a continual round of strike and counter-strike. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

14/06/2025 - 08:36  Over the past year, Israel has been targeting Iran’s air defences, hitting a radar system for a Russian-made air defence battery in April 2024 and surface-to-air missile sites and missile manufacturing facilities in October. The first wave of strikes gave Israel significant 'freedom of movement' in Iran’s skies, clearing the way for further attacks, according to an Israeli military official. Sound of explosions and Iranian air defence systems firing at targets echoed across central Tehran shortly after midnight today. Iran’s semi-official Tasnim news agency reported a fire at Tehran’s Mehrabad International Airport. Black smoke could be seen rising into the air at Iran’s main nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz. UN nuclear chief Grossi told the Security Council that the above-ground section of the Natanz facility was destroyed. He said all the electrical infrastructure and emergency power generators were destroyed, as well as a section of the facility where uranium was enriched up to 60%, which is a short, technical step away from weapons-grade levels of 90%. The main centrifuge facility underground did not appear to have been hit, but the loss of power could have damaged the infrastructure there, he said. According to an Iranian news outlet close to the government that reported hearing explosions nearby, it also appeared to strike a second, smaller nuclear enrichment facility in Fordo, about 100 kilometres southeast of Tehran. Israel said it also struck a nuclear research facility in Isfahan, and said it destroyed dozens of radar installations and surface-to-air missile launchers in western Iran. Iran confirmed the strike at Isfahan. The Israeli military official said Israel is prepared for an operation that could last up to two weeks, but that there was no firm timeline. (Source: RFI - France)

14/06/2025 - 04:17  The Fars news agency said two projectiles hit Tehran's Mehrabad airport, and Iranian media said flames were reported there. Close to key Iranian leadership sites, the airport hosts an air force base with fighter jets and transport aircraft. Iran's UN envoy Iravani said 78 people, including senior military officials, were killed in Israel's strikes on Iran and more than 320 people were wounded, most of them civilians. Iran has long insisted its nuclear programme is for civilian purposes only. Tehran had been engaged in talks with the Trump administration on a deal to curb its nuclear programme to replace one that Trump abandoned in 2018. Tehran rejected the last US offer. The UN nuclear watchdog concluded this week that it was in violation of its obligations under the global non-proliferation treaty. (Source: France 24 "with Reuters", United Kingdom)

14.06.2025  The escalation casts doubt over the future of nuclear negotiations between Tehran and Washington, which were being mediated by Oman. The sixth round of indirect talks, scheduled for tomorrow, is now likely to be canceled, according to sources familiar with the matter. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Israel
19:52, 14 Jun 2025  Four waves of ballistic strikes: 7pm first Iranian stike on Tel Aviv; 7.30pm: Second wave of strikes on Tel Aviv; 11pm: Third wave of strike on Jerusalem; 3am: Forth vave of strikes on Tel Aviv. (Source: The U.S. Sun)

Jun 14, 2025 21:25 IST  Israel's air defences destroyed the majority of the Iranian ballistic missiles, but some did manage to make an impact on the ground. The most high-value target struck by Iran is the Israeli army headquarters, known as the Kiryat, in Tel Aviv, as per Fox News. At least three Israeli citizens lost their lives and dozens suffered injuries in overnight missile attacks today. Ramat Gan and Rishon LeZion were the worst-affected areas in central Israel. (Source: India Today)

June 14, 2025  Israel said it identified missiles launched from the Islamic Republic and reported explosions from interceptions and falling debris from projectiles. There was video of at least one large explosion in Tel Aviv, and reports of blasts across Jerusalem. An Iranian rocket has killed one person and injured more than 20 when it hit near homes in Rishon Lezion, south of Tel Aviv. A number of people were reported to be trapped under the rubble, it said. The extent to which Israel’s air defences were breached is unknown. US forces assisted by firing on Iranian missiles. (Source: The National - United Arab Emirates)

Saturday 14 June 2025 07:52, UK  How Iran's retaliatory attack on Israel unfolded? /Video/ (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)

14.06.25, 12:16 PM  The situation in West Asia remained tense today, as Iran retaliated against Israel using drones and multiple ballistic missile strikes. /Photo/ (Source: The Telegraph - India)

14/06/2025 - 08:36  Iran launched waves of missiles at Israel late Friday and early today. Explosions lit the night skies over Jerusalem and Tel Aviv and shook the buildings below. Israel’s military said more drones were intercepted near the Dead Sea early today. Hours later, an Iranian missile struck near homes in the central Israeli city of Rishon Lezion, killing two more people and wounding 19. Israel’s Fire and Rescue Service said four homes were severely damaged. Israel’s paramedic services said 34 people were wounded in the barrage on the Tel Aviv area. US ground-based air defence systems in the region were helping to shoot down Iranian missiles, said a US official. (Source: RFI - France)

14/06/2025 - 04:17  'In the last hour, dozens of missiles have been launched at the state of Israel from Iran, some of which were intercepted, the Israeli military said. It said rescue teams were operating at a number of locations across the country where fallen projectiles were reported, without commenting on casualties. The Fars news agency said Tehran launched a third wave of airstrikes on Saturday after two salvos on Friday night. In central Tel Aviv, a high-rise building was hit during a wave of the missile attacks, damaging the lower third of the structure, which stands in a densely populated urban area. An apartment block in nearby Ramat Gan was destroyed. Israel's ambulance service said 34 people were injured on Friday night in the Tel Aviv area, most with minor injuries. Police later said one person had died. Israel's military said Iran fired fewer than 100 missiles on Friday and that most were intercepted or fell short. Several buildings in and around Tel Aviv were hit. Israel's UN envoy Danon said intelligence had confirmed that within days Iran would have produced enough fissile material for multiple bombs. He called Israel's operation "an act of national preservation." (Source: France 24 "with Reuters", United Kingdom)

Jordan, Lebanon
08:16-14 June 2025  Jordan reopened its airspace at 7:30 a.m. (0530 GMT). Lebanon said it will reopen its airspace on Saturday at 10:00 am local time (0700 GMT). ((Source: Asharq Al Awsat - headquartered in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of Saudi royal family)

Persian Gulf
(14 June 2025)  If Iran failed to damage Israel's well-protected military and other targets, then it could always aim its missiles at softer targets in the Gulf, especially countries that Iran believes aided and abetted its enemies over the years. Remember Iran was accused of striking Saudi Arabia's oil fields in 2019 and its Houthi proxies hit targets in the UAE in 2022. There are lots of energy and infrastructure targets in the region. Since then there has been a reconciliation of sorts between Iran and some countries in the region. But these countries play host to US airbases. Some also – discreetly – helped defend Israel from Iranian missile attack last year. If in a worst-case scenario the Gulf were attacked, then it might demand American warplanes come to its defence as well as Israel's. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

North America

United States
10:36 PM CEST, June 14, 2025  The U.S. military parade in Washington, D.C. commemorates the U.S. Army’s 250th anniversary, which coincides with President Trump’s 79th birthday. Trump was in Washington for the military parade. (Source: Associated Press - U.S.)

United States
10:36 PM CEST, June 14, 2025  Thousands of demonstrators crowded into streets, parks and plazas across the U.S. today to protest President Trump, marching through downtowns and blaring anti-authoritarian chants mixed with support for protecting democracy and immigrant rights. Federal immigration enforcement raids began last week and Trump was ordering the National Guard and Marines to Los Angeles, where protesters blocked a freeway and set cars on fire. No Kings’ demonstrations across the US against immigration raids were planned in nearly 2,000 locations across the country, organizers said. The 50501 Movement is orchestrating the protests. (Source: Associated Press - U.S.)

June 14, 2025 22:35 CEST  US President Trump says he spoke with Putin for an hour, mostly about Israel-Iran conflict today. The US president said the leaders spoke about Iran and Israel’s tit-for-tat airstrikes at length and called for an end to the conflict. “President Putin called this morning to very nicely wish me a Happy Birthday, but to more importantly, talk about Iran, a country he knows very well,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post. Trump said both he and Putin agreed the Israel-Iran conflict should come to an end. “He feels, as do I, this war in Israel-Iran should end, to which I explained, his war should also end,” Trump said, referring to Russia’s war against Ukraine. (Source: CNN - U.S.)

Saturday, 14 June 2025 11:58 AM EDT  Ostensibly, Israel launched its attack in anticipation of President Trump announcing a deal on Iran's nuclear energy program. However, The Middle East Eye reports that the United States sent Israel 300 Hellfire missiles Tuesday prior to Israel's preemptive strike. 'Two U.S. officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity, told the publication that the transfer of the missiles suggests the Trump administration was well-informed of Israel's attack plans before its strike on Iran'. ’The situation appears to be developing toward a conflict drawing in the U.S. to aid Israel with military support’, with Russia backing Iran. (Source: Newsmax - U.S.)

14 June 2025 What is still unclear is how Trump will handle Israel’s rush to war despite his opposition. Netanyahu appears to have bet that facing Iran’s retaliation, Trump will come under immense, even irresistible, pressure from Israel’s many influential allies within the US not to leave it unprotected. Those calls are certainly already being made. And so Netanyahu has put Trump in a bind and, for now at least, put any potential US-Iran deal in jeopardy. Iran will not agree to dismantle its nuclear enrichment facilities completely, has made that clear repeatedly, including during the ongoing talks with the US. Israel had a long-running, well-planned intelligence operation running inside Iran, one that likely reached right into the upper echelons of the Iranian government. Once this campaign ends, a witch-hunt will commence in Iran to get at the root of what has been a colossal, embarrassing intelligence failure. Hitting back hard – particularly if that hit included American assets in the region -  would increase the probability that Trump will be forced to jump into the fray to defend Israel. That would make Iran’s military predicament far worse. We cannot dismiss the possibility that, from the outset, Trump may have approved, even if only with the equivalent of a wink and a nod, Netanyahu’s decision to strike Iran. The president may have calculated that an Israeli attack would have put pressure on Iran and forced it to accept a zero-enrichment agreement, which he could then take credit for - but without being seen as having colluded with Israel or having to participate in its war. Netanyahu has launched a war of choice, not of necessity, against a country that, though certainly a major adversary, was not taking any steps that suggested, even remotely, that it was gearing up to attack Israel. Seen thus, Netanyahu’s defense that Israel had no choice but to launch a preemptive attack - which means a response in advance to an enemy’s self-evident preparations to wage war - 'won’t play well internationally, including in Europe', particularly given the human toll that Israel’s war in Gaza continues to take. (Source: New Statesman - United Kingdom)
by Menon, a Spitzer Professor Emeritus of International Relations, City College of New York, and Senior Research Scholar, Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies

(14 June 2025) For all the US denials, Iran clearly believes American forces endorsed and at least tacitly supported Israel's attacks. Iran could strike US targets across the Middle East – such as special forces camps in Iraq, military bases in the Gulf, and diplomatic missions in the region. Iran's supportive militias in Iraq remain armed and intact. The US feared such attacks were a possibility and withdrew some personnel. In its public messaging, the US has warned Iran firmly of the consequences of any attack on American targets. A possible, worst-case scenario: If an American citizen were killed, say, in Tel Aviv or elsewhere, Trump might find himself forced to act. Trump promised his MAGA constituency he would not start any so-called ’forever wars’ in the Middle East. But equally many Republicans support both Israel's government and its view that now is the time to seek regime change in Tehran. Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long been accused of wanting to drag the US into helping him defeat Iran. Military analysts say only the US has the bombers and bunker-busting bombs that can penetrate the deepest of Iranian nuclear facilities, especially that of Fordow. But if America were to become an active combatant, that would represent a huge escalation with a long, potentially devastating consequential tail. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

08:21 14/06/2025, Saturday  Iran launched a retaliatory attack on Israel Friday night and the US is assisting in shooting down missiles targeting Israel, an American official confirmed yesterday. (Source: Yeni Şafak - Turkey)

International Atomic Energy Agency

Jun 14, 2025 21:25 IST  In testimony before the UN, the IAEA said the above-ground portion of the Natanz plant where Iran was producing uranium enriched up to 60 per cent, had 'been destroyed' and centrifuges may have been damaged. (Source: India Today)

Global

(14 June 2025)  There's a global economic shock - the price of oil is already soaring. What if Iran tried to close the Strait of Hormuz, further restricting the movement of oil? What if – on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula - the Houthis in Yemen redouble their efforts to attack shipping in the Red Sea? They are Iran's last remaining so-called proxy ally with a track record of unpredictability and high risk appetite. Many countries around the world are already suffering a cost of living crisis. A rising price of oil would add to inflation on a global economic system already creaking under the weight of Trump's tariff war. The one man who benefits from rising oil prices is President Putin of Russia who would suddenly see billions more dollars flood into Kremlin coffers. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)

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Asia

Iran
June 13, 2025 11:03 CET  Israel's attack on Iran stuns military but could empower Tehran's nuclear drive. (Source: Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty - U.S.)

Friday 13 June 2025 08:43, UK  'The moment people across the Middle East have feared but expected for years'. /Video/ (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)

Israel
Friday 13 June 2025 15:18, UK  IDF shows recreated video of Iran nuclear site at Natanz. /Video/ (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)

June 13 2025 15:07:02  "In light of recent developments, Israeli missions around the world will be closed and consular services will not be provided,' read a message posted by the country's embassies in France. Germany, Nigeria, Norway, Russia, Sweden, Ukraine, the United Kingdom and the United States. (Source: Hurryiet Daily News - Turkey)

Kuwait
June 13, 2025 | 02:32 PM  The State of Kuwait has expressed its strong condemnation and denunciation of the Israeli aggression against the Islamic Republic of Iran, describing it as a blatant violation of all international laws and conventions, a serious breach of Iranian sovereignty, and a threat to regional security and stability. (Source: Gulf Times - Qatar)

Turkey
13.06.2025  Turkish president Erdogan condemns Israel’s attacks on Iran, calling for international action. Erdogan said the Netanyahu government’s ’reckless, lawless and aggressive actions’ risk plunging the Middle East and the world into disaster. He reiterated that they "do not want to see more bloodshed, destruction, or conflict’ in the region. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

North America

United States
13.06.2025  Speaking to ABC News on the phone, Trump spoke with apparent enthusiasm about the attacks.'I think it's been excellent,' Trump said. "We gave them a chance and they didn't take it. They got hit hard, very hard. They got hit about as hard as you're going to get hit. And there's more to come. A lot more.' ​​​​​​​Asked if the US had taken part in the attack in any way, Trump declined to answer, saying: "I don't want to comment on that." (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

June 13, 2025 7:49AM ET  President Trump 'acknowledged in a social media post that he gave Israel the go-ahead to attack Iran, going against claims from his own administration officials'. The president's 5:56 a.m. EST post on Truth Social – I told them, in the strongest of words, to 'just do it' – contradicted secretary of state Rubio's statement from just hours before saying the strike was a 'unilateral action'. (Source: Raw Story - U.S.)

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Europe

Russia
June 13, 2025 7:44 AM  Russia responds to Israel’s strikes on Iran: ‘Full-scale war’ possible. Kosachev, vice-speaker of Russia's upper house of parliament, made clear that Russia would stand by its ally, Iran. (Source: Miami Herald - U.S.)

10:58 am, June 13, 2025  Kremlin ‘strongly condemns sharp escalation’ following Israeli airstrikes on Iran. (Source: Meduza - headquartered in Riga, Latvia)

13 June 2025 - 12:45  Russia said today Israeli strikes on Iran were unprovoked and in breach of the UN charter, accusing Israel of wrecking diplomatic efforts to strike a deal to allay Western concerns about Tehran's nuclear programme. (Source: TimesLive - South Africa)

United Kingdom
JUN 13, 2025 11:00 AM CET  UK defence sources say there aren’t any UK plans to help protect Israel. Clearly this could change throughout the course of day. Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s and Foreign Minister Lammy’s statements are urging restraint and deescalation. A British government spokesperson noted that the U.K. did not play a part in the military action in Iran and that British nationals should monitor official travel advisories. (Source: Time – U.S.)

Africa

Egypt
13.06.2025 Egypt condemned the Israeli military attack and warned against the possible unprecedented repercussions on the security and the stability of the Middle East. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

 Asia

Iran
June 13, 2025  The Iranian Supreme Leader has temporarily appointed General Sayyari as the new commander of the Iranian armed forces. General Vahidi has been appointed as the new commander-in-chief of the Revolutionary Guards. (Source: Daily Ausaf - Pakistan)

13/06/2025 - 09:07  Iran's Revolutionary Guards chief Salami, 65, an outspoken and hardline critic of Israel, a veteran officer close to supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei was killed today in Israeli strikes targeting Iran's nuclear sites and top commanders. Salami rose through the ranks, being promoted to the top job in 2019 to become head of the Guards' aerospace division, and was placed on Washington's sanctions blacklist. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps force is now 125,000-strong, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies. Salami repeatedly alluded to calls for Israel to be wiped from the map. (Source: France24 „with AFP”)

08:54 13/06/2025, Friday  'The Zionist regime has committed a crime in our dear country today at dawn with its satanic, bloodstained hands,' Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei said on X, saying that Israel 'has revealed its malicious nature even more than before by targeting residential areas. ''By God's grace, the powerful arm of the Islamic Republic's Armed Forces won't let them go unpunished,' he said. (Source: Yeni Şafak - Turkey)

08:50 13/06/2025, Friday  Israel launched a large-scale, sweeping military operation against Iran today, with 200 planes targeting its nuclear program, facilities and long-range missile capabilities. Six nuclear scientist were killed in latest Israeli attack in Iran. The semi-official Tasnim news agency identified the assassinated scientists as Minouchehr, Zolfaghari, Faqhi, Motablizadeh, Tehranchi, and Abbasi. (Source: Yeni Şafak - Turkey)

June 13, 2025 - 13:34:05  Israel carried out strikes on Iran today, targeting its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. Iranian media and witnesses reported explosions including at the country's main uranium enrichment facility at Natanz. An Israeli military official said Israel was striking ’dozens’ of nuclear and military targets including the facility at Natanz in central Iran. The official said Iran had enough material to make 15 nuclear bombs within days. The United States said it had no part in the operation in the Middle East, a major oil producing region. Israeli military Chief of Staff Zamir said tens of thousands of soldiers had been called up and "prepared across all borders". Israeli Minister Saar was holding "marathon of calls" with counterparts around the world regarding Israel's attack on Iran, the foreign ministry said in a statement. Iran's armed forces spokesperson said Israel and its chief ally the United States would pay a ’heavy price’ for the attack, accusing Washington of providing support for the operation. While the US tried to distance itself from Israel's military operation, an Israeli official told public broadcaster Kan that Israel had coordinated with Washington on Iran. US Secretary of State Rubio said the United States was not involved in the strikes and Tel Aviv had acted unilaterally for self-defence. "We are not involved in strikes against Iran and our top priority is protecting American forces in the region," Rubio said in a statement. The attacks triggered sharp falls in stock prices in Asian trade on Friday, led by a selloff in US futures. Oil prices jumped as investors scurried to safe havens such as gold and the Swiss franc. The Israeli military said today that it was forced to act based on new intelligence information showing that Iran was ’approaching the point of no return’ in the development of a nuclear weapon. ’In recent months, this program has accelerated significantly, bringing the regime significantly closer to obtaining a nuclear weapon,’ it said in a statement, without disclosing the purported evidence. A source familiar with US intelligence reports said there had been no recent change in the US intelligence assessment that Iran was not building a nuclear weapon and that Khamenei had not authorised the restarting of the nuclear weapons programme that was shuttered in 2003. (Source: The Korea Herald - South Korea / Reuters - United Kingdom)

Jun 13, 2025  This is the first time Israel has decided to go after Iran’s atomic facilities, which it views as an existential threat, with airstrikes. Israel launched airstrikes across Iran today morning, targeting nuclear facilities and killing senior military commanders in a major escalation that could spark a broad war in the Middle East. Explosions were heard across Tehran, Natanz - home to a key atomic site - and other cities. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel, which used 200 air force planes and said it hit around 100 targets, had ’struck at the heart of Iran’s nuclear enrichment program.’ The head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Salami, and the military’s chief of staff, Bagheri, were both killed. At least two other senior IRGC members also died. The United Nations’ atomic watchdog said there were no indications of increased radiation levels at Iran’s main uranium-enrichment site of Natanz, an early sign that the strikes have not penetrated the containment layers protecting the Islamic Republic’s nuclear stockpile. Still, Israel pledged more attacks, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu saying they ’will continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat.’ Iran immediately vowed to retaliate against Israel and, possibly, U.S. assets in the Middle East. According to Israel, Iran sent a wave of drones toward the Jewish state, a journey which typically takes several hours. Jordan said it intercepted some of them over its airspace. So far, there are no signals that Iran is preparing to launch ballistic missiles, which travel much faster than drones. Some 50 injured civilians were transferred to one hospital in Tehran. A number of residential buildings in the capital’s suburbs were attacked by Israel. Iran hasn’t yet released an official death toll. Netanyahu said the opening strikes were ’very successful’. adding that Israelis would need to prepare for a retaliation and prepare to spend long periods in shelters. Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei said Israel should ’expect a severe response from Iran’s armed forces.’ Netanyahu’s government ordered the strikes in apparent defiance of U.S. President Trump, who had said yesterday he didn’t want Israel to attack Iran. The U.S. was not involved in Israel’s strikes, Secretary of State Rubio said. He warned Iran against targeting U.S. interests or personnel in retaliation. Republican politicians refrained from criticizing Israel and largely said the country was provoked by Iran. Trump said his administration remained "committed to a Diplomatic Resolution to the Iran Nuclear Issue!” Trump had also suggested he didn’t think an attack was imminent. Hours after the strikes, Trump told Fox News he was aware of Israel’s action before they happened and that he hoped Iran would continue negotiating a nuclear deal. "Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb and we are hoping to get back to the negotiating table,” Trump said to Fox. "We will see. There are several people in leadership that will not be coming back.’ The U.S. and Iran countries were meant to meet for their next round of nuclear talks on Sunday in Oman. The U.S. - along with Israel - argues that Iran must not be allowed to enrich uranium, while Tehran had said it must retain that right. The Islamic Republic says it needs to process uranium, at least to a low level, for civilian purposes such as fueling nuclear power plants. Israel closed its airspace until further notice, while Iran halted operations at its main airport in Tehran. While Iran said its oil refineries and storage tanks weren’t damaged, Brent crude was up by 4.9% to $72.75 a barrel as of 3:25 p.m. in Singapore. Oil surged around 13%, though later pared its gains, while investors bought haven assets such as U.S. Treasuries and gold. (Source: The Japan Times / Bloomberg)

Iraq
13 June 2025 2:59 pm  The Iraq news agency released a statement stating: The ministry of transport closes Iraqi airspace and suspends air traffic at all Iraqi airports. According to the data released by Flightradar24, several airlines have cleared out of the airspace over Iran, Iraq, Israel and Jordan. (Source: Outlook - India)

Israel
Jun 13, 2025 11:00 AM CET  A number of moves have been made within Israel in seeming preparation for an attack, including the cancellation of a Pride parade scheduled for today in Tel Aviv. Israeli authorities instructed all hospitals to move their services to protected areas and underground facilities, and they asked the public to only come to hospitals for urgent cases. Hadassah Hospital in Jerusalem is in full emergency mode, and it is releasing patients whose conditions permit as well as cancelling non-urgent operations. Israel Manufacturers Association president Dr. Tomer said essential industries will continue to operate throughout any potential emergency so that supplies will be available to the public throughout the country at any given moment. He warned against hoarding, saying there is no need to storm the shelves, in an effort to prevent shortages of foods, medicines, and other essential products. Israeli airline Israir, as well as airlines Arkia and El Al, will evacuate and relocate its aircraft from the Ben Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv as part of a contingency plan developed in recent days. Israel’s National Security Council warned Israelis overseas to take precautions as ’terrorist elements will seek to carry out acts of revenge against Israeli and Jewish targets around the world.’ Around 9:30 a.m. in Tel Aviv (2:30 a.m. ET), an IDF official told the media that Israel’s military had begun to shoot down Iranian drones. About two hours later, the IDF said that it had “control over the situation,” though it did not specify at the time whether it had shot down all the drones. (Source: Time – U.S.)

13.06.2025  Israel completely closed its airspace due to retaliatory drone strikes from Ira and suspended flight operations at Ben Gurion International Airport, which is expected to remain closed for three to four days, Yedioth Ahronoth reported, citing Israeli military sources. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Friday, 13 June 2025 07:22 AM EDT  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu made his case before his people and the world in a seven-minute video explaining his reasoning for striking at Iran's nuclear weapons program, killing senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps leaders and six nuclear scientists. 'Iran is now working on what it calls 'the new plan' to destroy Israel.' 'The increasing range of Iran's ballistic missiles would bring that nuclear nightmare to the cities of Europe, and eventually to America. 'Remember: Iran calls Israel the 'Small Satan.' It calls America the 'Great Satan.' And this is why, for decades, it's led millions in the chants of 'Death to Israel' and 'Death to America.' 'Today, Israel is responding to those genocidal calls with action, and with a call of our own: Long live Israel, and long live America. Our action will help make the world a much safer place,' he said. /Video/ (Source: Newsmax - U.S.)

June 13, 2025 12:06 pm CET  Danon, Israeli ambassador to the U.N., said today morning that last night’s wide-ranging attack was a result of intelligence suggesting that Iran was moving forward with plans to destroy Israel. 'For years and years there were threats coming from Iran, to destroy Israel, to destroy the U.S., but we gathered the intelligence that they’re actually moving forward,' Danon told, adding that Israel realized Iran was going to implement nuclear capabilities, ballistic missiles and attacks through Iranian proxies in the region. 'They were going to initiate another attack like October 7th. Once we gathered the information about that, we decided not to wait. We believed their intentions,' Danon said. The ambassador said Israel took precautions to minimize casualties among Iran’s civilian population. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

June 13, 2025 / 3:46 AM EDT  Israel Defense Forces (IDF) spokesman Brigadier General Defin said in televised remarks today that Iran had launched more than 100 drones and that Israel's air defenses were already "working to intercept the threats." Israeli media said the first Iranian drones were expected to reach the country's airspace around noon local time, which would be about 4 a.m. Eastern, but the IDF confirmed it was already targeting approaching drones outside Israeli airspace amid reports of air raid sirens and possible interceptions in Saudi Arabia and Jordan. The IDF said its operation would continue for days, but that the first wave consisted of 200 Israeli fighter jets dropping over 330 different munitions, to hit more than 100 targets in Iran. /Video/ (Source: CBS News - U.S.)

Jun 12, 2025, 08:17 PM EDT  Israel attacks Iran's nuclear and missile sites and kills top military officials. President Trump urged Tehran to reach a deal with Washington on its nuclear program, warning that Israel’s attacks will only get worse. (Source: Huffpost - U.S.)

Jordan
JUN 13, 2025 11:00 AM CET  Jordanian state media reported that its Air Force jets and air defense systems intercepted ’several missiles and drones’ that entered its airspace today morning, adding that these were intercepted “based on military assessments indicating that the missiles and drones were likely to fall within Jordanian territory, including populated areas, posing a potential threat to civilian safety.’ (Source: Time – U.S.)

Persian Gulf
Friday 13 June 2025 08:14, UK  'If the Persian Gulf becomes a battlefield we will all feel the consequences' - 'Iran's retaliation may involve attacks not just on Israeli and US assets but allies and oil installations in the Persian Gulf'. 'So expect the following: Israel continues striking Iran; Iran hits back with all it can; America is forced to help defend Israel; Iran hits both Israel, the US and possibly US allies.' Explosions in Tehran as Israel strikes Iran. /Video/ (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)

Qatar, United Arab Emirates
13.06.2025  Arab countries denounced today Israel’s latest military strikes on Iran after Israel launched a sweeping military operation against Iran early today, with 200 planes targeting its nuclear program and long-range missile capabilities. Senior military officials and nuclear scientists were killed in the attack. Qatar, the United Arab Emirates strongly condemned Israel’s targeting of Iran and expressed deep concern over the ongoing escalation and its repercussions on regional security and stability. The State of Qatar expresses its strong condemnation and denunciation of the Israeli aggression that targeted the territory of 'the brotherly Islamic Republic of Iran', a Foreign Ministry statement said. The UAE Foreign Ministry stressed the need to exercise the utmost self-restraint and judgment to mitigate risks and prevent the expansion of the conflict. It urged the use of diplomatic means to resolve regional disputes over military confrontations and called on the UN to take immediate measures. Palestinian group Hamas stated its firm denunciation of the large-scale aggression. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Saudi Arabia
08:02-13 June 2025  Netanyahu, a former member of an elite special forces unit responsible for some of Israel’s most daring hostage rescues, has dominated its politics for decades, becoming the longest-serving prime minister when he won an unprecedented sixth term in 2022. The past two years have upended the Middle East, with Israel hammering Hamas after it launched a massive surprise attack of its own against Israel in October 2023, and then dismantling much of Hezbollah in just a few days in 2024. Israel has also sparred openly with Tehran since 2024, firing rocket salvos deep into Iran last year that gave Netanyahu confidence in the power of his military reach. The strikes disabled four of Iran's Russian-made air-defense systems, including one positioned near Natanz, a key Iranian nuclear site that was targeted. ’Iran is more exposed than ever to strikes on its nuclear facilities’, Defense Minister Katz said in November. On Friday, after two decades of continually raising the alarm and urging other world leaders to act, Netanyahu finally decided to go it alone, authorizing an Israeli air assault’ aimed, Israel says, at preventing Iran from obtaining weapons of mass destruction. Nearly a century ago, facing the Nazis, a generation of leaders failed to act in time, Netanyahu said in an address to the nation, adding that a policy of appeasing Nazi dictator Adolf Hitler had led to the deaths of 6 million Jews, ’a third of my people". ’Well, never again is now today. Israel has shown that we have learned the lessons of history." Much to the consternation of Netanyahu, newly installed US President Trump blindsided him during a visit to the White House in April, when he announced the United States and Iran were poised to begin direct nuclear talks. Netanyahu had hoped that Trump would continue to take an uncompromising stance against Iran when he returned to office this year. In announcing talks, the White House set a two-month deadline for Iran to sign a deal. Even though a fresh round of meetings was set for this weekend, the unofficial deadline expired yesterday and Netanyahu pounced. One Israeli official told state broadcaster Kan that Israel had coordinated with Washington ahead of the attacks and suggested recent newspaper reports of a rift between Trump and Netanyahu over Iran had been a ruse to lull the Tehran leadership into a false sense of security. Trump, who said after the strikes began that Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb but that he wants talks to proceed, has previously hailed the right-wing Netanyahu as a great friend. The man once known as King Bibi to his supporters has faced a difficult few years and at 75, time is running out for him to secure his legacy. He has subsequently been indicted by the International Criminal Court over possible war crimes tied to Israel's 20-month invasion of Gaza, which has reduced much of the Palestinian territory to rubble. He rejects the charges against him. Polls show most Israelis believe the war in Gaza has gone on for too long, with Netanyahu dragging out the conflict to stay in power and stave off elections that pollsters say he will lose. ’However, he hopes a successful military campaign against Israel's arch foe will secure his place in the history books’ he so loves to read. ’Generations from now, history will record that our generation stood its ground, acted in time and secured our common future. May God bless Israel. May God bless the forces of civilization, everywhere," he said in Friday's speech. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - headquartered in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of Saudi royal family)

Turkey
13.06.2025  Vice President Yilmaz condemned Israel’s overnight attack on Iran, calling it a barbaric act that disregards humanitarian values and diplomacy. We strongly condemn the Netanyahu administration’s aggression, which lacks any legitimate basis and ’is intended to destabilize the region,’ he said on X. Turkish Parliament Speaker Kurtulmus said it is clear that the attacks will not be limited to Iran. Altun, head of Türkiye’s Communications Directorate, said the international community’s silence over Israel’s assault on Gaza has turned the situation into one that threatens regional stability and global peace. Israel's strikes can have no legitimacy or justification, said Celik, spokesman of Türkiye’s ruling Justice and Development (AK) Party. This is barbaric aggression, he wrote on X. Amid rising international pressure against the genocidal campaign in Gaza, Israel has once again launched a new attack to divert attention from its genocide, Celik said. He said that Israel's attack while negotiations between the US and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program are ongoing ’has once again shown that Israel is hostile to all diplomatic efforts.’ Israeli aggression is a threat to the entire world, Celik said. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

North America

United States
Friday 13 June 2025 11:12 BST  President Trump has said that the United States will help to defend Israel “if needed” after its wave of airstrikes against Iran on Thursday night provoked a retaliatory drone attack by Tehran. “Iran cannot have a nuclear bomb, and we are hoping to get back to the negotiating table. We will see,” Trump told Fox. “There are several people in leadership that will not be coming back.' The president made the comment in a private phone call with Fox News host Baier, who was adding that Trump had been aware of Israel’s pre-dawn raid before it commenced but that the U.S. had played no part in it. The president has since taken to Truth Social to say: “I gave Iran chance after chance to make a deal. I told them, in the strongest of words, to ‘just do it,’ but no matter how hard they tried, no matter how close they got, they just couldn’t get it done. “I told them it would be much worse than anything they know, anticipated, or were told, that the United States makes the best and most lethal military equipment anywhere in the World, by far, and that Israel has a lot of it, with much more to come - And they know how to use it. “Certain Iranian hardliner’s spoke bravely, but they didn’t know what was about to happen. They are all dead now, and it will only get worse! There has already been great death and destruction, but there is still time to make this slaughter, with the next already planned attacks being even more brutal, come to an end.' He concluded: “Iran must make a deal, before there is nothing left, and save what was once known as the Iranian Empire. No more death, no more destruction, Just do it, before it is too late. God Bless You All!” Earlier in the day, shortly before the bombing campaign began, Trump had abruptly left a White House picnic for members of Congress without suggesting anything was wrong. The president will attend a National Security Council meeting at 11 am ET today morning to discuss the latest tensions in the Middle East. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

June 13, 2025 04:44  Iran could activate sleeper cells inside US and Israel after attack, expert warns. /Video/ (Source: Fox News - U.S.)

June 13, 2025 04:27  US forces in defensive posture to protect American targets from potential Iranian retaliation. Retired Air Force Brigadier Gen. Teichert breaks down how the U.S. military plans to protect personnel abroad from a potential Iranian retaliation after Israel's attacks. /Video/ (Source: Fox News - U.S.)

June 13, 2025  How war between Iran and Israel could escalate - and drag in the United States: A conversation with Shapiro. (Source: Foreign Affairs - U.S.)

(Friday), June 13, 2025 8:15 AM GMT+2  Trump had repeatedly pushed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu not to attack Iran, though the president himself had threatened to bomb the Gulf nation if nuclear talks failed. Trump's 'peacemaker' pledge takes big hit - U.S. ally Israel struck dozens of Iranian targets in a dramatic and multi-faceted attack on Thursday that analysts say threatens to eventually spiral into an all-out regional war. Israel has indicated that it has targeted several Iranian leaders in the bombing campaign, which is expected to continue in coming days. While Israel could probably do extensive damage, experts say a more lasting blow would require U.S. military assistance, which U.S. officials said was not provided. Analysts doubt in particular the ability of Israel to destroy Iran's Fordow enrichment plant, which is buried deep underground. (Source: Reuters - United Kingdom)

June 13, 2025 03:22  U.S. Navy Association executive director Lt. Cmd. Rogers (Ret.) analyzes tensions in the Middle East following an Israeli strike on Iran on Fox News Live. /Video/ (Source: Fox News - U.S.)

International Atomic Energy Agency

June 13, 2025 / 3:46 AM EDT  The United Nations' nuclear watchdog agency, the IAEA, said in a series of social media posts that its Director General Grossi had been in contact with Iranian authorities today who told him the country's highly-sensitive and highly-secured Fordo nuclear site "has not been impacted" by the Israeli strikes. The IAEA also said Iran's "Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant has not been targeted and that no increase in radiation levels has been observed at the Natanz site." (Source: CBS News - U.S.)

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Europe

Germany
11.06.2025  26% of immigrants - approximately 2.6 million people - consider leaving Germany. ’The main reasons include political dissatisfaction, discrimination in the workplace and during interactions with authorities, high tax burden, and bureaucratic hurdles’. Family considerations and ’better economic prospects in other countries’ are additional factors driving this trend - around 1.2 million (12%) plan to stay temporarily,. while approximately 3 million (30%) are unsure. Approximately 300,000 (3%) already having concrete emigration plans. The EU’s largest economy is currently grappling with an aging population and a substantial shortage of qualified workers in the information technology, renewable energy, construction, and medical sectors. The study found that knowledge-intensive sectors - particularly IT, financial services, and insurance - were most affected, with 30 to 39% of surveyed migrants in these fields indicating they might leave Germany. A slim majority of immigrants (57%, or roughly 5.7 million people) want to stay in Germany permanently. "Those who immigrated for work or education, who have higher education levels, greater economic success, and better language integration, are more likely to consider leaving or have concrete emigration plans," explained IAB researcher Olbrich. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

European Union
12 Jun 2025 2025  European Heritage Awards winners announced. (Source: European Commission)

Ukraine
June 12, 2025  The June 10 attack. In the early hours of June 10, Kyiv experienced a prolonged aerial assault involving more than 300 drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles. The attack lasted for five hours, took place across seven of the capital’s ten districts, featured a combined total of 315 aerial threats and was launched in waves throughout the early morning hours to overwhelm the capital’s air defense systems through sheer volume and tactical diversity, designed to exhaust interceptor stockpiles and exploit gaps in radar coverage. The attack inflicted significant destruction on Ukrainian infrastructure. The drones used in the attack were primarily, the Iranian-made Shahed-136 and Shahed-131 loitering munitions. Russia also launched Iskander-M ballistic missiles and probably Kh-101 air-launched cruise missiles. Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence announced that it had intercepted 277 out of the 315 aerial threats. The defense network consists of many Western systems, including the IRIS-T, NASAM, and Patriot missiles, as well as legacy Soviet systems such as the S-300. Key infrastructure, including Kyiv’s power grid and major hospitals, remained operational throughout the attack. Repeated attacks of this scale will deplete missile defense stockpiles faster than they can be replenished. (Source: The National Interest - U.S.)

Africa

South Africa
(Wednesday), 11 Jun 2025  Torrential rain, flooding and landslides claim 49 lives in South Africa’s Eastern Cape province, which stretches from the Indian Ocean into high inland mountains, after the severe winter storm truck on Monday with heavy rainfall, snowfalls and strong winds causing damage. (Source: The Guardian – Nigeria)

Asia

India
8:38 PM CEST, June 12, 2025  One passenger survived the crash of an Air India plane bound for London today in Ahmedabad. Air India said the flight bound for London Gatwick Airport was carrying 242 passengers and crew, with 169 Indians, 53 Britons, seven Portuguese and one Canadian aboard. The death toll includes medical students who were in a college hostel when the plane hit the building shortly after takeoff. It appeared the aircraft had its nose up and was not climbing. This is the first crash of a Boeing 787 Dreamliner twin-engine aircraft introduced in 2009. Shares of Boeing Co. tumbled nearly 9% before trading opened in the U.S. (Source: AP - U.S.) 

Iran
12 June 2025 - 10:43  Where are Iran's nuclear facilities? Busher, Fordow, Isfahan, Khondab, Natanz, Tehran Research Centre. A complex at the heart of Iran's enrichment programme on a plain abutting mountains outside the Shiite Muslim holy city of Qom, south of Tehran, Natanz houses two enrichment plants: the vast, underground Fuel Enrichment Plant (FEP) and the above-ground Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant (PFEP). The FEP was built for enrichment on a commercial scale, able to house 50,000 centrifuges. About 16,000 centrifuges are installed there, roughly 13,000 of which are in operation, refining uranium to up to 5% purity. FEP is about three floors below ground. Damage has been done to centrifuges at the FEP, including an explosion and power cut in April 2021 that Iran said was an attack by Israel. The above-ground PFEP houses only hundreds of centrifuges but Iran is enriching to up to 60% purity there. Fordow, on the opposite side of Qom is an enrichment site dug into a mountain and therefore probably better protected from potential bombardment than the FEP. The 2015 deal with major powers did not allow Iran to enrich at Fordow at all. It now has about 2,000 centrifuges operating there, most of them advanced IR-6 machines, of which up to 350 are enriching to up to 60%. Isfahan, Iran's second largest city has a large nuclear technology centre on the outskirts. It includes the Fuel Plate Fabrication Plant (FPFP) and the uranium conversion facility (UCF) that can process uranium into the uranium hexafluoride that is fed into centrifuges. Iran also stores enriched uranium at Isfahan. There is equipment to make uranium metal, a process that is particularly proliferation-sensitive since it can be used to devise the core of a nuclear bomb. The IAEA has said there are machines for making centrifuge parts at Isfahan, describing it in 2022 as a new location. In Khondab Iran has a partially built heavy-water research reactor originally called Arak. Heavy-water reactors pose a nuclear proliferation risk because they can easily produce plutonium which, like enriched uranium, can be used to make the core of an atom bomb. Under the 2015 deal, construction was halted, the reactor's core was removed and filled with concrete to make it unusable. The reactor was to be redesigned “to minimise the production of plutonium and not to produce weapon-grade plutonium in normal operation”. Iran has informed the IAEA that it plans to start operating the reactor in 2026. Iran's nuclear research facilities in Tehran include a research reactor. Iran's only operating nuclear power plant in Busher, on the Gulf coast, uses Russian fuel that Russia then takes back when it is spent, reducing the proliferation risk. (Source: TimesLive - South Africa)

June 12, 2025  Iran has rejected the latest U.S. nuclear proposal. Supreme Leader Khamenei dismissed calls to halt uranium enrichment, calling them contrary to Iran’s national interests. “Who are you to decide whether Iran should have enrichment?” Khamenei said. U.S. President Trump has threatened military action if negotiations fail. His envoy, Witkoff, called Iranian uranium enrichment a red line. Javan Daily, the newspaper affiliated with the Revolutionary Guards reported that Iran is prepared to walk away from nuclear negotiations if its demands are not met. It claimed Iran is negotiating from a position of strength, with its nuclear capabilities serving as a deterrent against threats. (Source: IranWire - owned by a UK-based company, registered office address: London, United Kingdom)

June 12, 2025  The U.S. anticipates potential retaliation from Iran, particularly against American sites in Iraq, where pro-Iranian militias previously attacked the embassy in Baghdad following the 2020 killing of Iranian commander Soleimani. The Islamic Republic's Defense Minister warned yesterday that Tehran would target all American bases in the region if a conflict were to erupt. ’We will target all American bases in host countries without hesitation.’ He added that Iran would not remain passive and would retaliate decisively against any aggression. (Source: IranWire - owned by a UK-based company, registered office address: London, United Kingdom)

12 June 2025, 10:03  The 6th round of Iran US talks will be held in Muscat this Sunday the 15th, Oman's foreign minister Busaidi made the announcement on the social platform X. Within hours, it also emerged that Israel is now understood to be considering military action against Iran in the coming days. Sources have told US media a strike could be imminent as Washington and Tehran move closer to agreeing provisions for uranium enrichment. Israel views that as unacceptable as it aims to curb Iran's nuclear capabilities. An accord could see the US lift some of its crushing economic sanctions on Iran in exchange for it drastically limiting or ending its enrichment of uranium. A failure to get a deal could see tensions further spike in a Middle East on edge over the Israel-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip. (Source: LBC – United Kingdom)

North America

United States
12 June 2025  With Israel preparing to strike Iran quickly if Witkoff's diplomacy fails this weekend, U.S. fears Iran's response to Israeli strike would be mass casualty event. Last Thursday, President Trump's envoy Witkoff held a closed-door briefing on Iran with a group of top Senate Republicans. Witkoff told the Senators that military strikes by Israel are on the table if no agreement is reached. He then brought up Iran's ballistic missile capabilities. Witkoff warned that Iran could unleash a mass casualty response and damage if Israel bombs their nuclear facilities. The U.S. is concerned Israel's air defenses would not be able to handle an Iranian response involving hundreds of missiles. According to U.S. intelligence estimates, Iran has 2,000 ballistic missiles with warheads that can carry 2,000 pounds of explosives or more. Israel is within range for many of these missiles. An U.S. official said the Iranian goal is to produce more ballistic missiles than the number of missile defense interceptors Israel has. Iran's retaliation could overwhelm Israel's defenses and cause heavy damage, he said. Iran has also vowed to strike U.S. targets in the region in the event of an attack on its nuclear sites. Testifying today before the House Armed Services Committee, CENTCOM commander Gen. Kurilla said an Israeli strike on Iran would expose U.S. forces in the Middle East to the threat of Iranian retaliation. Gen. Kurilla is no longer expected to travel to Israel this weekend. The U.S. is in the process of withdrawing diplomats and military families who could be in harm's way. The State Department imposed security restrictions today on U.S. diplomats and their families in Israel. Israeli officials say the Israel Defense Forces are on high alert. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ’has been waiting for a green light from Trump to make his move’. ’The fact that two previous Iranian missile attacks ended with limited damage and few casualties gave Israeli officials confidence they could deal with similar attacks in the future’. Israel's security cabinet will convene today to discuss the crisis. Witkoff spoke yesterday with Netanyahu about the rising tensions, and will meet his top adviser Dermer tomorrow, ahead of his trip to Oman, along with Mossad director Barnea. Trump stressed today that he wants to avoid conflict but said that will require concessions that Iran has been unwilling to make. Trump added that he still wants a deal and would prefer Israel not do anything to ruin it so long as there's a chance. (Source: Axios - U.S.)

12.06.2025  Sources with knowledge of the situation said that Israel views any nuclear agreement between the US and Iran, particularly if it allows Tehran to enrich uranium, as unacceptable. The sources, however, said they were unaware of any US plans for direct involvement in any possible Israeli strike against Iran. While the US demands a complete halt to enrichment, Iranian negotiators insist the program is non-negotiable and will continue with or without a deal. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Jun 12, 2025, 5:20pm GMT+2  The White House and Congress will need to make hard decisions about how America sees its vast migrant workforce. Even the most dedicated restrictionists, like White House border czar Homan, acknowledge that criminals are a tiny minority. The Trump administration is planning to ramp up civil and criminal prosecutions of companies that employ workers without legal status, Homan said in an interview yesterday. “They’re coming here for a better life and a job, and I get that,” Homan said. “The more you remove those magnets, the less people are going to come. If they can’t get a job most of them aren’t going to come.” Behind the scenes, American companies are freaking out, calling in a panic about the possibility of civil and criminal sanctions, or about the operational impact of losing a huge labor force, said Thomas, a partner at Holland & Hart, who represents employers in immigration cases. Trump appeared to respond to those worries today morning: “Our great Farmers and people in the Hotel and Leisure business have been stating that our very aggressive policy on immigration is taking very good, long time workers away from them, with those jobs being almost impossible to replace,” he posted on Truth Social, promising that changes are coming. Major public companies have begun to warn investors that their models depend on migrant labor. Unlike most developed economies, the US has no standardized national requirement that employers use its system for checking workers’ papers, known as eVerify - and many workers evade that system by using a different legal worker’s identity. Almost a quarter of construction workers lack legal status, a 2021 survey found, and as many as half of meatpacking workers. A focus on those industries could also undercut two of Trump’s campaign promises: to make housing more affordable and bring down food prices. While cameras roll for dramatic deportation footage, the industries dependent on illegal migration are maintaining business as usual. “Congress has a job to do,” Homan said. “We’re going to do worksite enforcement operations until there’s a deal made.” Democrats may also see employers, rather than workers, at the center of the debate. The prospect of a bipartisan agreement seems as remote as ever. The US has struggled for decades to reach an agreement to regularize the “magnet” of migration, a tacit agreement system. “I truly believe that nobody hires an illegal alien from the goodness of their heart. They hire them because they can work them harder, pay them less, and undercut their competition - that hires US citizen employees, and drive wages down,” he told. (Source: Semafor – U.S.)

06/12/25 10:34 AM ET  The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) published a new poster online featuring World War II imagery, urging citizens to help locate and report immigrants who are in the country without documentation. Help your country and yourself, reads the poster, which shows Uncle Sam with a hammer nailing a flier to a wall. Report all foreign invaders, it says, providing a phone number to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE). Trump ordered plans for the U.S. military to assist in his deportation efforts, as DHS officials say threats against ICE agents and other federal law enforcement officers have ramped up in recent weeks. (Source: The Hill – U.S.)
See also the poster: June 11, 2025 5:22 pm "Help your country locate and arrest illegal aliens" (Source: X / Homeland Security = U.S.)
14,7Million views

Jun 12, 2025 08:22 IST  Talks between the US and Iran over its rapidly advancing nuclear program appear to have hit an impasse. US intelligence indicates that Israel has been making preparations for a strike against Iran's nuclear facilities. (Source: India Today)

June 12, 2025 12:00 AM GMT+2  United States is preparing a partial evacuation of its Iraqi embassy and will allow military dependents to leave locations around the Middle East due to heightened security risks in the region. The partial evacuations come after 18 months of war in Gaza that has raised fears of a wider conflagration pitting the U.S. and Israel against Iran and its allies. In an interview released today, Trump has repeatedly threatened to strike Iran if stuttering talks over its nuclear programme fail and he said he was growing less confident that Tehran would agree to stop enriching uranium, a key American demand. A senior Iranian official told that a military threat has always been part of the United States’ negotiation tactics with Iran. Iran is not seeking a nuclear weapon and U.S. militarism only fuels instability, Iran's U.N. mission today posted on X. Iranian Defence Minister Nasirzadeh said today that if Iran was subjected to strikes it would retaliate by hitting U.S. bases in the region. The United States has a military presence across the major oil-producing region, with bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. In recent months the United States had deployed more military assets in the Middle East -- including B-2 bombers, which have since been replaced, and extending the deployment of a second aircraft carrier, which has since departed. Iraq, a rare regional partner of both the United States and its arch regional foe Iran, hosts 2,500 U.S. troops. Iraq's state news agency cited a government source as saying Baghdad had not recorded any security indication that called for an evacuation. Oil futures climbed $3 on reports of the Baghdad evacuation with Brent crude futures at $69.18 a barrel. Earlier today Britain's maritime agency warned that increased tensions in the Middle East may lead to an escalation in military activity. It advised vessels to use caution while travelling through the Gulf, the Gulf of Oman and the Straits of Hormuz, which all border Iran. The next round of nuclear talks between Iran and the United States are due in the coming days with Iran expected to hand over a counter proposal after rejecting an offer by Washington. (Source: Reuters - United Kingdom)

6/12/2025  Los Angeles yesterday endured a sixth day of protests that have been largely peaceful but occasionally punctuated by violence, mostly contained to a few blocks. "Los Angeles was safe and sound for the last two nights. Our great National Guard, with a little help from the Marines, put the L.A. Police in a position to effectively do their job," Trump posted on social media today. "They all worked well together, but without the Military, Los Angeles would be a crime scene like we haven’t seen in years." Trump is carrying out a campaign promise to deport immigrants, employing forceful tactics consistent with the norm-breaking political style that got him elected twice. A battalion of 700 Marines would join the National Guard under the authority of a federal law known as Title 10, not to conduct civilian policing but to protect federal officers and property, the military said. "Title 10 forces may temporarily detain an individual in specific circumstances such as to stop an assault, to prevent harm to others, or to prevent interference with federal personnel performing their duties," the Northern Command said. (Source: MSN - U.S.  / Reuters - United Kingdom)

Wednesday 11 June 2025 18:54 BST  The State Department is preparing to order the departure of all nonessential personnel from the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad due to the potential for regional unrest. The Baghdad embassy has already been on limited staffing, and the order will not affect a large number of personnel, but the department also is authorizing the departure of nonessential personnel and family members from Bahrain and Kuwait. That gives them an option on whether to leave the country. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)

6.11.2025 1:40 PM  Polling shows that Trump's focus on the border and his promise to stop the flow of immigrants was a major factor in convincing voters to give him another try at the presidency. The border is no longer the focus. Four months after Trump returned to the Oval Office, the number of migrants crossing the southern border in recent months has been a fraction of what was seen over the past few years. But Trump - and his anti-immigrant advisors, like White House Deputy Chief of Staff Miller - are still in crisis mode. Now, the White House wants you to believe that the crisis extends to nail salons, hardware stores, farms, and restaurants across the country, where undocumented immigrants who are peacefully exchanging labor for dollars are being targeted. Here's how The Wall Street Journal summarizes what's happening: "Federal agents make warrantless arrests. Masked agents take people into custody without identifying themselves. Plainclothes agents in at least a dozen cities have arrested migrants who showed up to their court hearings. And across the U.S., people suspected of being in the country illegally are disappearing into the federal detention system without notice to families or lawyers, according to attorneys, witnesses and officials." The White House wants Americans to believe that rounding up suspected illegal immigrants in communities across the country is merely an extension of its efforts to fix the border crisis and prevent dangerous criminals from entering the country illegally. Distinctions can be lost and context collapses in the face of a crisis. It is one thing for the administration to target criminals and gang members who have done actual harm to people and property.  That is not what is currently happening - as Miller's edict demanding more disruptive arrests makes clear. These workplace raids are not just a new front in the Trump administration's war on immigration. They are a different policy altogether. One that the administration can gleefully use to justify further escalations of force that will erode the civil liberties of immigrants ’and American citizens alike’. (Source: Reason. – U.S.)

(Wednesday), 17:07 ET, Jun 11 2025  The anti-ICE riotests continued through today in Los Angeles, the nation's second-largest city - with another downtown curfew anticipated today night to stop vandalism and looting. White House Press Secretary Leavitt suggested that police in Los Angeles were not being allowed to do their jobs by the Governor of California. A federal judge in San Francisco denied California's request to immediately block Trump from using Marines and members of the state's National Guard on Tuesday, despite Gov. Newsom's pleas. (Source: The Mirror US)

June 11, 2025, 5:20 a.m. ET  On the fifth day of protests in Los Angeles against federal immigration raids, yesterday evening, from a studio in Los Angeles, in a nationally televised address, Gov. Newsom of California implored demonstrators to be peaceful and said those who incited violence or destroy property would be prosecuted. He said 370 people had been arrested so far. Newsom made the case that President Trump’s decision to send military forces to immigration protests in Los Angeles ’has put the nation at the precipice of authoritarianism’. “You are the ultimate authoritarian who shut down restaurants and masked our kids while you went to the French Laundry,’ Gallagher, the Republican leader of the California State Assembly said on X, referencing a dinner party at the famed Napa Valley restaurant that Newsom attended while gatherings were restricted in 2020. The governor is considered a possible Democratic presidential candidate in 2028. The address was an unusual move for Mr. Newsom, who has dyslexia and dislikes reading from a teleprompter to deliver formal speeches. Well beyond his stated intent to just go after violent and serious criminals, Mr. Trump's agents are arresting dishwashers, gardeners, day laborers and seamstresses, Newsom said, and that Mr. Trump had inflamed a combustible situation by taking over California’s National Guard, and by calling up 4,000 troops and 700 Marines. ’Other states are next. Democracy is next’, he said. Newsom called on Americans to stand up to President Trump. Not since the civil rights movement in the 1960s has a president sent National Guard troops to quell unrest without the support of the state’s governor. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

Globalization

6/12/2025  The annual Bilderberg Meeting formed in 1954 to foster dialogue between the U.S. and Europe kicks off in Sweden today. Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson will give a speech on Sweden's and the EU's competitiveness and Sweden's support for Ukraine. Transatlantic relations top the agenda, with Ukraine, critical raw materials and AI also on the list, the organisers said. Other than that, information is scarce. (Source: MSN - U.S. / Reuters - United Kingdom)
See also: This year's delegate list, published by the organisers. (Source: Bilderberg Meetings)

Sun

June 11, 2025  Chaotic solar magnetism in the solar polar region - first-ever images of Sun’s South Pole released by the European Space Agency’s Solar Orbiter. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

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January, 2020  Bitter rivals.  Iran and Saudi Arabia's 40-year rivalry has plunged the Middle East into sectarian war, fueled sectarian extremism across the Middle East for political gain. Correspondent Smith travels to seven countries, including Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Iraq and Yemen to examine how the power struggle has rippled across the region. /Video - Full documentary, Part One/ (Source: PBS – U.S.)
Note: Since Jan 8, 2020: 3 650 264 views

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France
Aug 27, 2024  In February, France’s President Macron went full hawk on Ukraine by declaring a potential willingness to deploy French troops in Ukraine and then abruptly disappeared from the radar. He went to the Védrine school of international relations, the French foreign minister (1997-2002). Macron appreciates the views of former Prime Minister de Villepin (2005-2007), famous for his strong stance against the war in Iraq and Western interventionism. He also takes inspiration from former President Sarközy (2007-2012), who supports the need to simultaneously build up the European Union, remain in NATO, and seek rapprochement and accommodation with Russia. Macron respects the alliance with the United States but also understands that France’s interests do not always align with Washington’s views. He wants France to play its own part in order to stay relevant on the world stage and remain engaged with Russia, China, and the ’Global South.” When the war in Ukraine started, Macron tried to play the mediator. He visited Putin in Moscow in early February 2022. Macron believed he had averted war after a phone call with the Kremlin. The next day, however, Putin called to tell him he would recognize the independence of the Donbas. In June, Macron warned the West against any aim to humiliate Russia, seemingly in contrast to the hard line of London and Washington. By late 2023 and early 2024, French intelligence had concluded that Ukraine was hopelessly losing the war. Macron had the June elections to the European Parliament on his calendar and little to show for his seven years in power. He lacked the parliamentary majority he enjoyed before. Macron needed something to campaign on for the European elections. Faced with the prospect of a direct clash with a NATO country, Macron believed Putin would be more open to negotiation. And "he believed a hawkish stance would also serve to neutralize Germany’s incentives to rearm” - with France in command, Berlin would feel less need to step up militarily against Russia. French officers warned the president that their forces were in no shape to take on the far larger and battle-hardened Russian military and that a small expeditionary force would likely be decimated without achieving much. Beyond Ukraine, however, assuming the role of the savior of Europe and the “Free World” would serve electoral purposes and help seal German Pandora’s box of rearmament. Macron continued hinting at direct French involvement until June 7, two days before the vote. In June’s European elections, however, Macron’s party suffered a rout. In July, it also lost the parliamentary elections, although that defeat was less severe than feared. The vast majority of the electorate is clearly opposed to sending troops to Ukraine. Already deeply unpopular and isolated, Macron will be unwilling to risk hundreds of French lives for such a distant war nobody wants. Also, German and American exhaustion with the war has already led to a sharp reduction in financial and military support for Kyiv. France has so far proved unwilling to replace them. In late June, Macron promised he would not send French troops to Ukraine for the foreseeable future. Macron’s diplomatic scheme achieved little, as Moscow remained un-phased. And Macron’s core foreign policy principles only partially align with the Biden administration’s focus on the liberal international order. Macron knows full well what Washington likes to hear and throws around the right rhetoric to garner its support but France remains an independent-minded ally with distinct interests. (Source: Responsible Statecraft - U.S.)
by Motin, who holds a Ph.D. in political science, currently a non-resident Kelly Fellow at the Pacific Forum and a researcher at the Center for International and Strategic Studies, author of Bandwagoning in International Relations: China, Russia, and Their Neighbors (Vernon Press, 2024).

Russia
Aug 27, 2024  Russia’s most formidable challenge has been finding ways to credibly deter the West from continuing to aid and supply Ukraine. Just under 30 months ago, the day the invasion commenced, Russian President Putin warned that anyone who interferes will suffer consequences like you have never seen. Putin’s latest scheme to dissuade further Western involvement in the Ukraine war was to threaten to arm the West’s adversaries in retaliation. Russia lacks the capacity to make good on it without running a red pen through other parts of its global portfolio of military, economic, and political interests. Russia is running out of Western enemies that can be armed without negatively impacting its own interests. The limitations point to a set of expectations and norms that, though never codified and largely unspoken, nevertheless has a real disciplining effect on its participants. Just as the Kremlin was reportedly getting ready to arm the Houthi rebels in Yemen against the United States, Washington coordinated a diplomatic push with Saudi Arabia to stay Moscow’s hand. Russia and North Korea signed a defense pact in June, but there is no evidence to date that the Russians are planning to send any major weapons shipments to North Korea. It’s so far been the other way around, with the DPRK shipping millions of artillery shells to Russia. There has not been anything approximating a comparable exchange of weapons between Moscow and Pyongyang. Any large-scale effort to arm the DPRK could prove fatal to Russia’s relations with South Korea, which have not completely tanked following the 2022 Ukraine invasion despite the ROK’s tight-knit partnership with Washington and obvious susceptibility to U.S. interests. Beijing, too, would be left unsmiling by the destabilizing effects that large Russian arms infusions into North Korea could exercise throughout the region, and the China relationship is one Russia can ill afford to complicate. Turning to the Middle East, Iran emerges as an obvious candidate for Russia’s generosity - it is, after all, a U.S. adversary locked in a bitter struggle with one of America’s closest allies, Israel.  But here, too, the Kremlin finds itself navigating. Part of Russia’s complex Middle East strategy following its intervention in the Syrian civil war has been to support a stable, partner-level relationship with Israel. Both Putin and his Israeli counterpart Bibi Netanyahu regard cordial ties between their two countries as a personal achievement, and they have been remarkably loath to jettison this relationship even as the Ukraine war and 2023 Gaza War have found them on different sides of the barricade. Though Moscow has recurrently needled Israel over its conduct in Gaza, these kinds of rhetorical pinpricks are one thing; supplying Israel’s avowed Iranian enemy with major weapons systems is quite another, and, so far, not a bridge Putin has been willing to cross. Smaller potential players remain in Latin America and parts of Africa, but in these cases, the impact of such provisions is likely to be far too small to carry the punitive effect that is Russia’s raison d'être for pursuing this arms transfer policy in the first place. (Source: Responsible Statecraft – U.S.)
by Episkopos, a Eurasia Research Fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, an Adjunct Professor of History at Marymount University.

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Europe

European Commission
1 June 2025  In connection with Georgia’s Foreign Agents Registration Act, the Joint Statement by High Representative/Vice-President Kallas and Commissioner Kos reminds that in June and October 2024 the EU accession process of Georgia has been de facto halted. (Source: commonspace.eu – The Netherlands; „with the press service of the European External Action Service’)

Asia

Iran
Jun 1, 2025  According to a report by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran has significantly expanded its stockpile of uranium enriched close to weapons-grade levels. Iran reiterated that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei has issued a religious decree prohibiting nuclear weapons. (Source: India Today)

June 01, 2025  Oman delivered details of US proposal for nuclear deal to Tehran. (Source: The National - United Arab Emirates)

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Asia

Israel
August 26, 2024  Several weeks ago, Israel’s Minister of Diaspora Affairs Chikli reportedly met in a private residence in Herzliya near Tel Aviv with Zorla, the chief executive officer (CEO) of Israeli private intelligence company Black Cube and the head of its Advisory Committee, former Israel Defense Forces Major General Eiland. According to Israeli newspaper The Marker, the purpose of the alleged meeting was to propose an intelligence operation to be carried out on American soil by Black Cube, on behalf of the Israeli government, with the understanding that intelligence operations carried out by the firm on American soil would not be officially attributed to the State of Israel. The intelligence operation would allegedly target a United States-based organization - “Students for Justice in Palestine”, an American-based organization, whose leaders are primarily American citizens  that stands at the forefront of demonstrations against Israel on university campuses in the United States -demonstrations that the state of Israel views as anti-Semitic. The group has staged numerous demonstrations on university campuses across the United States since the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas war last October. However, it is unclear whether such intelligence operations were indeed authorized to proceed. Following the publication of The Marker report, the Ministry of Diaspora Affairs claimed the proposal for the intelligence operation had been initiated by Black Cube and that Ministry officials ultimately rejected it. An official statement issued by the Ministry of Diaspora Affairs said: „At the company’s [Black Cube’s] request, a meeting was held with the ministry’s professional echelon, and at the end of it, it was decided not to proceed with any engagement”. Black Cube reportedly rejected the spying initiative based on concerns that such a high-risk operation could damage the company’s standing with the United States government and harm its ability to do business on American soil in the future. Black Cube stated: “[Our] company plans and carries out complex intelligence operations for the benefit of legal proceedings, all in accordance with the law of every country in which it operates. Black Cube does not operate and has never planned to operate against students or political protest groups in the USA”. Further information indicates that the Ministry of Diaspora Affairs may be considering executing such an operation after all. (Source: intelNews - U.S.)
by Dr. Barnea, a research fellow at the National Security Studies Center of the University of Haifa in Israel. He served as a senior officer in the Israel Security Agency (ISA). He is the author of We Never Expected That: A Comparative Study of Failures in National and Business Intelligence (Lexington Books, 2021).

Global

World Press Photo Contest 2024

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Europe

Hungary
21 August 2024  Under the new government decree 134, only Ukrainians whose last official address in Ukraine was in an area directly affected by military operations remain eligible for state support. The UN refugee agency said the law change will mean an estimated 2,000-3,000 refugees will lose access to subsidised accommodation. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)
by ’Thorpe’

Russia
21 Aug 2024 Ukraine targets Moscow in ‘one of largest ever’ drone attacks. Assault on the Russian capital launched as Ukraine presses on with incursion into Russia’s Kursk region. Russia’s Ministry of Defence said on Wednesday that air defence forces shot down 11 drones over Moscow and its surrounding region, with some reportedly downed over the city of Podolsk some 38km south of the Kremlin. No damage or casualties were reported. The barrage was part of a broader attack on Russia, with the Ministry of Defence saying its air defence units destroyed 45 Ukrainian drones in total overnight. 23 drones were downed in the border region of Bryansk, six in the border region of Belgorod, three in the Kaluga region, which borders the Moscow region to its northeast, and two in the embattled Kursk region, the ministry said. Russia’s state news agency RIA reported that two drones were destroyed over the Tula region, which borders the Moscow region to its north. Following the assault on Moscow, temporary restrictions were imposed overnight at Moscow’s Vnukovo, Domodedovo and Zhukovsky airports, but all three returned to normal operations later on Wednesday. Hundreds of prisoners were taken and tens of thousands of civilians were forced to evacuate following Ukraine’s lightning raid on Kursk on August 6. Ukraine now claims to control 1,263sq km of Kursk territory, including 93 settlements. Meanwhile, Russia’s Defence Ministry said on Wednesday that its forces have taken control of the settlement of Zhelanne in the Pokrovsk district of Donetsk, as part of an overall drive to capture the entire Donetsk region. Russian President Putin met Chinese Premier Li in Moscow, the Kremlin said. After meeting Putin in July, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will visit Kyiv on Friday to meet Zelenskyy, and said he will be discussing ending the war with Russia. India has avoided condemning Russia’s invasion and is the world’s largest buyer of Russian weapons. (Source: Al Jazeera - Qatar)

8/21/2024  In the spring of this year, Moscow’s new military appointee overseeing security in the Kursk province dismantled a council tasked with protecting the vulnerable border region. Col. Gen. Lapin said the military alone had the strength and the resources to protect Russia’s border. Earlier this month Ukrainian troops executed a lightning offensive across the border into Kursk, and now say they occupy more than 400 square miles of Russian territory. Now, Moscow seeks to oust Ukrainian forces from its territory. „Russia is still pulling together its reaction to this incursion by Ukraine. There has been a fairly slow and scattered reaction to it,’ said Gen. Cavoli, commander of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, speaking at the Council on Foreign Relations on Thursday. The Russian defense ministry hasn’t publicly issued an explanation for how it allowed Ukrainian forces to cross into Russian territory. Hours after Ukraine’s incursion, Russia’s chief of general staff, Gen. Gerasimov, said Lapin’s forces and border guards were working to destroy the enemy in areas directly adjacent to the Russian-Ukrainian border. In the days leading up to Ukraine’s invasion, Russia’s military correspondents have said, Lapin’s command had sent reports to Moscow warning that Ukrainian forces were building their numbers on the front line. Troops under Lapin’s command still failed to act by enforcing defensive lines or laying mines. When Ukrainian soldiers entered the no-man’s-land between Ukraine and Russia, they were met with no resistance and, inside Russia, no territorial defense forces to help slow them down. ’In Moscow, they simply were not pondering that a scenario like this could happen,’ said Muzyka, director of Poland-based Rochan Consulting, focusing on the Russian military. Likewise, when the Ukrainian soldiers drove into Russia, their first armed resistance was from the 488th motor rifle regiment of the 144th motor rifle brigade, a unit consisting almost entirely of conscripts, who according to Russian policy aren’t supposed to fight inside Ukraine. Under normal circumstances, they would have had around 120 armored vehicles, including tanks and armored personnel carriers. In their first armed encounter, the conscripts likely had between 10 and 20, said Muzyka. ’It wasn’t the first time” poor planning and a lack of men had come together under Lapin’s command. In early September 2022, Ukrainian forces launched a surprise attack in northeast Ukraine. Without the Russians having sufficiently fortified their thin front-line positions, Ukrainians blew past them using fast-moving field vehicles, followed by heavier armored echelons. Russia’s offensive line crumbled and Ukraine managed to reclaim thousands of square miles in northeastern Ukraine. Following the debacle, Chechen strongman leader Kadyrov called for his resignation. The officer was soon removed from his post and later reappointed as deputy commander of Russia’s forces in Ukraine. ’It has certainly demonstrated the creativity and the battlefield prowess of the Ukrainians,’ said Pentagon spokesman Maj. Gen. Ryder. (Source: MSN / The Wall Street Journal = U.S.)

Asia

China
August 21, 2024  China is seriously concerned about a report that said the United Stated approved a nuclear strategic plan to focus on China's rapid expansion in its nuclear arsenal, the Chinese foreign ministry said on Wednesday. An annual report by the Pentagon last October said China had more than 500 operational nuclear warheads in its arsenal, and will probably have over 1,000 warheads by 2030. According to a report by the New York Times, U.S. President Biden approved in March a highly classified nuclear strategic plan that focused on China's quickly growing arsenal, but also seeks to prepare the U.S for possible coordinated nuclear challenges from China, Russia and North Korea. The White House said on Tuesday that the classified nuclear strategic plan approved by Biden this year is not a response to a single country or threat. (Source: Reuters - United Kingdom)

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Europe

Poland
May 31, 2025  The second round of presidential elections in Poland will take place on June 1st. Nawrocki, presidential candidate supported by the Law and Justice party will compete with Trzaskowski, the ’pro-European’ (?) ruling party's candidate. Polls are showing a tight race between Warsaw’s mayor, Trzaskowski, and his conservative challenger, Nawrocki. President Trump met with Nawrocki at the White House earlier this month and sent DHS Secretary Noem to a meeting of CPAC in Poland. She offered an endorsement, speaking in support of Nawrocki. Noem said he would rule in the style of President Trump. "I just had the opportunity to meet with Karol and listen. He needs to be the next president of Poland. Do you understand me?’ she said. The conservative Law and Justice party recruited Nawrocki, an outsider with no prior political experience, to be its candidate for president to replace outgoing President Duda, a close ally of President Trump. The Law and Justice Party governed Poland from 2015 to 2023, until it lost parliamentary elections led by Donald Tusk’s center-left Civic Platform coalition. Although the Polish president is nominally symbolic, the president does wield the power to veto legislation passed by parliament, which could derail the incumbent government's domestic agenda if the president is of a different party from the prime minister. "Nawrocki has a good chance of winning the election. This would clearly demonstrate the Polish people's desire to counter the current government's liberal politics," Żaryn, Advisor to Poland's current President Duda, told. Tyrmand, a U.S.-based Polish dual citizen who advises conservative sovereignty-defending political figures and parties across Europe, told from Europe, "We in Poland, who saw the previous unchecked PO (Tusk’s party) government from 2010-15, know how this ends if Tusk’s puppet candidate Trzaskowski ends up securing the presidency in the runoff. Poland’s tightened alignment with the EU will come at the expense of previously strong ties with the USA and the previous and now returned Trump administration. This will weaken Poland militarily and economically. "This runoff is existential for Poland maintaining its multi-party democracy with the existent check and balance of the last 15 years of having, in essence, a two-party duopoly. The right-wing president, Duda, has been the one check given his veto power to reject the Tusk government’s agenda since the country’s government turned over in late 2023 toward left-leaning (self-described and so-called by the compromised leftist media as ’centrist’ but in reality very left) Eurocentrists. If that veto is lost, Polish sovereignty will be a distant memory as Tusk devolves national competences toward Berlin and Brussels who have been his paymasters for nearly two decades, and he has been their ready, willing and able pliant stooge.’ Nawrocki as president would likely continue the policies of Duda, further sinking Tusk's popularity as many in Poland feel that Tusk has not lived up to his campaign promises. If Nawrocki wins, expect a tough fight between the Tusk government and the President, as they are polar opposites on a number of issues, especially foreign policy. Nawrocki, who met with President Trump and Republican leaders in Congress, would likely push for even closer relations with the U.S. A win for Trzaskowski means Tusk will have the ability to drive his agenda, with the new president likely endorsing his proposals, laws and ambassadorships. A victory for Trzaskowski will also be received positively in Brussels as he is seen as ’pro-European’ and in line with the EU’s priorities of „democratic governance’ and judicial independence. The Warsaw mayor favors closer ties with Brussels, Berlin and Paris but will also look to maintain stable relations with the U.S. While there is a rising number of voices that are critical of continuing support for Ukraine as the war drags on, no matter who wins, Poland’s foreign and defense policy and its support for Ukraine in its war against Russia is 'unlikely' to change. Poland has been one of Ukraine’s toughest backers in Europe, providing 5 billion euros worth of overall aid, ’including nearly 4 billion euros in military aid’, since the war began. Since the European refugee crisis of 2015, Poland has taken a tougher stance on immigration, particularly from the Middle East. Poland has been much more welcoming to Ukrainian's fleeing Russian aggression, it has taken in more than 1.5 million Ukrainian refugees since February 2022. Qvortrup, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Studies at the Australian National University, said a Nawrocki win would be a roadblock to further European integration with another leader critical of Europe taking power. A win for Nawrocki would be unwelcome for the leaders in the most powerful EU countries, especially in Germany. „It's not the signal they would want," Qvortrup told. (Source: Fox News / „The Associated Press contributed’ = U.S.)

European Union
31/05/2025  EU has imported €209bn of Russian fuel since start of the war. The EU and Ukraine’s Western allies have paid more to Russia for its fuel than they’ve provided in aid to Ukraine, data from the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air shows. Russia earned over $233 billion from fossil fuel exports to EU countries between February 2022 and February 2025. In contrast, total aid allocated to Ukraine during the same period amounted to $73 billion. In the past year alone, Europe’s gas imports from Russia rose by up to 20%, with LNG exports hitting record highs. (Source: France 24)

Ukraine
31.05.2025  ’Ukraine has signed a licensing agreement to use NATO's non-commercial Command and Reporting Center (CRC) System Interface software’, which will allow its and the alliance's aircraft to coordinate operations within a unified digital system, Deputy Defense Minister Chernohorenko announced on Friday. The CSI software is a key component of NATO's Link-16 data exchange protocol, also known as the alliance's military Wi-Fi. It will aid in the coordination and control of Western-supplied aircraft such as the F-16 and Mirage 2000, as well as integrated air and missile defense systems such as the Patriot. NATO has yet to issue a public statement on the development. The CSI software is already in use by most NATO member states. Its deployment marks a major step in aligning Ukraine’s digital battle management capabilities with those of the alliance. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Asia

Iran
5/31/2025  Iran and the U.S. have held five rounds of nuclear talks and are seeking to complete a framework for a deal that would set out joint positions on key issues to be decided. President Trump has said the talks are progressing well. The two sides are divided on whether Iran can continue to enrich uranium under a deal. Iran has continued to produce highly enriched uranium at a pace of roughly one nuclear weapon’s worth a month over the past three months despite talks between Washington and Tehran on a new nuclear deal, the United Nations’ International Atomic Energy Agency atomic agency said in a confidential report circulated to member states. Iran had grown its stockpile of 60%-enriched uranium to 408.6 kilograms from 274.8 kilograms in early February. In its documents circulated to member states on Saturday, the IAEA also presented a comprehensive, longer report detailing Iran’s failure to cooperate with a probe, started in 2019, into undeclared nuclear material found in Iran. The report was demanded by European powers. European officials have said they will decide by the summer whether to press ahead with the so-called snapback of sanctions on Iran at the U.N. Security Council, if Tehran doesn’t start to fully cooperate with the nuclear probe. The option of reimposing the sanctions expires in October under the 2015 agreement. Iran says it has answered the questions with all information available. The agency said in its report that Iran’s ’lack of answers and clarifications’ has led it to conclude that Tehran had an undeclared structured nuclear program until the 2000s and that some activities used undeclared nuclear material. ’Iran retained unknown nuclear material and/or heavily contaminated equipment, and other assets, arising from’ the nuclear program at a site in Tehran from 2009 until 2018, ’after which items were removed from the location.’ ’The significantly increased production and accumulation of highly enriched uranium by Iran, the only non-nuclear-weapon State to produce such nuclear material, is of serious concern,’ IAEA Director General Grossi said in the report. The agency said in its report that Iran’s lack of technically credible answers leaves open the possibility that Iran may still have undeclared nuclear material that it is able to use for non-civilian purposes. President Trump has made it clear that Iran can never obtain a nuclear bomb, White House press secretary Leavitt said Saturday, adding that Trump’s special envoy Witkoff had sent a detailed proposal to Iran. “It’s in their best interest to accept it.” Even if a framework is agreed, it could take protracted and difficult technical talks to reach a final deal. Trump withdrew the U.S. in 2018 from the 2015 nuclear agreement, which placed tight but temporary restrictions on Iran in exchange for the lifting of international sanctions. In a joint statement by Iran’s foreign ministry and atomic agency, Tehran called the IAEA report unbalanced and labeled some of the charges baseless. Iran has warned it could withdraw from the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and change its nuclear doctrine if sanctions are reimposed. The country’s leadership has pledged not to pursue nuclear weapons. Israel, which is widely believed to have nuclear weapons but has never acknowledged that, has threatened military strikes against Iran’s nuclear facility if Tehran seeks to build a bomb. Trump confirmed this week he had told Israel that attacking Iran now wouldn’t be appropriate. In 2024, U.S. intelligence officials said Iran was carrying out work that would help Tehran learn how to make a nuclear weapon. (Source: MSN / The Wall Street Journal = U.S.)

North America

United States
31 May 2025  US President Trump said yesterday that he would double steel and aluminium import tariffs to 50 percent from next week, aimed at protecting domestic industries. According to the US International Trade Administration, from March 2024 to February 2025, Brazil was the second-largest exporter of steel to the United States with 3.7 million metric tons, followed by Mexico with 2.9 million. The first is Canada. Argentina, whose President Milei maintains a close relationship with Trump, was the sixth-largest exporter of aluminum in 2024 to the United States, with more than 176,000 metric tons, according to US data. The United States imports about half of the steel and aluminium it uses in industries such as automotive, aeronautics, petrochemicals and consumer staples such as canned goods. (Source: Buenos Aires Times - Argentina)

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Europe

Hungary
30 May 2025  On 15 March, P.M. Orbán delivered a stinging speech against his opponents, saying Hungary needed a spring clean. He said: “We are dismantling the financial machine that has used corrupt dollars to buy politicians, judges, journalists, bogus civil society organisations and political activists. We will disperse the entire shadow army.” Since then, Orbán introduced a new transparency law that would allow the government to blacklist organisations that receive foreign funding, deeming them a “threat” to national sovereignty and has banned Pride in Budapest. Many groups across the country now fear for their future because of the potential transparency law. Bodoky, the editor-in-chief of Átlátszó, an 'independent' media group says the group is being targeted because they have exposed government corruption. „The transparency law for Átlátszó would mean, most probably, that we go out of business”. “He’s constantly fighting a war against real or imaginary enemies, but what is really new is that he wants to crack down on Hungarian citizens based on perceived non-patriotism or treachery”, he said. Debrecen, Hungary’s second largest city is a conservative bastion. But right in the centre is a liberal island - a community space. This community hub receives some money from the EU and that makes them a target after if the transparency law passes. They say that in the last few years, more and more people are queuing up for their services - a group of women, cooking outside are preparing meals to hand out to those in need in the city. And yet, they all still worship Orbán. Who do they blame for the fact they are in need? A woman lists them off: “They blame the Ukraine war, gay people, migrants, and Brussels”. Across the country, on billboards and bus stops, there are countless posters displaying the images of Zelenskyy, EU Commission President der Leyen, and Weber, the head of the European People’s Party in the EU Parliament. The words read: “Let’s not allow them to decide above our heads”. Hungarians are being asked to vote in a referendum on whether they want Ukraine to join the EU. There is a ’clear opposition figure’ here in Hungary: Magyar, once a member of Orbán’s Fidesz party. He is an MEP and the leader of the ’centre-right’ Tisza party. He’s recently been marching across the country meeting voters. The people are completely fed up with the lies, with the propaganda, with the corruption, Magyar says. But when I ask him whether he’ll roll back all the laws and changes under Orbán, he says that he will keep some of the good decisions, such as the family policy, the tax policy, the fence at the southern border of Hungary against illegal migration. That sounds like he’s not exactly the liberal change ’many’ in the country want. (Source: Channel 4 News – United Kingdom)

Finland
May 30, 2025  Several nations, including Finland, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States, now conduct highway and roadway landing exercises. The road landings are not new; the concept was first introduced during the Cold War, when there was a genuine concern that air bases would be the primary targets in a modern war. Finland has even designed its highways to be readily converted to austere air bases. Dutch F-35s joined Finland’s Baana 25 exercises, simulating highway landings. This is the first time the Dutch F-35s have taken part. The exercises continue through Friday. (Source: The National Interest - U.S.)

France
30.05.2025  Deputy Defense Minister Lt. Gen. Shevtsov met with a French delegation led by Lt. Gen. Onet, head of France’s Directorate for Supporting the Combat Capability of Ground Equipment. Ukraine and France have agreed to boost defense cooperation, focusing on logistical support and adapting to the demands of modern warfare, Ukraine’s Defense Ministry said Friday. The two delegations explored ways to deepen collaboration in ground combat support, logistics systems, and battlefield adaptation amid the ongoing war with Russia. France has been a contributor of military aid to Ukraine since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, including Caesar howitzers and air defense systems. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

The Netherlands
May 30, 2025  The Netherlands has received 728,656 visa applications in 2024. The five nationalities with the most Schengen visas obtained by the Netherlands: Turkish nationals obtained 84,240 visas - that is 86.8 per cent of 97,006 applications; Indian nationals: 75,727 visas obtained (83.2 per cent); Chinese nationals: 70,203 visas (96.71 per cent); Indonesian nationals: 51,103 visas, per cent); Filipino nationals: 46,500 visas (95.77 per cent). The number of rejected applications with the number of applications filed overall: Senegal – applicants were rejected 81.05 per cent (5,525 applications were filed); Algeria – 63.4 per cent of 4,388 applications; Mali: 60.8 per cent of 4,275 applications; Ghana: 58 per cent of 8,394 applications; Uganda: 49.97 per cent of 3,326 applications filed. (Source: Schengen News - ?)

Asia

China
May 30, 2025  Representatives of more than 30 other countries today signed the Convention on the Establishment of the International Organization for Mediation in Hong Kong to become founding members of the global organization, following Chinese Foreign Minister Wang. He said the body, headquartered in Hong Kong, aims to help promote the amicable resolution of international disputes and build more harmonious global relations. The ceremony was attended by representatives from some 50 other countries and about 20 organizations, including the United Nations. While the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and PCA *focus on adjudication and arbitration, IOMed introduces a structured, institutionalized form of alternative dispute resolution - namely, mediation - on a global scale, Yan, a law professor at the Chinese University of Hong Kong, said. The International Organization for Mediation would have the capacity to mediate disputes between states, between a state and a national of another state, or in international commercial disputes, Ali, a law professor at the University of Hong Kong, said. Conventions can provide opportunities to experiment with new approaches, she said, noting rising interest in mediation globally as a means to resolve investor-state disputes. (Source: ABC News / Associated Press = U.S.)

Asia
30 May 2025  A growing number of Asian economies are cautiously moving away from the US dollar by creating alternative trade agreements and increasing their investments in assets such as gold and digital currencies – a trend that analysts say signals a longer-term shift toward a more multipolar monetary system. Singapore, Indonesia and Japan ranked among the top 10 countries making the most progress on this front. While the dollar continues to dominate global markets – accounting for nearly half of SWIFT payments and over 80 per cent of foreign exchange trades – Lodge, vice-president at foreign exchange brokerage FXTM said, diversification efforts are gaining traction in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and among Brics members. In Asia, more transactions are being conducted in Chinese yuan, followed by the euro and Emirati dirham in select bilateral arrangements, he added. A 2023 Asean agreement aimed to prioritise local currency transactions to reduce vulnerability to US monetary policy shifts and trade restrictions. Since then, Southeast Asian member nations have started to engage in direct trade using currencies like the Malaysian ringgit and the Thai baht. Indonesia conducts around 15 per cent of its trade with China and Japan in alternative currencies, using the yuan for Chinese transactions and its own local rupiah for its Japanese dealings. India too has established trade agreements using its currency, the rupee, with 18 countries. Each country in the Asian region is pursuing separate strategies to reduce their US dollar dependency. Asian nations want to reduce their trade surplus with the US and are concerned about the weaponisation of the dollar, especially following Washington’s recent sanctions against Russia and Iran. Many Asian countries are now seeking to reduce their dependency on dollar-denominated financial systems and China’s yuan has significantly benefited from the trend. Investors in Asia’s trading hubs of Hong Kong and Singapore have flocked to the gold, which historically has an inverse relationship to the US dollar. Gold has gained 26 per cent so far this year and hit a record high of US$3,450 an ounce on April 22 due to US-China trade tensions and financial market instability. The longer term outlook for gold remains bullish on expectations of a weaker dollar, analysts say. Central banks including those in Asia have been snapping up gold to stabilise their currencies, although record-high prices caused a dip in their purchases in the first quarter of this year, according to the World Gold Council. Individual investors too have shown a similar pattern in their purchases. In the last few months bond yields were rising, gold and bitcoin outperforming. Bitcoin hit a record high of more than US$111,000 on May 22 on bullish market sentiment about supportive US regulations. The cryptocurrency is favoured by younger and institutional investors, emerging as a complementary asset to gold as a store of value, while many are also increasing their bets to currencies like the yuan, the Hong Kong dollar and the euro. In 2025 Singapore is leading with the highest cryptocurrency ownership rate at 28 per cent. A limited number of Asian businesses are using cryptocurrencies for transactions. Central Bank Digital Currencies are proving more significant than decentralised cryptocurrencies for actual de-dollarisation efforts. (Source: South China Morning Post)

North America

United States
May 30, 2025  In March, President Trump signed an executive order calling for the federal government to share data across agencies. Mr. Trump has not publicly talked about the effort since. Behind the scenes, officials have quietly put technological building blocks into place to enable his plan. The Trump administration has expanded Palantir, the data analysis and technology firm’s work across the federal government in recent months. The company has received more than $113 million in federal government spending since Mr. Trump took office, including new contracts with the Department of Homeland Security and the Pentagon. (This does not include a $795 million contract that the Department of Defense awarded the company last week.) Representatives of Palantir are also speaking to at least two other agencies - the Social Security Administration and the Internal Revenue Service — about buying its technology. The push has put a key Palantir product called Foundry - which organizes and analyzes data - into at least four federal agencies, including D.H.S. and the Health and Human Services Department. Foundry, paves the way for Mr. Trump to easily merge information from different agencies. Mr. Trump’s executive order said he wanted to “eliminate information silos and streamline data collection across all agencies to increase government efficiency and save hard-earned taxpayer dollars.” Creating detailed portraits of Americans, the Trump administration has already sought access to hundreds of data points on citizens and others through government databases, including their bank account numbers, the amount of their student debt, their medical claims and any disability status. Combining all that data, even with the noblest of intentions, significantly increases the risk of misuse,” Xia, who was a Palantir engineer until last year, said. “Data that is collected for one reason should not be repurposed for other uses,” Ms. Xia said. Privacy advocates, student unions and labor rights organizations have filed lawsuits to block data access, questioning whether the government could weaponize people’s personal information. Palantir recently began helping Immigration and Customs Enforcement’s enforcement and removal operations team. The work is part of a $30 million contract that ICE signed with Palantir in April to build a platform to track migrant movements in real time. At the Internal Revenue Service, Palantir engineers were also recently brought in to use Foundry to organize data gathered on American taxpayers. Palantir has talked with the Social Security Administration about using the company’s technology to organize the agency’s data. Palantir’s selection as a chief vendor for the project was driven by Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency. At least three DOGE members formerly worked at Palantir. Two others had worked at companies funded by Thiel, an investor and a founder of Palantir, which was founded in 2003 by Karp and Mr. Thiel and went public in 2020. Palantir specializes in finding patterns in data and presenting the information in ways that are easy to process and navigate, such as charts and maps. Its main products include Foundry, a data analytics platform, and Gotham, which helps organize and draw conclusions from data and is tailored for security and defense purposes. Palantir’s role is the finding of hidden things by sifting through data, Mr. Karp has said last year. Mr. Karp, who donated to the Democratic Party last year, has welcomed Mr. Trump’s win and called Mr. Musk the most “qualified person in the world” to remake the U.S. government. Palantir’s stock has risen more than 140 percent since Mr. Trump’s election in November. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

May 30, 2025  Trump has long promised to dismantle the ’deep state’ - a supposed secret network of powerful people manipulating government decisions behind the scenes. In 2024, he pledged to supporters that voting him back into the presidency would be “our final battle.” “With you at my side, we will demolish the deep state,” Trump said repeatedly on the campaign trail. “We will liberate our country from these tyrants and villains once and for all.” Four months into his second term, Trump has continued to stoke dark theories involving his predecessors and other powerful politicians and attorneys - most recently raising the specter of nefarious intent behind former President Biden’s use of an autopen to sign papers. The administration has pledged to reopen investigations and has taken steps to declassify certain documents, including releasing more than 63,000 pages of records related to the assassination of President Kennedy. Now that Trump is in power and has stocked loyalists throughout his administration, his supporters expect all to be revealed. Some who take him at his word are beginning to get restless as they ask why his administration, which holds the keys to chasing down these alleged government secrets, is denying them the evidence and retribution they expected. “People are tired of not knowing,” conservative commentator Felder said last week. “We actually demand answers and real transparency. It’s not that hard to deliver.” Delivering on that is difficult when many of the conspiracies he alleged aren’t real, said Uscinski, a political scientist who studies conspiracy theories at the University of Miami. The president has prioritized retribution in his second administration. He has fired federal workers and targeted law firms he disfavors in executive orders. He has ordered the revocation of government security clearances for political rivals and former employees who dissented during his first term. His Justice Department has fired prosecutors who investigated him and scrutinized career FBI agents who investigated the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol. Many of his supporters would like to see steps taken against people he has long claimed were involved in sinister plots against him, such as former Secretary of State Clinton and former FBI Director Comey. The administration also hasn’t offered proof of the ’egregious crimes ” that have corrupted the federal government for years. Tensions erupted this month when FBI Director Patel and Bongino, dismissed two of the theories that have animated Trump’s base the most - that Trump’s attempted assassination in Butler, Pennsylvania, was a government plot and that financier and sexual abuser Epstein was murdered in a cover-up, In a Fox News interview, FBI Director Patel and his deputy, Bongino said they had been briefed on the attempted assassination of Trump during a rally in July and there was no explosive conspiracy to be revealed. In some of these cases, the ‘there’ you’re looking for is not there, Bongino said. You know a suicide when you see one, and that’s what that was, Patel said about Epstein’s death in the same Fox News interview. I have seen the whole file, Bongino added. He killed himself. Conservatives online demanded to see the evidence, pointing to Bongino’s past statements as a podcast host, when he suggested the government was hiding information about Epstein. “No matter who gets elected, you get the same foreign policy, you get the same economic policy, and the Epstein videos remain secret’, right-wing podcaster and former Fox News host Carlson said on his show. They told us for months leading up to the Election that it wasn’t suicide, Newsmax host Starnes wrote on X. But now they tell us it was suicide, he added: „Pardon me, but what the heck is going on at DOJ?’ Attorney General Bondi said this month that FBI officials were poring through “tens of thousands” of videos related to Epstein and would make more materials public once they took steps to protect the victims. Bongino ’appeared to try to throw a bone to Trump’s base’ this week when he announced the agency would reopen some prominent cases that have attracted public interest. He said the FBI would investigate the planting of pipe bombs found near the Democratic and Republican National Committee headquarters in Washington the day of the Jan. 6, 2021, attack, the leak of the Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson draft opinion in 2022 that overturned the constitutional right to abortion and the discovery of cocaine in the White House in 2023. But it wasn’t enough for everyone who weighed in on his X account. In an interview Thursday on “Fox & Friends,” Bongino teased that the FBI would soon release video captured outside Epstein’s jail cell and materials related to Trump’s attempted assassination. He called for patience and noted not all information is the FBI’s to declassify. All the while, Trump has continued promoting theories on his Truth Social platform and elsewhere. He shared a video this month about mysterious deaths allegedly being linked to the Clinton family. And shared someone’s image of himself with former President Obama with the text, “ALL ROADS LEAD TO OBAMA, RETRUTH IF YOU WANT MILITARY TRIBUNALS.” It’s a tactic that distracts Trump’s base and helps inoculate him from criticism, Ophir, a communications professor at the University at Buffalo said. “When something good happens, it’s because Trump is great and his agenda is brilliant,” Ophir said. ’When something bad happens, it’s because of the Obamas or the Clintons or whatever forces are undermining him from within Washington.’ Trump this week fueled theories, that Biden’s use of a mechanical device called an autopen during his presidency meant he didn’t sign his executive orders willingly or that aides profited from controlling it. „Presidents have used autopens for years to sign certain documents’. “Whoever used it was usurping the power of the Presidency, and it should be very easy to find out who that person (or persons) is,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. The narrative has gained momentum on the right because of allegations that Biden’s aides covered up his mental and physical decline. He has called for people who operated it to be charged with “TREASON.” (Source: The Associated Press - U.S.)
Note: "The Associated Press receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy'.

NATO

May 30 2025  On May 14 a weapon launched from a U.S. platform was guided by a Norwegian sensor across domains and distances, marking a first for NATO in cross-national ordnance control mid-flight in the framework of Formidable Shield 25, which ran from May 1 to 31, 2025. Formidable Shield is the largest live-fire naval exercise in Europe, primarily executed from Norway and the United Kingdom. The scenarios included a series of complex Ballistic Missile Defence (BMD) and Air Defence (AD) missions in a complex operating environment. (Source: Allied Air Command Public Affairs Office - Headquarters Ramstein, Germany)

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Europe

Hungary
May 29, 2025 The leader of this central European country has captured the imagination of many U.S. conservatives who hold Orbán's rule up as a model for conservative populist leadership in liberal Western democracies. Scheppele, who teaches sociology and international affairs at Princeton is now warning that what came to pass in Hungary could come to be in the U.S. Members of the European Parliament now call it an electoral autocracy. Orbán remade the courts, replaced experienced judges with younger more malleable figures. He financially starves 'independent' press, changed the constitution to consolidate his power and passed laws and amendments to stifle civil society and minority groups, the latest an effective ban on pride celebrations. This is really a dictatorship, says Scheppele, who worked in Hungary for years researching the Hungarian Constitutional Court. Budapest, the capital city doesn't have the trappings of an autocracy while strolling through the streets. It's easy to be captivated by the blend of architectural styles, the sprawling public transportation system and the vibrant cafe and restaurant scene where tourists sip wine under twinkling lights. There is perhaps no greater symbol of that cross-cultural consecutive cooperation and admiration than the Conservative Political Action Conference gathering of conservative, populist and ’far right’ activists and politicians now converging on Budapest for a fourth year. "For a long time in the West you had folks on the center right who, let's say, they made excuses," said Reaboi, a ’right wing’ media personality who once lobbied on behalf of Orbán's government in the U.S. Reaboi says the Hungarian leader's unapologetic style when it comes to cracking down on mass migration and ’woke’ inspired American conservatives' policies confrontational approach under President Trump now when it comes to immigration, minority rights, civil society and academia. ’They were afraid of media backlash or something,’ Reaboi said. "Now I think what's the same about [the U.S. MAGA movement and Orbán's Hungary] is just this lack of fear of saying true things." Reaboi bristles at Hungary being labeled a dictatorship. He calls the criticisms "fringe insanity’ and adds that whatever one thinks about Orbán's policies and his party Fidesz he's "been unbelievably successful in putting Budapest and Hungary itself on the map." At the Danube Institute, this research center that overlooks the river that divides Budapest, U.S. conservatives and nationalists have found an intellectual home inside Europe. The government also funds the educational institution Mathias Corvinus Collegium which bills itself as an incubator for young talent in Hungary. Its critics see it as an incubator for future Fidesz-allied elites. Kálnoky, a prominent German journalist of Hungarian descent who heads the journalism school at MCC, says Orbán's presence on the western stage as a populist leader that's inspired U.S. conservatives was a conscious strategy. "A thought process began here that we need to establish bridges towards the Anglo-Saxon conservative world," Kálnoky said. The person who came up with this strategy to reach beyond Hungary's borders, was the head of MCC and the prime minister's political director, Orbán. "He said, 'look to the left, they are globally allied.' They have their networks, they have conferences, they meet, and they have an ideology which unites them, Kálnoky said. So Hungary began reaching out to other like-minded political groups including conservatives in the U.S. and inviting them to Budapest around 2014. They liked what they saw – a populist conservative government that was elected and re-elected. Kálnoky said the pushback from the European Union against what it deems anti-democratic practices from the Fidesz party is its way of controlling a member state that won't fall in line with the majority. PM Orbán accuses the EU of meddling in Hungary's domestic affairs. The European Union is withholding billions of dollars in grants allocated for Hungary's poorest regions. It's also been excluded from an EU-funded student exchange program with other European universities. Kálnoky sees what critics point to as gerrymandering and taking control of the media and the courts as an elected party using its mandate to implement reforms and its program. "There is only one thing that is needed to separate Fidesz and Viktor Orbán from power, and that is that a relative majority of Hungarians vote for someone else than him," he said. "That's all that's needed. And as long as that is the case, how can you speak of an autocracy?" How did Orbán transform Hungary? He started as a more liberal politician when he first won the office in 1998. But after being voted out he morphed into the populist conservative he is today, Scheppele said. In his eight years out of power, he had spent that time planning a comeback with a very detailed plan to remake the Constitution and remake the entire legal system. In the three years after he was elected in 2010, she said he transformed Hungary from a post-communist democratic story. Now she said she recognizes the Orbán playbook in Project 2025, a blueprint for a Republican president written by a conservative think tank of Trump allies and loyalists, some of whom are now in the government. Orbán weaponized the state budget, she said, by starving dissent economically, cutting state advertising to neutral and opposition media and cancelling subsidies to 'non-profits' that would oppose him. Orbán's party, Fidesz, controlling a two-thirds majority in the parliament, pushed through election laws that gerrymandered districts so that Fidesz 'could control more seats with fewer votes with each election'. The religious organizations were consolidated under Orbán who now touts himself as the defender of Christian Europe. He has described himself as the leader of a Christian illiberal democracy, fighting against the multiculturalism and pro- immigration stances of the liberal elite in the European Union. From inside his own party, Magyar, the husband of the former justice minister and 'a party loyalist', broke with Orbán to lead an opposition party that could break Orbán's control of the state. He's fiercely critical of what he calls autocracy under Orbán. ’It's the first time in the last 15 years that you have a real chance to change the situation,’ said Magyar, a former education minister and a sociologist at the Democracy Institute at Central European University. It's why he worries, 'that somehow the government' will find a way to stop Magyar's party from running in the election next year. That becomes more and more visible the farther you go outside the capital where Orbán's policies have brought construction projects to these rural areas. His funding model created jobs and brought new infrastructure, like hospitals. (Source: NPR - U.S.)

Portugal
29/05/2025  Portugal's ’far-right’ Chega party, the government's official opposition party becomes second biggest in parliament according to final results from Portugal's snap general election published yesterday. Support for Chega has grown in every general election since the party was founded in 2019 by a former trainee priest and former television football commentator Ventura. It won 1.3 percent of the vote in a general election the year it was founded, giving it a seat in parliament -- the first time a far-right party had won representation in Portugal's legislature since a coup in 1974 toppled a decades-long rightist dictatorship. Now the party won two of the previously unannounced four overseas constituencies, taking its tally to 60. The centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD) claimed the other two overseas seats taking its total to 91, still far from the 116 seats needed to form a majority government. The Social Democratic Party of outgoing prime minister Luis Montenegro is the main party of the alliance. Party leader Santos, a 48-year-old economist, said he would stand down after the initial election results were announced. Montenegro is expected to try to form a minority government after the latest election and he has said he will not deal with Chega. But Ventura called on Montenegro to "break" with the Socialists. Chega's policies include chemical castration for paedophiles, limiting newcomers' access to welfare benefits, and stricter controls on migration which it links to crime and higher pensions. He speaks of restoring respect for the police, and has protested on the streets with Movement Zero, a group of disgruntled police officers with suspected extremist ties who are demanding better pay and conditions. Ventura attended US President Trump's inauguration in January, and has embraced the support of Brazil's former far-right president Bolsonaro. Many voters certainly support the radical and anti-establishment solutions that Chega proposes but others may have chosen the party because of the erosion of the traditional parties' ability to meet expectations. Under a previous PS government, Portugal became one of Europe's most open countries for immigrants. Between 2017 and 2024, the number of foreigners living in Portugal quadrupled, reaching about 15 percent of the total population. President de Sousa is to hold new talks with the leaders of the three main parties today and could name a new prime minister during the day. (Source: France 24 „with AFP”)

European Central Bank
May 29 2025  European Central Bank Governing Council member and Slovakia’s central bank chief Kazimir has been found guilty of bribery today, with a Slovak Specialised Criminal Court ruling he must pay a €200,000 fine or face a one-year prison sentence. Oh… Prosecutors allege that between 2012 and 2019, while serving as finance minister, Kazimir handed over a €48,000 bribe to the then boss of the national tax office to influence tax proceedings. As the verdict can be appealed, with Kazimir maintaining his innocence, he won’t be forced out of office, and is set to participate in the next interest-rate meeting on 4-5 June. And Starmer wants to get closer to the bloc… (Source: Guido Fawkes, a political website published by British-Irish political blogger Staines, who lives in Ireland)

European Commission
May 29, 2025  The European Commission welcomes today's agreement in the Council of the EU on the ’Security for Action for Europe (SAFE) Instrument’. ’As proposed in the ReArm Europe Plan / Readiness 2030, the Commission will raise up to €150 billion on the capital markets, providing financial levers to EU member states to ramp up the investments in key defence areas like air missile defence, drones, or strategic enablers’. ’With SAFE, we are not only investing in cutting-edge capabilities for our Union, for Ukraine, and for the entire continent; we are also strengthening the European defence technological and industrial base. This is about readiness. This is about resilience. And it is about creating a truly European market for defence. Europe is stepping up - with purpose, with unity, and with a clear roadmap toward Readiness 2030’, der Leyen, president of the European Commission said. Member states now have six months from the entry into force of the Regulation to submit their initial national plans, which the Commission will then assess. Following a Commission proposal, the Council is expected to adopt implementing decisions, which will include the size of the loan and any pre-financing which can be up to 15% of the loan. Support can be paid swiftly to cover the most urgent needs, potentially starting in 2025. Member states will need to report on the progress of implementation when they submit their payment requests, which can be done twice a year. The last approval for disbursements can take place until 31 December 2030. In March 2025 the Commission proposed the White Paper for European Defence – Readiness 2030 and its ReArm Europe Plan/Readiness 2030 - defence package providing financial levers to EU Member States ’to drive an investment surge in defence capabilities’. ’The activation of the national escape clause of the Stability and Growth Pact for defence purposes together with the Security Action for Europe (SAFE) loan form the backbone of the ReArm Europe Plan / Readiness 2030, enabling member states to substantially and rapidly scale up their investments in European defence’. This defence package providing financial levers to EU Member States to drive a surge in investment in defence capabilities. ’Under the SAFE loan, the Commission will raise up to €150 billion on the capital markets, drawing on its well-established unified funding approach’. While under the national escape clause Member States will benefit from additional space for defence spending, the EU fiscal rules continue to apply in full. Any deviations from the endorsed net expenditure paths, other than those specified, will be monitored according to the Regulation (EU) 2024/1263 for the entire period of activation. ’The cost of components originating outside the Union, EEA EFTA States, and Ukraine’ should not exceed 35% of the estimated cost of the components of the end-product, reinforcing the 'spend European' principle, according to the agreement. (Source: EU Reporter - a Brussels-based website owned by a company in Ireland)

Asia

Iran
(May 29, 2025)  Iran has given more than four million undocumented Afghan migrants until July 6 to leave the country, Yar-Ahmadi, head of the Interior Ministry’s Office for Foreign Nationals and Immigrants announced yesterday. He said Iran would no longer accept new Afghan migrants. Yar-Ahmadi emphasized that only a limited number of people - in six specific groups - would be eligible to stay under temporary permits. He added that as of now, 2.03 million Afghan nationals hold expired census documents and another two million are living in Iran illegally. Iranian authorities have routinely expelled hundreds of Afghan migrants daily, many of them through the border crossing with Afghanistan’s Nimroz province. (Source: Amu Television - United States)

Israel
May 29 2025  ’Far-right’ Israeli Finance Minister Smotrich announced yesterday the creation in the occupied West Bank of 22 new settlements. We have made a historic decision for the development of settlements: 22 new communities in Judea and Samaria, renewing settlement in the north of Samaria, and reinforcing the eastern axis of the State of Israel, the minister said on X, using the Israeli term for the West Bank, which it has occupied since 1967. The initiative had been led by Smotrich and Defence Minister Katz and approved by the security cabinet. The decision also includes the establishment of four communities along the eastern border with Jordan, as part of strengthening Israel's eastern backbone, national security and strategic grip on the area, the Likud party of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said. The party published a map showing the 22 sites spread across the territory. (Source: Hurriyet Daily News - Turkey)

North America

United States
Thursday 29 May 2025  SpaceX and Tesla CEO, Musk has announced he is leaving his position as top adviser to the White House. He led the newly created Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), in the White House. Musk set a $2 trillion goal in reducing federal spending - something he twice revised down, landing at a reduced $150 billion. His role working for Trump was always meant to be temporary, and he had recently signaled that he would be shifting his attention back to running his businesses, such as the electric car company Tesla and the rocket company SpaceX. The former had seen a massive drop in share prices and international backlash as well as vandalism against the cars over Musk's involvement with Trump's government. President Trump even turned the White House lawn into a temporary showroom for the electric cars, urging Americans to follow his example and buy one as DOGE's affects on Tesla saw sales slump. “He’s built this great company, and he shouldn’t be penalised because he’s a patriot.” Musk's relationship with President Trump was an unconventional one, the former receiving apparently unprecedented access to government data and seemingly untethered powers with little to zero oversight. Many credit Musk with President Trump's decisive election victory having funneled close to $300 million into Trump's campaign, using his social media platform X to mobilise supporters. Earlier this year Musk clashed with Trump voters over H-1B visas, a route to US citizenship used by the South African himself as well as heavily used through his companies. On this occasion the president fell in line, marking a departure from the opposition to H-1B's he showed in his first term. More recently the Tesla boss has voiced criticism for Trump's flagship spending bill which prioritises tax cuts and immigration enforcement. Yesterday, Speaker of the House Johnson, thanked Musk for his work and promised to pursue more spending cuts in the future, saying, “the House is eager and ready to act on DOGE’s findings”. Echoing this sentiment, Musk said in his own announcement of his departure: The DOGE mission will only strengthen over time as it becomes a way of life throughout the government. Asked recently whether he would continue to spend such large amounts of his own money on politics, the billionaire said simply: No - I think I've done enough. (Source: itv - United Kingdom)

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