Egyik 19

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Tartalom     Content

 Vírusfertőzés és védőoltás adatok

Magyarország: a brit vírusmutáns továbbra is nagyon gyorsan terjed. Április 7.-én életbe lép a védelmi intézkedések első feloldásáról szóló rendelkezés;
Kovidők - útmutató a koronavírusos betegek otthoni ápolásához;
Hungary: in 26 March over 21,6 percent of Hungary's adult population received at least the first dose of a coronavirus vaccine.

Czechia: the country with the highest COVID death rate on Earth. People expect the government to solve their problems rather that taking personal responsibility

France: medical workers have urged the French government in recent weeks to impose stronger national restrictions. Rising number of patients in intensive care

Italy: COVID-19 vaccine mandatory for all health workers. Tightened restrictions on businesses and movements to contain the virus

Románia: Citu Florin miniszterelnök június elsején lazítana  járványügyi korlátozásokon

Slovenia: increased coronavirus transmission rates - 11-day lockdown from 1 April

Russia: Ceasefire is at risk of expiring tomorrow.
The world’s first Covid-19 vaccine for animals has been registered

United Kingdom: Nearly a third of people who have been in hospital suffering from Covid-19 are readmitted for further treatment within four months of being discharged.
The UK will focus on inoculating its entire adult population before sharing Covid-19 vaccine doses with other countries

Europe: French President Macron, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Russial President Putin discussed

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Europe

Hungary
10.03.2026  Tensions between Budapest and Kyiv are escalating over energy supplies. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán recently urged Zelenskyy to restore oil shipments through the Druzhba oil pipeline, one of the world’s largest pipeline networks transporting Russian crude to Central and Eastern Europe. Hungary relies heavily on Russian crude transported through Ukrainian territory via the Druzhba pipeline. Hungarian and Slovak officials have accused Kyiv of deliberately delaying the pipeline’s restart. Shipments were interrupted on Jan. 27. In an open letter, Orbán accused Ukraine of blocking the pipeline - also known as the Friendship Pipeline. The disruption threatens Hungary’s energy security. Speaking on state radio, Orbán said Budapest had already halted gasoline and diesel deliveries linked to Ukraine and Hungary could take further retaliatory steps, could block additional measures if oil transit is not restored. Budapest has also threatened to block a proposed €90 billion ($105 billion) EU financial package for Ukraine, saying it will not support additional funding while its energy interests are under pressure. Hungary’s Parliament today adopted a resolution opposing Ukraine’s membership in the European Union (EU), warning that admitting the war-torn country could draw the bloc directly into the conflict with Russia. Lawmakers said Ukraine’s accession should not proceed while the country remains at war. The resolution calls on the Hungarian government to oppose the launch of substantive accession negotiations and to reject Ukraine’s future entry into the bloc. The resolution urges the government to support international peace efforts and avoid sending additional financial or military assistance to Ukraine. It also calls on Budapest to resist initiatives that would transform the EU into a military alliance and to oppose attempts by EU institutions to bypass the bloc’s unanimity rule in decision-making. The measure passed in the National Assembly with 142 votes in favor, 28 against, and four abstentions. The resolution calls on the government to support international peace efforts, avoid sending money or weapons to Ukraine, and prevent both Hungary and the EU from being drawn into the war, a statement by government spokesperson Kovács read. The statement also criticizes continued financial and military support for Kyiv. It notes that the EU has already provided ' about €193.3 billion ($225 billion) in aid ' to Ukraine since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022 and warns that 'Ukraine’s potential share of the bloc’s next seven-year budget could exceed €360 billion ($419 billion)'. Hungarian lawmakers said such spending could reduce funding available for existing member states through cohesion and agricultural programs. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

March 10, 2026, Tuesday // 09:15  Rising oil prices, fueled by the ongoing war involving Iran, have pushed up diesel and gasoline costs globally. Hungary plans to release fuel reserves sufficient to cover 45 days of domestic needs. The announcement was made by Economy Minister Nagy, as reported by Reuters. Hungary's government has moved to ban the export of crude oil, diesel, and 95-octane gasoline. The day prior, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stated that Hungary would cap fuel prices as a measure to shield both consumers and businesses from escalating costs. The price ceiling applies specifically to vehicles registered within Hungary. Orbán also took the opportunity to urge the European Union to abandon its sanctions on Russian energy. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

Finland
10.03.2026  Finland’s three opposition parties are set to vote against a government bill that would allow 'nuclear weapons to be transported' into or through the country, criticizing the government for discussing the issue within a limited circle rather than following Finland’s tradition of broad consultation on major foreign and security policy decisions. The proposal, announced last week by Defense Minister Hakkanen, would remove Finland’s current legal ban on bringing nuclear weapons onto its territory. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

France
10.03.2026  Nuclear energy is key to reconciling independence and energy sovereignty, decarbonization and achieving carbon neutrality 'by 2050', and competitiveness, which enables job creation in our economies, French President Macron said during his speech at the Nuclear Energy Summit held in Paris. He stressed the need for competitivenes. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Germany
March 10, 2026 1:59 pm CET  The majority of Germans oppose the attacks, according to surveys and German chancellor Merz warns against ‘endless war’ in Iran. Today he took a harder tone, warning that a long war could lead to a quagmire that disrupts Europe’s energy supply and sparks another refugee crisis. EU leaders were set to conduct a video conference today hosted by Germany. Belgium and Italy focused, among other things, on how to tackle rising energy prices across the bloc. Speaking alongside Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš in Berlin, Merz warned against calls to loosen sanctions against Moscow in order to bring down energy prices. Merz expressed concern that there’s no common plan, there's lack of a strategy by the U.S. and Israel for bringing this war to a swift and convincing conclusion. The day after the attacks were launched, Merz expressed doubt that they would succeed in toppling the regime in Tehran, while also saying Germany was in no position to lecture its allies. Since then, the chancellor has repeatedly said he supports the U.S. and Israeli goal to topple the regime. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

10/03/2026 - 11:02 GMT+1  Volkswagen Group net profit slumped 44% to €6.9bn in 2025, the carmaker's worst result since the diesel emissions scandal nearly a decade ago. Trade conflicts, difficulties in China and the change in strategy at Porsche are putting Europe's largest car manufacturer under pressure. Trump's tariffs hit the US market for Volkswagen cars particularly hard, while changes to environmental regulations and the withdrawal of government subsidies have cooled demand for electric vehicles. In China, long Volkswagen's most important growth market, local manufacturers including BYD, Geely and Nio are closing the technological gap and gaining market share. The sports car brand Porsche suffered a sharp drop in Chinese sales while absorbing the costs of a strategic reversal. Having long prioritised electric vehicles, Porsche is now pivoting back toward combustion engine models. The Volkswagen group had already agreed 35,000 job reduction with trade unions at the end of 2024. According to the announcement made by chief executive Blume in Wolfsburg today, the group plans to cut 50,000 jobs in Germany by 2030, a dramatic escalation of its cost-cutting programme. The current predicament is considered to be more damaging than the 2015 scandal. The Group now expects profitability to improve again in 2026. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

European Commission
10/03/2026 - 16:07 GMT+1  Oil prices soar, EU and US clash over Russia sanctions relief. Since Trump's re-election, Europeans have struggled to keep the US president on their side. In late October the US imposed sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's two largest oil companies. Russia ended 2025 with a 18% year-on-year drop in revenues from crude oil sales. Brussels then saw a window of opportunity. In early February, the European Commission unveiled a new package of sanctions with a full ban on maritime services, such as insurance, banking and shipping, for Russian crude tankers. The ban is designed to replace the G7 price cap, recently adjusted to $44.10 per barrel, and significantly raise materials costs for vessels carrying Urals. Greece and Malta, with powerful shipping industries, raised concerns about the measure. G7 members have kept quiet about their positions. The G7 price cap, recently was adjusted to $44.10 per barrel. ’Our view is that we must continue to apply the G7 price cap and we must move towards a full maritime services ban,’ Dombrosvkis, the European Commissioner for the Economy said. (Russian Ural's oil daily price now: $90,96.) Hungary and Slovakia have vetoed the 20th package of sanctions over the dispute with Ukraine about the Druzhba pipeline. Yesterday, Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán called on the Commission to initiate "the review and suspension of sanctions on Russian energy". (His country's purchases of Russian oil and gas remain exempt from sanctions.) That same day, Putin said Russia was ready to resume fossil fuels exports to Europe, free from political pressures. President Trump has suggested suspending US sanctions on foreign oil in an attempt to bring down global prices, reassure panicked investors and contain the fallout from the war he launched. We have sanctions on some countries. We're going to take those sanctions off till this straightens out. Then, who knows? Maybe we won't have to put them on – there'll be so much peace, Trump said yesterday. Trump's press conference was preceded by a phone call with his Russian counterpart, Putin. Last week, Washington introduced a temporary exemption to allow India to buy Russian crude stranded at sea - a major reversal for the Trump administration, which had spent months browbeating New Delhi into ending purchases of Urals oil. The US currently sanctions oil trade with Iran, Venezuela, Syria, North Korea and Russia. In Brussels, officials look at the White House's volte-faces with increasing apprehension. ’They insist the EU will stay the course’. Granting sanctions relief to Russia would be ’self-defeating’, Commissioner Dombrovskis said. ’From the European Union's point of view, the situation is very clear: we must continue to exert maximum pressure on Russia and, indeed, the current oil and gas price spike may provide windfall revenues for Russia,’ Dombrovskis said today, after Trump's announcement and a ministerial meeting. ’Because the opposite would be self-defeating. It would reinforce Russia's capacity to wage war, undermining Ukraine, undermining our support for Ukraine and also undermining the goals which the US and Israel are trying to reach in Iran.’ Russian officials are already anticipating that Russian oil revenues rise. Asian countries dependent on the Middle East might be forced to resort to alternative providers. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

(Tuesday), 10/03/2026 - 10:06 GMT+1  EU energy battles. Speaking of energy, Slovakian prime minister Robert Fico is due to meet commission president der Leyen today on the sidelines of the Nuclear Energy Summit in Paris. PM Fico made the announcement in a video message posted on social media on Sunday evening. The Slovak prime minister has warned that Slovakia could block the European Union’s €90 billion loan package for Ukraine after April if Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán loses Hungary’s election and Kyiv fails to restart oil flows through the Druzhba pipeline. Zelenskyy ’has recently been talking about resuming supplies in a month, which means after the Hungarian elections, where he is counting on the victory of the opposition. The most important message will be that Slovakia is ready to take over the baton from Hungary, if necessary.” PM Fico said. Hungary is currently blocking a loan to Ukraine over the Druzhba pipeline, a key route for Russian oil supplies to Hungary. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán called on the European Union to suspend sanctions on Russian energy imports, as prices spike across Europe, amid Iran war. Hungary and Slovakia are the last EU member states importing large amounts of pipeline oil from Russia through the Druzhba pipeline running across Ukrainian territory. Both PM Orbán and PM Fico have accused Ukraine of refusing ’to repair’ the pipeline in order to exert political pressure on Budapest and Bratislava. The Slovakian prime minister has warned against what he describes as the Commission prioritising Ukraine’s interests over those of EU member states such as Slovakia and Hungary. PM Fico said he will urge der Leyen to pressure Zelenskyy to allow the pipeline to be inspected, adding that „Slovakia has satellite evidence suggesting Druzhba remains operational”. Against this backdrop, ’the European Commission will present a new plan today to lower energy costs and tackle energy poverty across the EU, amid soaring energy prices due to the conflict in the Middle East, according to an internal document seen. Executive Vice President Ribera and Energy Commissioner Jørgensen are set to propose measures aimed at lowering electricity costs. The plan includes reducing electricity taxes, making it easier for consumers to switch energy suppliers, and promoting ’energy communities’ in which citizens generate and share renewable power’. According to the Commission, the package ’could cut’ household electricity bills by around 14% and help millions of Europeans gain access to more affordable energy. The push to expand energy communities comes after an audit by the European Court of Auditors found earlier this week that the European Commission had failed to deliver on its pledge to empower local communities to produce and share clean energy. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)
’Liboreiro and Pacheco contributed’

March 10, 2026, Tuesday // 09:43  After a meeting of EU finance and economy ministers, where the steep climb in global energy prices dominated much of the discussion, European Commissioner for the Economy Dombrovskis signaled that the EU is prepared to release its strategic oil reserves should the deteriorating situation in the Middle East demand it. The participants were cautioned: the bloc must brace for a prolonged stretch of instability - one that could bring supply disruptions, further energy price hikes, and inflationary knock-on effects. The scale of the impact will ultimately depend on how long the conflict drags on and how intense it becomes, with stagflation emerging as a real risk over a longer horizon. Dombrovskis was particularly firm on the question of Russia. ’Keeping pressure on Russia prevents it from fueling its war machine’, he said. 'Failure to do so', he argued, 'would undermine Ukraine, EU solidarity, and Western allies more broadly'. ’Securing energy supplies’ and reopening the Strait of Hormuz are priorities, he added. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

10.03.2026  Speaking at the World Summit on Nuclear Energy in Paris, European Commission President der Leyen today announced a new strategy to accelerate the development of small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs), aiming to have the technology operational across Europe by the early 2030s. She also said Europe once generated roughly one-third of its electricity from nuclear power in 1990, but the share has since fallen to about 15%. It was a strategic mistake for Europe, Der Leyen said. And: the European Commission will introduce 'a €200 million ($231 million)' guarantee to support private investment in innovative nuclear technologies. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

European Council
10/03/2026 - 14:24 GMT+1  Diverging tones in chaotic world. A day after Commission President der Leyen called for an interest-driven foreign policy anchored in realpolitik, seeing the world as it is, not how it should be, European Council President Costa addressing the same conference told ambassadors the EU will always defend the rules-based international order even if others don't. He said the bloc should not tolerate violations of international law citing the United States, Russia, and China, as forces of disruption - from trade to security. Costa referenced the treaties of the EU and the United Nations Charter as the core of its foreign policy action. He also said the EU should call out violations of international law, going from Ukraine, to Greenland, Latin America in a reference to Venezuela, in Gaza and the Middle East. Costa said the people of Iran deserve to live in freedom and peace but suggested that bombs alone will not achieve that as the US-Israeli military operation enters its second week. Der Leyen argued that the war is a fact, and political debates do little to change the course of it.  She was the first EU official to call for a political transition in Iran as the war broke out, aligning with the US and Israel in their push to change the Ayatollah regime. Iran's late Supreme leader Khamenei was killed in the first day of the war. The Commission president's role central has focused on implementing the treaties, drafting legislation and ensuring it is applied across the bloc, while refraining from playing a role in foreign policy or defense, seen as a national competence.  The legitimacy of the war remains a point of tension among EU member states. The Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez called it illegal and escalatory, rejecting an extension of the conflict. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz initially downplayed international law, suggesting that this is not the time for the EU to lecture its allies. Since 2022, der Leyen has enlarged her competences and even set up a security college for her Commission to discuss defense matters in ad hoc consultation body. After the war in Iran broke out, she called an emergency meeting and established direct talks with Middle Eastern leaders. Diplomats consulted by Euronews said her one-off remarks, without consensus from the 27 member states, reflect her position and do not represent the EU. (Source. Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

European Union
10.03.2026  EU temporary protection for non-EU citizens fleeing Ukraine rises to 4.380.000 at the end of January, Eurostat reported today. The total figure increased by 23,110 people, or 0.5%, compared to December 2025. Germany hosted the largest number of beneficiaries with 1.26 million people; Poland followed with 965,990 people and Czechia with 397,185 (9.1%). The highest ratios of protection beneficiaries per thousand residents were found in Czechia (36.4), Poland (26.5), and Slovakia (25.8). Adult women represented 43.5% of the group, while minors accounted for 30.3% and adult men comprised 26.1%. The EU average stood at 9.7 per thousand people. Ukrainian citizens made up 98.4% of the total beneficiaries in the EU. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Asia

China
5:10pm, 10 Mar 2026  China has built the world’s largest highway network as it attempts to boost economic growth and stimulate consumer spending through infrastructure investment. But rising geopolitical risks along its borders – fuelled by territorial disputes, conflicts between neighbouring states and Beijing’s concern that terrorism could spill over – have heightened the strategic importance of logistics in frontier regions. China plans to further strengthen its strategic transport network in sensitive border regions over the next five years to fortify and better project power along its remote frontiers amid rising geopolitical uncertainty. In the event of an emergency, personnel and resources could be deployed more quickly to frontier regions, which is crucial for border stability and national defence. One project involves building a 394km highway linking the northern and southern sides of the rugged Tianshan Mountains in far-western Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region, according to the draft 15th five-year plan released last week. The route will run parallel to a strategic road built in the 1970s to improve military mobility following the 1962 Sino-India border war. Construction of the Dushanzi-Kuqa Highway in central Xinjiang began in September and is expected to finish in 2032. Once completed, it will allow year-round travel and cut journeys across the Tianshan Mountains to half or a third of the time. Under the plan, which outlines China’s policy priorities for the rest of the decade, China aims to complete two highways spanning all nine of its land-border provinces and advance construction of the National Coastal Highway along its east coast that links the port city of Dandong, near North Korea, with Dongxing on the border with Vietnam. It also proposes upgrading the three existing highways running into Tibet. In August, Beijing established the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company to oversee the construction of a strategic 1,980km artery between Lhasa in Tibet and Hotan in Xinjiang. Sitting on the Karakoram plateau, Hotan administers the Galwan Valley, the hotly contested area at the centre of the bloody war in 1962 and a deadly clash in 2020 that resulted in months of military stand-off with India and a diplomatic chill between the two Asian powers that only began to thaw last year. Following the Galwan clashes, both Beijing and Delhi have significantly ramped up infrastructure construction near border regions. In 2022, China unveiled plans for a new highway between Tibet’s Lhunze and Xinjiang’s Mazha that will run near disputed areas, such as the Depsang Plains, the Galwan Valley and Hot Springs on the Line of Actual Control (LAC). In 2024, the Indian government approved a plan to build the 1,637km Arunachal Frontier Highway, which is expected to connect 12 districts and 1,683 villages along the LAC, according to The Times of India. The construction pushes have sparked diplomatic tension. In January, India’s external affairs ministry lodged a protest over China’s road construction in Shaksgam Valley, which is administered by China as part of the Kashgar prefecture in Xinjiang. India, which sees the region as part of its territory, called the Chinese construction an illegal occupation, while the Chinese foreign ministry responded that the area belongs to China, adding that it was fully justified in conducting infrastructure construction on its own territory. (Source: South China Morning Post)

2026-03-10 10:08  China today noted that keeping the Strait of Hormuz secure is vital for global energy supplies. Geng, spokesperson for China’s Foreign Ministry, underscored Beijing’s focus on halting military conflict, noting that China’s special envoy for Middle East affairs plans to travel across the region to support stability and encourage dialogue among all parties involved. Stressing the importance of safeguarding shipping lanes and oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, he urged the international community to cooperate in preserving stability. Earlier today, US President Trump threatened Iran with a strike ’20 times stronger’ than anything it has faced if the country moves to block oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz which handles roughly 4.5% of total global trade annually. Oil prices jumped more than 20% yesterday to their highest levels since July 2022. (Source: Shafaq News - Kurdistan)

India
(11 March 2026)  Yesterday, White House Press Secretary Leavitt described India as a good actor that had previously stopped buying sanctioned Russian oil amid Moscow’s war on Ukraine. “So as we work to appease this temporary gap of oil supply around the world because of the Iranians, we have temporarily permitted them to accept that Russian oil,’ she said. The opposition leader Ramesh today in Congress described remarks by the United States that Washington had ’temporarily permitted’ India to accept Russian oil as a ’capitulation certificate’ for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The recent waiver follows earlier tensions between the US and India over New Delhi’s purchases of Russian crude oil. The Trump administration had in August imposed a punitive levy on India for buying oil from Russia amid the Ukraine war. This had taken the combined US tariff rate to 50%. On February 7, Trump issued an executive order to remove the additional 25% punitive tariff on imports from India over New Delhi’s purchase of Russian oil. This brought the effective US tariff rate on Indian imports to 18% after the interim trade deal was agreed to. On March 5, the US had granted Indian refiners a 30-day waiver to buy Russian oil stranded at sea amid the conflict in West Asia. (Source: Scroll – India)

Iran
(Wednesday), 10:39-11 March 2026 AD ـ 22 Ramadan  Iran's Kharg Island, about 25 kilometers south of the mainland in the north of the Gulf hosts the country's main crude export terminal and is responsible for the overwhelming majority of its oil shipments to the world. Kharg underwent key developments during Iran's oil expansion in the 1960s and 1970s, with much of the country's coast too shallow for supertankers. The island handles roughly 90 percent of Iran's crude exports. Any attempt to seize it would mark a major escalation in the conflict. The US and Israel have so far treaded carefully around the island. But an Axios report over the weekend cited Trump administration officials saying capturing Kharg was on the table as the war in the Middle East persists. Iran has looked to diversify its export capabilities by opening the Jask terminal outside the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint in the Gulf of Oman in 2021, but Kharg remains a critical vulnerability for Iran. ’A direct strike would immediately halt the bulk of Iran's crude exports, likely triggering severe retaliation in the Strait of Hormuz or against regional energy infrastructure,’ JP Morgan said. It is a cornerstone of Iran's economy and a major source of revenue for the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, JP Morgan added. Over the weekend, the director of the White House National Energy Dominance Council, Agen, told Fox News that ’what we want to do is get such massive oil reserves in Iran out of the hands of terrorists’. Also in recent days, the Washington Post reported heightened speculation that US ground forces could be being prepared to deploy, citing analysts saying Kharg Island would be an early target. Not a wise move during combat, when Kharg is almost an entire island of oil facilities and pipelines and tank farms. Iranian strikes have all but halted maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz and have also impacted oil infrastructure in other Gulf states. Iran - the fourth-biggest crude producer within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) -- vowed not one liter of oil would be exported from the Gulf while the war continues. Any attack on its infrastructure would get an eye for an eye response, it said. On Saturday, Israel launched its first attack of the war on oil facilities in Iran. It said they were used to operate military infrastructure. The same day, Israeli opposition leader Lapid argued for stronger steps, saying in an X post: ’Israel needs to destroy all of Iran's oil fields and energy industry on Kharg Island; that's what will crush Iran's economy and bring down the regime.’ (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

11.03.2026  Funeral ceremonies for slain military commanders, including former Revolutionary Guards commander Pakpour, former armed forces chief of staff Mosavi, and former Defense Council chief Shamkhani, are set to take place in Tehran today afternoon. Iran’s military threatened today to launch retaliatory attacks on American and Israeli banks in the region following an airstrike on a bank in Tehran. A spokesperson for the Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, the unified command of Iran’s armed forces, said that a bank in the Iranian capital was struck by the US and Israel yesterday, adding that it has left Iran’s armed forces with the right to target economic centers and banks belonging to the US and Israel across the region. The spokesperson also urged people in countries hosting US and Israeli banks to stay out of a one-kilometre radius of these facilities. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Mar 10, 2026  Ten days into President Trump's Iran campaign, the war has gone global. At least 20 countries are now militarily involved - shooting, shielding or quietly supplying - while a widening energy shock punishes nations far from the front lines. Iran has struck at least 10 countries since the war began, hitting U.S. and Israeli bases, Persian Gulf capitals, oil infrastructure and civilian areas in an attempt to impose maximum pain on Washington and its allies, and has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz. Prices for oil, gas, plastics and fertilizers are soaring across the globe. Israel is fighting on two fronts - pounding Iran while battling Hezbollah on the ground in Lebanon, where more than 500,000 people have been displaced in a week. The war is pulling European militaries into the conflict, forcing NATO to shoot down Iranian missiles over allied territory. France has dispatched its nuclear-powered aircraft carrier to the Eastern Mediterranean, joining British warships after an ’Iranian-made drone’ struck a U.K. air base on Cyprus, a member of the European Union. Greece and Turkey - bitter rivals within NATO - also have rushed forces to Cyprus, where their fighter jets now face each other across a partition line that has divided the island for 50 years. Australia said yesterday it's sending missiles and a radar plane to help the UAE and other Gulf countries defend themselves from Iran. Russia has been sharing satellite imagery of U.S. warships and aircraft with Iran, the Washington Post first reported. China, which is set to welcome Trump for a state visit in a matter of weeks, ’is navigating the war from both sides’. It has been calling for a ceasefire and pressuring Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Beijing relies on for roughly 40% of its oil imports. U.S. intelligence shows China may be preparing to supply Iran with financial assistance, spare parts and missile components, according to CNN. India is back to buying Russian oil after the U.S. waived sanctions to help manage the energy crisis. (Source: Axios – U.S.)

10.03.2026  Late yesterday, in an interview with CNN, Kharazi, a foreign policy adviser to the office of Iran’s supreme leader ruled out diplomacy and said Tehran is prepared for a prolonged war with Washington and may continue attacking Gulf countries to pressure them to urge US President Trump to step back from the conflict. ’Trump had been deceiving others and not keeping with his promises, and we experienced this in two times of negotiations - that while we were engaged in negotiation, they struck us,’ Kharazi told CNN yesterday. Asked whether Iran’s military and leadership remain unified, Kharazi said they do. “The responsibility of the leader of Islamic Republic of Iran is to lead the defense capability of Iran, and therefore, as Ayatollah Khamenei was doing that, now the new leader would do that,” he added. Trump said last week that Mojtaba’s appointment as his father, Khamenei’s successor would be ’unacceptable’ to him. “That is not his business,” Kharazi said. Iran has retaliated with drone and missile strikes targeting Israel, Jordan, Iraq, and Gulf countries that are home to US military assets. Iran also effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, which normally handles about 20 million barrels of oil shipments daily and around 20% of global liquefied natural gas trade, most of which is destined for Asian markets, also cutting off the region’s large exports of crop nutrients used in fertilizer production. The supply shock, combined with rising energy and freight costs, is expected to increase pressure on global food supply chains and contribute to higher food prices worldwide. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Iraq
(Tuesday), Mar. 10, 2026  Kataib al-Imam Ali, which makes up the PMF's 40th Brigade, today said that 'a cowardly American attack' targeting one of its bases in Kirkuk's Dibis had killed four of its fighters. Shortly after the pro-Iran group's announcement, Iraq's Joint Operations Command condemned the attack as 'a blatant attack on Iraq.' On Saturday, another position of Kataib al-Imam Ali was attacked in the Qayyarah town south of Mosul, in which at least one person was killed. Iran-backed Iraqi factions have claimed responsibility for several recent attacks on US interests in Iraq and the Kurdistan Region, including the US Embassy in Baghdad, the Consulate General in Erbil, and American military bases. The attacks have also targeted bases of Iranian-Kurdish opposition groups, the Turkish consulate in Sulaimani, the Emirati consulate in Erbil, and civilian infrastructure like hotels and telecommunication towers. At least three people have so far been killed in the attacks on the Kurdistan Region. (Source: The NewRegion - headquartered in Erbil Governorate, Iraq)

March 10, 2026, 8:19 AM  The most important question: why this war has erupted at this particular moment, and what ’the major powers’ seek to achieve through it. The most common explanation links the war directly to Iran: its nuclear programme, its missile capabilities and its regional influence. Iran may be the immediate target, but it is not the only objective. The first dimension relates to Israel. Iran is not merely a hostile state; it is a country with a large industrial, military and demographic base, capable of developing advanced military programmes and building a network of regional influence that stretches across several countries. The deeper objective is to eliminate Iran’s ability to re-emerge in the future as a threatening regional power. This explains why some strands of Israeli strategic thinking go beyond simply targeting Iran’s nuclear or missile programmes, extending instead to weakening the Iranian state itself or altering the nature of the system that governs it. The war unfolding today appears closer to an attempt to reshape the balance of power in the Middle East. Since the fall of Saddam’s regime in Iraq in 2003, a new regional order has emerged, characterised by a fragile balance among several key powers: Iran, Turkey, Israel and the Gulf states. This balance enabled Iran to expand its influence across several regional arenas, making it a central actor in the region’s strategic equations. The current war may represent an attempt to redraw this balance. Iran emerges weakened or exhausted, thereby opening the way for a new regional order in which Israel assumes a greater economic and military role, alongside an expanded role for other regional powers. The third dimension relates to Iran’s ability to threaten maritime navigation or target energy infrastructure - a strategic concern for countries ’around the world, primarily the US’. Weakening Iran militarily could effectively secure the flow of global energy in the Gulf region and the Strait of Hormuz under a security umbrella led by Washington, thereby strengthening its capacity to influence one of the most vital levers of the global economy. The fourth dimension concerns great power competition. In recent years, Iran has strengthened its relations with both Russia and China, in military as well as economic spheres. In some western strategic circles, this growing alignment has been viewed as part of a broader axis seeking to reduce western influence in the Middle East. From this perspective, weakening Iran could also reduce the scope of Russian and Chinese influence in the region. And there is the dimension of military dominance. The region remains a strategic crossroads within the international system for the US at the intersection of global trade routes, energy flows and vital maritime corridors. One of the war’s unstated objectives may be to send a broader deterrent message within the international system, reasserting American military dominance in the region. In light of these factors, the current war may represent a moment of profound transformation in the regional order of the Middle East. The region could change significantly, potentially giving rise to a new regional order. Political and security vacuums’ effects of a weakened emerged Iran may extend across a number of countries in the region. For Iraq, the post-war phase represents both a challenge and an opportunity. By virtue of its geography and its political and economic relations with Iran, the Gulf states and the US, Iraq is likely to be among the countries most affected by the outcome of this war. It becomes essential for Iraqi foreign policy to adopt a pragmatic approach built on three fundamental principles. The first is to insulate Iraq from regional conflicts and prevent its territory from becoming a battleground among competing powers as much as is feasibly possible. The second is to maintain balanced relations with major international and regional actors, enabling Baghdad to act as a bridge for dialogue rather than as an arena of confrontation. The third principle is to use regional transformations as leverage to strengthen Iraq’s role as a balancing state in the region – capable of playing a greater political and economic role within the emerging regional order. (Source: The National – United Arab Emirates)
by Alaaldin, a foreign affairs adviser to the Prime Minister of Iraq

Israel
10.03.2026  Israel said today that a total of 2,339 injured people, including both civilians and soldiers, have been admitted to hospitals since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran on Feb. 28. At least 191 injured people were admitted to hospitals in the past 24 hours. 95 people are currently hospitalized, including one in critical condition. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

March 10, 2026 at 8:55 am  Speaking yesterday, an Israeli official has criticised remarks by US President Trump suggesting the war with Iran is close to ending, saying: ’Nothing has been completed yet’. ’Our initial assessment was that the battle would take about two weeks,’ the senior Israeli official said, reported by Israel’s privately owned Channel 15 television, which did not name the official. Earlier yesterday evening, Trump told CBS News that the war was nearly over. He said: ’I think the war is very complete, pretty much. They have no navy, no communications, they’ve got no Air Force.’ He added: the US is ’very far’ ahead of his initial 4-5 week estimated time frame for the war. (Source: Middle East Monitor – located in London, United Kingdom, financed by the State of Qatar)

Jordan
10 March 2026 12:21 (UTC +04:00)  On the night of March 10, a missile strike was launched at the military base in Al-Azraq, Jordan, where Bundeswehr and U.S. Air Force personnel are stationed. The missiles were launched from Iran. One of the projectiles hit a building where the FRG contingent was housed, however, the military personnel were in shelters at the time of the attack, so no one was injured. The Bundeswehr has been at the Al-Azraq base for several years, participating from there in the international coalition against the terrorist group islamic state. (Source: APA – Azerbaijan)

Lebanon
(Wednesday), 05:12-11 March 2026 AD ـ 22 Ramadan  The Israeli military ordered reinforcements to the area bordering Lebanon including its elite Golani Brigade. It has also sent more soldiers into south Lebanon, where some of its troops had remained since 2024, establishing what it has called forward defensive positions to guard against the risk of Hezbollah attacks on northern Israel. Hezbollah fighters were braced for the possibility of a full-scale Israeli invasion of the south. Around 5:30 a.m. (0330 GMT) an Israeli strike hit an apartment block in central Beirut today in Aisha Bakkar neighborhood, beyond the Hezbollah-controlled southern suburbs where heavy bombardment continued. On Sunday, an Israeli strike hit a hotel in the seafront Raouche neighborhood. The Israeli military said that strike killed five senior members of Iran's Revolutionary Guards, which established Hezbollah in 1982. Israel kept up heavy strikes on the southern suburbs, known as Dahieh, overnight and into today, sending towers of smoke billowing across the skyline. Israel has ordered residents of Dahieh to leave, along with residents of a swathe of southern Lebanon and parts of the east - all areas where Hezbollah has a grip on security and political sway. Since March 2, Israeli strikes have killed 570 people in Lebanon, and uprooted 700,000 more, Lebanese authorities say. Adding to the death toll, Israeli strikes killed seven people in the eastern Bekaa Valley today morning, and another seven in south Lebanon. After fleeing their homes, around 100,000 people are in organized shelters. France will provide 60 metric tons of humanitarian aid for Lebanon, French Foreign Minister Barrot said. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

10.03.2026  Israel and the US launched a joint attack on Iran on Feb. 28. The conflict spilled over to Lebanon, with Israel launching deadly airstrikes that have so far killed nearly 500 people and displaced thousands. The Israeli army launched attacks in southern Lebanon today, shortly after issuing in a statement on the US social media company X immediate evacuation orders for residents in areas south of the Litani River to move north ahead of attacks. The army also ordered immediate evacuation orders for residents in the coastal cities of Tyre and Sidon ahead of attacks against what Tel Aviv described as Hezbollah infrastructure. It called on residents of buildings marked in red on the attached maps, as well as nearby structures, to evacuate immediately and move at least 300 meters away. Two airstrikes targeted the towns of Deir Siryan and Taybeh in Marjayoun. Fighter jets also struck a building in Aabbasiyyeh town in Tyre. The Israeli army confirmed that its aircraft bombed what it called Hezbollah infrastructure in the town of Ansariyah in southern Lebanon. The army said airstrikes yesterday targeted assets and cash storage facilities belonging to Al-Qard Al-Hassan, claiming the funds are used by the group to purchase weapons, and pay Hezbollah fighters. In recent days, Israeli forces have carried out airstrikes on facilities linked to the association at multiple locations across Lebanon, including the capital Beirut. The attacks came as Israeli forces attempted to advance on the ground in southern Lebanon amid cross-border attacks with Hezbollah. Earlier today, Hezbollah said its fighters engaged in intense clashes with the advancing Israeli force in Khiam, damaging two Merkava tanks. It also said it targeted an Israeli force with rockets as it attempted to infiltrate toward the border town of Houla. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Oman
Mar 11, 2026, 10:15 AM CDT  Today, Iranian drones struck oil storage facilities at the Port of Salalah, located on Oman’s southern coast along the Arabian Sea. Fuel storage tanks at the port were hit in the strike. No merchant vessels in the area were damaged. The strike raises fresh concerns that Iran is expanding the conflict beyond the Gulf chokepoint and into alternative export routes used by oil producers and shipping companies. Earlier this month, drones hit a fuel storage tank at the Port of Duqm in Oman, another strategic energy hub located outside the Strait of Hormuz. Iran also targeted vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz today, according to statements from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reported by Iran’s semi-official Fars News Agency. The Thai-flagged bulk carrier Mayuree Naree and the Liberian-flagged Express Rome vessel was struck by Iranian projectiles after ignoring warnings from Iranian naval forces, according to the statement. According to the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), at least 13 vessels have been attacked across the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, and Gulf of Oman since hostilities began on February 28 following U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran and Tehran’s retaliatory response. With attacks now targeting ports, storage facilities, and commercial shipping simultaneously, analysts warn the conflict is increasingly evolving into a broader campaign aimed at disrupting the Middle East’s energy supply network. (Source: OilPrice.com – Global)

Persian Gulf
11/03/2026 - 11:33  Iran continues to target Gulf states. Dubai airport, Qatar, and Saudi oil field among targets of Iranian drones. (Source: France 24)
Video

(March 10, 2026) 8:44 PM CET  There are currently about 400 oil and product tankers idle in the Gulf. One oil tanker passed through the Strait of Hormuz without incident yesterday, according to data from MarineTraffic, a project that tracks the movement of vessels around the globe using publicly available data. (Source: AP - U.S.)

Qatar
11/03/2026 - 11:24  Iran adoption a strategy of 'war of attrition on several fronts' (Source: France24)
Video

Strait of Hormuz
March 11, 2026, Wednesday // 11:40  The Revolutionary Guard emphasized it would not allow even a single litre of oil to leave the region for hostile countries until further notice. The US Central Command reported destroying 16 Iranian mine-laying vessels yesterday. President Trump confirmed on social media that the US had taken pre-emptive measures against the vessels. Trump assured lawmakers that US operations were significantly ahead of schedule and predicted the war might end “very soon.” Casualties among US forces continue to mount, with the Pentagon reporting seven deaths and around 140 injuries, mostly minor, among service members. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reaffirmed that military action would continue until Iran and its regional proxies no longer posed a threat to his country. Contrasting with Trump’s optimistic timeline, the conflict shows no signs of de-escalation, both Iran and Israel continue to engage in heavy exchanges of fire. Early today, Iran and Israel exchanged additional strikes, with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia intercepting multiple Iranian drones targeting oil facilities. Residents in Tehran described some of the heaviest strikes they had witnessed since the war began, with reports of damaged residential buildings and civilians seeking refuge in the countryside. Iranian casualties have been significant, with at least 1,230 reported killed. Lebanon and Israel reported over 480 and 12 deaths, respectively. (Source: Novinite - Bulgaria)

09:17-11 March 2026 AD ـ 22 Ramadan  Three vessels have been hit by unknown projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz today. The Japan-flagged container ship One Majesty had sustained minor damage from an unknown projectile 46 km northwest of Ras Al Khaimah in the United Arab Emirates. Its crew members are safe and the vessel is sailing towards a safe anchorage. The Thailand-flagged bulk carrier Mayuree Naree was targeted and damaged north of Oman. The fire had been extinguished, there was no environmental impact. Necessary crew remained on the vessel. The Marshall Islands-flagged Star Gwyneth, a bulk carrier, was also hit by an unknown projectile approximately 50 miles northwest of Dubai. The vessel's crew were safe. There were no reports of Iran planting explosives in the Strait of Hormuz, US President Trump said in social media posts. The US said it took out more than a dozen minelaying Iranian vessels yesterday to help prevent any attempt to close the waterway. Some tankers, believed linked to Iran, are continuing to get through the Strait of Hormuz. Seven ships had passed through the strait since March 8. Of those, five were linked to Iranian-associated shipping. Iran has restarted crude exports through its Jask oil terminal on the Gulf of Oman. A tanker loaded roughly 2 million barrels at Jask on March 7. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

(March 10, 2026)  Iran has begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz. The mining is not extensive yet, with a few dozen having been laid in recent days. Iran still retains upward of 80% to 90% of its small boats and mine layers, so its forces could feasibly lay hundreds of mines in the waterway. Severe volatility was on the crude oil market today, with the price per barrel fluctuating between more than $90 and less than $80 in a series of peaks and valleys. Nearly 15 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude production, plus another 4.5 million bpd of refined fuels, are now effectively stranded in the Gulf. Producers like Iraq and Kuwait have no alternative to shipping oil through Hormuz. US Central Command said in a social media post later today that the military destroyed multiple Iranian naval ships - including 16 minelayers - near the Strait of Hormuz. (Source: CNN – U.S.)

United Arab Emirates
March 11, 2026 at 10:25 am  In a statement issued early today Houthi- and Hezbollah-linked group calling itself the Brigades of the True Promise in the Arabian Peninsula threatens to target Barakah nuclear facility in Abu Dhabi. (Source: Middle East Monitor - located in London, United Kingdom, financed by the State of Qatar)

(10 March 2026)  The UAE is considering a crackdown on Iran’s financial assets. Estimates range high, could be $20 billion to $50 billion or more. The figure includes Iran-linked trade, real estate, gold, and corporate accounts. Annual UAE-Iran trade is about $27 billion, with Emirati exports to Tehran amounting to $22 billion. The UAE has long been Iran's gateway to the world, it has implicitly allowed a number of Iranian businesses and individuals to operate in the shadows, away from the sanctions spotlight cast by the treasury departments of Western governments. Iran uses shell companies registered in Dubai’s free-trade zones to mask the origin of its oil. Iran-linked entities conduct business through hundreds of shell companies in the UAE that sell oil, petrochemicals, and other commodities to global buyers. The UAE allows this in self-interest, as Abu Dhabi balances its US military alliance with Iran ties. A large Iranian diaspora of about 400,000 people forms the backbone of the UAE workforce, while Iranian capital boosts the Emirati property market. The UAE’s potential freezing of Iran-linked assets can mirror the West’s actions against Russia. Gulf states once criticised the West for freezing the assets of the Central Bank of Russia to browbeat Moscow into ending the war against Ukraine. Freezing assets can spark further Iranian attacks on key infrastructure, such as ports and refineries, analysts say. The UAE’s real estate market can face a slump, while its image as a neutral destination for investments and tourists from around the world remains at stake. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

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Caribbean

Haiti
10 March 2026 10:32 (UTC +04:00)  Haitian security forces, with support from Vectus Global, have carried out anti-gang operations using quadcopter drones strapped with explosives, often in densely populated parts of the capital Port-au-Prince. Since last March, explosive drone strikes by Haitian security forces targeting gangs have killed 1,243 people, Human Rights Watch said in a report today. The strikes also injured 738 people. Vectus Global is a private U.S.-based military company led by Blackwater founder Prince. The operations have ramped up in recent months - from November to January there were nearly double the number of drone operations compared with the prior three months. The drones can maneuver between buildings and moving vehicles while their controllers track suspects using live video feeds. The U.S. charge d'affaires in Haiti told a Senate committee last month that the State Department had licensed Vectus to export its services to Haiti. A spokesperson for the U.N.-backed Gang Suppression Force in Haiti declined to comment. Despite Kenyan, U.S. and U.N. support, armed gangs have expanded well beyond the capital and security forces have yet to capture a major gang leader. The gangs have killed thousands, displaced over a million and crippled the economy. The U.N.'s human rights chief said last October the drone strikes were disproportionate and likely unlawful. Last month, the United Nations Integrated Office in Haiti (BINUH) said it had no indications the deaths and injuries were being investigated. HRW said there was no evidence drones were being used widely by gangs. (Source: APA - Azerbaijan „citing Reuters” – United Kingdom)

North America

United States
March 11, 2026  ' A summary of the Iran war, so far. As it stands now, the United States and Israel are conducting an air war that appears bent on destroying Iran’s nuclear program. Both see a nuclear weapon as dangerous to themselves, regardless of how it’s delivered. It’s unclear whether Iran can build a deliverable nuclear weapon, but even if there’s a small possibility, it could lead to catastrophic consequences. The first U.S. attack on Iran’s nuclear development program having only partially succeeded, the U.S. and Israel then mounted a far broader aerial assault to bring about a second objective: to force regime change or, failing that, inflict enough damage to elongate the recovery time, during which perhaps a more prudent government might emerge. The anti-regime demonstrations that had filled the streets and resulted in many deaths made regime change appear a possible outcome of a military attack ending Iran’s nuclear program (as the primary goal) and creating an Iran that would be less destabilizing to the region. A new supreme leader has since been appointed to head the government, of the same demeanor as the last one. But he is perhaps less powerful because he seems to be sharing decision-making with the head of the Supreme National Security Council and does not seem to have full control over Iran’s primary military force, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Given the destruction of much of the governing system, including its leadership, and national infrastructure – meaning, a loss of command and control and a semi-functional government – it seems as though the IRGC is executing operations under decisions made by its own commanders by default, perhaps according to its own preference. This is evident in the fact that the Iranian president – considered weak because he is a reformist – apologized to countries in the region that were attacked by drones and missiles in the opening stages of the conflict. It seems likely that the IRGC acted as a military force without political guidance, striking long and deep at all threats, that the first strike left it playing the roles of both military force and decision-maker. The government’s apologies were designed to limit the degree to which the attacked nations would join the Western-led hostilities. It follows from this that the primary goal of the U.S and Israel is to cripple or systematically destroy the IRGC before the new government becomes effective, putting it militarily impotent, in a vulnerable and even desperate situation. The IRGC is a well-armed and trained organization with both ground forces and sophisticated weapons, including drones and missiles. It is widely dispersed throughout Iran, where it is responsible for internal security as well as conventional ground warfare. The group’s drone and missile systems would need to be resupplied with new weapons from storage areas. The primary mission for the U.S. and Israel is to identify the logistical system supplying these dispersed forces and destroy them. These logistics networks are identifiable by satellite, immobile and located far from major population centers. Much of the combat between U.S. and Israeli forces on one hand and the IRGC on the other would take place in remote locations, rather than in cities. Only a few Western aircraft have been shot down, which means either that Iranian air defense systems are ineffective or destroyed, or that the information coming out of Iran is limited. Another vital dimension to this war: oil. In the long run, it is likely that the IRGC will be crippled and that other oil producers will increase production, or that Russian oil, under U.S. pressure now, will flow more readily. This is the war’s shelf life for the U.S. and Israel. They need to end it before prices, particularly in the U.S., rise dramatically - Iran is a less important issue than the cost of living. Iran has attempted to close the Strait of Hormuz. If this creates enough sensitivity to, say, energy prices, it would be a fundamental problem for the U.S. and, as such, would undermine the war effort. „The Strait of Hormuz seems to me to be the critical place where the war will be largely decided”. Sending troops into Iran to occupy it, even with limited opposition, would be difficult and tremendously expensive. A war in Iran would likely be very long and unsuccessful. The key to the war will be the battle to keep Hormuz open as air power shatters the IRGC – something that could potentially be done in months, not decades. The IRGC has not completely halted its attacks on other oil-producing states in the region. Increasing production in other parts of the world can be difficult and time-consuming. If the new Iranian government is unwilling or unable to rein in the IRGC, and it intensifies attacks on regional oil facilities, what could follow would be a significant decline in global oil capability and a dramatic uptick in prices, threatening the global economy. If the IRGC is able to renew its attacks on regional oil producers, simply keeping the strait open would not by itself eliminate the threat of a global economic crisis. This leaves the U.S. and other oil consumers in an extreme economic crisis that will take time to recover from, even after production is resumed. This scenario would leave Trump facing a political crisis in the United States. Washington, then, has three options. The first is to try to cripple the IRGC’s missile and drone capabilities quickly. ’The second is to create’ a new regime that is able and willing to take control over the IRGC. The third is to battle it out in the Strait of Hormuz. It could also pursue a combination of the three, with each facing severe challenges. This brings us to Russia and China. Russia’s army is fighting in Ukraine, and it stands to benefit greatly from the destruction of oil production in the Middle East – which would give Moscow much-needed money and political leverage. China even has diversified its sources of energy, high oil prices would still hurt its economy, dependent as it still is on exports. The Chinese foreign minister has condemned the attacks, even as he confirmed that Trump would meet with President Xi in late March (earlier than the original date). Given China’s exposure, and given the ongoing negotiations between Washington and Beijing, ’China is unlikely' to provide military assistance to Iran. The consequences of the war come down to whether Tehran can or will control the IRGC, or whether the U.S. and Israel will risk launching an even greater attack. The stakes are now getting higher globally, with the most likely option being that the U.S. will destroy the IRGC. From a military standpoint, the fundamental question is whether these goals can be reached primarily from manned and unmanned air power, given that a ground war would likely be long and costly in terms of both lives and money, due to Iran’s size. If airstrikes cannot achieve the goal, the unknown is whether in the end the U.S. would follow with a ground war, which has been since World War II very costly and in many cases a failure.  '  (Source: Geopolitical Futures - U.S.)
By Dr. Friedman, an internationally recognized geopolitical forecaster and strategist on international affairs and the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures. He holds a doctorate in government from Cornell University. His book, THE STORM BEFORE THE CALM: America’s Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond, published February 25, 2020 describes how ’the United States periodically reaches a point of crisis in which it appears to be at war with itself, yet after an extended period it reinvents itself, in a form both faithful to its founding and radically different from what it had been.” The decade 2020-2030 is such a period which will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping of American government, foreign policy, economics, and culture. His most popular book, The Next 100 Years, is kept alive by the prescience of its predictions. Other best-selling books include Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe, The Next Decade, America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge. His books have been translated into more than 20 languages. For almost 20 years before resigning in May 2015, Dr. Friedman was CEO and then chairman of Stratfor, a company he founded in 1996.

(March 10, 2026) 7:35 PM CET  About 140 US troops have been wounded in the Iran war, including 8 severely. “The vast majority of these injuries have been minor, and 108 service members have already returned to duty,” Pentagon spokesman Parnell said. Eight U.S. service members are currently 'severely injured,' Parnell added. Retaliatory rocket and drone strikes from Iran have also claimed the lives of seven soldiers in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. (Source: AP - U.S.)

(March 10, 2026) 4:41 PM CET  First 2 days of Iran war cost the US $5 billion in munitions alone. An estimate the Pentagon sent to Congress does not appear to include other war-related expenses besides munitions. The war is currently in its 11th day. (Source: AP - U.S.)

14:08, 10 Mar 2026  To date, the US has a total of six unaccounted-for nuclear warheads from 32 documented Broken Arrow accidents. One incident in 1958 involved a fully-armed B-47 carrying a Mark 15 hydrogen bomb, which dropped its nuclear bomb following a mid-air collision. The weapon was never retrieved despite initial assertions it was a dummy. The B-47 was transporting a 7,600-pound Mark 15 hydrogen thermonuclear bomb. The Mark 15 possessed an explosive yield of 3.8 megatons, 190 times more devastating than the Fat Man bomb, which flattened Nagasaki. The B-47 sustained damage, the pilot worried the bomb might explode and released the Mark 15 into the waters of Wassaw Sound, near Tybee Island. Over 100 Navy personnel searched for the jettisoned Mark 15. The search continued for two months, and they discovered nothing. The Air Force informed the public that the bomb's plutonium warhead had been removed before the flight and replaced with a lead substitute. Decades later, in 1994, documents released from a 1966 Congressional testimony revealed the Tybee Mark 15 was actually an intact nuclear weapon. In 1966, a B-28 thermonuclear bomb was lost in the Mediterranean Sea following a collision between two U.S. military aircraft, and its warhead remains missing. One Spanish shrimp fisherman witnessed the misshapen white package descend. It was one of four B28 thermonuclear bombs that had been dispersed after two US military aircraft collided over the Mediterranean. Three of the B-28s were recovered on land but the warhead has never been located. (Source: Mirror - United Kingdom)

(11.03.2026)  US President Trump said yesterday that the United States will build its first new oil refinery in five decades with investment from Indian billionaire Ambani’s Reliance Industries. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump described the project as a historic $300 billion deal, the biggest in US history, thanking India’s largest private energy company, Reliance Industries, for the investment. Reliance Industries, which operates the world’s largest refinery complex in Jamnagar, India, has a market capitalisation of about $206 billion. „The cleanest refinery in the world” will be built at the port of Brownsville, Texas, and is expected to process 100 percent American shale oil. The refinery is being developed by America First Refining. The company said it received a nine-figure investment from a global energy major at a 10-figure valuation but did not disclose the investor. America First Refining also said the same investor has signed a 20-year agreement to purchase, process and distribute US-produced shale oil. According to the company, the facility will process about 1.2 billion barrels of US light shale oil valued at $125 billion and produce roughly 50 billion gallons of refined products worth around $175 billion. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)

10.03.2026  The Trump administration is mulling a ground operation to retrieve Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium, believed to be sitting in a storage facility deep underground, according to military officials who spoke to CNN. They said that the move would require a significant number of US ground troops, not just a special forces operation - mark of ’the first major commitment of US ground forces to the war.’ Much of the uranium is believed to be at Iran’s Isfahan nuclear site. The military escalation would put a large number of troops in danger, as it would require a complex mission to safely recover and transport a large amount of highly radioactive material. US intelligence agencies believe the Iranians who have been working to clear the debris from damage to Isfahan facility’s above ground facilities caused by US military air strikes in June last year, have access to the underground tunnels where the uranium was hidden. Officials believe that 200 kilograms of uranium is probably still at the Isfahan site. Iran’s uranium is currently enriched at around 60%, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency. Additional radioactive material also believed to be stored at Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility. Iran has claimed that it uses the uranium only for peaceful energy purposes. Experts said enriching the material above a certain threshold - around 90% - means it can be used to create nuclear weapons. Trump has repeatedly said that Iran can never be allowed to have a nuclear weapons program. ’One thing is certain: I will never allow the world’s number one sponsor of terror, which they are by far, to have a nuclear weapon’, the president said last month. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

(Tuesday), March 10, 2026 9:51 AM (= 02:51 CET)  Trump, Putin talk of war and peace as US weighs easing Russian oil sanctions. US President Trump and Russian counterpart discussed on Monday the war in Iran and prospects for peace in Ukraine, just hours after the Kremlin chief warned that a global energy crisis threatened the world economy, cautioning that oil production dependent on transport through the Strait of Hormuz could soon come to a halt. The Kremlin said Trump called Putin, in the leaders' first telephone call this year, and they discussed Russian ideas for a speedy end to the conflict in Iran, the military situation in Ukraine and the impact of Venezuela on the global oil market. The US and Israeli attack on Iran triggered the biggest spike in oil prices since the turmoil following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Gulf producers reduce output after the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. "I had a very good call with President Putin," Trump told a press conference at his Florida golf club, adding that Putin wanted to be helpful on Iran. "I said, 'You could be more helpful by getting the Ukraine-Russia war over with. That will be more helpful." Putin said Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter and holder of its biggest natural gas reserves, was ready to work again with European customers if they wanted to return to long-term co-operation. Amid the turmoil on global energy markets, Trump's administration is considering reducing oil sanctions on Russia, with an announcement possible as soon as Monday, according to three sources familiar with the planning. The move would be intended to boost world supplies of oil following massive disruptions to Middle East shipments from the expanding conflict. It could also complicate US efforts to deprive Russia of revenue for its war in Ukraine. Talks could cover broad sanctions relief as well as more targeted options for certain countries, such as India, to buy Russian oil without fear of US penalties, including tariffs. "We're also waiving certain oil-related sanctions to reduce prices. So we have sanctions on some countries. We're going to take those sanctions off until this straightens out," Trump told reporters, without identifying the countries. "Then who knows, maybe we won't have to put them on; there'll be so much peace. But when the time comes, the US Navy and its partners will escort tankers through the Strait if needed." Last week, the United States allowed India to temporarily buy Russian crude oil already on tankers at sea, to help it cope with the cuts to Middle East supply. On Friday, Treasury Secretary Bessent said the United States could free more Russian oil from sanctions. Russia's special presidential envoy on investment, Dmitriev, said on Saturday he was discussing the issue with Washington. Kremlin foreign policy aide Ushakov said the discussion with Trump was "very substantial" and "likely to have practical significance for further work between the two countries". Ushakov said Trump believed it was in the US interest to see a "rapid end to the conflict in Ukraine with a ceasefire and a long-term settlement". (Source: AsiaOne Singapore / Reuters - United Kingdom)

 Space

March 10, 2026 / 10:35 AM EDT  A 1,300-pound NASA probe is set to re-enter Earth's atmosphere today, nearly 14 years after it was launched. The Van Allen Probe A, which was launched in August 2012, is likely to reenter Earth's atmosphere around 7:45 p.m. ET today. There is a 24-hour margin of uncertainty. Most of the probe is expected to burn up as it reenters the atmosphere, NASA said, although some components are expected to survive re-entry. 'There is a 1 in 4,200 chance of anyone on Earth being harmed', NASA said, noting that the risk is low. The probe and a twin spacecraft, Van Allen Probe B, were sent to explore Earth's permanent radiation belts and determine how particles within them are gained and lost. (Source: CBS News - U.S.)

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Hungary
06/03/2026 - 17:26 GMT+1  Hungary detained seven Ukrainians and opened a money laundering probe after authorities intercepted two security vans carrying cash and gold from Austria to Ukraine’. Hungarian customs and police stopped the convoy overnight in a motorway service area. According to Budapest, the transfer was supervised by a former general of Ukraine's Defence Intelligence Service, and other crew members also had military backgrounds. The Hungarian government further stated that Ukraine had previously moved $900 million, €420 million and 146 kilograms of gold through Hungary. Ukraine's Foreign Ministry ’issued a travel warning for its citizens, stating that their safety could not be guaranteed’ in Hungary. The Hungarian Tax and Customs Administration has opened a money-laundering case against the seven Ukrainian nationals arrested. The Hungarian government published photographs of the confiscated cash and gold and released a video depicting the raid, which was carried out by the Anti-Terrorist Police. "If this is genuinely a transaction between banks, the question arises as to why the banks cannot settle this by transfer between themselves – and why such a large amount of cash needs to travel at all, let alone through Hungary," Foreign Minister Szijjártó said. Today afternoon, NGOs with ties to the Hungarian government organised a demonstration outside the Ukrainian embassy in Budapest, protesting what they described as Ukrainian interference in Hungary's electoral campaign. People were seen holding banners portraying the opposition leader as a puppet of Zelenskyy. Orbán's Fidesz party has alleged that Ukraine is financing the Tisza Party in order to unseat the government and remove the vetoes it has exercised within the European Union. (Source. Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

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European Commission
06.03.2026  Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó warned that Budapest would block EU funding to Ukraine until deliveries through the Druzhba pipeline resumed. In response, Zelenskyy said: ’We hope that someone in the European Union will not block the €90 billion… Otherwise, we will give this person’s address to our armed forces. They will contact him in their own language.’ The EU "condemned' comments by Zelenskyy threatening Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. EU Commission spokesperson Gill today said Zelenskyy’s threat against Hungarian premier 'unacceptable'. Zelenskyy said he would give the prime minister’s address to Ukrainian soldiers, and ’they will contact him in their own language’ if Hungary blocked €90 billion ($78 billion) in EU aid to Ukraine. „There should be no threats towards EU member countries,” says spokesperson at a press briefing in Brussels. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Hungary
05/03/2026 - 15:50 GMT+1  Last Saturday, shortly after the US and Israel launched their strikes on Iran, PM Orbán convened his security cabinet and raised the country's terror alert by one level. Then, today, the prime minister met with his anti-terrorism coordination committee and ordered border checks. 'Terrorist organisations with Middle Eastern origins have established themselves and grown stronger in Western Europe. We expect them to activate terrorist cells across Europe. We will protect the peace and security of Hungary in this situation as well. We have therefore strengthened controls on foreign passenger traffic arriving in Hungary," he announced. Orbán also ordered soldiers and police to protect Hungary's key energy infrastructure last week, citing 'fears' of an attack from Ukraine. Hungary is currently blocking the European Union's €90 billion loan package to Ukraine over the Druzhba pipeline dispute. Budapest accuses Kyiv of political blackmail. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

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Ukraine
Thursday 05 March 2026 16:43 GMT  Zelenskyy says he would rather not repair a damaged pipeline that carries Russian oil to Central Europe. 'This is my position,' Zelenskyy said. 'Zelenskyy added' that he hopes one person will not block the EU's 90-billion euro loan which Ukraine needs to continue funding its defense against Russia's invasion. The government of Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has blocked a 90-billion euro ($106 billion) EU loan to Ukraine over the interruption to oil shipments, and vowed to veto any further pro-Ukraine decisions until oil flows resume. PM Orbán has claimed that Ukraine and Zelenskyy seek to bankrupt Hungary, and warned voters that if he loses the election, the country would become directly involved in the conflict with Russia. "We have political and financial tools, and with these we will compel them, unconditionally and preferably as soon as possible, to reopen the Druzhba pipeline,” Orbán said. “I will make no pact, there will be no compromise. We will defeat them,” speaking to an economic forum today, Orbán said. (Source: The Independent - United Kingdom)
by 'Spike. Associated Press writer Novikov in Kyiv, Ukraine contributed.'

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European Commission
March 4, 2026 2:40 pm CET  'EU didn’t want' to reveal names of Covid jab negotiators - but in crisis, we might expect leaders to be more accountable. The Commission’s refusal to release der Leyen's messages came to be known as 'Pfizergate. Commission President der Leyen was coming under fire for her text messages with the CEO of Pfizer, which secured a multibillion-euro agreement with the Commission. The General Court ruled that the Commission was ultimately wrong not to reveal the messages. The Commission signed six advance purchase agreements with pharma companies at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, promising to buy a certain amount of vaccines for European citizens as part of the EU’s bloc-wide approach to tackling the virus. When MEPs made requests for access to documents, the Commission published redacted information. More than 3,000 members of the public, many of them skeptics of the EU’s approach and some hostile to mass vaccination policies, brought a separate legal action against the Commission. Lawyers for both the MEPs and the EU citizens were in court today, arguing in front of a packed public gallery that the Commission should uphold the highest standards of transparency, a “constitutional value.” To laughter in the court, the president of the court Lenaerts repeated the Commission’s argument that disclosing the names of staffers could lead to harassment, 'particularly by conspiracy theorists.' Would disclosing those names “not be the best way of combating these conspiracy theorists?” he asked. The next step in the case will be a legal opinion on June 11 by Advocate-General Rantos. (Source: Politico - U.S.)

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European Union
04/03/2026 - 13:27 GMT+1  What are Europe's oil route alternatives to the Strait of Hormuz? North Sea production remains one of Europe’s most secure alternative supply sources. Crude from offshore fields in Norway and the UK can be shipped directly by tanker to European ports. The US and West Africa also offer viable substitutes, with producers such as Nigeria and Angola shipping crude directly to Europe along Atlantic tanker routes. North Africa, particularly Algeria and Libya, provides very short-haul Mediterranean supply routes into Southern Europe. But political instability, especially in Libya, poses recurring risks to sustained supply. Caspian and Central Asian producers such as Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan offer additional diversification. Their crude typically travels by pipeline to Black Sea export terminals before being shipped through the Turkish Straits into the Mediterranean. Latin American suppliers - Brazil and Guyana - can deliver crude to Europe via Atlantic tanker routes. Many European countries like Belgium, Greece, Italy, Poland and Spain rely on the Strait of Hormuz for imports or refining. The closure of this corridor will not cut off Europe’s oil supply, but will continue to drive up crude oil and natural gas prices and disrupt markets. Prices will begin stabilizing once credible prospects of US–Iran talks emerge, once a structured agreement is reached, or if flows via the Hormuz restart. The bloc's oil imports are diversified, with Norway (14.6%), the United States (14.5%), and Kazakhstan (12.2%) ranking as the top three major suppliers. Several EU countries do import oil from Gulf producers. Saudi Arabia accounted for 6.8% of the bloc's total imports in the first 9 months of 2025, with France, Germany, the Netherlands and Spain, the bloc's top importers. Iraq has already recorded oil production shut-ins as a result of the military strikes. Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and The UAE have roughly 10–20 days of flexibility before shut-ins are required, assuming normal production rates. There are two viable oil pipelines that could serve as an alternative to the Strait of Hormuz. The Saudi East-West crude oil pipeline has a capacity of 5 million barrels per day. It runs east-to-west across Saudi Arabia from the Abqaiq processing center to Yanbu on the Red Sea. The second alternative is the Habshan–Fujairah oil pipeline in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), which could transport crude oil to the Fujairah terminal on the Gulf of Oman. It has a daily capacity of 1.8 million barrels. The UAE already uses it as a routine export route. The recently built Goreh-Jask Crude Oil Pipeline in Iran would, in theory, be capable of bypassing the Strait. Already under heavy US sanctions it’s infrastructure is under direct military attack. Its confirmed capacity is around 300,000 barrels per day. Ultimately, only a small fraction of what normally flows through the Strait could transit alternative pipeline routes, compared to the 20 million barrels per day that transit that corridor. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman has ground to a near halt after vessels in the area were hit as Iran retaliated against US and Israeli strikes. Shipping insurers have announced they are cancelling war risk coverage, and tankers are also likely to avoid transiting the Red Sea via the Suez Canal to reach Europe. An alternative is to re-route tankers around the Cape of Good Hope to reach Europe, which adds substantial time and cost to transit. This only helps oil not already trapped in the Persian Gulf. The security strategy is currently reduced to responding to fossil fuel-induced crises, ’both in terms of fossil fuels themselves, but also the powers that depend on fossil fuels to support their power, including the United States,’ Heinrichs, Lecturer in War Studies at King's College London said. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

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Russia
04/03/2026 - 16:25 - 22:06 GMT+1  Hungary is locked in a dispute with Ukraine over the Druzhba pipeline, 'which was damaged in a suspected Russian air strike' at the end of January. Budapest and Bratislava say the pipeline can be made operational, and that Ukraine is blocking repair work for political reasons. Because of the dispute, Hungary has blocked the implementation the EU's €90 billion loan package to Ukraine. Speaking upon arriving in Moscow today, Hungarian FM Szijjártó said the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz posed a fresh challenge in the context of the Druzhba situation. Kremlin spokesman Peskov said both Hungary and Slovakia were suffering from what he called Ukraine's blackmail. He added that no other European countries had asked to restart energy flows from Russia, despite the escalating situation in Iran. Earlier, Hungary and Slovakia demanded that Ukraine allow their experts to assess the condition of the pipeline. Kyiv did not respond to the request. Hungary had also asked the European Commission and Croatia to allow the import of Russian seaborne oil through the Adria pipeline. Zagreb rejected the request. Today, the Hungarian Oil Company MOL, together with Slovakia's Slovnaft, filed a formal complaint at the European Commission over the alleged abuse of a monopoly postion by Croatian pipeline operator JANAF. Russian President Putin handed two Hungarian-Ukrainian prisoners of war to Hungary during FM Szijjártó's visit to Moscow, where energy supply was also discussed. "These are citizens who have both Ukrainian and Hungarian citizenship. They were forcibly conscripted to the front, and we decided to allow them to take two people with them on the plane the minister arrived on and will return home on," Putin said. Ukraine is home to around 100,000 ethnic Hungarians, concentrated in the Transcarpathian region the majority of whom also hold Hungarian passports. The Hungarian government has been a vocal critic of what it describes as the forced conscription of Hungarian nationals into the Ukrainian military. In 2023, Russia released 11 Hungarian nationals from captivity following a request by the Hungarian government. Yesterday, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán had asked Putin for the release of Hungarian nationals during a telephone conversation. Later that day, Putin confirmed the decision during Szijjártó's visit. Beyond the prisoner-of-war issue, the Hungarian delegation also discussed energy imports from Russia. "Hungary has received a guarantee that Russia will deliver the natural gas and crude oil needed to supply our country at unchanged prices, despite the international energy crisis," Szijjártó said in Moscow. Budapest has a longstanding diplomatic dispute with Kyiv over the shutdown of the Druzhba oil pipeline and has consistently opposed Ukraine's bid to join the European Union. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)

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Hungary
03/03/2026 - 17:59  In a new letter, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán asked European Commission President der Leyen to increase political pressure on Ukraine to restart crude deliveries through the Soviet-era pipeline. He also asked the executive to enforce relevant provisions of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement, which is being breached by the interruption. "There is no technical or operational reason that would prevent the pipeline from reverting to normal operations immediately," Orbán told der Leyen in the letter dated 3 March and shared on social media. ’The lack of willingness on the side of Ukraine to reopen the Druzhba pipeline is due to political reasons, with the intention to interfere in the ongoing Hungarian election campaign,’ he continues. "We cannot accept foreign interference in our democratic processes, and we will repel all such attempts." According to Ukrainian authorities, the section of the pipeline that runs through Lviv 'was attacked and set aflame by Russian drones' on 27 January. 'We continue with our contacts' with Ukrainians, we work with all member states concerned by this, notably Slovakia and Hungary, a Commission spokesperson said today. "Our priority remains the security of supply of our member states." In the letter, Orbán says that his proposal for a fact-finding mission to the 'damaged' pipeline has been rejected, and diplomatic efforts have apparently reached an impasse. Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has also called for the mission to go ahead. The Commission said 'it has not taken part in any fact-finding mission' nor has there been a request ’from Ukraine’. It has indicated it could participate 'if Kyiv gives permission'. The EU delegation in Kyiv has made overtures to visit the site of the incident ’but has not received a positive answer’. ’If European leaders ask us to do this, we must understand what the price of doing so is,’ Zelenskyy said at a press briefing yesterday. In an interview with Corriere della Sera published today, Zelenskyy doubled down, saying Orbán is ’of little value’. Kyiv needs a fresh injection of foreign aid in early April, leaving Brussels with a tight timeline. (Source: Euronews - Brussels, Belgium)

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Europe

France
01/03/2026 - 14:46  Former NATO vice chief-of-staff Yakovleff weighs in on US President Trump's call for the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow the battered government following the killing of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. (Source: France 24)
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28/02/2026 - 17:33  Strikes on Iran: In Israel most people support this operation: Bassist, Correspondant for Al-Meritor and public Israeli radio Kan. (Source: France 24)

Germany
01/03/2026 - 14:53  There are concerns that Hezbollah sleeper cells or even Al Qaeda and their affiliates could attack American bases or embassies. Speaking to German media, Henrichmann, of the Parliamentary Control Committee of the Intelligence Services in Germany, warned that the weekend’s attacks won’t stay isolated to the Middle-East. He told Süddeutsche Zeitung: The escalation in the Middle East doesn’t just affect the region itself. The Iranian regime has repeatedly demonstrated in the past that it carried out its terror beyond its own borders. The German official continued by saying 'Iranian sleeper cells in Europe cannot be ruled out' as a form of Tehran’s retaliation strategy. (Source: GB News – United Kingdom)

Poland
February 28, 2026 8:59 pm CET  Poland’s leadership said today it had prior awareness of the U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, in contrast to France, which said it was neither informed of nor involved in the operation. (Source: Politico – U.S.)

European Union
01/03/2026 - 10:56  European foreign ministers were set to hold an emergency meeting today to discuss the conflict in Iran following the killing of the country's supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei. The foreign affairs council's meeting will take place via video link, said Kallas, the EU's foreign policy chief. (Source: RFI - France)

Russia
15:46, Sun, Mar 1, 2026  Today, Russian President Putin expressed condolences over the death of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. He called the act a murder committed in cynical violation of all norms of human morality and international law. The Russian Foreign Ministry had sharply denounced the joint US Israeli military operation in Iran the previous day, describing it as a pre planned and unprovoked act of armed aggression against a sovereign and independent UN member state and a violation of core principles of international law. In Moscow's view, Washington and Tel Aviv have once again embarked on a dangerous adventure that is rapidly bringing the region closer to a humanitarian, economic ’and, not exclude, a radiological catastrophe.’ The Russian Foreign Ministry claimed that the US and Israel are covering themselves with an imaginary concern to prevent the Iranians from acquiring nuclear weapons, while in fact their main goal, according to Moscow, is to destroy the constitutional order and destroy the leadership of a state they do not like, which has refused to submit to forceful dictate and hegemonism. The foreign ministry also appealed to Russians in Iran and Israel to leave these countries immediately if possible. Experts blamed Trump for unwittingly creating political and psychological opportunities. In the conversation with Solovyov on channel Solovyov Live, speaking about Russia’s next move, Karnaukhov and Simes, former presidents and CEOS of The Centre for the National Interest highlighted what needs to be done as they blamed Europe for waging war against Russia: ’Estonia is waging war against us. Mr Trump untied our hands for our Supreme Commander in chief to do whatever he finds appropriate to do for the nation’s security”. (Source: Express – United Kingdom)

28.02.2026  Putin held videoconference with permanent members of country’s Security Council (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

United Kingdom
March 1, 2026 9:32pm ES  The U.S. has been cleared to use British bases for limited strikes on Iran’s missile capabilities after Prime Minister Keir Starmer signed off on the plan. The only way to stop the threat is to destroy the missiles at source, in their storage depots or the launchers which are used to fire the missiles, Starmer confirmed in a recorded statement to the nation. The U.S. has requested permission to use British bases for that specific and limited defensive purpose, he said. 'We have taken the decision to accept this request.' (Source: Fox News – U.S.)

28 February 2026 / 5h 22 min  Breaking / BBC News (Source: BBC – United Kingdom)
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Europe
Mar 01, 2026  'Craven Europeans give US and Israel a blank check for illegal war. They frame the crisis not as an act of war against a UN member state, but as a natural consequence of Tehran’s failure to capitulate unconditionally'. What many both in the West and outside knew all along is that for London, Paris, Berlin, and Brussels, the rules-based international order has been reduced to a simple, brutal premise: might makes right, provided the might is Western. Not a single reference to the international law that explicitly prohibits aggression. It is particularly Orwellian that the European leaders urge the Iranian leadership 'to seek a negotiated solution', when Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi was literally doing exactly that the day earlier in Geneva. The target is blamed for the attack, and the aggressors are seen as restoring order. There is genuine animosity toward the Iranian regime - and not without reason. The brutal suppression of protests in January 2026, support for Russia in its war in Ukraine, and the persistent use of dual nationals as diplomatic hostages have all rightfully earned the Islamic Republic few friends in European capitals. But here is the uncomfortable truth that European leaders refuse to confront: disliking a regime does not justify condoning illegal war against it. International law is not a reward system for good behavior. It is a set of constraints designed precisely for moments like this - when powerful states convince themselves that the target is so odious that the normal rules should no longer apply. The short-term gratification of 'doing something' about a despised regime give way to long-term strategic catastrophe - the erosion of international legal norms that protect all states, including Western ones. One leftist member of the European Parliament from Belgium put it bluntly: 'The EU condones the US-Israeli illegal and unprovoked war of aggression on Iran. European failure to stand up for basic principles of international law legitimizes rogue state behaviour and endangers lives throughout the world. Shameful. Dangerous.' The strikes occurred as U.S.-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman, were reportedly showing progress. The message is unmistakable: there is no point in engaging with the U.S. as it does not negotiate in good faith, and its European allies will always be available to provide Washington diplomatic cover. One case of dissent in Europe is Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's, alone among the leaders of major European countries, who rejected the 'unilateral military action of the U.S. and Israel' for contributing to 'a more uncertain and hostile international order.' The mainstream, represented by the E3 and EU Commission President der Leyen, is consumed with managing the consequences of the aggression — not only having utterly failed to do anything to prevent it through a diplomatic settlement between the U.S. and Iran, but also exacerbating tensions by deploying snapback of the UN Security Council sanctions against Iran. Der Leyen's response is to convene a 'special Security College' tomorrow to discuss Iran's 'unjustified attacks on partners,' effectively treating the escalation as a problem caused by the target's retaliation. Not even hypocrisy remains for European foreign policy — just irrelevance. (Source: Responsible Statecraft – U.S.)
by Mamedov, a Brussels-based foreign policy expert and Non-resident Fellow at the Quincy Institute.

28 Feb 2026  Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, French President Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz issued a statement saying their countries did not take part in the strikes on Iran but are in close contact with the US, Israel and partners in the region. The strikes by the US create a dilemma for its democratic allies. We condemn Iranian attacks on countries in the region in the strongest terms. Iran must refrain from indiscriminate military strikes. We call for a resumption of negotiations and urge the Iranian leadership to seek a negotiated solution. Ultimately, the Iranian people must be allowed to determine their future, they said. France, which has military presence in the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Jordan, will offer military aid to its partners in the Middle East, Mr Macron said in a statement. European Union leaders issued a joint statement yesterday calling for restraint and engaging in regional diplomacy in hopes of “ensuring nuclear safety”. The European Union’s top diplomat called the conflict perilous and said ’she was working with Israeli and Arab officials to pursue a negotiated peace'. We call on all parties to exercise maximum restraint, to protect civilians, and to fully respect international law, said European Commission president der Leyen and European Council president Costa. (Source: Nation Cymru - Wales)

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Israel
(Tuesday), 03/03/2026 - 13:40 GMT+1  On Saturday evening, the same day that the airstrikes took place, flight-tracking data showed that Israel's government plane had landed at Berlin's Brandenburg Airport. Online, users claimed that Israeli Netanyahu was on board the flight. A protest was organised in Berlin demanding to know whether Netanyahu or another member of the Israeli government was on board. Some claimed that Germany had breached "Article 7" (likely of the Rome Statute) by failing to arrest Netanyahu when the plane landed, as the Israeli leader is subject to an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court (ICC) for alleged crimes against humanity and war crimes committed in the Gaza Strip. Most of these allegations rely on flight-tracking data from Flightradar, and a review of this data indeed confirms that the Israeli government plane, known as Wing of Zion, departed Beersheba in Israel in the early afternoon of Saturday. The aircraft then spent several hours circling over the Mediterranean before landing at Berlin's primary airport in the evening. There is no evidence to suggest that Netanyahu was on board the plane. A picture posted by his office shows him attending a security meeting in Kirya, in Tel Aviv, with the IDF Chief of Staff and Director of the Mossad one day after the plane landed. A photograph was attached showing him attending the meeting on Sunday. His office also released a photograph showing him on the roof of a building in Kirya. Another video posted on Monday shows him at the site of an Iranian missile strike in Beit Shemesh. His presence there was corroborated by multiple Israeli outlets. A spokesperson for the German foreign ministry said the Israeli government "asked us if they could park the plane here" and only the flight crew and the pilot were on board the flight. Israel's government plane has routinely left Israeli airspace during rounds of fighting with Iran, presumably for safety. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)
See also: 02.03.2026  Statement by PM Netanyahu at the site of the missile strike in Beit Shemesh (Source: Prime Minister's Office - Israel)
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March 3, 2026, 6:03 a.m. ET  Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered military leaders at the end of last year to begin planning for a solo strike against Iran to be carried out sometime between April and June. Military commanders were unenthusiastic, one defense official said, because they did not believe that Israel, acting alone, could achieve much more than it had in the 12-day war in June 2025. They were also concerned about their ability to defend against what they expected would be an Iranian response targeting Israeli population centers with ballistic missiles. Once it became clear that the United States would be Israel’s partner in an attack on Iran and it began to amass forces in the region, Israeli generals changed their tune. The shouldering of much of the burden by the Americans - including sending aloft a huge fleet of midair-refueling tankers - made it possible for Israel to deploy its largest air fleet ever on Saturday. That allowed for what proved a devastating assault on Iranian missile launchers. Emboldened by its partnership with the United States, feeling its own military strength, and sensing the weaknesses of its fiercest adversaries, Israel is seizing the new war as an opportunity to pursue its own geopolitical agenda. Now, Israel and the United States own the skies over Iran and are steadily blowing up its ballistic missile infrastructure and arsenal. And when Hezbollah joined the fight, however symbolically - with a single, relatively feeble volley of rockets and drones launched into northern Israel at about 1 a.m. yesterday - Israel had the pretext it needed. It announced a much more significant and long-in-the-making counteroffensive, striking Hezbollah leaders in Beirut and throughout the country. Israel’s campaign against Hezbollah, analysts said, reflects the fact that it had made plans months ago for such an attack and was waiting for an excuse to execute them. Tens of thousands of people have been displaced in Lebanon since the fighting began, and 52 were killed yesterday. An Israeli military spokesman announced today morning that troops had indeed seized new areas of southern Lebanon close to the border overnight, but insisted that this was a tactical step and not part of a broader maneuver or invasion. The country’s swaggering self-confidence also carries the possibility of overreach. Ms. Efron, a RAND analyst, said that Israel needed to remember to make political agreements, not just make war. (Source: The New York Times - U.S.)

03.03.2026  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu today rejected claims that Israel pushed the United States into a war with Iran, calling the allegation ridiculous. Israeli leader says US president acts on his own judgment amid report of months-long lobbying. You don't have to drag him into anything, he said. He does what he thinks is right for America. He does also what he thinks is right for future generations, Netanyahu said in an interview with Fox News. The New York Times reported that Netanyahu played a central role in steering US President Trump toward a war with Iran, lobbying him personally for months and working to prevent diplomatic talks from derailing plans for a military offensive. The NYT report described the US decision to strike Iran as a significant victory for Netanyahu. According to the report, Netanyahu first raised the prospect of hitting Iran’s missile sites during a visit to Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in December. Two months later, he secured broader US involvement in a campaign aimed at bringing down the Iranian leadership. Israel earlier announced that it launched what it called a preemptive attack against Iran early Saturday under the name Operation Lion’s Roar, and declared a special and immediate state of emergency across the country. The strikes came as talks between Washington and Tehran over Iran’s nuclear program were ongoing under Oman’s mediation. A new round of talks in Geneva ended on Thursday. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Asia

Bahrain
Sunday 1 March 2026 07:34, UK  Iran launched retaliatory strikes targeting US military assets across the Middle East after the US and Israel launched attacks on Iran. Suspected Iranian drone strike hits high-rise building in Bahrain.  (Source: Sky News – United Kingdom)
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Iran
01 Mar (2026), 17:27  Former Iranian President Ahmadinejad was reportedly killed by Israeli airstrikes. (Source: The Caspian Post - Azerbaijan ?)

01.03.2026  Iranian state TV confirmed today Supreme Leader Khamenei was killed at his office early yesterday, following US-Israeli bombardment. State media announces 40 days of public mourning. US President Trump wrote in a post on his social media platform Truth Social that 'Khamenei, one of the most evil people in History, is dead.' (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Mar 1, 2026 16:35 IST  Senior cleric Ayatollah Arafi, 67, named interim Supreme Leader after Khamenei killing. Arafi is a senior figure in Iran's clerical hierarchy. He heads Iran's national network of Islamic seminaries, serves as a clerical member of the Guardian Council and sits on the Assembly of Experts. He will jointly lead the country with President Pezeshkian and Chief Justice Mohseni-Eje’i. The trio, together, now hold the supreme authority previously exercised solely by Khamenei. As the only cleric in a system traditionally headed by a religious Supreme Leader, he effectively becomes the senior figure within the trio. Vahidi has been appointed as the new chief of IRGC, one of Iran’s most powerful institutions, which operates separately from the country’s regular armed forces with major military, political and economic influence. (Source: India Today)

10:31, Sun, Mar 1, 2026  Ayatollah Khamenei's killing has been described as a declaration of war against Muslims by Iranian President Pezeshkian. Speaking on state television he said: ’The assassination of the highest political authority of the Islamic Republic of Iran and a prominent leader of Shiism worldwide… is perceived as an open declaration of war against Muslims, and particularly against Shiites, everywhere in the world. The Islamic Republic of Iran considers it its legitimate duty and right to avenge the perpetrators and masterminds of this historic crime’. Iranian Supreme National Security Council Secretary Larijani says Iran will strike the US and Israel with force they have never experienced before. Grand Ayatollah Sistani, Iraq’s most revered Shia cleric, issued a rare and powerful statement from Najaf, describing Khamenei’s death as martyrdom. Pro-Iran factions in Iraq, including the Coordination Framework, mirrored Sistani’s language, declaring that Khamenei's blood would be a guiding light. In Baghdad, protesters attempted to storm the US embassy in the Green Zone in response to the killing. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim of Malaysia condemned the Israeli strikes and accompanying US military action in the strongest terms. Turkey's President Erdogan expressed deep sorrow and stated he was deeply disturbed by the US-Israeli attacks, which he said clearly violate Iran’s sovereignty. He also issued a firm condemnation of Iran’s subsequent retaliation, calling the drone and missile attacks on Gulf countries unacceptable, regardless of the reason. He warned that the region is now in a ring of fire. (Source: Express – United Kingdom)

Sunday 1 March 2026 09:21, UK  Iranian state media is reporting that explosions were heard near Iran's broadcasting complex. (Source: Sky News – United Kingdom)
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March 1, 2026  A three-person council made up of President Pezeshkian and judiciary chief Mohseni Ejei, as well as a member of the Guardian Council will assume responsibility for the transitional phase, will temporarily govern Iran following the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. (Source: Premium Times - Nigeria)

01.03.26, 01:55 PM  Pragmatist Larijani emerges as power broker in Iran. Iran's Veteran politician Supreme National Security Council Secretary Larijani accuses the United States and Israel of trying to plunder and disintegrate Iran and warns 'secessionist groups' of a harsh response if they attempted any action, state television said today. Larijani was at the forefront of efforts to crush the series of demonstrations that swept Iran in January. He has been managing a broad portfolio from nuclear negotiations to Tehran’s regional ties to its violent suppression of internal unrest. His status as a trusted Khamenei strategist was underscored last month by a trip to mediator Oman to prepare for indirect nuclear talks with the US. Larijani had also made several trips to key ally Moscow in recent months to discuss a range of security ties. Larijani was also tasked with advancing negotiations with China which led to a 25-year cooperation agreement in 2021. Some of his public statements on the nuclear issue struck a pragmatic tone. In my view, this issue is resolvable, Larijani told Oman state television last month, referring to the talks with the US. Born in Najaf, Iraq, in 1958 to a leading Iranian clerical family, Larijani moved to Iran as a child and went on to earn a philosophy PhD. He was parliament speaker from 2008 to 2020. During that posting, Iran struck a nuclear deal with six world powers in 2015 after almost two years of delicate negotiations. President Trump withdrew the US from the hard-fought agreement during his first term in 2018. (Source: Telegraph - India)

March 1, 2026, 3:49 AM  An 88-member panel called the Assembly of Experts appoints the supreme leader. Until then, a leadership council can step in and temporarily assume all the duties of leadership. The panel consists entirely of Shiite clerics who are popularly elected every eight years. The supreme leader is at the heart of Iran’s complex power-sharing Shiite theocracy and has final say over all matters of state. He also serves as the commander-in-chief of the country's military and the powerful Revolutionary Guard, a paramilitary force that the United States designated a terrorist organization in 2019 and which Khamenei empowered during his rule. The Guard, which has led the self-described Axis of Resistance, a series of militant groups and allies across the Middle East meant to counter the U.S. and Israel, has extensive wealth and holdings in Iran. (Source: ABC News – U.S.)

Mar 1, 2026 13:40 IST  Israeli fighter jets reportedly dropped 30 bombs on a complex housing Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, following intelligence identifying a high-level leadership meeting, according to The Wall Street Journal. The report further cited American sources as saying that Washington had intelligence indicating the Islamic Republic was considering action against American targets before the attack order was issued by US President Trump. (Source: India Today)
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Mar 1, 2026 13:22 IST  The Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) announced the name of its new Commander-in-Chief today, Brigadier General Vahidi appointed as IRGC's new Commander-in-Chief. Prior to this, Vahidi served as the nation's Minister of Defence and Minister of Interior. He also held the position of Deputy Commander-in-Chief at the IRGC. His predecessor, the erstwhile Commander-in-Chief, Pakpour, was killed in the joint military operation launched by the United States and Israel. 'The criminal and terrorist act of the wicked governments of America and the Zionist regime is a clear violation of religious, ethical, legal, and customary principles; therefore, the hand of revenge of the Iranian nation for severe, decisive, and regretful punishment of the killers of the Imam of the Ummah will not leave their collar', the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has issued a warning. (Source: India Today)
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Mar 1, 2026 09:24 IST  Iran confirms Khamenei killed in US-Israel strikes. Analysts have previously cited potential successors including Khamenei’s son Mojtaba and Hassan, grandson of the Islamic Republic’s founder Khomeini. However, no current figure commands comparable religious legitimacy or institutional control, raising concerns over whether any successor can assert authority over powerful bodies such as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and senior clerical networks. (Source: India Today)

Sunday 1 March 2026 00:08, UK  Video appears to show people in Karaj celebrating after reports of the death of Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei. (Source: Sky News – United Kingdom)

Mar 1, 2026 02:31 IST  Israel says Ayatollah Khamenei killed in strikes; Iran calls it mental warfare. (Source: India Today)

Mar 1, 2026 01:23 IST  Khamenei's son-in-law, daughter-in-law killed in US-Israel strikes, says Tehran council member. State television aired footage of black-clad mourners gathering outside government buildings, while clerics called for national unity during televised addresses. (Source: India Today)

Iraq
01.03.2026 Smoke rises from US military base in Erbil after explosions. The incident occurred shortly after the Iraqi Shiite group Seraya Evliya ed-Dem claimed responsibility for a kamikaze drone attack on US military installations in the region. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

01.03.2026  Iraqi authorities foiled an attack on a military base in the southern city of Nasiriyah. Two unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) targeted the base but were intercepted by anti-aircraft units of the army, and no casualties were reported. Three people were injured in the Iraqi southern city of Basra after two missile warheads fell in residential areas. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

March 01, 2026 | 12:54 PM  Harir Air Base in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq was subjected to two consecutive attacks at dawn today. Thick plumes of smoke were observed rising near the adjacent airport. Harir Air Base had previously come under rocket fire yesterday, with four violent explosions heard in the areas surrounding the facility. (Source: Gulf Times - Qatar)

08:43-1 March 2026 AD ـ 12 Ramadan  Baghdad announced a three-day mourning period for Khamenei. Iraq's top Shiite Muslim cleric Sistani, himself born in Iran, today urged Iranians to remain united as Iraqis mourned supreme leader Khamenei following his death in US and Israeli strikes. Iran wields significant influence in Iraqi politics, and also backs armed groups whose power has grown both politically and financially. Khamenei's death was met with anger in Baghdad, where hundreds of protesters have tried since the early hours today to storm the fortified Green Zone where the US embassy is located. (Source: Asharq Al-Awsat - based in London, United Kingdom, owned by a member of the Saudy royal family)

Israel
(Sunday), 01.03.2026  At least 21 people were injured, one of them seriously, after an Iranian missile struck Tel Aviv yesterday. Israeli journalists circulated footage showing extensive damage and large fires in Tel Aviv following the strike, amid heavy censorship regarding losses and affected sites. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Lebanon
01.03.2026  'The hour of your freedom is at hand… Bombs will be dropping everywhere… When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take. This will probably be your only chance for generations.' This is the sentence generations in the region have longed to hear from Washington - the promise that tyranny will fall, that American power will finally align with democratic aspiration. But the record is too heavy. Too bloody. Too inconsistent. From Afghanistan to Iraq to Syria, the region learned something difficult: American intervention - or American retreat - did not translate into democratic transformation. Sometimes it produced a vacuum. Sometimes fragmentation. Sometimes abandonment. Always costly disappointment for America’s local allies. The danger is not that Iranians want freedom. They do. The danger is telling them that freedom will arrive riding on missiles. War - especially one framed as liberation - demands institutional weight. It demands congressional authorization, visible debate, and shared accountability. This decision carried none of that. There was no vote in Congress. No clear authorization for the use of force. No evident consultation with the Gang of Eight. No articulated plan for what comes after the bombing stops. Ultimately, this war is being labeled a U.S.–Israeli attack on the Iranian regime. Yet on both sides of the Atlantic and across the Middle East, many see it less as an institutional decision and more as the convergence of two leaders - Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu - whose political incentives align with escalation. For Americans, the fear is institutional: What does this mean for constitutional limits and executive power? For many in the region - including those who despise the Iranian regime - the fear is strategic. Netanyahu is not viewed as a guarantor of peace, and Gaza remains painfully recent. History has shown what happens when power moves faster than credibility: War, launched on rhetoric without durable institutional grounding, at a moment when trust - in Washington and in the Middle East alike - is already dangerously thin. And this part of the world has already paid for that lesson. (Source: Daraj - Beirut, Lebanon)
by Ibrahim, founding partner and CEO of "Daraj", Lebanon

North Korea
10:27 March 01, 2026  North Korea is believed to have shipped some 33,000 containers of military supplies, including weapons and ammunition, to Russia, the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) under the defense ministry said today. The shipped volume, in terms of ammunition, could amount to over 15 million 152-mm artillery shells. The DIA's announcement in July last year was about 28,000 containers of military supplies shipped from North Korea to Russia. North Korea is also believed to have supplied 220 artillery pieces, including 170-mm self-propelled howitzers and 240-mm multiple rocket launchers. It is presumed to be shipping other weapons, including 122-mm and 152-mm shells, anti-tank missiles, short-range ballistic missiles and anti-tank rockets to Russia. North Korea is known to have mostly used Rajin Port near the border with Russia to ship the containers via sea routes. Since October 2024, North Korea has dispatched more than 16,000 troops to support Russia in the war. Pyongyang has widely been viewed to be seeking the acquisition of key military technologies, especially those related to spy satellites, miniaturized nuclear weapons and nuclear-powered submarines from Russia, in exchange for its support in the prolonged war. (Source: Yonhap News Agency - South Korea)

Oman
2026/03/01 12:34 PM  Two drones targeted Duqm Port on the country’s southeastern coast today. (Source: SANA - Syria)
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Pakistan
9:11 PM CET, March 1, 2026  At least 22 people killed in Pakistan as protesters try to storm US Consulate. 12 people were killed and over 80 wounded in clashes with police in the northern Gilgit-Baltistan region when thousands of protesters angered by U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran attacked the offices of the U.N. Military Observer Group and the U.N. Development Programme (UNDP), local police official Ali said. A government spokesman, Mir, said all staff working for those organizations was safe. He said protesters repeatedly clashed with police at various places in the region, damaged the offices of a local charity, and set fire to police offices. However, he said authorities had deployed troops and brought the situation under control. The U.S. Embassy in Pakistan said in a post on X that it was monitoring reports of ongoing demonstrations at the U.S. Consulates General in Karachi and Lahore, as well as calls for additional protests at the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad and the consulate general in Peshawar. (Source: AP News – U.S.)

March 01, 2026 12:49 CET  Several people were killed when a crowd of students attempted to storm the US consulate in Karachi, Pakistan. The deaths occurred after reports of gunfire between law enforcement and members of the Imamia Students Organization (ISO), linked to Shi'a political parties. (Source: RadioFreeEuropeRadioLiberty - U.S.)

Mar 1, 2026 15:59 IST  At least 12 Pakistani protesters were killed and more than 30 others injured in firing by United States Marine security personnel during violent clashes outside the United States Consulate in Karachi today, according to local media reports. Pakistani authorities and US officials have not independently confirmed the reported casualty figures. (Source: India Today)

Persian Gulf
2026/03/01 12:36 PM  In the United Arab Emirates one person was killed and 11 others injured after drones struck Abu Dhabi and Zayed International Airports. Two more people were wounded in Dubai when debris from intercepted drones fell into residential yards. Drones targeted Bahrain International Airport, causing limited material damage but no casualties. Qatar’s civil defense teams extinguished a minor fire in an industrial area after debris from an intercepted missile fell there. (Source: SANA - Syria)

Qatar
Mar 1, 2026 00:06 IST  Iran fired 44 missiles and eight drones at Qatar, damaging an early-warning radar and forcing Doha to suspend public events, Ramadan tents and tourism activities amid escalating regional conflict. (Source: India Today)

Saudi Arabia
March 01, 2026 | 11:02 AM  Muslim World League * condemns Iranian attack on Arab states. Yesterday, Secretary-General of the MWL and Chairman of the Organization of Muslim Scholars Dr. Issa denounced the attack, describing it as a blatant act of aggression against religious values, as well as against international and humanitarian laws and norms. (Source: Gulf Times - Qatar)
* Based in Mecca, Saudi Arabia

South Asia
01.03.2026  Demonstrations seen in Pakistani, Indian cities as well as Indian-administered Kashmir following US-Israel strikes on Iran, with calls for prioritizing diplomatic engagements. Protests also erupted in several parts of India, including in the states of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Jharkhand, following the killing of Khamenei. India’s main opposition Congress party leader Gandhi said the targeted assassination of the leadership of a sovereign nation and the killing of multitudes of innocent people is despicable and deserves strong condemnation, no matter what the proclaimed reason for it is. “Those in charge of it would do well to remember Mahatma’s words: An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind.” Police in Pakistan's commercial capital Karachi clashed with protesters who stormed the US consulate. At least nine people were killed in the clashes, according to officials. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

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Africa

Djibouti
28 Feb (2026)  Will Djibouti be Iran’s next target? (Source: Horn Review - Ethiopia)

Asia

Bahrain
28/02/2026 - 15:39 GMT+1  Moment Iranian strike hits US military base in Bahrain. (Source: Euronews – based in Lyon, France)
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Iran
28 Feb 2026  At about 9:27am (06:27 GMT), Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency reported a series of explosions in the capital, Tehran. Iranian media reported strikes on the Ministry of Intelligence, the Ministry of Defence, the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran and the Parchin military complex. Several missiles also hit University Street and the Jomhouri area of the capital. Iran’s National Security Council has advised residents to leave Tehran amid fears of further escalation. While it is not yet clear what was hit, Isfahan is considered a key hub for Iran’s ballistic missile programme, with production plants and research facilities in and around the city. Other locations that were struck include: Kermanshah, Qom, Tabriz, Ilam, Karaj, Lorestan province, Zanjan, Urmia, Bushehr, Damavand, and Shiraz. At their closest points, Israel and Iran are less than 1,000km apart. The distance from Tel-Aviv to Iran’s capital, Tehran, is about 1,600km. Iran’s missile arsenal; How ballistic missiles work. *    Multiple explosions were reported in the skies above northern and central parts of Israel, including in the Tel Aviv area and Haifa, where sirens have been sounding continuously. A nine-storey building was hit in northern Israel after Iranian missiles had been intercepted. Israel’s missile arsenal; Israel’s air defence capabilities **     Major US military buildup in the region: The USS Abraham Lincoln; the USS Gerald R Ford. ***     According to the Council on Foreign Relations, the US operates a broad network of military sites, both permanent and temporary, across at least 19 locations in the region. Of these, eight are permanent bases, located across Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE. As of mid-2025, there are about 40,000 to 50,000 US soldiers in the Middle East, comprising personnel stationed in both large, permanent bases and smaller forward sites across the region. The countries with the most US troops include Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, the UAE and Saudi Arabia. These installations serve as critical hubs for air and naval operations, regional logistics, intelligence gathering and force projection. **** (Source: Al Jazeera – Qatar)
* ; **; *** : Charts
**** : Maps
Photo, videos

February 28, 2026 9:37pm EST  On Tuesday, the CIA published a Persian-language video on its X account urging Iranian dissidents to make secure contact with the CIA amid renewed anti-government demonstrations. Iranian authorities have imposed restrictions with national connectivity dropping to roughly 4%. Voice of America  Persian-language service pushes Trump’s message inside Iran today as regime clamps down on communications. VOA launched its Persian-language programming in 1979. Foreign-based Persian-language satellite channels attract a large viewership, according to BBC News. (Source: Fox News – U.S.)

28 February 2026 23:18 GMT  A civil war in Iran would bring serious disorder to the Middle East and risk destabilising Iraq, Turkey and potentially Pakistan. Trump need only look at Afghanistan and Libya for examples of the danger of ousting a regime without an obvious plan for a transition 'to liberal democracy'. There are now real concerns about the possibility of a violent power struggle, with Iran now in a power vacuum. The powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) could impose martial law and take control of the country in the short term if the clerical elite are removed from power.    Different groups who form Iran’s fragmented opposition and who could vie for the Iranian leadership in the event of a power vacuum:    The People’s Mujahideen Organisation. Known by its Persian name, the Mujahideen-e Khalq Organisation (MEK or MKO), the group fell out with the other factions alongside which it deposed the Iranian Shah and replaced the Imperial State of Iran with the Islamic Republic of Iran in 1979. The remnants of the once-powerful leftist militant group which bombed the Shah’s government and US targets in the 1970s still wield a degree of influence in Iran, and now advocate for the overthrow of the Iranian government. The Mujahideen soon developed large numbers of enemies in Iran after siding with Iraq during the war of 1980-88. Rajavi, its former leader, remains in exile and has not been seen for more than 20 years. His wife, Maryam, is now in control, but the group has shown little evidence of activity within Iran’s border for years. The group is the driving force behind the National Council of Resistance of Iran, led by Ms Rajavi, which has an active presence in many Western countries. The Mujahideen has been criticised by rights groups for what they describe as cult-like behaviour and the abuse of its followers. The group denies these allegations.    The monarchists: Revolution swept through Iran in 1979, transforming the country into an Islamic Republic. Pahlavi – Iran’s last Shah – fled the country. He died in Egypt in 1980. Reza, his son, was heir to the Iranian throne at the time of the revolution. He now lives in the US, from where he calls for regime change through non-violent means and a referendum on a new government. Following reports Khamenei had been killed, he wrote on X: 'With his death, the Islamic Republic has in effect reached its end and will very soon be consigned to the dustbin of history.' Despite having support among the Iranian diaspora, it is unclear whether Mr Pahlavi would be a popular choice within Iran.    Ethnic minority groups: Iran’s Sunni Muslim Kurdish and Baluch minorities have long expressed opposition to Tehran’s Persian-speaking and Shi’ite government. Major protests in Iran have often been the fiercest in the Kurdish and Baluchi areas. But there is no strong, unified resistance against Tehran’s rule.   Kurdish groups have carried out periods of active insurgency against government forces in western areas of Iran, where they form a majority.    In Baluchistan, along the border with Pakistan, opposition ranges from supporters of Sunni clerics to armed jihadists linked to al-Qaeda.    Leaders of mass protests movements which have swept Iran at different points for many decades. Protests in December and January soon spiralled into anti-regime protests which were met with brutal force by the Iranian regime. Some reports suggested around 30,000 were killed by regime forces. Whether mass unrest will once again erupt following Khamenei’s death and whether Tehran’s response would be quite as forceful as it was in January - and who would lead it -  remains to be seen. In 2022, major protests gripped Iran, centred on women’s rights. Mohammadi, a 2023 Nobel Peace Prize winner who served as one of the figureheads, is currently in Iran’s notorious Evin prison. (Source: The Independent – United Kingdom)

Saturday, February 28, 2026  Iranian exile group forms provisional government as U.S.-Israeli military operation continues (Source: Maryam Rajavi – France ? / The Washington Times – U.S. )

(28 February 2026) 21:44 GMT  Khamenei is dead. (Source: Iran International – headquarters in London, United Kingdom)

(28 February 2026)  Fresh strikes by US and Israel carried out across Iran (Source: YouTube – U.S. / BBC – United Kingdom)
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February 28, 2026  The primary objective of the US-Israeli strikes is to dismantle Iran’s missile architecture. Tehran is currently at a diminishing, but far from zeroed-out capacity. The 2025 war destroyed roughly one-third of Iran’s missile launchers and depleted long-range missile stocks. Iran retains 2,000 or so ballistic missiles, Bryza, former US ambassador and an Istanbul-based international affairs specialist says, while noting uncertainty over attack drones that Iran has reportedly supplied to Russia for use in Ukraine. According to Toga, a researcher at the Ankara-based Centre for Iranian Studies (IRAM), Iran’s post-2025 inventory has fallen from about 2,500 to 1,500 missiles, while two-thirds of its launchers have also been destroyed. Iran is assessed to have significantly replenished its stockpiles, he tells. In the so-called first wave of retaliation, Iran launched around 35 ballistic missiles at Israel, while simultaneously hitting multiple US bases across Gulf nations. One asymmetric option Tehran has actually rehearsed is the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, through which most of its own oil exports and roughly one-fifth of global oil transits every year. A closure of the strait will sever Tehran’s lifeline to China, its largest oil customer, while alienating Gulf neighbours. Operationally, there are currently two US aircraft carriers in the region. Iran’s naval assets would be degraded within hours, Toga says. A short-term symbolic closure or mining attempt remains possible, Toga says. Such a move will only be aimed at driving up global oil prices and raising the cost of war for the US. The Strait of Hormuz, attacks via Iraq, and cyber operations are all on the table, he says. (Source: TRT World - Turkey)
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Feb 28, 2026 2:04 PM EST  Satellite imagery from Vantor shows what it assesses to be an Iranian Alvand class frigate, one of three seen sitting pier-side in Konarak, a port city in Iran’s southeastern corner, that sits along the Gulf of Oman and near the Pakistani border, billowing dark smoke after being struck as part of the U.S. and Israeli air campaign against the country. The location gives Iran closer access to the Indian Ocean, and it’s also an area known to be a hotbed of drone and missile capabilities, especially the anti-shipping kind, that can be launched from there to reach far out beyond the Gulf of Oman, putting ships at risk in the Indian Ocean. Though Iran refers to them as frigates, the Alvand class warships displace around 1,500 tons with a full combat load, putting them in a category more typically described as corvettes. The current Islamic Republic inherited four Alvand class vessels from the previous imperial regime, all of which had originally been built in the United Kingdom in the 1970s. (Source: The War Zone – U.S.)

February 28, 2026 1:14pm EST  Israel pummeled Iranian targets with simultaneous airstrikes from roughly 200 fighter jets which dropped hundreds of munitions on about 500 targets, including aerial defense systems and missile launchers, attaining air superiority over Iran and severely degrading its offensive capabilities. (Source: Fox News – U.S.)

February 28, 2026 12:18pm EST  Iran's terror proxies in Iraq, Lebanon, Yemen say they're ready to respond to US-Israel attacks. (Source: Fox News – U.S.)

28/02/2026 - 16:53  Iran's judiciary said US-Israeli air strikes killed at least 85 people at a girls' elementary school in Minab, in the southern Iranian province of Hormozgan, the state-run IRNA news agency reported. (Source: France 24)
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February 28, 2026 16:17 CET  Fires, destruction in Iran after US and Israeli strikes. (Source: Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty – U.S.
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February 28, 2026 15:34 CET  Debris, protests against US and Israeli strikes in Tehran; people waiting in lines at gas stations; heavy traffic on the streets of the Iranian capital; people looking for shelter; plumes of smoke in Tehran. (Source: Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty – U.S.
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February 28, 2026 4:00 PM  Iran's Defence Minister Nasirzadeh and Revolutionary Guards commander Pakpour are believed to have been killed in Israeli attacks, two sources familiar with Israel's military operations and one regional source said. (Source: AsiaOne - Singapore)

Saturday 28 February 2026 09:51 GMT  Iran has the largest stockpile of ballistic missiles in the Middle East, according to the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence. They have a self-imposed range of 2,000 km, which Iranian officials have said was enough to protect the country as they can reach Israel. Many of Iran's missile sites are in and around Tehran. There are at least five known underground "missile cities" in various provinces, including Kermanshah and Semnan, as well as near the Gulf region. The arsenal encompasses multiple long-range missiles that can reach Israel, according to the Center for Strategic and International Studies. It says these include the Sejil, with a 2,000-km range; Emad, 1,700 km; Ghadr, 2,000 km; Shahab-3, 1,300 km; Khorramshahr, 2,000 km; and Hoveyzeh 1,350 km. The semi-official Iranian news outlet ISNA published a graphic in April 2025 showing nine Iranian missiles it said could reach Israel, including the Sejil, which ISNA said was capable of flying at more than 17,000 km per hour and had a range of 2,500 km; the Kheibar, with a range of 2,000 km; and the Haj Qasem, 1,400 km. Washington-based think tank, the Arms Control Association says Iran's ballistic arsenal included the Shahab-1, with an estimated range of 300 km; the Zolfaghar, 700 km; Shahab-3, 800-1,000 km; Emad-1, under development, 2,000 km; and a Sejil model under development, 1,500-2,500 km. The Arms Control Association says Iran's missile programme is largely based on North Korean and Russian designs and has benefited from Chinese assistance. Iran also has cruise missiles such as the Kh-55, an air-launched nuclear-capable weapon with a range up to 3,000 km. (Source: The Independent – United Kingdom)

28.02.2026  US-Israeli airstrikes struck more than 20 cities across Iran since early Saturday, according to the Iranian Red Crescent. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Feb 28, 2026 06:01 IST  Iran agrees to 'never, ever' have nuclear bomb material, says Oman's foreign minister. He said US-Iran nuclear talks have made major progress, including agreement on zero stockpiling of enriched uranium and full IAEA verification, urging more time to finalize the deal. (Source: India Today)

(Saturday, February 28, 00:11 CET)  Breaking news. US launches major combat operations in Iran (Source: Sky News – United Kingdom)
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Israel
February 28, 2026  China’s port investments in Israel open the door to espionage. US Navy vessels can no longer dock at Israel’s northern port of Haifa without worrying that its Chinese-made cranes could be spying on them. (Source: The National Interest - U.S.)
by Cohen, the program manager for foreign and defense policy studies at the American Enterprise Institute.

28.02.2026  Iran fired more than 200 missiles at Israel today, wounding 89 people and causing damage in central areas, as one missile struck a building in the city of Bnei Brak near Tel Aviv. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)
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February 28, 2026  Israel intercepts Iranian missiles (Source: ABC News – U.S.)
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(28 February 2026) 19:59 GMT+1  Explosions were seen over Tel Aviv as Israel’s defense system intercepted missiles reportedly launched by Iran. Tehran said it had begun a first wave of drones and missiles. (Source: Euronews - based in Lyon, France)
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Saturday, February 28, 2026 Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu’s full statement on Iran. (Source: Washington Times – U.S.)

Oman
(Saturday), 2026-02-28 14:02  Oman to US after Iran strikes: This Is Not Your War. Before today’s strikes, a new round of US-Iran nuclear talks had been scheduled for Monday in Vienna under Omani mediation. However, US President Trump said he was not happy with the negotiation process and reaffirmed his refusal to allow Iran to enrich uranium at any level. Tehran has consistently maintained that its uranium enrichment is for civilian purposes. Oman’s Foreign Minister Albusaidi said today that the recent US and Israeli strikes on Iran have disrupted nuclear talks, warning Washington against being 'sucked in further' into the conflict. “I am dismayed. Active and serious negotiations have yet again been undermined,' Albusaidi wrote on X, adding that neither US interests nor global peace are served by the escalation. Addressing Washington directly, he stressed, “This is not your war.” (Source: Shafaq News - Iraq)

Persian Gulf
February 28, 2026 10:15am EST  Iran launched missile and drone strikes targeting U.S. military facilities in multiple Middle Eastern countries 'Friday', retaliating after coordinated U.S.–Israeli strikes on Iranian military and nuclear-linked sites. Explosions were reported in or near areas hosting American forces in Bahrain - home to the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet -, Qatar’s Al Udeid Air Base and the United Arab Emirates' Al Dhafra Air Base, Kuwait and Jordan, according to regional officials and state media accounts. Several of those governments said their air defense systems intercepted incoming projectiles. The United States military earlier carried out strikes against what officials described as high-value Iranian targets, including IRGC facilities, naval assets and underground sites believed to be associated with Iran’s nuclear program. One U.S. official told that American forces had suppressed Iranian air defenses in the initial wave of strikes. Tomahawk cruise missiles were used in the opening phase of the U.S. operation. The campaign was described as a multi-geographic operation designed to overwhelm Iran’s defensive capabilities and could continue for multiple days. Officials also indicated the U.S. employed one-way attack drones in combat for the first time. (Source: Fox News - U.S.)

February 28, 2026 7:56 AM ET  Several Gulf countries that host American military bases in the region including the Bahrain, Qatar and United Arab Emirates say Iran has retaliated to U.S. strikes, they have been attacked. (Source: NPR - U.S.)
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Saturday, February 28, 2026  The Iranian attacks have targeted locations in at least six countries, including U.S. military bases across the region, and Israel. Explosions reported near Riyadh, Dubai, Abu Dhabi as Iran launches major counterattack. (Source: Washington Times – U.S.)

Qatar
Saturday 28 February 2026 14:24, UK  A missile, which was likely intercepted, was free falling into a residential area in Doha. (Source: Sky News - United Kingdom)
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Saudi Arabia
February 28, 2026  US base in Saudi Arabia under attack. (Source: Fox News - U.S.)
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28.02.2026  Saudi Arabia today strongly condemned what it described as blatant Iranian attacks targeting the Riyadh region and the Eastern Province, saying its air defenses intercepted the projectiles. The Foreign Ministry said the attacks were unjustifiable under any circumstances and came despite the kingdom’s prior assurances that its airspace and territory would not be used to target Iran. Riyadh said it would take all necessary measures to safeguard its security and protect its territory, citizens and residents, including the option of responding to the aggression. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

Strait of Hormuz
Feb 28, 2026 21:47 IST  No ship allowed through Strait of Hormuz, Iran Guards tell vessels: EU naval mission. (Source: India Today)

United Arab Emirates
Mar 1, 2026 00:30 IST  A viral video showed, in what appeared to be a drone, plummeting into the landmark Palm Jumeirah area in Dubai. (India Today)

01.03.2026  UAE says today it shot down 132 missiles, intercepted 195 drones in Iranian attack. Defense Ministry outlines interception figures, affirms right to respond. (Source: Anadolu Agency - Turkey)

(Saturday), Feb 28, 2026 22:53 IST  Dubai, a key global trade and aviation hub, was targeted by Iran despite does not host U.S. base. The UAE Ministry of Defence announced that its air defence systems intercepted and destroyed a new wave of Iranian missiles and drones launched towards the country. Over 100 airlines operate flights to and from Dubai, connecting it to countries across continents. Over 700 flights were cancelled at Dubai alone. (Source: India Today)

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United States
Mar 2, 2026, 10:17 AM CET  America's energy dominance. In 1987, when Trump was first flirting with running for president, he told an audience in New Hampshire that the United States should attack the 'horrible, horrible country' of Iran, ’and take over some of their oil.’ In the years since, Trump talked about grabbing control of the natural resources of Venezuela, Iraq, Syria, Kuwait, and Libya, too. For a long time - including during Trump's first term - this smash-and-grab idea to corner the global energy supply was treated as something of a joke by outside analysts and political opponents. In this second administration, a version of it has become a building block of American power projection, both at home and abroad. That policy is one of the reasons why the US captured Venezuela's president. And it's why the Trump administration was bragging in the run-up to this past weekend's massive American-Israeli assault on Iran ’that it could do so without upending the global economy’. To vastly oversimplify the ’energy dominance’ plan, it boils down to three steps: maximize America's share of the world's energy supply, especially its fossil fuels; leverage the hell out of 'em; and then make rivals both foreign and domestic bend the knee. Or, as President Trump put it in a speech he gave in Corpus Christi, Texas the day before he ordered this new attack on Iran, he's ’cementing America's status as the number one energy superpower by far anywhere on Earth.’ Previous presidents from both parties encouraged more and more and more drilling, all in the name of weaning America off others' fossil fuels. Now the US produces more oil than Russia and Saudi Arabia combined. ’Our oil, our gas, our minerals, our coal,’ Goldberg, who last year helped set up the administration's National Energy Dominance Council (NEDC), tells. ’If you can unlock those assets, that's trillions of dollars and an incredible amount of power projection and leverage over our adversaries.’ Take Iran. Before the president ordered the bombing of Tehran's nuclear facilities last year, he got a little jumpy. Iran had repeatedly threatened the global energy market, with its mines and drones and fast-moving attack boats stationed around the strategically-located Strait of Hormuz. Trump's advisers told him not to worry. The US and its allies now controlled so much of the world's oil, Iran couldn't make that much of an impact. Sure enough, crude didn't rise too high for too long, peaking at $79 per barrel before settling back down to $66 two days later. In part, that was because of all of that cheap American and allied crude on the market. Energy Secretary Wright later chalked it up as ’perfect evidence of Trump's energy dominance agenda, you know, growing production in the United States - and a sign that the US could keep on attacking Iran with minimal economic blowback’. This time, almost all energy analysts are predicting a short-term bump in prices, with some foreseeing a jump to $100 per barrel. Then there's Venezuela. When American forces grabbed Caracas' dictator Maduro in early January, Trump declared that the US was going to ’run the country.’ He wanted to do it by controlling Venezuela's oil: where it flowed, and who profited from it. Wright and other US officials locked arms with Maduro's business-friendly deputy, González, the opposition leader the US recognized as the president-elect after the 2024 vote. Caracas' oil was immediately cut off to what had previously been Venezuela's closest ally, the communist government in Cuba. That deepened an economic crisis so severe that talk of another regime change in Latin America is now in the air. The drive towards energy dominance shows few signs of slowing down. A scenario: Trump leverages Venezuela to gain backdoor control of - or at least serious influence over - OPEC. Venezuela is one of 12 members of OPEC, the global oil cartel which has held sway over world's energy prices for decades. But that dominance is not total, and the Trumpists see China as the biggest threat to it. Beijing's solar, wind, and battery tech has become so efficient and cheap that it's undercutting the appeal of US-controlled fossil fuels, while dressing themselves as global good guys, working to stave off a planet-wide climate emergency, even as it continues to be the world's polluter-in-chief. China exported more than $222 billion in cleantech last year. Its carmakers exported 2.6 million electric vehicles, worth more than $70 billion. US automakers sold about half of that - at home and abroad. China continues to build coal plants - as much as 95% of the world's new coal construction is happening there. Renewable power is coming online in China even more quickly: Bloomberg New Energy Finance expects solar to make up more than 30% of China's power generation by 2030. Now the National Energy Dominance Council would be freer than ever cutting deals to further expand America's oil and gas exports, sawing through the regulatory crust keeping the United States from building out its energy and power infrastructure. Kelm, a former Shell and Valero Energy staffer now with the NEDC, said on a podcast last summer that the council acts as a ’concierge, white-glove service’ for energy companies looking to overcome the bureaucratic inertia that can overtake large-scale developments. Like the massive, 800-mile Alaska natural gas pipeline, stuck in planning and permitting limbo for decades, that's now on track to be built before the end of Trump's term, and will eventually supply 3.5 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. Energy dominance is more than simply an instrument of geopolitical leverage, the Trumpists insist. AI data centers require massive amounts of power, and the only way to reliably supply it at the scale required, the administration has claimed, is with fossil fuels. It's a blueprint for rewiring the American economy for the age of AI before China can do the same. Big Tech companies are plowing an unimaginable pile of cash into data centers and have jumped on the Trump administration's narrative of an energy competition with the People's Republic of China with both feet. In a late October letter to the White House, for example, OpenAI's chief global affairs officer Lehane warned of a widening 'electron gap' with the PRC, that ’could jeopardize the greatest national economic opportunity since electricity drove the latter half of the Industrial Age’. Natural gas plants take too long to build, with wait times of up to seven years for the turbines required. New nuclear operations take even longer. That's why OpenAI is investing in both natural gas and solar projects, Lehane wrote. In February, Google signed up for another gigawatt of solar capacity in Texas. Microsoft just announced that it identifies renewable sources for all of its electricity consumption worldwide. Wind, hydropower, and solar already account for 27% of data centers' global energy supply, according to the International Energy Agency. Such power sources will continue to grow, the agency predicts, as will a resurgent nuclear industry. The Trump administration's reactions to this trend towards renewables have been, for the most part, predictably hostile. Before he took office, Trump's energy dominance agenda started. ’I told the European Union that they must make up their tremendous deficit with the United States by the large scale purchase of our oil and gas. Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the way!!!’ he posted in December 2024. Washington has since elbowed out Moscow as Europe's leading natural gas supplier. At a February meeting in Paris, Wright gave an ultimatum to the International Energy Agency, which has provided authoritative data and policy guidance for a half-century. Either the agency stops focusing on ’climate stuff,’ or the United States quits, Wright demanded. Months earlier, the Trump administration was reportedly accused of threatening Asian and Caribbean diplomats as part of its successful campaign to torpedo a 100-nation agreement curbing emissions from cargo ships. As the NEDC cleared the way for more fossil fuel projects, Burgum, the U.S. Secretary of the Interior had been holding up federal approvals on hundreds of solar and wind farms that are designed to power millions and millions of homes. "No one's electric bill has gone up because of a data center. It's gone up because of the climate fantasy versus the energy reality,' he told Fox News. The vision of energy dominance that centers around fossil fuels is colliding with the reality of spiking prices. Electricity costs in areas near major data centers are up as much as 267% over the last five years, a recent Bloomberg analysis concluded. There's an effort underway to reinterpret the president's previous blanket hostility towards renewables. Burgum is beginning to review six of the "utility-scale" solar projects that the Interior Department previously held up. MAGA figures like Musk are touting solar as the cost-effective energy of the future. The economics of US fossil fuel production are unlikely to change. Prices are too low to make new oil drilling worth it. The boss has publicly expressed his opinion that windmills are killing all your birds, causing cancer and ruining the views from his golf course in Scotland. At a time when the Trump administration is openly contemplating decapitating more governments, pushing one-time allies towards America's biggest rival, sabotaging projects that could supply power to millions, and upping the chances of a climate catastrophe — all in the name of energy dominance — maybe it doesn't matter how coherent the theory of the case is. Maybe all that matters is how dangerous it's proving to be. 'We have a big decision to make,’ Trump said in Corpus Christi, the day before the attacks that have killed hundreds of Iranians, including the top tier of their political leadership. "I'd rather do it the peaceful way, but they're very difficult people. I want to tell you that. They're very dangerous people.’ In front of Trump were a pair of placards. They read: ’America's energy dominance.’ (Source: Business Insider – headquarters New York City, U.S; owned by a German company)
by Shachtman, a contributing editor at WIRED and a veteran reporter on global security issues. He previously served as the editor-in-chief of Rolling Stone and The Daily Beast.

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United States
Mar 1, 2026 8:47 PM EST  U.S.-Israeli war with Iran enters day two (Updated) /Source: The War Zone – U.S./
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(March 1, 2026) 11:06 AM EST  U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) has confirmed the first U.S. casualties of the conflict. Three U.S. service members have been killed in action and five are seriously wounded as part of Operation Epic Fury, according to an official statement. Several others sustained minor shrapnel injuries and concussions — and are in the process of being returned to duty. The statement does not say where these casualties occurred. CENTCOM has also confirmed that Iran targeted the U.S. Navy’s supercarrier USS Abraham Lincoln, but says that the missiles didn’t even come close to the ship. The IDF is now saying that it destroyed the General Staff headquarters of Iran’s Internal Security Forces, as well as the command center responsible for coordinating the defense of Tehran. (Source: The War Zone – U.S.)

01/03/2026 - 11:16  White House releases photo of Trump overseeing US-Israeli strikes on Iran. Faces are solemn. (Source: Fance 24)
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(1 March  2026)  Breaking the bridge while building it. Trump built his political brand opposing 'endless wars' and criticising the Iraq invasion. “America First” promised strategic restraint, hard bargaining and an aversion to open-ended intervention. Does sustained tension serve certain strategic preferences more comfortably than durable peace? US and Iranian negotiators met in Geneva earlier in the week in what mediators described as the most serious and constructive talks in years. Oman’s foreign minister, Albusaidi, spoke publicly of ’unprecedented openness’, signalling that both sides were exploring creative formulations rather than repeating entrenched positions. Discussions showed flexibility on nuclear limits and sanctions relief, and mediators indicated that a principles agreement could have been reached within days, with detailed verification mechanisms to follow within months. These were not hollow gestures. Real diplomatic capital was being spent. Iranian officials floated proposals designed to meet US political realities – including potential access to energy sectors and economic cooperation. These were gestures calibrated to allow US President Trump to present any deal as tougher and more advantageous than the 2015 agreement he withdrew the US from in May 2018. Tehran appeared to understand the optics Washington required, even if contentious issues such as ballistic missiles and regional proxy networks remained outside the immediate framework. Then, in the middle of these talks, the bridge was shattered. Sensing how close the negotiations were – and how imminent military escalation had become – Oman’s foreign minister, Albusaidi, made an emergency dash to Washington in a last-ditch effort to preserve the diplomatic track. In an unusually public move for a mediator, he appeared on CBS to outline just how far the talks had progressed. He described a deal that would eliminate Iranian stockpiles of highly enriched uranium, down-blend existing material inside Iran, and allow full verification by the International Atomic Energy Agency – with the possibility of US inspectors participating alongside them. Iran, he suggested, would enrich only for civilian purposes. A principles agreement, he indicated, could be signed within days. It was a remarkable disclosure — effectively revealing the contours of a near-breakthrough in an attempt to prevent imminent war. But rather than allowing diplomacy to conclude, the US and Israel launched coordinated strikes across Iran. US and Israel attacked Iran even as peace was in sight. The message to Tehran and to other adversaries weighing diplomacy is stark: even when talks appear to work, they can be overtaken by force. Trump announced major combat operations, framing them as necessary to eliminate nuclear and missile threats while urging Iranians to seize the moment and overthrow their leadership. Iran responded with missile and drone attacks targeting US bases and allied states across the region. What is most striking is not merely that diplomacy failed, but that it failed amid visible progress. For the first time in years, there was credible movement toward stabilising the nuclear issue. By attacking during that negotiation window, Washington and its allies have cast doubt on the durability of American commitments to negotiated solutions. The message to Tehran – and to other adversaries weighing diplomacy – is stark: even when talks appear to work, they can be overtaken by force. Iran is not a dynastic dictatorship but an ideologically entrenched state with layered institutions, doctrinal legitimacy and a deeply embedded security apparatus, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Its authority is intertwined with religious, political and strategic narratives cultivated over decades. It has endured sanctions, regional isolation and sustained external pressure without fracturing. Hitting such a system with maximum force may instead consolidate internal cohesion and reinforce narratives of external aggression that the leadership has long leveraged. Destabilisation in Tehran could rapidly spill across borders and harden into prolonged confrontation. In the current escalation, Tehran has already launched retaliatory missile and drone strikes against US military bases and allied territories in the Gulf, hitting locations in Iraq, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates (including Abu Dhabi and Dubai), Kuwait and Qatar in direct response to US and Israeli strikes on Iran’s cities, including Tehran, Qom and Isfahan. Explosions have been reported in Bahrain and the UAE, with at least one confirmed fatality in Abu Dhabi, and several bases housing US personnel have been struck or targeted, underscoring how the conflict has already spread beyond Iran’s borders. Miscalculation could draw multiple states into conflict, inflame sectarian fault lines and disrupt global energy markets. What might have remained a contained nuclear dispute now risks expanding into a wider geopolitical confrontation. (Source: Scroll - India / The Conversation - Australia)

Sunday 1 March 2026 04:23, UK  US Central Command has released videos it says are fresh strikes directed at Iran. (Source: Sky News – United Kingdom)
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 NATO

1 March 2026 - 10:10  With a kick-off on March 9, the Norwegian-led military winter exercise Cold Response will be joined by troops from 14 NATO countries. The exercise is NATO's largest inside the Arctic Circle in 2026 and will take place in northern Norway and Finnish Lapland, on land, at sea and in the air. (Source: Barents Observer)

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United States
Feb 28, 2026, 10:37 PM  'Khamenei, one of the most evil people in History, is dead. This is not only Justice for the people of Iran, but for all Great Americans, and those people from many Countries throughout the World, that have been killed or mutilated by Khamenei and his gang of bloodthirsty THUGS. He was unable to avoid our Intelligence and Highly Sophisticated Tracking Systems and, working closely with Israel, there was not a thing he, or the other leaders that have been killed along with him, could do. This is the single greatest chance for the Iranian people to take back their Country. We are hearing that many of their IRGC, Military, and other Security and Police Forces, no longer want to fight, and are looking for Immunity from us. As I said last night, 'Now they can have Immunity, later they only get Death!' Hopefully, the IRGC and Police will peacefully merge with the Iranian Patriots, and work together as a unit to bring back the Country to the Greatness it deserves. That process should soon be starting in that, not only the death of Khamenei but the Country has been, in only one day, very much destroyed and, even, obliterated. The heavy and pinpoint bombing, however, will continue, uninterrupted throughout the week or, as long as necessary to achieve our objective of PEACE THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST AND, INDEED, THE WORLD! Thank you for your attention to this matter', President Trump wrote on Truth Social.
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February 28, 2026  Opinion: America's moral power is the first casualty in Iran: We may not know for years what drove Trump to bypass his own campaign promise to be a no-war president. What led Washington to this unprovoked war with negotiations underway?  Israel, which actually launched the main attack, pulled the U.S. administration into war. Israel and its supporters in Congress, bolstered by the powerful pro-Israel AIPAC lobbying group, were also behind President Trump’s tearing up the 2015 nuclear deal between Iran and the P5+1 — the five permanent U.N. Security Council members, plus Germany — known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. That agreement aimed to limit Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief, but Trump wanted a deal of his own, not one negotiated under President Obama, and Israel wanted one that restricted not only Iran’s nuclear capability but ballistic missiles that could threaten its people. A poll taken in early February by the University of Maryland showed that 21% of Americans overall and only 40% of Republicans favored attacking Iran. In going to war Trump has ignored the advice of his own party leaders as well as, reportedly, his top military adviser. The attack took place while the United States was holding indirect talks with Iran, which, the latest indicators seemed to say, were moving in the right direction. Oman’s foreign minister, who communicated proposals to both sides and who was therefore privy to the discussions, had gone on U.S. television Friday to appeal to the American people to help prevent the war now at full steam. Israel’s current prime minister, whom Trump admires, is fighting for his political life as well as against accusations of criminal behavior. A war is Benjamin Netanyahu’s only hope to convince Israelis in the next election that he must stay at the helm of the country. But Trump is not one to risk his own political skin for another leader’s future. The Epstein files are a possible motivator. A war is a handy distraction. Perhaps he dreams that if he turns Iran into a democratic anchor in the mostly autocratic Middle East, he will finally get a Nobel Peace Prize of his own. Bush’s Iraq War's ripple effects are still being felt. Bush followed the illusion put forth by Netanyahu that getting rid of a Middle Eastern dictator — two decades ago it was Saddam — would bring about peace. Instead, we have an Iraq that is closer to an Iranian client. The remote killing of its top leaders, even a total collapse of the regime, risks the possibility that a much more radical leadership will emerge. Today’s attacks will inflict immeasurable damage on the United States in the Muslim world. While most governments around the Persian Gulf denounced Iran’s attack against U.S. bases on their soil, the peoples of the region, the Muslims of Iran as well as their fellow Shiites in Iraq and Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen and young Arabs and Muslims everywhere are even now feeling more sympathy with the Iranian people than their own leaders. The United States is finding out in concrete terms what has long been known abroad: Its power in the world comes not from its military might alone, but from its moral authority. The saying “Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me’ applies here. America has been fooled into an unnecessary war that will further put Americans and American policy in danger. What caused this foolish decision is anyone’s guess, but eventually history will look back on this as an act of folly.  (Source: Religion News Service - U.S.)
by Kuttab, the publisher of Milhilard.org, a news site focused on Christians in Palestine, Israel and Jordan.

Feb 28, 2026 5:25 PM EST  U.S. Military has used long-range Low-cost Unmanned Combat Attack System (LUCAS) kamikaze drones in combat for the first time. America's clone of Iran's Shahed-136 had been used against Iran in an ironic vignette of modern drone warfare. (Source: The War Zone – U.S.)
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Saturday 28 February 2026 19:19 GMT  The U.S and partner forces began striking targets at 1.15am ET to dismantle the Iranian regime. Targets included the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps command and control facilities, Iranian air defense capabilities, missile and drone launch sites, and military airfields. Video shows moment US launches strikes on Iran from aircraft carrier. (Source: The Independent – United Kingdom)

February 28, 2026 U.S. Senator Shaheen (D-NH), Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, issued a statement on the United States' preemptive attack on Iran.

Feb 28, 2026, 8:30 AM  U.S. President Trump posted an eight-minute video on his social media platform calling the attack a massive and ongoing operation. (Source: Truth Social – U.S.)

Saturday 28 February 2026 14:11 EST  The former Fox News host and close ally of the president, Carlson, has described Trump’s airstrikes in Iran as disgusting and evil, according to a new report. He made the remarks to ABC White House correspondent Karl. Carlson has previously been highly critical of U.S. foreign intervention in the Middle East and has been extremely vocal in his criticism of the Israeli government, describing escalating conflicts with Iran as a reckless effort to serve the interests of Tel Aviv. Following the previous U.S. strike on Iran in June last year, Carlson wrote in his newsletter that Trump was complicit in such efforts by Israel and warned that getting further involved would be suicidal. Carlson later received backlash for a separate interview with Iranian President Pezeshkian, with critics alleging that he provided a platform for regime propaganda without sufficient pushback. Carlson has been critical of Trump at other times in the past, once referring to him as a demonic force, a destroyer. (Source: The Independent – United Kingdom)

Saturday 28 February 2026 08:34 GMT  Despite worldwide backlash, the US president continues to embrace an aggressive foreign policy agenda. Every country Trump has attacked or threatened in second term after Iran struck again by ‘America First’ president:    In February last year, 10 days after his inauguration, Trump launched a series of military strikes against isis key figures in Somalia. Further attacks on isis, and the Islamist paramilitary group al-Shabab, were launched in January this year.    The US conducted several counterterrorism operations against isis in Iraq in March 2025.    Trump launched bombings against Yemen’s Houthi rebels in March 2025 after a wave of attacks by the group against ships in the Red Sea that were in response to Israel’s war in Gaza. The United States is reported to have carried out more than 1,100 strikes, killed hundreds of Houthi fighters, and spent more than $1 billion over the 52-day campaign. Despite the bombardment, rebels began attacking cargo ships in the Red Sea again in July.    In June last year, the International Atomic Energy Agency warned Iran was violating its non-proliferation commitments and had enough enriched uranium to potentially develop nine nuclear bombs. Within days, Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities and a Twelve Day War began. Iran launched a wave of missile and drone strikes in response. The US then intervened and launched a series of bombing raids on Iran’s nuclear sites. A ceasefire was agreed, but tensions between the US and Iran resumed in January this year after widespread protests across the country prompted a ruthless government crackdown, with human rights groups warning of thousands dead. President Trump launched 'major combat operations' in Iran today, on 28 February, warning that there may be US casualties. The strikes, Trump said were aimed at destroying Iranian missiles and annihilating its navy.    The US began attacking alleged 'narco-terrorist boats' off the Caribbean coast of Venezuela in September 2025, which later expanded to the Pacific Ocean, with Trump accusing Venezuela’s then president of being a top-level member of drug cartel, Cartel de los Soles. On 3 January, US special forces raided Maduro’s residence in Caracas. Maduro was removed from office and extradited to the US to appear in a New York court to face criminal charges. Trump announced the US would be taking over sales of Venezuelan crude oil across the globe and said the government in Caracas was providing Washington with between 30 and 50 million barrels of formerly sanctioned oil to sell.    In November, the US military was joining the Syrian armed forces to destroy 15 isis weapons caches in southern Syria. On 19 December 2025 US Central Command (CENTCOM) launched Operation Hawkeye Strike against isis in Syria, in coordination with Jordan. The most recent attacks took place earlier this month. The January operation had launched 90 precision munitions at more than 35 targets, using over two dozen aircraft.   In December 2024, Trump had threatened to impose tariffs on Canada unless it increased its military spending and fortified its border security. Trump has continued to reiterate his desire to make Canada “the 51st state”, throughout his second term. The president has ruled out the use of military force to annex Canada, but said he would use economic force instead. His comments have sparked a boycott of American products.    On Christmas Day 2025, Trump ordered strikes against isis targets in Nigeria after he accused the group of targeting Christians. Camps in Sokoto state near the border with Niger were hit during the strikes. A defense department official told that the strikes had been carried out with the knowledge and cooperation of the Nigerian government.     Mexico has long been a target of Trump’s anger with the president blaming their government for failing to deal with drug cartels and preventing the flow of migrants across the border. He warned the country, which has been led by left-wing president Sheinbaum since October 2024, has to get their act together or 'we’re going to have to do something'.     US secretary of state Rubio said in January that he believes Cuba is in a lot of trouble following the capture of Maduro, a key ally. “I’m not going to talk to you about what our future steps are going to be and our policies are going to be right now in this regard,” Rubio told NBC. “But I don’t think it’s any mystery that we are not big fans of the Cuban regime, who, by the way, are the ones that were propping up Maduro.'     Trump also warned Colombian president Petro – one of his fiercest critics on the international stage – that the South American country could be his next target.    Trump has had his sights set on purchasing the semi-autonomous territory of Greenland since 2019. He has ramped up his rhetoric in recent weeks and refused to rule out military action. The president argues it is vital to ensure the “national security” of the United States and to prevent the island falling into the hands of Russia or China. However, his threats have sparked backlash from Nato allies and European leaders. Throughout January, European troops from Germany, France and Sweden were deployed to the region, and Trump was threatening tariffs against any country that stands in his way. (Source: The Independent – United Kingdom)
by Butt

February 28, 2026 1:22 PM  Trump, in his remarks, suggested that he wanted to overwhelm the Iranian military to the point that its more than 600,000 troops - and even its police force - give up any fight. Iran's Revolutionary Guard, a theology-driven force that reports directly to the Iranian supreme leader, is estimated to have close to 200,000 members. Iran has a fleet of hundreds of fast boats that specialize in swarm attacks in the Persian Gulf. It has a massive arsenal of 3,000 to 6,000 naval mines that can enable it to temporarily close off the Strait of Hormuz. In the initial wave, the U.S. carried out dozens of strikes with attack planes launched from bases around the Middle East and from one or more aircraft carriers. The focus of the American strikes for the moment is military targets in Iran, a U.S. official said. Besides its nuclear facilities, Iran is believed to have more than 2,000 missiles, primarily short- and medium-range ballistic missiles that threaten Israel and U.S. forces across the region. Those missiles are scattered at launch sites across Iran and were among the first targets. (Source: Miami Herald / The New York Times = U.S.)

28 February 2026  Candidate Trump promised to end forever wars. Now President Trump is starting them. Trump: ’Neoconservative warmonger’. He told the Washington Post this morning that “all I want is freedom for the people”, and in a video address he attacked the Islamic regime to hand the Iranian people a 'once in a generation chance' to oust the mullahs. He said the regime had caused regional mass terror. These lofty and moral considerations are nothing like his previous calls for US foreign policy to focus solely on the national interest. Now he has unleashed a war whose outcome he cannot control. The secretary of war, Hegseth, said as recently as December that the “War Department will not be distracted by democracy-building interventionism, undefined wars, regime change”. Vance, an America Firster, said this week that a 'full-blown war' would not happen, and Vance, who served with the US Marine Corps in Iraq, must have smarted at the glib way Trump said in his speech that Americans will probably die as 'that often happens in war'. Vance’s prediction now looks more like futile hope than White House policy. Carlson, who was at the White House with Trump last week, has reportedly called the war “absolutely disgusting and evil”. (Source: New Statesman – United Kingdom)

(Saturday, February 28, 2026 8:03 am CET  Trump, in his State of the Union address in February, accused Iran of restarting its nuclear weapons program — a claim Iran has denied. The Trump administration wanted Tehran to stop its uranium enrichment and curb its ballistic missile program. Iran rejected efforts to limit its missile program and steadfastly claimed that it had no intention of building a bomb — but had the right to enrich uranium. Iranian FM Araghchi, after the most recent round in Geneva, said the two sides had agreed to a set of principles to frame future discussions. But key differences remained. Benjamin Netanyahu, who Trump and top administration officials met with throughout the negotiating process, has also encouraged the U.S. to demand Tehran curb its ballistic missile program and halt funding for its proxy groups in the region. US and Israel hit Iran in coordinated attack. 'We’re going to destroy their missiles and raze their missile industry to the ground,' Trump said in video confirming the attack. The Trump administration has said little publicly about what it would do to avoid civil unrest if the strikes manage to destabilize a regime that has prevailed for nearly half a century. Israel has urged strong military action, pushing for strikes that would target, not only Iranian centrifuges, but also Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps command-and-control nodes. Israeli Defense Minister Katz announced that Israel had launched a preemptive strike against Iran early today. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu hailed the U.S.-Israeli attack today morning. The IDF later said it had identified missiles launched from Iran toward Israel. (Source: Politico – U.S.)

February 28, 2026 10:56 IST  OpenAI has signed a deal with the U.S. Department of Defence, stepping in after President Trump ordered a ban on AI rival Anthropic after it refused to allow unrestricted use of its models for weapons and surveillance. (Source: The Week – India)

February 28, 2026 3:57 AM  US aims to bring in 4,500 white South Africans per month as refugees. The new target is contained in a previously unreported document from the US State Department dated Jan 27. (Source: AsiaOne - Singapore)

February 28, 2026 3:42 AM  Trump raises prospect of 'friendly takeover' of Cuba, telling reporters at the White House that Secretary of State Rubio was dealing with the issue at a very high level. "The Cuban government is talking with us, and they're in a big deal of trouble,’ Trump said. The Cuban government has said it is not in any high-level talks with the United States but has not outright denied press reports that US officials may be in informal talks with Castro, the grandson of former Cuban President Raul. (Source: AsiaOne - Singapore)

 International Atomic Energy Agency

Feb 28, 2026, 06:54 PM EST  U.N. Nuclear Agency's Board to hold emergency meeting on Monday at 9 a.m. (0800 GMT) about U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran. The meeting was requested by Russia. The emergency meeting will start an hour before a long-scheduled quarterly meeting of the board at which Iran’s nuclear programme was already on the agenda. Diplomats said there was no indication Iranian nuclear facilities were struck today. (Source: Huffpost – U.S./ Reuters – United Kingdom)

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