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Europe
European Commission
17/06/2025 The European Commission today set out the legislation ’needed to end the bloc’s reliance on pipeline and liquefied natural gas supplies from Moscow’, starting by prohibiting new deals from next year. The proposed ban sets the stage for heated debate. Supplies under existing contracts shorter than one year will be stopped from June 17, 2026 at the latest. A ban on shipments under existing longer-term deals would take effect by the end of 2027. ’We have taken clear steps to turn off the tap and end the era of Russian fossil fuels in Europe for good’, European Commission President der Leyen said. While no longer the bloc’s biggest supplier, Russia still accounts for almost a fifth of European demand. The government in Madrid has asked that the commission consider a mechanism to compensate companies if they incur fines for terminating their contracts. Some member states are nervous it will boost energy prices especially when the EU is struggling to keep its industries globally competitive and cost companies millions of euros in legal fees. and are unsure about the feasibility of the proposal. The commission has argued that alternative supply sources are available and the ban will have a limited impact on prices. To enforce the ban, the commission wants to oblige importers to provide more transport details such as origin of production, the identity of parties or the port of first loading for LNG imports. The decision on whether the gas is of Russian origin will be taken by customs authorities, who will cooperate with the commission and European energy regulators. The bloc’s rules for ending its nuclear reliance on Russia will be proposed at a later date. The European Commission decided not to use sanctions on gas as that would require unanimity from all 27 member states. Instead, it proposed a measure based on weighted majority support that would allow it to bypass the objections from Hungary and Slovakia. The EU proposal would put central Europe in a “serious situation of dependence” by restricting the sources of energy imports, Foreign Minister Szijjártó said at a conference in Budapest today. “Energy policy is a national competence & this endangers our sovereignty & energy security,” Szijjártó had said earlier on X. “We will not let this happen.” Austria warned the rules could stretch EU gas infrastructure and wanted to explore the possibility to reassess the rules should a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia be reached. (Source: Luxembourg Times / Bloomberg - U.S.)
Ukraine
(17 June 2025) Russia has carried out a mass missile and drone attack on Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, killing at least 24 people and wounding more than 100 others, officials say. There were also two fatalities in Odesa. The strikes on Kyiv lasted more than nine hours, from before midnight until after sunrise. Russia's defence ministry said it had targeted Ukraine's military-industrial complexes and that all its targets had been hit. Kyiv's officials said a ballistic missile hit a nine-storey apartment building in one district, with a total of 27 locations in the city coming under fire. Mayor Klitschko accused Russia of firing cluster bomblets filled with ball bearings. People were still under the rubble by late afternoon. Direct talks between the warring sides failed to secure a ceasefire or significant breakthrough. A reported 147 Ukrainian drones were shot down over nine Russian regions overnight, Russian news agencies said. Zelensky and his administration had been hoping to secure US support on the sidelines of the G7 for Ukraine's strategic and military goals speaking with US President Trump at the summit today, but Trump cut short his stay amid the escalating crisis in the Middle East. (Source: BBC - United Kingdom)
Asia
China
5:42 PM GMT+2 Chinese President Xi said he was deeply concerned about Israel’s military actions against Iran. The conflict has 'sharply intensified tensions in the Middle East,' he said in a meeting today with Uzbek President Mirziyoyev. “We oppose any actions that violate the sovereignty and territorial integrity of other countries,” Xi said. 'Military conflict is not the solution to problems, and escalaling regional tensions does not serve the common interests of the international community.' Encouraging all parties to work to de-escalate the conflict, he added that China was willing to work with them “to play a constructive role in restoring peace and stability in the Middle East.” (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
Gaza
Tuesday 17 June 2025 11:34, UK Israeli tank shellfire has killed at least 51 Palestinians in Khan Younis, according to the Hamas-run health ministry in Gaza. Hundreds of others have been injured. The Israel Defence Forces said it was 'aware of reports regarding a number of injured individuals from IDF fire following the crowd's approach' - and said details of the incident were under review. It added: 'The IDF regrets any harm to uninvolved individuals and operates to minimise harm as much as possible to them while maintaining the safety of our troops.' The statement claimed that a gathering had been identified near an aid distribution truck that was stuck in the area - near where IDF soldiers were operating. The incident took place as people waited for United Nations and commercial aid trucks in the southern Gaza city. Witnesses said Israeli forces carried out an airstrike on a nearby home before firing at least two shells toward the crowd. Gargavanis, a trauma surgeon and emergency officer at the World Health Organisation, said: 'There's a constant correlation with the positions of the four announced food distribution sites and the mass casualty incidents.' On Monday, Gaza's health ministry said at least 34 people were shot dead near food distribution centres. According to the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation - which operates these aid centres - more than three million meals have been distributed without incident. (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)
Iran
17 June 2025 The Iranian Health Ministry reported that over a 65-hour period, Israeli airstrikes resulted in more than 1,400 casualties, with over 90% being civilians. The strikes targeted not only military and nuclear sites but also public infrastructure, residential areas, and medical facilities. Israeli airstrikes on June 16 and 17, 2025, targeted Iran's state broadcaster IRIB in Tehran and hospitals in Tehran and Kermanshah, resulting in civilian casualties. The attack on IRIB occurred during a live broadcast. Israeli forces reportedly bombed Hakim Children's Hospital in southern Tehran and Farabi Hospital in Kermanshah. The strikes caused significant damage to the facilities and injured patients and staff. Iranian officials condemned these attacks as violations of international law, emphasising that hospitals are protected sites under international humanitarian law. International humanitarian law, including the Geneva Conventions, prohibits attacks on civilian objects, including medical facilities and media organisations, unless they are being used for military purposes. Even in such cases, the principles of distinction and proportionality must be upheld to minimise harm to civilians. The recent Israeli airstrikes have prompted calls for investigations into potential violations of these legal standards. Israel has committed similar war crimes in Gaza for over a year with total impunity as western governments close their eyes and hesitate to condemn Israel for crimes committed against civilian populations in Gaza, Lebanon or now Iran. (Source: Helsinki Times - Finland)
(June 17, 2025) 8:44 PM GMT+2 The Israeli military said it has completed a wave of strikes on missile launch and storage sites in the heart of Iran. Meantime: 'Residents of the occupied territories especially Tel Aviv and Haifa are warned to leave these areas in order to preserve their lives,' Iran's new army chief, Gen. Mousavi, said in televised statements. Mousavi was appointed the chief of staff of the Iranian armed forces after the Israelis killed his predecessor, Gen. Bagheri, last week. Huge, continuous and loud explosions are being heard in western Tehran. Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility has been directly impacted by Israeli airstrikes, the U.N.’s International Atomic Energy Agency said today. The agency 'did not say' if this resulted in any radiological changes in the area. Israel’s air force has conducted a series of airstrikes on western Iran today. A number of sites and dozens of surface-to-surface missile launchers were struck, the Israel Defense Forces said, adding that it also conducted intelligence-based strikes on surface-to-air missile launch sites and radars embedded in western Iran. Like Lebanon, where Israel killed a large number of leaders from the Iran-backed Hezbollah militant group, Israel's military appears willing to take out targets if and when they see them. In Iran, the regime is the real government, Israel appears to be talking about effectively decapitating the country's leadership along with the Revolutionary Guard - a significant military force with influence reaching deep into Iran’s power structure. This will certainly mean a different kind of government if Israel can operate there at will militarily and that is regime change. 3:00 PM GMT+2 While Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have called on residents of Tehran to evacuate, leaving the city might prove more difficult. Iran's capital for more than 200 years, the city is home to around 9.5 million, although there are more than 14 million people in the metro area. 11:40 AM GMT+2 Most of those who intended to leave the Iranian capital to avoid Israeli missile strikes have already done so after spending hours stuck in traffic. Many have headed north, where they have homes or places along the Caspian Sea. For a nation of nearly 90 million people, life has shifted rapidly and visibly. 11:31 AM GMT+2 An Israeli airstrike targeted the Farabi Hospital in the western city of Kermanshah, badly damaging its facilities, the Iranian Red Crescent said. A specialized ward and the hospital’s intensive care unit were severely damaged. Yesterday, Israel attacked the Tehran headquarters of Iran’s state broadcaster while it was live on air, calling it a propaganda and incitement broadcasting authority for the Iranian government. 9:36 AM GMT+2 Israel’s military said it had killed Maj. Gen. Shadmani, Iran’s most senior military commander, in an overnight strike on a staffed command center in the heart of Tehran, days after killing his predecessor. Shadmani commanded both the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Iranian army, and was the closest figure to Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
June 17, 2025 6:25 pm CET Iran’s cyber command ordered top officials and their security teams to avoid IT equipment connected to telecom networks in a sign they fear digital disruption from Israel. Both Israel and Iran have powerful cybersecurity capabilities. While Iran is considered a major rival power to Western countries, its cyber operations are primarily focused on espionage rather than disruption. (Source: Politico - U.S.)
Israel
(Tuesday), Jun 17, 2025 Stopping Iran from firing missiles is a top priority for the IDF. It has tried to target launch sites since Friday and officials have said that roughly a third - or 120 - of them have been taken out. Iran still has thousands of missiles left that can reach Israel, national security adviser Hanegbi told Israel’s Army Radio on Monday. That’s more than the figure of 2,000 suggested by comments from many Israeli officials in recent weeks. There is also the steep expense of the interceptions. Each of Israel’s Arrow interceptor missiles, the ones typically needed to shoot down long-range projectiles, cost around $2 million to $3 million. Often, more than one is launched toward a ballistic missile to increase the chances of it being hit. In April last year, Bloomberg reported that it probably cost Israel - as well as the American, British, French and Jordanian air forces - around $1.1 billion to foil Iran’s attack. That was for a few hours’ work. This conflict has already lasted much longer. And there’s little sign of a let up yet. (Source: Japan Times / Bloomberg - U.S.)
17.06.2025 Israel denies possessing nuclear weapons. Founded in 1934, ’damaged in Iran's missile attacks’, Weizmann Institute, linked to nuclear research and military projects hosts technological hub of Israeli nuclear research, spearheads Israeli nuclear development. Israel's official stance is to deny possessing nuclear weapons capabilities. Weizmann, one of the leading figures of the Zionist movement, was the founder of the institute and Israel's first president. Described by the Israeli press as the country's “technological backbone” and “strategic base,” the institute is known for its research in fundamental sciences such as physics, chemistry, and biology. In the US-based Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control and the Institute for Middle East Policy Studies, the Weizmann Institute is associated with the nuclear research center located near Dimona in the Negev Desert. Israeli scientist Bergmann is recognized as the “father of Israel's nuclear program.” In a 2014 joint study by the University of Cincinnati in the US and Tel Aviv University in Israel, Bergmann's influence on Israel's policies was evaluated as a mentor to the institute's fundamental research. Bergmann, who was the first chairman of the Israel Atomic Energy Commission in 1952, emphasized the importance of training Israeli scientists with a background in nuclear physics as the foundation for Israel's steps toward developing nuclear weapons. Bergmann was one of the founders of the nuclear research center in Dimona. He utilized the research infrastructure and human resources at the Weizmann Institute to launch and develop the country's nuclear program. After the US government of the time published the Smyth Report on atomic bombs, he reached an agreement with former President Weizmann to send institute personnel to France and Sweden to receive training in nuclear chemistry. Thanks to the intensive efforts of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), in 1994 the US administration approved the sale of a total of nine supercomputers to industries related to nuclear and missile programs, including the Technion University and the Hebrew University of Jerusalem in Israel, as well as the Weizmann Institute. According the Weizmann Institute's official website, the institution is Israel's most important scientific research facility. The institute plays an important role in advanced weapons and military technology research and development. The Weizmann Institute of Science collaborates with leading companies such as the Israeli army and the Israel-based defense company Elbit Systems on advanced technology development. The institute also contributes to the development of Israel's drone technology, artificial intelligence, and cybersecurity. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)
10:40 PM GMT+2 At a bus depot north of Tel Aviv, an Iranian ballistic missile exploded, burned-out vehicles. An Iranian missile attack destroyed a three-story building in the northern Arab-Israeli city of Tamra, killing four. Israel's Arab minority is about 20% of the country's population. Descendants of Palestinians who stayed in the country after 1948, they are Israeli citizens, but many identify with the Palestinian cause. Israel’s Health Ministry said 154 people were hospitalized overnight - all of them injured getting to shelters or suffering with anxiety. (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
Jordan
2:00 PM GMT+2 Jordan’s King Abdullah II said Israel’s strikes on Iran are a threat to people everywhere and show that there is no telling where the borders of this battleground will end. “Today, that world is in moral decline,' Abdullah said in an address to European Union lawmakers in Strasbourg, France. 'A shameful version of our humanity is unfolding before our eyes in real time, and our global values are unraveling at a shocking pace with devastating consequences. Nowhere is that clearer than in Gaza.' “If our global community fails to act decisively, we become complicit in rewriting what it means to be human,” he said. Palestinians make up half of his population of 11.5 million. (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
North America
Canada
Tuesday 17 June 2025 21:01 BST Zelensky met Canadian PM Mark Carney, who pledged US$3.15bn in new military assistance and loans as well as new financial sanctions. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
17/06/2025 - 18:50 The United States blocked a joint call to pressure Russia saying it wanted to preserve its role as a mediator with President Putin. G7 leaders, however, managed unity today on a joint statement on the Iran conflict that backed Israel but also called broadly for de-escalation, despite Trump contemplating greater US military involvement. The Group of Seven powers pledged their support for Zelensky today as the US president left the G7 summit early to return to Washington to focus on the Israel-Iran conflict. Zelensky met the remaining leaders at a remote lodge in the Canadian Rockies. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney welcomed Zelensky and announced Can$2 billion ($1.47bn) of military support, including drones and helicopters, for Ukraine. (Source: France 24)
(Tuesday), 5:32 AM CEST, June 17, 2025 World leaders had gathered in Canada with the specific goal of helping to defuse a series of global pressure points, only to be disrupted by a showdown over Iran’s nuclear program. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron, German Cancellor Friedrich Merz and Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni held an hourlong informal meeting soon after arriving at the summit late Sunday to discuss the widening conflict in the Mideast. Israel launched an aerial bombardment campaign against Iran four days ago. So far, Israel has targeted multiple Iranian nuclear program sites but has not been able’ to destroy Iran’s Fordo uranium enrichment facility’. The site is buried deep underground - and to eliminate it, ’Israel may need the 14,000-kilogram GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, the U.S. bunker-busting bomb that uses its weight and sheer kinetic force to reach deeply buried targets. The penetrator is currently delivered by the B-2 stealth bomber. Israel does not have the munition or the bomber needed to deliver it. Merz told reporters that Germany was planning to draw up a final communique proposal on the Israel-Iran conflict that will stress that Iran must under no circumstances be allowed to acquire nuclear weapons-capable material. Britain’s Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney, France’s President Macron, Germany’s Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Italy’s Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, President’ Trump participate in a session of the G7 Summit, Monday, June 16, 2025, in Kananaskis, Canada. Canada’s leader Mark Carney formally opens the G7 summit saying: ’The world looks to this table for leadership.’ It’s unclear how much Trump values the perspective of other members of the G7. He immediately criticized the group while meeting with Carney. He said it was a mistake to remove Russia from the summit’s membership in 2014 and doing so had destabilized the world. He also suggested he was open to adding China to the G7. As the news media was escorted from the summit’s opening session, Carney could be heard as he turned to Trump and referenced how the U.S. leader’s remarks about the Middle East, Russia and China had already drawn attention to the summit. “Mr. President, I think you’ve answered a lot of questions already,” Carney said. Going into the summit, there was no plan for a joint statement this year. At the summit, Trump warned that Tehran needs to curb its nuclear program before it’s too late. He said Iranian leaders would like to talk but they had already had 60 days to reach an agreement on their nuclear ambitions and failed to do so before the Israeli aerial assault began. “They have to make a deal,” he said. Trump, for his part, said Iran is not winning this war. „And they should talk and they should talk immediately before it’s too late.’ Trump seemed willing to push back against his own supporters who believe the U.S. should embrace a more isolationist approach to world affairs. Asked what it would take for the U.S. to get involved in the conflict militarily, Trump said today morning, “I don’t want to talk about that.“ By today afternoon, Trump warned ominously on social media, ’Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran!’ Shortly after that, President Trump decided to leave the summit. As Trump posed for a picture today evening with the other G7 leaders, he said simply, “I have to be back, very important.” He abruptly left the Group of Seven summit today, skip a series of tomorrow meetings that would address the ongoing war in Ukraine and global trade issues, departing a day early as the conflict between Israel and Iran intensified. The sudden departure only heightened the drama of a world that seems on verge of several firestorms. Trump already has hit several dozen nations with severe tariffs that risk a global economic slowdown. There has been little progress on settling the wars in Ukraine and Gaza. President Trump and Prime Minister Keir Starmer say they are signing a trade deal to ease tariffs between goods from the U.S. and the United Kingdom. The deal does not include tariffs on steel, an especially important piece of bilateral trade. Beyond Carney and Starmer, Trump had bilateral meetings or pull-aside conversations with Merz, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and European Commission President der Leyen. He talked with Macron, according to Macron spokesperson Ladois. In a deeper sense, Trump saw a better path in the United States taking solitary action, rather than in building a consensus with the other G7 nations. Tomorrow, Trump had been scheduled before his departure to meet with Mexican President Sheinbaum and Zelenskyy. One of the topics for discussion would be a ’defense package’ that Ukraine is ready to purchase from the U.S. as part of the ongoing war with Russia, Zelenskyy said - a package whose status might now be uncertain. The G7 leaders all signed a joint statement Monday night saying Iran can never have a nuclear weapon as they urged a “broader de-escalation of hostilities in the Middle East, including a ceasefire in Gaza.” (Source: Associated Press - U.S.)
United States
June 17, 2025 8:54 pm CET Does Grandmaster beat Deal Maker? Trump doesn’t play chess, a game requiring patience and method. Trump came into his second term pledging to stop the wars currently raging around the world - he’d end the war in Ukraine in a day, strike a nuclear deal with Iran. He’d be the world’s peacemaker, a Nobel Peace Prize candidate. His loyal America First advisers, too, have been openly and emphatically skeptical of any open-ended adventurism that may risk entangling Washington - which, for example, bombing Iran could well entail. The skeptics include Vice President Vance, whose suspicion of foreign entanglements predates even his MAGA conversion, having its origins in his time as a U.S. Marine in Iraq, where he became disillusioned with America’s ill-fated 'forever wars' in the region. Netanyahu is described as methodical and relentless, armed with back-up schemes and a willingness to switch tactics to secure his overarching strategic aim when obstacles arise, trying to ensure he can adapt and is anticipating twists and turns while keeping his eye firmly on the prize. The 2019 parliamentary elections - one of Netanyahu’s most spectacular turnarounds in a long political career full of remarkable and unexpected comebacks - has earned him the nickname Bibi the Magician. Maybe more appropriate would be to dub him Bibi the Chess Hustler, a skilled player whose deceptive tactics gain him an edge over less seasoned and tenacious players, exploiting and anticipating the impulsive and improvised dealmaker’s reactions to maneuver him to where he wants him. Trump toured last month the Gulf, where the Arab leaders pressed him to secure another Gaza ceasefire and to press on with the negotiations with Iran. Netanyahu offered no complaint that a trip to Israel wasn’t included. Trump lifted sanctions on Syria. Netanyahu opposed, he kept quiet too, hoping to tempt Trump into endorsing his ambition of humbling Tehran’s clerical leaders. Having less exposure in the Middle East has been a theme that others in Trump’s national security team have highlighted since November - they want the focus on China and, of course, on the enemies within. But here Trump is dispatching more warships and hardware to the region and partnered with an Israeli leader who for three decades has ruminated about how to collapse the theocratic regime in Tehran, a diehard adversary of Israel. In the past 48 hours he’s sounded more aggressive, more like Israel’s formal partner. Netanyahu has been firmly fixed on his main Mr. Iran goal. For Bibi, Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon have been stepping stones for the big confrontation with Ayatollah Khamenei’s Iran. Humbling and wrecking Iran’s proxies so they can do little to distract from the main objective. Netanyahu will have at least two plans in mind - to change the regime, not necessarily directly by war; the subordinate one to stop Iran’s nuclear program and to open the way to Saudi Arabia signing on to the Abraham Accords. And yesterday, Netanyahu said killing Iran’s supreme leader Khamenei, would end the conflict. He and his closest aides knew a reelected Trump wouldn’t hand them a blank check. Trump harbored residual distrust of Netanyahu and he was unlikely to endorse everything he might want. Now some Trump loyalists are shaping a narrative: Netanyahu and Trump together outfoxed Iran and lulled the mullahs into thinking the dealmaker would restrain Netanyahu. (Source: Politico - U.S., owned by a German company)
(June 17, 2025) 10:50 PM GMT+2 Trump is considering a range of options when it comes to Iran, including a possible U.S. strike on the country, administration officials said after he met with his national security team. (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
7:35 PM GMT+2 Rep. Massie, R-Ky., has teamed with congressional Democrats and introduced a bipartisan resolution today "to prohibit United States Armed Forces from unauthorized hostilities in the Islamic Republic of Iran.” The Massie-Khanna Iran War Powers Resolution is co-sponsored by Democrats who often disagree with Massie on domestic issues. "The Constitution does not permit the executive branch to unilaterally commit an act of war against a sovereign nation that hasn’t attacked the United States,” Massie said in a statement. “Congress has the sole power to declare war against Iran. The ongoing war between Israel and Iran is not our war. Even if it were, Congress must decide such matters according to our Constitution.” (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
(July 17, 2025) 6:13 PM GMT+2 In a post on Truth Social, President Trump said, 'We now have complete and total control of the skies over Iran.' Minutes later, Trump posted again, saying he knows where Iran's leader Ayatollah Khamenei 'is hiding.' 'He is an easy target, but is safe there - We are not going to take him out (kill!), at least not for now,' Trump wrote. "But we don’t want missiles shot at civilians, or American soldiers. Our patience is wearing thin.' (Source: NBC News - U.S.)
17.06.2025 In a post shared on his social media platform, Truth Social, Trump rejected Macron’s reported assertion that the US president had left the G7 summit to return to Washington, D.C., in order to work on a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. 'Publicity seeking President Macron, of France, mistakenly said that I left the G7 Summit, in Canada, to go back to D.C. to work on a “cease fire” between Israel and Iran,' Trump wrote. Wrong! he added. 'He has no idea why I am now on my way to Washington, but it certainly has nothing to do with a Cease Fire. Much bigger than that.' Without providing further details, Trump added: “Whether purposely or not, Emmanuel always gets it wrong. Stay Tuned!' (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)
NATO
June 17, 2025 3:35 pm (EST) 'Executive summary': This year’s NATO Summit - to be held from June 24 to June 26 in The Hague - comes at a critical moment for the transatlantic alliance. NATO allies are cautiously optimistic leading up to the summit and hope it will be a businesslike meeting without major disruptions. 'Most NATO allies are committed to pledging 5 percent of their gross domestic product (GDP) to defense spending, as demanded by the Trump administration'. Tensions remain, however, over Ukraine’s role in the alliance, the U.S. force posture in Europe, and potential troop withdrawals, as well as the long-term future of the alliance. President Trump’s personal unpredictability notwithstanding, the United States and Europe have to develop a new transatlantic security bargain as the main threat for the United States will be in the Indo-Pacific region. This means transitioning to a European-led NATO, without creating capability or deterrence gaps in the interim. 'Europe has little choice but to invest in growing its defense capabilities and to muster the political will and domestic support for such efforts'. (Source: Council on Foreign Relations - U.S.)
by Fix, a fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR); Lissner, a senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy at CFR.
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